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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Conference Power Ratings

By ranking
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:17 EDT 2005

Home Court Advantage = 3.8097

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 86.212


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. North Carolina (33-4)97.6158-37-09-0
3. Duke (27-6)92.9787-33-28-1
5. Wake Forest (27-6)92.5485-46-18-0
24. Georgia Tech (20-12)87.5172-81-37-1
27. North Carolina St (21-14)86.7564-93-04-3
44. Maryland (19-13)84.1343-40-38-6
59. Clemson (16-16)82.6170-84-32-5
65. Miami Fla (16-13)82.2991-72-03-5
72. Virginia Tech (16-14)81.4772-42-35-4
76. Virginia (14-15)81.2181-71-44-3
105. Florida St (11-19)79.1762-62-32-7


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 84.086


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Villanova (24-8)89.7304-53-07-3
15. Connecticut (23-8)89.1764-41-27-1
17. Boston College (25-5)89.0385-21-27-1
18. Syracuse (27-7)88.9924-41-37-0
25. West Virginia (24-11)87.1903-77-03-2
30. Pittsburgh (20-9)86.2404-60-05-2
57. Georgetown (19-13)82.9312-71-03-5
61. Notre Dame (17-12)82.5384-40-33-3
82. Providence (13-17)80.9610-120-14-3
123. Seton Hall (12-16)77.9541-70-21-4
129. St Johns (9-18)77.1770-82-12-4
132. Rutgers (9-19)77.1060-92-13-5


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 83.747


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Illinois (37-2)98.9679-17-15-0
6. Michigan St (26-7)91.9423-47-21-1
13. Wisconsin (25-9)89.4742-58-14-2
31. Iowa (21-12)85.8362-75-23-0
35. Minnesota (21-11)84.9591-63-24-1
36. Ohio St (20-12)84.7771-52-53-2
62. Indiana (15-14)82.5282-52-51-3
107. Northwestern (15-16)79.1070-62-32-4
128. Michigan (13-18)77.1900-71-42-3
152. Purdue (7-21)75.4440-81-70-4
226. Penn St (6-23)70.9870-50-80-3


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 83.517


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. Oklahoma St (25-7)90.7913-48-26-1
12. Kansas (23-7)89.6674-36-212-2
20. Oklahoma (25-8)88.9193-46-35-1
26. Texas Tech (22-11)86.8214-54-55-1
38. Iowa St (19-12)84.5742-33-36-6
39. Texas (19-11)84.5172-42-56-2
46. Texas AM (19-10)83.9950-53-26-3
67. Kansas St (15-12)81.8050-52-45-2
86. Missouri (16-17)80.6903-41-56-8
89. Nebraska (14-14)80.6231-32-64-5
98. Colorado (13-16)79.6660-63-32-5
241. Baylor (8-19)70.1370-50-81-3


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 83.315


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Washington (28-6)91.6256-34-29-1
9. Arizona (30-7)91.4113-46-19-2
42. UCLA (18-11)84.3891-50-38-2
43. Stanford (18-13)84.1522-52-14-6
68. Arizona St (18-14)81.7890-52-26-4
75. Washington St (12-16)81.2621-52-32-5
78. Oregon (14-13)81.1690-51-45-3
93. Oregon St (17-15)80.4141-43-24-4
114. USC (12-17)78.7310-51-44-5
121. California (13-16)78.2030-51-45-5


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.126


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Kentucky (28-6)91.7555-53-08-1
16. Florida (24-8)89.1044-31-28-2
21. Alabama (23-8)87.9850-55-25-1
32. LSU (20-10)85.4722-53-14-3
34. Mississippi St (23-11)85.3101-72-26-1
52. South Carolina (20-13)83.3831-51-39-3
53. Vanderbilt (20-14)83.1901-50-38-4
71. Arkansas (18-12)81.4780-51-33-3
91. Tennessee (14-17)80.5131-73-23-5
116. Mississippi (14-17)78.6660-50-43-5
124. Auburn (14-17)77.9360-41-45-4
196. Georgia (8-20)72.7180-60-42-8


