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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Wins Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:06 EDT 2005

Home Advantage = 4.6933

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Illinois (37-2)103.609-17-15-0
2. North Carolina (33-4)101.558-37-09-0
3. Louisville (31-5)96.5096-24-19-2
4. Duke (27-6)95.8857-33-27-1
5. Wake Forest (27-6)95.8105-46-17-0
6. Washington (28-6)95.2916-34-29-1
7. Kentucky (28-6)95.0285-53-08-1
8. Arizona (30-7)94.7253-45-110-2
9. Michigan St (26-7)94.5953-48-20-1
10. Oklahoma St (25-7)93.1023-48-27-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Wisconsin (25-9)92.3822-58-14-2
12. Gonzaga (26-5)92.3473-12-22-1
13. Boston College (25-5)92.0935-21-27-1
14. Kansas (23-7)91.8924-36-212-2
15. Villanova (24-8)91.4984-53-07-2
16. Florida (24-8)91.4044-31-28-2
17. Utah (27-6)91.3961-32-27-1
18. Syracuse (27-7)91.3054-41-37-0
19. Pacific (27-4)91.2870-22-05-1
20. Oklahoma (25-8)91.2413-46-35-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Connecticut (23-8)91.1944-41-27-1
22. Alabama (23-8)90.2680-55-24-1
23. West Virginia (24-11)90.0423-77-03-2
24. Georgia Tech (20-12)89.6242-81-38-1
25. Cincinnati (25-8)89.4100-53-18-1
26. Texas Tech (22-11)89.3004-54-55-1
27. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)89.1132-30-01-0
28. North Carolina St (21-14)88.3864-93-04-3
29. Southern Ill (26-8)88.1990-13-06-6
30. Pittsburgh (20-9)87.9024-60-05-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. LSU (20-10)87.3712-53-14-3
32. Iowa (21-12)87.3422-75-23-0
33. Mississippi St (23-11)87.0561-72-26-1
34. New Mexico (25-7)87.0032-30-04-2
35. UCLA (18-11)86.6971-50-38-2
36. Nevada (24-7)86.6720-32-02-1
37. Minnesota (21-11)86.5921-63-24-1
38. Vermont (25-7)86.5481-30-11-0
39. Iowa St (19-12)86.3122-33-36-5
40. Charlotte (21-8)86.1851-31-18-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Stanford (18-13)86.0862-52-14-6
42. Ohio St (20-12)86.0041-52-53-2
43. Texas (19-11)85.7922-42-56-2
44. St Marys CA (23-9)85.7811-20-22-1
45. Maryland (19-13)85.3373-40-37-6
46. Texas AM (19-10)85.2800-53-26-3
47. Uab (22-11)85.1950-51-18-1
48. Old Dominion (27-6)85.1090-10-05-2
49. Creighton (23-11)84.9720-11-28-3
50. Geo Washington (22-8)84.9131-31-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. St Josephs (24-12)84.8440-22-35-3
52. South Carolina (20-13)84.6821-51-38-3
53. Texas El Paso (25-8)84.5500-21-31-0
54. Utah St (24-8)84.5362-30-02-1
55. Georgetown (19-13)84.2372-71-04-4
56. Holy Cross (25-7)84.1400-10-22-3
57. Vanderbilt (20-14)84.1141-50-38-4
58. Northern Iowa (20-11)84.0970-22-44-2
59. Wichita St (22-10)84.0660-01-46-3
60. Buffalo (23-10)83.7910-10-05-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Clemson (16-16)83.6580-84-32-5
62. Notre Dame (17-12)83.6554-40-33-3
63. Indiana (15-14)83.6432-52-51-3
64. Miami Fla (16-13)83.6121-72-03-4
65. DePaul (20-11)83.5821-21-45-2
66. Virginia Tech (16-14)83.1132-42-34-4
67. Virginia (14-15)83.0701-71-44-3
68. Davidson (20-9)83.0100-10-22-2
69. Arizona St (18-14)82.8920-52-25-4
70. Kansas St (15-12)82.8910-52-45-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Ohio (21-11)82.7570-10-08-4
72. Oregon (14-13)82.6930-51-45-3
73. Bucknell (23-10)82.6251-21-13-2
74. TCU (20-14)82.5830-42-36-4
75. Miami Ohio (18-11)82.3920-10-06-7
76. SW Missouri St (19-13)82.3680-14-23-6
77. Ul Lafayette (19-11)82.3250-21-31-2
78. Arkansas (18-12)82.3180-51-33-3
79. Memphis (22-16)82.2811-42-55-4
80. Washington St (12-16)82.0611-52-32-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Winthrop (24-6)81.9670-10-01-3
82. Missouri (16-17)81.9243-41-56-8
