NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Wins Power Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:07 EDT 2005

Home Court Advantage = 4.6933

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 88.138


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. North Carolina (33-4)101.558-37-09-0
4. Duke (27-6)95.8857-33-27-1
5. Wake Forest (27-6)95.8105-46-17-0
24. Georgia Tech (20-12)89.6242-81-38-1
28. North Carolina St (21-14)88.3864-93-04-3
45. Maryland (19-13)85.3373-40-37-6
61. Clemson (16-16)83.6580-84-32-5
64. Miami Fla (16-13)83.6121-72-03-4
66. Virginia Tech (16-14)83.1132-42-34-4
67. Virginia (14-15)83.0701-71-44-3
113. Florida St (11-19)79.4682-62-32-7


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 85.442


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Boston College (25-5)92.0935-21-27-1
15. Villanova (24-8)91.4984-53-07-2
18. Syracuse (27-7)91.3054-41-37-0
21. Connecticut (23-8)91.1944-41-27-1
23. West Virginia (24-11)90.0423-77-03-2
30. Pittsburgh (20-9)87.9024-60-05-2
55. Georgetown (19-13)84.2372-71-04-4
62. Notre Dame (17-12)83.6554-40-33-3
91. Providence (13-17)81.1660-120-14-3
124. Seton Hall (12-16)78.1691-70-21-4
129. Rutgers (9-19)77.4110-92-13-5
144. St Johns (9-18)76.6320-82-12-4


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 85.100


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Washington (28-6)95.2916-34-29-1
8. Arizona (30-7)94.7253-45-110-2
35. UCLA (18-11)86.6971-50-38-2
41. Stanford (18-13)86.0862-52-14-6
69. Arizona St (18-14)82.8920-52-25-4
72. Oregon (14-13)82.6930-51-45-3
80. Washington St (12-16)82.0611-52-32-5
84. Oregon St (17-15)81.8261-43-24-5
114. USC (12-17)79.3950-51-44-5
116. California (13-16)79.3360-51-45-5


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 85.010


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Illinois (37-2)103.609-17-15-0
9. Michigan St (26-7)94.5953-48-20-1
11. Wisconsin (25-9)92.3822-58-14-2
32. Iowa (21-12)87.3422-75-23-0
37. Minnesota (21-11)86.5921-63-24-1
42. Ohio St (20-12)86.0041-52-53-2
63. Indiana (15-14)83.6432-52-51-3
106. Northwestern (15-16)79.9670-62-22-5
137. Michigan (13-18)76.9630-71-42-3
168. Purdue (7-21)74.4220-81-70-4
234. Penn St (6-23)69.5890-50-80-3


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 84.897


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Oklahoma St (25-7)93.1023-48-27-1
14. Kansas (23-7)91.8924-36-212-2
20. Oklahoma (25-8)91.2413-46-35-1
26. Texas Tech (22-11)89.3004-54-55-1
39. Iowa St (19-12)86.3122-33-36-5
43. Texas (19-11)85.7922-42-56-2
46. Texas AM (19-10)85.2800-53-26-3
70. Kansas St (15-12)82.8910-52-45-2
82. Missouri (16-17)81.9243-41-56-8
89. Nebraska (14-14)81.2791-32-64-5
97. Colorado (13-16)80.6180-63-32-5
245. Baylor (8-19)69.1290-50-81-3


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.479


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Kentucky (28-6)95.0285-53-08-1
16. Florida (24-8)91.4044-31-28-2
22. Alabama (23-8)90.2680-55-24-1
31. LSU (20-10)87.3712-53-14-3
33. Mississippi St (23-11)87.0561-72-26-1
52. South Carolina (20-13)84.6821-51-38-3
57. Vanderbilt (20-14)84.1141-50-38-4
78. Arkansas (18-12)82.3180-51-33-3
92. Tennessee (14-17)81.1311-73-22-5
117. Mississippi (14-17)79.1020-50-43-5
118. Auburn (14-17)78.7050-41-44-4
192. Georgia (8-20)72.5650-60-42-8


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 80.969


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Louisville (31-5)96.5096-24-19-2
25. Cincinnati (25-8)89.4100-53-18-1
40. Charlotte (21-8)86.1851-31-18-1
47. Uab (22-11)85.1950-51-18-1
65. DePaul (20-11)83.5821-21-45-2
74. TCU (20-14)82.5830-42-36-4
79. Memphis (22-16)82.2811-42-55-4
90. Houston (18-14)81.2351-21-43-5
99. Marquette (18-12)80.4461-40-25-5
142. South Florida (13-16)76.8171-21-21-8
176. St Louis (9-21)73.6930-30-63-6
179. East Carolina (7-19)73.5660-22-41-8
208. Tulane (9-18)71.1920-21-31-6
218. SO Mississippi (8-17)70.8700-21-21-6


