NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Spreading the Nerd Word
Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

RPI

By division
Last Updated Thu Aug 18 11:16:20 EDT 2005


Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Illinois (37-2)0.66769-12-09-1
2. North Carolina (33-4)0.65828-21-114-0
3. Duke (27-6)0.64954-35-08-2
4. Oklahoma St (25-7)0.64944-43-06-2
5. Kansas (23-7)0.64854-35-26-2
6. Washington (28-6)0.64756-30-010-2
7. Arizona (30-7)0.63743-42-09-2
8. Wake Forest (27-6)0.63654-21-212-1
9. Kentucky (28-6)0.63575-53-05-1
10. Gonzaga (26-5)0.63302-13-22-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Louisville (31-5)0.63184-24-09-2
12. Boston College (25-5)0.62163-14-35-0
13. Michigan St (26-7)0.62004-41-06-3
14. Wisconsin (25-9)0.61922-54-08-3
15. Villanova (24-8)0.61673-46-12-1
16. Southern Ill (26-8)0.61120-14-35-3
17. Florida (24-8)0.60974-32-25-1
18. Oklahoma (25-8)0.60773-41-28-2
19. Pacific (27-4)0.60730-25-12-1
20. Alabama (23-8)0.60640-54-22-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Vermont (25-7)0.60641-34-11-1
22. Utah (27-6)0.60621-32-11-2
23. Connecticut (23-8)0.60453-44-16-1
24. Syracuse (27-7)0.59852-53-24-0
25. Cincinnati (25-8)0.59470-53-17-1
26. Georgia Tech (20-12)0.58662-80-07-3
27. Texas Tech (22-11)0.58594-41-16-6
28. LSU (20-10)0.58362-43-13-2
29. West Virginia (24-11)0.58283-74-03-1
30. Old Dominion (27-6)0.58060-11-010-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. St Marys CA (23-9)0.58031-30-12-0
32. Nevada (24-7)0.57921-31-13-1
33. Wisc Milwaukee (24-6)0.57892-30-00-0
34. Mississippi St (23-11)0.57811-71-24-0
35. Buffalo (23-10)0.57750-11-58-4
36. St Josephs (24-12)0.57690-23-33-5
37. Texas El Paso (25-8)0.57220-31-24-0
38. Ul Lafayette (19-11)0.57181-20-23-5
39. Bucknell (23-10)0.57091-24-21-1
40. Pennsylvania (20-9)0.56880-32-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Ohio (21-11)0.56870-15-16-4
42. Charlotte (21-8)0.56841-32-06-1
43. Northern Iowa (20-11)0.56761-31-14-4
44. Wichita St (22-10)0.56751-11-25-4
45. Miami Ohio (18-11)0.56730-13-35-5
46. Davidson (20-9)0.56640-10-23-2
47. Pittsburgh (20-9)0.56604-40-31-1
48. Holy Cross (25-7)0.56580-22-31-1
49. Northeastern (21-10)0.56560-40-12-0
50. Utah St (24-8)0.56472-30-02-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Stanford (18-13)0.56402-50-16-2
52. Maryland (19-13)0.56392-42-04-8
53. UCLA (18-11)0.56271-50-14-2
54. Uab (22-11)0.56260-51-17-1
55. North Carolina St (21-14)0.56142-84-14-2
56. Creighton (23-11)0.56140-25-13-3
57. Texas (19-11)0.56042-41-22-3
58. Minnesota (21-11)0.55971-61-05-3
59. Geo Washington (22-8)0.55951-11-31-0
60. Iowa (21-12)0.55892-72-05-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Kent (18-13)0.55850-23-53-5
62. Akron (18-10)0.55850-04-23-5
63. Western KY (21-9)0.55800-00-23-4
64. Arkansas Lr (15-10)0.55461-11-22-3
65. Winthrop (24-6)0.55400-10-00-2
66. SW Missouri St (19-13)0.55382-22-54-2
67. Ohio St (20-12)0.55351-52-13-6
68. South Carolina (20-13)0.55151-51-35-2
69. Vanderbilt (20-14)0.55121-62-24-3