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 80.205


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Louisville (31-5)92.8826-24-19-2
22. Cincinnati (25-8)87.8040-53-19-1
41. Charlotte (21-8)84.4031-31-18-1
49. Uab (22-11)83.6740-51-18-1
60. DePaul (20-11)82.5981-20-46-2
66. Memphis (22-16)81.9251-42-55-4
79. TCU (20-14)81.1460-42-26-5
94. Houston (18-14)80.3011-21-43-5
97. Marquette (18-12)79.7621-40-25-5
135. South Florida (13-16)76.9401-21-21-8
171. St Louis (9-21)74.6360-30-63-6
176. East Carolina (7-19)74.0040-22-31-9
215. SO Mississippi (8-17)71.4730-21-21-6
217. Tulane (9-18)71.3240-21-31-6


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 80.043


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Southern Ill (26-8)86.2590-13-06-5
48. Creighton (23-11)83.6870-11-29-3
55. Wichita St (22-10)83.0850-01-46-3
56. Northern Iowa (20-11)83.0650-22-44-2
69. SW Missouri St (19-13)81.7060-14-22-6
109. Illinois St (16-13)78.8910-01-41-6
126. Drake (13-16)77.3080-00-62-6
134. Bradley (13-15)77.0070-00-44-4
157. Indiana St (11-20)75.0750-01-42-7
174. Evansville (11-17)74.3500-01-32-5


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 79.743


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Gonzaga (26-5)89.4183-12-22-1
50. St Marys CA (23-9)83.5991-20-22-1
108. San Francisco (17-14)79.0352-10-42-2
110. San Diego (14-13)78.8580-41-20-0
122. Pepperdine (16-14)78.1151-20-31-0
127. Santa Clara (14-16)77.2031-33-20-1
137. Portland (14-15)76.8410-20-22-3
165. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)74.8720-30-40-1


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 79.676


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Utah (27-6)88.9211-32-37-0
33. New Mexico (25-7)85.4252-30-04-2
87. Air Force (17-12)80.6890-31-41-2
90. Unlv (16-14)80.5260-40-54-2
113. Wyoming (15-13)78.8130-32-22-5
163. San Diego St (9-18)74.8780-30-52-4
175. Colorado St (9-17)74.3160-30-20-5
179. BYU (7-21)73.8370-31-71-4


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 78.149


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. Buffalo (23-10)82.4080-10-05-8
70. Miami Ohio (18-11)81.5190-10-07-7
74. Ohio (21-11)81.3570-10-08-4
81. Akron (18-10)80.9980-00-04-6
85. Kent (18-13)80.6960-11-15-8
88. Western Mich (19-13)80.6700-00-06-6
103. Toledo (15-13)79.5030-11-03-6
115. Bowling Green (17-11)78.7220-00-04-6
118. Ball St (14-13)78.3970-10-04-5
149. Northern Ill (11-17)75.7370-00-03-8
207. Eastern Mich (10-18)72.0920-00-00-9
209. Central Mich (8-18)72.0880-00-11-9
212. Marshall (6-22)71.7531-00-11-14


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 76.242


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. Nevada (24-7)84.6640-32-02-1
58. Texas El Paso (25-8)82.8770-21-31-0
104. Rice (17-12)79.3130-20-21-5
138. Hawaii (16-13)76.8280-02-31-3
144. SMU (13-14)76.3080-10-30-3
153. Fresno St (15-14)75.4170-11-11-3
155. Louisiana Tech (14-15)75.2490-00-32-2
192. Boise St (15-18)72.9720-01-20-4
220. Tulsa (9-20)71.2590-10-21-4
277. San Jose St (6-23)67.5350-10-20-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 75.304