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 80.662


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Gonzaga (26-5)92.3473-12-22-1
44. St Marys CA (23-9)85.7811-20-22-1
103. San Francisco (17-14)80.1202-10-42-3
110. San Diego (14-13)79.6280-41-20-0
119. Pepperdine (16-14)78.6911-20-31-0
131. Santa Clara (14-16)77.2911-33-20-1
138. Portland (14-15)76.9460-20-22-3
167. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)74.4930-30-30-2


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.638


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Southern Ill (26-8)88.1990-13-06-6
49. Creighton (23-11)84.9720-11-28-3
58. Northern Iowa (20-11)84.0970-22-44-2
59. Wichita St (22-10)84.0660-01-46-3
76. SW Missouri St (19-13)82.3680-14-23-6
111. Illinois St (16-13)79.6170-01-41-6
128. Drake (13-16)77.5220-00-62-6
132. Bradley (13-15)77.1510-00-44-4
160. Indiana St (11-20)74.7960-01-42-7
178. Evansville (11-17)73.5920-01-32-5


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 80.165


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Utah (27-6)91.3961-32-27-1
34. New Mexico (25-7)87.0032-30-04-2
86. Unlv (16-14)81.7230-40-54-2
94. Air Force (17-12)80.9700-31-41-2
112. Wyoming (15-13)79.4960-32-22-5
165. San Diego St (9-18)74.5640-30-53-4
181. Colorado St (9-17)73.3320-30-20-5
189. BYU (7-21)72.8390-31-51-6


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 78.516


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Buffalo (23-10)83.7910-10-05-8
71. Ohio (21-11)82.7570-10-08-4
75. Miami Ohio (18-11)82.3920-10-06-7
85. Akron (18-10)81.8180-00-04-6
87. Kent (18-13)81.6180-11-25-7
93. Western Mich (19-13)81.0560-00-06-6
108. Toledo (15-13)79.7980-11-03-6
109. Bowling Green (17-11)79.6850-00-05-6
122. Ball St (14-13)78.5120-10-04-5
152. Northern Ill (11-17)75.3250-00-03-8
200. Central Mich (8-18)71.8540-00-11-9
209. Eastern Mich (10-18)71.1900-00-00-9
217. Marshall (6-22)70.9121-00-11-13


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.458


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Nevada (24-7)86.6720-32-02-1
53. Texas El Paso (25-8)84.5500-21-31-0
104. Rice (17-12)79.9790-20-21-5
140. Hawaii (16-13)76.8770-02-31-3
146. SMU (13-14)76.0810-10-30-3
150. Fresno St (15-14)75.7980-11-11-3
155. Louisiana Tech (14-15)75.1490-00-32-2
183. Boise St (15-18)73.2200-01-20-4
231. Tulsa (9-20)69.7070-10-21-4
268. San Jose St (6-23)66.5470-10-20-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 75.266


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Ul Lafayette (19-11)82.3250-21-31-2
95. Western KY (21-9)80.8560-00-01-5
100. Arkansas Lr (15-10)80.3070-21-13-1
105. Denver (18-11)79.9720-00-15-4
133. Middle Tenn St (17-12)77.1500-10-01-5
151. Arkansas St (13-13)75.7240-00-03-3
174. Florida Intl (12-17)73.8510-10-14-6
185. New Orleans (12-17)73.0900-10-30-6
196. North Texas (12-14)72.3160-10-10-5
242. South Alabama (7-18)69.2890-00-30-5
297. New Mexico St (4-24)63.0440-00-21-6


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 74.865


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Geo Washington (22-8)84.9131-31-01-1
51. St Josephs (24-12)84.8440-22-35-3
102. Temple (16-14)80.2271-30-32-5
107. Xavier (17-12)79.9590-13-21-4
120. Dayton (18-11)78.6800-10-22-2
130. Massachusetts (16-12)77.3441-21-01-3
136. Richmond (14-15)77.0250-22-20-4
186. Fordham (13-16)73.0780-10-20-4
201. La Salle (10-19)71.7200-20-20-3
255. Duquesne (8-22)67.8200-20-40-3
276. Rhode Island (6-22)66.0550-00-11-4
317. St Bonaventure (2-26)56.7100-20-10-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 74.761


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Pacific (27-4)91.2870-22-05-1
54. Utah St (24-8)84.5362-30-02-1
96. CS Fullerton (20-11)80.7730-20-02-3
123. CS Northridge (17-13)78.4400-40-01-5
158. UC Irvine (15-13)74.9500-20-11-3
206. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)71.3980-30-00-5
226. Long Beach St (10-20)70.2970-20-21-4
262. Idaho (7-21)67.1050-30-02-3
263. UC Riverside (8-19)66.9010-20-00-5
305. Cal Poly (4-22)61.9290-30-00-4