70. Iowa St (19-12)0.55052-32-24-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Hofstra (21-9)0.55000-11-33-4
72. Drexel (17-12)0.54820-11-43-4
73. Rice (17-12)0.54710-20-61-1
74. Miami Fla (16-13)0.54691-50-25-2
75. New Mexico (25-7)0.54672-30-00-1
76. Boston U (20-9)0.54631-20-30-1
77. VA Commonwealth (19-13)0.54610-11-34-4
78. San Francisco (17-14)0.54612-12-51-2
79. DePaul (20-11)0.54571-21-15-4
80. Oral Roberts (24-8)0.54520-00-02-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Texas AM (19-10)0.54470-51-26-1
82. Arizona St (18-14)0.54450-50-15-2
83. TCU (20-14)0.54380-42-25-4
84. Central Florida (21-9)0.54200-11-00-0
85. Virginia (14-15)0.54181-60-14-5
86. Niagara (20-10)0.54170-10-20-1
87. Western Mich (19-13)0.54060-01-56-2
88. Georgetown (19-13)0.54021-73-03-2
89. Oregon (14-13)0.53920-50-03-6
90. Denver (18-11)0.53810-02-13-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Houston (18-14)0.53731-21-22-8
92. CS Fullerton (20-11)0.53640-21-22-2
93. Clemson (16-16)0.53540-60-25-7
94. Missouri (16-17)0.53443-40-23-6
95. Toledo (15-13)0.53330-11-44-3
96. NC Wilmington (19-10)0.53320-10-24-3
97. Indiana (15-14)0.53272-50-13-6
98. Marquette (18-12)0.53271-40-13-5
99. Eastern KY (19-9)0.53230-30-00-1
100. Bowling Green (17-11)0.53120-03-23-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Unlv (16-14)0.53080-40-22-4
102. SE Louisiana (19-9)0.53050-10-00-2
103. Delaware St (19-14)0.53010-30-10-2
104. Notre Dame (17-12)0.52903-41-32-3
105. Washington St (12-16)0.52851-50-03-6
106. Middle Tenn St (17-12)0.52750-10-23-5
107. CS Northridge (17-13)0.52740-41-10-4
108. Arkansas (18-12)0.52720-51-32-2
109. Temple (16-14)0.52681-31-21-5
110. Rider (18-11)0.52560-01-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Providence (13-17)0.52510-91-53-1
112. Memphis (22-16)0.52461-43-34-5
113. Kansas St (15-12)0.52460-50-15-3
114. Princeton (14-13)0.52300-23-30-0
115. Ball St (14-13)0.52250-11-35-6
116. Northwestern St (17-12)0.52130-30-20-0
117. Tennessee (14-17)0.52071-72-02-5
118. Chattanooga (17-11)0.51970-10-10-2
119. Colorado (13-16)0.51960-60-14-3
120. Murray St (15-11)0.51940-10-12-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Oregon St (17-15)0.51861-40-05-5
122. San Diego (14-13)0.51800-40-22-1
123. Dayton (18-11)0.51730-11-01-5
124. Virginia Tech (16-14)0.51631-31-26-5
125. NC Greensboro (15-12)0.51620-21-10-2
126. Pepperdine (16-14)0.51621-20-22-1
127. Coll Of Charltn (18-10)0.51460-00-22-1
128. Coppin St (14-15)0.51420-30-20-3
129. Wyoming (15-13)0.51400-40-03-1
130. American (16-12)0.51311-02-40-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Santa Clara (14-16)0.51161-32-12-4
132. Xavier (17-12)0.51100-10-44-1
133. Air Force (17-12)0.51090-20-31-3
134. Massachusetts (16-12)0.50991-21-32-1
135. California (13-16)0.50820-50-13-5
136. Nebraska (14-14)0.50821-30-12-9
137. Wisc Green Bay (16-11)0.50690-21-20-0
138. Illinois St (16-13)0.50680-20-42-4
139. Gardner-Webb (16-12)0.50660-00-01-2
140. Northwestern (15-16)0.50650-60-14-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. USC (12-17)0.50600-50-04-6
142. Florida St (11-19)0.50572-40-33-9
143. Mississippi (14-17)0.50550-50-42-2