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Ul Lafayette (19-11)81.4360-21-31-1
95. Western KY (21-9)80.1080-00-01-3
102. Denver (18-11)79.5630-00-13-3
112. Arkansas Lr (15-10)78.8190-21-13-1
133. Middle Tenn St (17-12)77.0760-10-00-4
151. Arkansas St (13-13)75.5420-00-02-2
183. Florida Intl (12-17)73.6590-10-12-5
188. New Orleans (12-17)73.4550-10-30-5
200. North Texas (12-14)72.5380-10-10-4
231. South Alabama (7-18)70.5760-00-20-5
293. New Mexico St (4-24)65.5710-00-21-5


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 75.070


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Geo Washington (22-8)83.9701-31-03-3
51. St Josephs (24-12)83.5450-22-29-4
96. Xavier (17-12)79.9020-13-21-5
99. Temple (16-14)79.6181-30-33-5
120. Dayton (18-11)78.2120-10-23-5
141. Richmond (14-15)76.5200-22-20-7
142. Massachusetts (16-12)76.5121-21-02-5
185. Fordham (13-16)73.5980-10-22-5
203. La Salle (10-19)72.1240-20-21-6
253. Duquesne (8-22)68.9390-20-40-6
271. Rhode Island (6-22)67.9530-00-12-6
317. St Bonaventure (2-26)59.9450-20-10-5


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 74.871


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. Pacific (27-4)87.6500-24-11-0
45. Utah St (24-8)84.1122-30-00-0
101. CS Fullerton (20-11)79.5720-21-21-1
117. CS Northridge (17-13)78.4200-41-10-2
160. UC Irvine (15-13)74.9800-20-30-0
208. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)72.0890-30-20-0
227. Long Beach St (10-20)70.9430-20-40-1
255. Idaho (7-21)68.8470-31-10-1
265. UC Riverside (8-19)68.3360-20-20-1
306. Cal Poly (4-22)63.7570-30-20-0


HORIZON AVERAGE = 74.723


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)86.6212-30-01-0
143. Illinois Chi (13-13)76.3890-20-21-1
145. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)76.1740-21-10-1
146. Detroit (13-16)75.9740-11-21-2
158. Loyola Chi (12-17)75.0500-10-30-3
161. Wright St (15-15)74.9540-10-30-2
181. Butler (11-15)73.7590-00-21-1
230. Cleveland St (7-17)70.6050-10-20-2
310. Youngstown St (3-23)62.9800-00-20-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 72.986


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Old Dominion (27-6)83.0870-10-05-2
100. Hofstra (21-9)79.5720-10-01-3
119. Drexel (17-12)78.3420-10-03-5
125. VA Commonwealth (19-13)77.3810-10-12-4
139. NC Wilmington (19-10)76.5650-10-01-3
164. George Mason (16-13)74.8740-10-12-3
252. Delaware (11-20)69.1770-00-20-4
295. William & Mary (8-21)65.3960-20-00-6
311. Towson (5-24)62.8200-00-20-4
312. James Madison (6-22)62.6510-20-00-5


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 72.978


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Vermont (25-7)84.4961-30-11-0
106. Northeastern (21-10)79.1570-10-30-2
111. Boston U (20-9)78.8450-11-10-2
201. Albany NY (13-15)72.3710-20-20-0
202. Binghamton (12-17)72.3420-10-30-3
206. Maine (13-15)72.1040-11-10-1
245. Stony Brook (12-17)69.7200-10-20-1
274. New Hampshire (8-19)67.7180-20-30-0
278. Umbc (10-18)67.3530-10-30-0
292. Hartford (8-20)65.6710-00-20-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 72.688