83. Oral Roberts (24-8)81.8660-00-22-1
84. Oregon St (17-15)81.8261-43-24-5
85. Akron (18-10)81.8180-00-04-6
86. Unlv (16-14)81.7230-40-54-2
87. Kent (18-13)81.6180-11-25-7
88. Pennsylvania (20-9)81.5240-30-02-1
89. Nebraska (14-14)81.2791-32-64-5
90. Houston (18-14)81.2351-21-43-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Providence (13-17)81.1660-120-14-3
92. Tennessee (14-17)81.1311-73-22-5
93. Western Mich (19-13)81.0560-00-06-6
94. Air Force (17-12)80.9700-31-41-2
95. Western KY (21-9)80.8560-00-01-5
96. CS Fullerton (20-11)80.7730-20-02-3
97. Colorado (13-16)80.6180-63-32-5
98. Hofstra (21-9)80.5490-11-20-1
99. Marquette (18-12)80.4461-40-25-5
100. Arkansas Lr (15-10)80.3070-21-13-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Northeastern (21-10)80.2880-10-30-2
102. Temple (16-14)80.2271-30-32-5
103. San Francisco (17-14)80.1202-10-42-3
104. Rice (17-12)79.9790-20-21-5
105. Denver (18-11)79.9720-00-15-4
106. Northwestern (15-16)79.9670-62-22-5
107. Xavier (17-12)79.9590-13-21-4
108. Toledo (15-13)79.7980-11-03-6
109. Bowling Green (17-11)79.6850-00-05-6
110. San Diego (14-13)79.6280-41-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Illinois St (16-13)79.6170-01-41-6
112. Wyoming (15-13)79.4960-32-22-5
113. Florida St (11-19)79.4682-62-32-7
114. USC (12-17)79.3950-51-44-5
115. Boston U (20-9)79.3920-11-10-2
116. California (13-16)79.3360-51-45-5
117. Mississippi (14-17)79.1020-50-43-5
118. Auburn (14-17)78.7050-41-44-4
119. Pepperdine (16-14)78.6911-20-31-0
120. Dayton (18-11)78.6800-10-22-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Drexel (17-12)78.6430-10-23-3
122. Ball St (14-13)78.5120-10-04-5
123. CS Northridge (17-13)78.4400-40-01-5
124. Seton Hall (12-16)78.1691-70-21-4
125. Eastern KY (19-9)77.7600-30-00-1
126. VA Commonwealth (19-13)77.7400-11-31-2
127. NC Wilmington (19-10)77.6470-10-21-1
128. Drake (13-16)77.5220-00-62-6
129. Rutgers (9-19)77.4110-92-13-5
130. Massachusetts (16-12)77.3441-21-01-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Santa Clara (14-16)77.2911-33-20-1
132. Bradley (13-15)77.1510-00-44-4
133. Middle Tenn St (17-12)77.1500-10-01-5
134. Chattanooga (17-11)77.1020-10-21-2
135. SE Louisiana (19-9)77.0860-10-00-2
136. Richmond (14-15)77.0250-22-20-4
137. Michigan (13-18)76.9630-71-42-3
138. Portland (14-15)76.9460-20-22-3
139. Niagara (20-10)76.8950-10-00-4
140. Hawaii (16-13)76.8770-02-31-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Central Florida (21-9)76.8680-10-01-0
142. South Florida (13-16)76.8171-21-21-8
143. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)76.6600-21-10-1
144. St Johns (9-18)76.6320-82-12-4
145. Illinois Chi (13-13)76.1540-20-21-1
146. SMU (13-14)76.0810-10-30-3
147. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)75.9840-00-00-4
148. NC Greensboro (15-12)75.9570-20-21-1
149. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)75.9090-21-01-1
150. Fresno St (15-14)75.7980-11-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Arkansas St (13-13)75.7240-00-03-3
152. Northern Ill (11-17)75.3250-00-03-8
153. Detroit (13-16)75.3170-11-21-2
154. Murray St (15-11)75.2550-00-30-2
155. Louisiana Tech (14-15)75.1490-00-32-2
156. Princeton (14-13)75.0440-20-03-3
157. American (16-12)74.9660-01-12-5
158. UC Irvine (15-13)74.9500-20-11-3
159. Northwestern St (17-12)74.8790-30-10-1
160. Indiana St (11-20)74.7960-01-42-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Appalachian St (15-12)74.7190-00-00-5
162. Mo Kansas City (14-12)74.7020-00-12-3
163. Wright St (15-15)74.6870-10-30-2
164. Loyola Chi (12-17)74.6530-10-30-3
165. San Diego St (9-18)74.5640-30-53-4