HORIZON AVERAGE = 74.332


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)89.1132-30-01-0
143. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)76.6600-21-10-1
145. Illinois Chi (13-13)76.1540-20-21-1
153. Detroit (13-16)75.3170-11-21-2
163. Wright St (15-15)74.6870-10-30-2
164. Loyola Chi (12-17)74.6530-10-30-3
191. Butler (11-15)72.6380-00-21-1
241. Cleveland St (7-17)69.3100-10-20-2
308. Youngstown St (3-23)60.4560-00-20-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 72.717


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. Vermont (25-7)86.5481-30-11-0
101. Northeastern (21-10)80.2880-10-30-2
115. Boston U (20-9)79.3920-11-10-2
199. Maine (13-15)71.9570-11-10-1
205. Binghamton (12-17)71.4940-10-30-3
213. Albany NY (13-15)71.0060-20-20-0
244. Stony Brook (12-17)69.1930-10-20-1
271. Umbc (10-18)66.3120-10-30-0
272. New Hampshire (8-19)66.2950-20-30-0
289. Hartford (8-20)64.6860-00-20-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 72.484


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
68. Davidson (20-9)83.0100-10-22-2
134. Chattanooga (17-11)77.1020-10-21-2
147. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)75.9840-00-00-4
148. NC Greensboro (15-12)75.9570-20-21-1
161. Appalachian St (15-12)74.7190-00-00-5
169. Geo Southern (14-13)74.3980-10-00-4
180. Furman (12-13)73.3800-10-10-4
202. Wofford (10-14)71.6420-00-00-5
259. Elon (7-22)67.4910-10-10-4
260. East Tenn St (7-19)67.4650-10-10-2
285. The Citadel (8-16)65.1460-00-00-4
293. Westrn Carolina (5-22)63.5110-20-10-3


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 72.464


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. Old Dominion (27-6)85.1090-10-05-2
98. Hofstra (21-9)80.5490-11-20-1
121. Drexel (17-12)78.6430-10-23-3
126. VA Commonwealth (19-13)77.7400-11-31-2
127. NC Wilmington (19-10)77.6470-10-21-1
170. George Mason (16-13)74.3890-11-21-2
254. Delaware (11-20)67.8590-00-40-2
294. William & Mary (8-21)63.1890-20-30-3
312. James Madison (6-22)59.8070-20-20-3
313. Towson (5-24)59.7070-00-40-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 71.905


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Pennsylvania (20-9)81.5240-30-02-1
156. Princeton (14-13)75.0440-20-03-3
204. Harvard (12-15)71.5680-00-00-4
211. Cornell (12-14)71.0950-10-00-3
219. Yale (11-16)70.7270-20-11-2
232. Brown (12-16)69.6820-00-00-5
253. Dartmouth (9-17)68.1930-00-20-4
261. Columbia (12-15)67.4100-00-10-3


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 71.477


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Oral Roberts (24-8)81.8660-00-22-1
162. Mo Kansas City (14-12)74.7020-00-12-3
166. Iupui (14-13)74.5320-10-00-5
173. Valparaiso (15-16)73.8520-31-10-4
182. Oakland (12-19)73.3180-30-11-6
228. Southern Utah (11-15)69.9260-10-00-3
233. Western Ill (9-17)69.5890-00-21-3
237. Chicago St (9-19)69.4590-10-30-2
320. Centenary (2-24)56.0480-00-30-3


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 70.102


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
125. Eastern KY (19-9)77.7600-30-00-1
154. Murray St (15-11)75.2550-00-30-2
172. Tennessee Tech (15-11)73.9740-10-00-1
193. Tennessee St (12-16)72.4710-20-20-3
194. SE Missouri St (11-14)72.4640-00-10-1
203. Austin Peay (13-19)71.6220-10-00-5
210. Samford (13-13)71.1410-00-01-1
236. Eastern Ill (11-16)69.4740-00-10-2
288. Morehead St (8-16)64.7080-20-10-0
303. Tenn Martin (4-21)62.2330-10-00-0
311. Jacksonville St (4-22)60.0210-00-10-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 69.996


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Holy Cross (25-7)84.1400-10-22-3
73. Bucknell (23-10)82.6251-21-13-2
157. American (16-12)74.9660-01-12-5
240. Lehigh (13-15)69.3290-00-01-4
246. Colgate (10-16)68.8160-10-00-6
270. Lafayette (8-19)66.3400-20-00-6
291. Navy (8-18)63.7450-00-01-5
327. Army (1-24)50.0050-00-00-6