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Davidson (20-9)81.1720-10-22-2
140. Chattanooga (17-11)76.5480-10-21-2
147. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)75.8430-00-00-4
159. NC Greensboro (15-12)75.0280-20-21-1
167. Geo Southern (14-13)74.6950-10-10-3
168. Appalachian St (15-12)74.6820-00-00-5
187. Furman (12-13)73.4980-10-10-4
210. Wofford (10-14)72.0680-00-00-5
254. East Tenn St (7-19)68.8630-10-00-3
268. Elon (7-22)68.2370-10-10-4
289. The Citadel (8-16)66.3760-00-00-4
297. Westrn Carolina (5-22)65.2480-20-10-3


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 72.344


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Pennsylvania (20-9)80.9340-30-02-2
156. Princeton (14-13)75.1690-20-03-4
205. Harvard (12-15)72.1050-00-00-4
214. Yale (11-16)71.6620-20-11-2
221. Cornell (12-14)71.2500-10-00-3
239. Brown (12-16)70.2710-00-00-5
257. Columbia (12-15)68.7780-00-10-3
260. Dartmouth (9-17)68.5840-00-20-4


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 72.145


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
80. Oral Roberts (24-8)81.0920-00-22-1
166. Iupui (14-13)74.8480-10-00-5
169. Mo Kansas City (14-12)74.6520-00-12-3
178. Valparaiso (15-16)73.9570-31-10-4
184. Oakland (12-19)73.6330-30-11-7
229. Western Ill (9-17)70.8410-00-21-3
238. Chicago St (9-19)70.2850-10-30-2
240. Southern Utah (11-15)70.1910-10-00-3
318. Centenary (2-24)59.8090-00-30-3


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 71.211


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
130. Eastern KY (19-9)77.1450-30-00-1
148. Murray St (15-11)75.7600-00-30-2
172. Tennessee Tech (15-11)74.5750-10-00-1
186. SE Missouri St (11-14)73.5300-00-10-1
193. Tennessee St (12-16)72.9020-20-20-3
199. Austin Peay (13-19)72.5850-10-00-5
204. Samford (13-13)72.1060-00-00-1
235. Eastern Ill (11-16)70.3840-00-10-2
287. Morehead St (8-16)66.5300-20-10-0
303. Tenn Martin (4-21)64.4050-10-00-0
307. Jacksonville St (4-22)63.3920-00-10-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 70.841


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Holy Cross (25-7)82.4750-10-22-3
84. Bucknell (23-10)80.7241-21-13-2
173. American (16-12)74.4430-01-12-5
232. Lehigh (13-15)70.5080-00-01-5
246. Colgate (10-16)69.6600-10-00-5
276. Lafayette (8-19)67.6190-20-00-6
290. Navy (8-18)65.8760-00-01-5
327. Army (1-24)55.4230-00-00-6


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 70.633


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
131. Niagara (20-10)77.1140-10-00-4
170. Rider (18-11)74.6370-00-01-1
189. St Peters (15-13)73.1470-10-00-0
197. Manhattan (13-14)72.6230-10-21-0
198. Fairfield (15-15)72.6090-00-20-1
211. Iona (15-16)71.9910-00-20-1
263. Marist (11-17)68.4110-00-10-2
264. Canisius (11-18)68.3860-00-00-1
299. Siena (6-24)64.7960-10-10-3
313. Loyola MD (6-22)62.6200-00-10-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 69.903


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
150. Central Florida (21-9)75.6940-11-00-0
190. Gardner-Webb (16-12)73.0890-00-00-3
213. Georgia St (13-15)71.7340-10-31-1
219. Belmont (14-16)71.3020-00-20-1
224. Mercer (14-12)71.0750-00-20-0
236. Jacksonville (14-13)70.3530-10-00-0
242. Lipscomb (14-12)69.9060-00-10-1
244. Troy St (11-18)69.7580-00-10-3
250. Fla Atlantic (10-17)69.3610-10-10-2
266. Stetson (9-17)68.2950-10-00-1
322. Campbell (2-25)58.3650-10-10-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 69.591