166. Iupui (14-13)74.5320-10-00-5
167. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)74.4930-30-30-2
168. Purdue (7-21)74.4220-81-70-4
169. Geo Southern (14-13)74.3980-10-00-4
170. George Mason (16-13)74.3890-11-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Rider (18-11)74.2850-00-01-1
172. Tennessee Tech (15-11)73.9740-10-00-1
173. Valparaiso (15-16)73.8520-31-10-4
174. Florida Intl (12-17)73.8510-10-14-6
175. Montana (16-13)73.8390-20-10-2
176. St Louis (9-21)73.6930-30-63-6
177. Gardner-Webb (16-12)73.6200-00-00-3
178. Evansville (11-17)73.5920-01-32-5
179. East Carolina (7-19)73.5660-22-41-8
180. Furman (12-13)73.3800-10-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Colorado St (9-17)73.3320-30-20-5
182. Oakland (12-19)73.3180-30-11-6
183. Boise St (15-18)73.2200-01-20-4
184. Lamar (14-11)73.1070-00-01-1
185. New Orleans (12-17)73.0900-10-30-6
186. Fordham (13-16)73.0780-10-20-4
187. Portland St (17-9)72.9720-10-10-0
188. Delaware St (19-14)72.9330-30-00-3
189. BYU (7-21)72.8390-31-51-6
190. Sam Houston (14-12)72.7570-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Butler (11-15)72.6380-00-21-1
192. Georgia (8-20)72.5650-60-42-8
193. Tennessee St (12-16)72.4710-20-20-3
194. SE Missouri St (11-14)72.4640-00-10-1
195. St Peters (15-13)72.3320-10-00-0
196. North Texas (12-14)72.3160-10-10-5
197. Fair Dickinson (19-13)72.2360-10-00-2
198. Georgia St (13-15)71.9860-10-31-1
199. Maine (13-15)71.9570-11-10-1
200. Central Mich (8-18)71.8540-00-11-9

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. La Salle (10-19)71.7200-20-20-3
202. Wofford (10-14)71.6420-00-00-5
203. Austin Peay (13-19)71.6220-10-00-5
204. Harvard (12-15)71.5680-00-00-4
205. Binghamton (12-17)71.4940-10-30-3
206. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)71.3980-30-00-5
207. Fairfield (15-15)71.3610-00-20-1
208. Tulane (9-18)71.1920-21-31-6
209. Eastern Mich (10-18)71.1900-00-00-9
210. Samford (13-13)71.1410-00-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Cornell (12-14)71.0950-10-00-3
212. Jacksonville (14-13)71.0810-10-00-0
213. Albany NY (13-15)71.0060-20-20-0
214. Mercer (14-12)70.9930-00-20-0
215. Belmont (14-16)70.9650-00-20-1
216. Manhattan (13-14)70.9230-10-21-0
217. Marshall (6-22)70.9121-00-11-13
218. SO Mississippi (8-17)70.8700-21-21-6
219. Yale (11-16)70.7270-20-11-2
220. Iona (15-16)70.7170-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Utah Valley St (14-12)70.4920-00-00-3
222. Hampton (17-13)70.4190-00-10-2
223. Lipscomb (14-12)70.3690-00-10-1
224. Monmouth NJ (16-13)70.3670-10-00-0
225. Tex San Antonio (12-13)70.3310-00-10-2
226. Long Beach St (10-20)70.2970-20-21-4
227. Birmingham Southern (15-14)69.9830-00-10-3
228. Southern Utah (11-15)69.9260-10-00-3
229. SO Carolina St (19-12)69.7900-00-01-2
230. Weber St (13-16)69.7850-10-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Tulsa (9-20)69.7070-10-21-4
232. Brown (12-16)69.6820-00-00-5
233. Western Ill (9-17)69.5890-00-21-3
234. Penn St (6-23)69.5890-50-80-3
235. Coppin St (14-15)69.5090-40-30-1
236. Eastern Ill (11-16)69.4740-00-10-2
237. Chicago St (9-19)69.4590-10-30-2
238. Montana St (12-14)69.3520-00-00-2
239. Liberty (12-15)69.3430-00-30-3
240. Lehigh (13-15)69.3290-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Cleveland St (7-17)69.3100-10-20-2
242. South Alabama (7-18)69.2890-00-30-5
243. Troy St (11-18)69.2870-00-10-3
244. Stony Brook (12-17)69.1930-10-20-1
245. Baylor (8-19)69.1290-50-81-3
246. Colgate (10-16)68.8160-10-00-6
247. Wagner (13-17)68.5930-00-10-1
248. St Francis PA (14-13)68.5200-00-32-0
249. UC Davis (10-17)68.3920-20-20-4