144. Tennessee St (12-16)0.50450-30-01-4
145. Tennessee Tech (15-11)0.50430-10-01-1
146. Georgia St (13-15)0.50400-11-41-1
147. Arkansas St (13-13)0.50320-01-02-4
148. Hawaii (16-13)0.50301-01-62-1
149. Lamar (14-11)0.50230-00-00-2
150. Sam Houston (14-12)0.50230-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Fair Dickinson (19-13)0.50220-10-10-1
152. George Mason (16-13)0.50170-11-12-8
153. Illinois Chi (13-13)0.50100-11-31-2
154. Hampton (17-13)0.50060-00-10-3
155. Auburn (14-17)0.50040-41-42-3
156. Seton Hall (12-16)0.50040-62-21-3
157. Montana (16-13)0.50010-20-00-4
158. Portland (14-15)0.49970-20-22-4
159. St Peters (15-13)0.49950-00-10-2
160. Bradley (13-15)0.49850-22-22-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Richmond (14-15)0.49710-20-32-3
162. Iupui (14-13)0.49690-10-00-5
163. Mo Kansas City (14-12)0.49550-00-32-2
164. Drake (13-16)0.49520-21-41-6
165. SMU (13-14)0.49290-10-50-5
166. Fairfield (15-15)0.49240-00-20-3
167. Louisiana Tech (14-15)0.49220-01-40-3
168. Florida Intl (12-17)0.49180-11-23-6
169. Geo Southern (14-13)0.49100-10-30-0
170. Maine (13-15)0.49051-21-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Wright St (15-15)0.49030-21-31-1
172. Fresno St (15-14)0.48990-12-30-4
173. Rutgers (9-19)0.48930-82-20-2
174. Portland St (17-9)0.48920-10-00-1
175. Loyola Marymnt (11-17)0.48900-30-33-2
176. SO Carolina St (19-12)0.48890-00-11-1
177. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)0.48800-21-01-1
178. Monmouth NJ (16-13)0.48770-10-00-1
179. Detroit (13-16)0.48770-11-41-2
180. Oakland (12-19)0.48760-30-02-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Appalachian St (15-12)0.48710-00-10-4
182. Binghamton (12-17)0.48690-40-31-3
183. Yale (11-16)0.48680-21-30-1
184. SE Missouri St (11-14)0.48670-10-00-3
185. Harvard (12-15)0.48620-01-30-1
186. Manhattan (13-14)0.48540-11-11-2
187. Michigan (13-18)0.48380-60-11-7
188. Florida A&M (14-15)0.48340-40-10-0
189. Northern Ill (11-17)0.48310-01-33-7
190. Iona (15-16)0.48310-10-22-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Mercer (14-12)0.48250-00-01-4
192. Birmingham Southern (15-14)0.48230-01-10-3
193. South Florida (13-16)0.48181-21-01-8
194. Valparaiso (15-16)0.48180-31-20-3
195. North Texas (12-14)0.48180-10-22-5
196. Belmont (14-16)0.48160-00-11-3
197. St Francis PA (14-13)0.48100-02-10-2
198. UC Irvine (15-13)0.48020-20-21-2
199. Albany NY (13-15)0.48020-40-20-2
200. St Johns (9-18)0.47890-61-32-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Furman (12-13)0.47880-10-20-3
202. Jacksonville (14-13)0.47880-10-01-1
203. Fordham (13-16)0.47800-10-30-5
204. Cornell (12-14)0.47800-10-40-0
205. Tex San Antonio (12-13)0.47700-00-10-1
206. Austin Peay (13-19)0.47690-10-10-6
207. New Orleans (12-17)0.47530-10-41-6
208. San Diego St (9-18)0.47350-30-11-4
209. St Louis (9-21)0.47270-40-32-7
210. Loyola Chi (12-17)0.47120-10-40-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Lipscomb (14-12)0.47050-00-01-2
212. Wagner (13-17)0.46990-00-10-1
213. East Carolina (7-19)0.46990-21-22-9
214. Troy St (11-18)0.46980-00-00-5