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
177. Montana (16-13)73.9820-20-10-2
191. Portland St (17-9)73.0440-10-10-0
233. Montana St (12-14)70.4230-00-00-2
234. Weber St (13-16)70.3870-10-10-1
261. Sacramento St (10-16)68.5500-00-10-1
275. Northrn Arizona (9-17)67.7170-00-20-1
279. Eastern Wash (7-20)67.1280-30-00-1
294. Idaho St (7-18)65.4970-00-00-1


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 69.559


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
136. SE Louisiana (19-9)76.8460-10-00-1
162. Northwestern St (17-12)74.9120-30-10-1
180. Lamar (14-11)73.8140-00-01-1
182. Sam Houston (14-12)73.7550-20-00-2
216. Tex San Antonio (12-13)71.4560-00-10-2
247. McNeese St (9-15)69.5630-00-10-2
267. SW Texas St (10-14)68.2400-00-10-1
273. Texas Arlington (9-15)67.8060-00-20-1
286. Stephen Austin (9-15)66.5470-00-00-1
308. Ul Monroe (5-19)63.0660-00-10-1
321. Nicholls St (3-21)59.1450-10-10-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 69.259


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
92. Winthrop (24-6)80.4750-10-01-3
228. Birmingham Southern (15-14)70.8930-00-10-3
243. Liberty (12-15)69.8590-00-20-4
256. Charleston Sou (12-16)68.8270-10-00-5
262. High Point (11-17)68.4150-20-10-2
270. NC Asheville (9-17)67.9670-10-30-3
281. Radford (10-16)66.9690-10-10-3
282. Coast Carolina (8-18)66.8830-00-01-3
309. VMI (7-18)63.0420-00-01-3


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 68.732


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
194. Fair Dickinson (19-13)72.8960-10-00-2
222. Monmouth NJ (16-13)71.2310-10-00-0
248. Wagner (13-17)69.5200-00-10-1
251. St Francis PA (14-13)69.3230-00-32-0
258. Robert Morris (13-15)68.7630-00-20-2
259. St Francis NY (13-15)68.6580-00-00-0
269. Central Conn (12-16)68.2140-10-10-0
272. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)67.8390-10-00-1
315. Mt St Marys (7-20)62.1490-00-20-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 65.171


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
195. Delaware St (19-14)72.8730-30-00-3
223. Hampton (17-13)71.1420-00-10-2
225. SO Carolina St (19-12)71.0650-00-11-1
237. Coppin St (14-15)70.3170-40-30-1
280. Norfolk St (13-14)67.0000-00-00-3
285. Florida A&M (14-15)66.6820-40-10-0
288. Morgan St (14-16)66.5250-00-10-2
304. Bethune Cookman (13-17)64.2850-00-00-3
320. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)59.6540-20-20-1
326. Howard (5-23)55.7490-00-20-1
329. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)51.5890-00-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 63.706


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
154. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)75.3780-20-02-1
218. Utah Valley St (14-12)71.3080-00-00-3
249. UC Davis (10-17)69.4410-20-30-1
283. TX Pan American (8-16)66.8820-10-00-4
296. IPFW (6-22)65.3630-01-00-6
316. Northern Colorado (4-21)61.8990-40-30-3
328. Longwood (1-29)51.6070-30-00-3
330. Savannah St (0-28)47.7670-00-00-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 62.571


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
284. Alabama A&M (16-14)66.7730-00-20-0
291. Miss Valley St (13-15)65.8070-00-10-0
298. Alabama St (15-15)64.9170-20-00-2
300. Grambling (12-12)64.7930-00-10-2
301. Jackson St (14-17)64.5150-10-10-2
305. Southern (12-15)63.7980-00-00-0
314. Texas Southern (10-15)62.5870-00-00-1
323. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)58.1000-00-20-3
324. Alcorn St (6-22)57.4320-00-10-1
325. Prairie View (5-23)56.9890-00-20-2
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