250. Fla Atlantic (10-17)68.3300-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. McNeese St (9-15)68.3050-00-10-3
252. Charleston Sou (12-16)68.2480-10-00-5
253. Dartmouth (9-17)68.1930-00-20-4
254. Delaware (11-20)67.8590-00-40-2
255. Duquesne (8-22)67.8200-20-40-3
256. Sacramento St (10-16)67.7910-00-10-1
257. Stetson (9-17)67.7360-10-00-1
258. Robert Morris (13-15)67.5970-00-20-2
259. Elon (7-22)67.4910-10-10-4
260. East Tenn St (7-19)67.4650-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Columbia (12-15)67.4100-00-10-3
262. Idaho (7-21)67.1050-30-02-3
263. UC Riverside (8-19)66.9010-20-00-5
264. Canisius (11-18)66.8970-00-00-1
265. St Francis NY (13-15)66.8690-00-00-0
266. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)66.8230-10-00-1
267. SW Texas St (10-14)66.6380-00-10-1
268. San Jose St (6-23)66.5470-10-20-3
269. Marist (11-17)66.3680-00-10-2
270. Lafayette (8-19)66.3400-20-00-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Umbc (10-18)66.3120-10-30-0
272. New Hampshire (8-19)66.2950-20-30-0
273. NC Asheville (9-17)66.2900-10-30-3
274. Central Conn (12-16)66.1610-10-10-0
275. High Point (11-17)66.0670-20-10-2
276. Rhode Island (6-22)66.0550-00-11-4
277. Texas Arlington (9-15)66.0330-00-20-1
278. Florida A&M (14-15)65.8920-40-10-0
279. Northrn Arizona (9-17)65.3810-00-20-1
280. Radford (10-16)65.3630-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Morgan St (14-16)65.3610-00-10-2
282. Norfolk St (13-14)65.2820-00-00-3
283. Coast Carolina (8-18)65.2160-00-01-3
284. Eastern Wash (7-20)65.1550-30-00-2
285. The Citadel (8-16)65.1460-00-00-4
286. TX Pan American (8-16)65.0170-10-00-4
287. Alabama A&M (16-14)64.8320-00-20-0
288. Morehead St (8-16)64.7080-20-10-0
289. Hartford (8-20)64.6860-00-20-1
290. Stephen Austin (9-15)64.0230-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Navy (8-18)63.7450-00-01-5
292. Idaho St (7-18)63.6770-00-00-1
293. Westrn Carolina (5-22)63.5110-20-10-3
294. William & Mary (8-21)63.1890-20-30-3
295. Miss Valley St (13-15)63.1720-00-10-0
296. Alabama St (15-15)63.1410-20-00-2
297. New Mexico St (4-24)63.0440-00-21-6
298. IPFW (6-22)62.9220-00-01-5
299. Bethune Cookman (13-17)62.8920-00-00-3
300. Grambling (12-12)62.6320-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Siena (6-24)62.5130-10-10-3
302. Jackson St (14-17)62.3510-10-10-2
303. Tenn Martin (4-21)62.2330-10-00-0
304. Quinnipiac (9-17)62.1190-10-00-1
305. Cal Poly (4-22)61.9290-30-00-4
306. Southern (12-15)61.5130-00-00-1
307. VMI (7-18)60.6360-00-11-2
308. Youngstown St (3-23)60.4560-00-20-1
309. Loyola MD (6-22)60.1570-00-10-1
310. Texas Southern (10-15)60.0910-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Jacksonville St (4-22)60.0210-00-10-2
312. James Madison (6-22)59.8070-20-20-3
313. Towson (5-24)59.7070-00-40-2
314. Ul Monroe (5-19)59.4610-00-10-1
315. Mt St Marys (7-20)59.1800-00-20-0
316. Northern Colorado (4-21)58.5630-40-30-3
317. St Bonaventure (2-26)56.7100-20-10-3
318. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)56.3870-20-20-1
319. Sacred Heart (4-23)56.1130-20-00-0
320. Centenary (2-24)56.0480-00-30-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Nicholls St (3-21)54.8950-10-10-0
322. Campbell (2-25)54.5760-10-10-1
323. Alcorn St (6-22)54.3910-00-10-1
324. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)54.1580-00-20-3
325. Prairie View (5-23)53.5090-00-20-2
326. Howard (5-23)51.5730-00-20-1
327. Army (1-24)50.0050-00-00-6
328. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)48.2770-00-00-2
329. Longwood (1-29)44.9550-30-10-2
330. Savannah St (0-28)40.3610-00-00-1
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