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 69.619


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
141. Central Florida (21-9)76.8680-10-01-0
177. Gardner-Webb (16-12)73.6200-00-00-3
198. Georgia St (13-15)71.9860-10-31-1
212. Jacksonville (14-13)71.0810-10-00-0
214. Mercer (14-12)70.9930-00-20-0
215. Belmont (14-16)70.9650-00-20-1
223. Lipscomb (14-12)70.3690-00-10-1
243. Troy St (11-18)69.2870-00-10-3
250. Fla Atlantic (10-17)68.3300-10-10-2
257. Stetson (9-17)67.7360-10-00-1
322. Campbell (2-25)54.5760-10-10-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.245


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
139. Niagara (20-10)76.8950-10-00-4
171. Rider (18-11)74.2850-00-01-1
195. St Peters (15-13)72.3320-10-00-0
207. Fairfield (15-15)71.3610-00-20-1
216. Manhattan (13-14)70.9230-10-21-0
220. Iona (15-16)70.7170-00-20-1
264. Canisius (11-18)66.8970-00-00-1
269. Marist (11-17)66.3680-00-10-2
301. Siena (6-24)62.5130-10-10-3
309. Loyola MD (6-22)60.1570-00-10-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 68.494


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
175. Montana (16-13)73.8390-20-10-2
187. Portland St (17-9)72.9720-10-10-0
230. Weber St (13-16)69.7850-10-00-2
238. Montana St (12-14)69.3520-00-00-2
256. Sacramento St (10-16)67.7910-00-10-1
279. Northrn Arizona (9-17)65.3810-00-20-1
284. Eastern Wash (7-20)65.1550-30-00-2
292. Idaho St (7-18)63.6770-00-00-1


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 68.124


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
81. Winthrop (24-6)81.9670-10-01-3
227. Birmingham Southern (15-14)69.9830-00-10-3
239. Liberty (12-15)69.3430-00-30-3
252. Charleston Sou (12-16)68.2480-10-00-5
273. NC Asheville (9-17)66.2900-10-30-3
275. High Point (11-17)66.0670-20-10-2
280. Radford (10-16)65.3630-10-10-3
283. Coast Carolina (8-18)65.2160-00-01-3
307. VMI (7-18)60.6360-00-11-2


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 67.956


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
135. SE Louisiana (19-9)77.0860-10-00-2
159. Northwestern St (17-12)74.8790-30-10-1
184. Lamar (14-11)73.1070-00-01-1
190. Sam Houston (14-12)72.7570-20-00-2
225. Tex San Antonio (12-13)70.3310-00-10-2
251. McNeese St (9-15)68.3050-00-10-3
267. SW Texas St (10-14)66.6380-00-10-1
277. Texas Arlington (9-15)66.0330-00-20-1
290. Stephen Austin (9-15)64.0230-00-00-1
314. Ul Monroe (5-19)59.4610-00-10-1
321. Nicholls St (3-21)54.8950-10-10-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 67.372


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
197. Fair Dickinson (19-13)72.2360-10-00-2
224. Monmouth NJ (16-13)70.3670-10-00-0
247. Wagner (13-17)68.5930-00-10-1
248. St Francis PA (14-13)68.5200-00-32-0
258. Robert Morris (13-15)67.5970-00-20-2
265. St Francis NY (13-15)66.8690-00-00-0
266. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)66.8230-10-00-1
274. Central Conn (12-16)66.1610-10-10-0
315. Mt St Marys (7-20)59.1800-00-20-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.483


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
188. Delaware St (19-14)72.9330-30-00-3
222. Hampton (17-13)70.4190-00-10-2
229. SO Carolina St (19-12)69.7900-00-01-2
235. Coppin St (14-15)69.5090-40-30-1
278. Florida A&M (14-15)65.8920-40-10-0
281. Morgan St (14-16)65.3610-00-10-2
282. Norfolk St (13-14)65.2820-00-00-3
299. Bethune Cookman (13-17)62.8920-00-00-3
318. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)56.3870-20-20-1
326. Howard (5-23)51.5730-00-20-1
328. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)48.2770-00-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 60.826


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
149. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)75.9090-21-01-1
221. Utah Valley St (14-12)70.4920-00-00-3
249. UC Davis (10-17)68.3920-20-20-4
286. TX Pan American (8-16)65.0170-10-00-4
298. IPFW (6-22)62.9220-00-01-5
316. Northern Colorado (4-21)58.5630-40-30-3
329. Longwood (1-29)44.9550-30-10-2
330. Savannah St (0-28)40.3610-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 59.979


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
287. Alabama A&M (16-14)64.8320-00-20-0
295. Miss Valley St (13-15)63.1720-00-10-0
296. Alabama St (15-15)63.1410-20-00-2
300. Grambling (12-12)62.6320-00-10-2
302. Jackson St (14-17)62.3510-10-10-2
306. Southern (12-15)61.5130-00-00-1
310. Texas Southern (10-15)60.0910-00-00-1
323. Alcorn St (6-22)54.3910-00-10-1
324. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)54.1580-00-20-3
325. Prairie View (5-23)53.5090-00-20-2
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