215. Samford (13-13)0.46930-00-02-1
216. Robert Morris (13-15)0.46750-00-20-3
217. Liberty (12-15)0.46700-00-20-4
218. Purdue (7-21)0.46560-80-21-8
219. Indiana St (11-20)0.46440-31-42-4
220. Weber St (13-16)0.46420-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Boise St (15-18)0.46390-01-50-2
222. La Salle (10-19)0.46260-20-20-4
223. Fla Atlantic (10-17)0.46260-10-11-2
224. Georgia (8-20)0.46180-50-51-5
225. Charleston Sou (12-16)0.46170-00-10-4
226. Alabama A&M (16-14)0.46000-00-00-2
227. Wofford (10-14)0.45970-00-20-2
228. Brown (12-16)0.45970-00-31-1
229. Liu Brooklyn (13-15)0.45960-10-00-1
230. BYU (7-21)0.45880-30-31-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Stony Brook (12-17)0.45850-30-30-3
232. McNeese St (9-15)0.45750-00-20-2
233. UC Santa Barbara (11-18)0.45640-30-20-4
234. Colgate (10-16)0.45630-10-50-1
235. Marshall (6-22)0.45630-02-60-11
236. Lehigh (13-15)0.45470-01-40-0
237. Delaware (11-20)0.45450-00-31-11
238. Utah Valley St (14-12)0.45410-00-00-2
239. Grambling (12-12)0.45380-00-00-4
240. Evansville (11-17)0.45210-21-32-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Alabama St (15-15)0.45160-10-20-0
242. Dartmouth (9-17)0.45150-10-30-2
243. Central Conn (12-16)0.44870-10-10-1
244. Central Mich (8-18)0.44780-00-32-10
245. South Alabama (7-18)0.44760-00-40-6
246. Butler (11-15)0.44740-01-30-0
247. Miss Valley St (13-15)0.44730-00-00-1
248. Norfolk St (13-14)0.44720-00-00-3
249. Lafayette (8-19)0.44690-10-70-1
250. Morgan St (14-16)0.44660-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Jackson St (14-17)0.44590-10-10-2
252. Stetson (9-17)0.44550-10-00-3
253. NC Asheville (9-17)0.44550-10-20-5
254. Southern Utah (11-15)0.44500-10-00-3
255. St Francis NY (13-15)0.44490-00-00-0
256. Chicago St (9-19)0.44460-10-00-5
257. Marist (11-17)0.44430-10-11-1
258. Colorado St (9-17)0.44340-30-01-2
259. UC Davis (10-17)0.44260-20-30-3
260. Penn St (6-23)0.44260-50-20-9

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. SW Texas St (10-14)0.44230-00-00-2
262. New Hampshire (8-19)0.44220-30-30-3
263. SO Mississippi (8-17)0.44160-21-11-5
264. Eastern Ill (11-16)0.44150-00-10-2
265. Montana St (12-14)0.43980-00-00-0
266. Tulane (9-18)0.43940-20-22-6
267. Columbia (12-15)0.43930-00-20-2
268. Eastern Mich (10-18)0.43900-00-31-7
269. Texas Arlington (9-15)0.43760-00-00-3
270. Elon (7-22)0.43760-10-30-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Bethune Cookman (13-17)0.43740-00-00-1
272. Southern (12-15)0.43730-00-00-1
273. Canisius (11-18)0.43710-00-10-3
274. Cleveland St (7-17)0.43590-10-20-2
275. Long Beach St (10-20)0.43570-20-31-3
276. Duquesne (8-22)0.43550-10-40-4
277. High Point (11-17)0.43510-20-00-3
278. Radford (10-16)0.43490-00-20-2
279. Tulsa (9-20)0.43470-11-40-3
280. Western Ill (9-17)0.43270-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Eastern Wash (7-20)0.43250-30-10-3
282. Morehead St (8-16)0.43180-20-00-3
283. Stephen Austin (9-15)0.43160-00-10-0
284. Baylor (8-19)0.43040-50-20-7
285. Sacramento St (10-16)0.42930-00-10-1
286. Coast Carolina (8-18)0.42900-00-01-4
287. William & Mary (8-21)0.42870-20-30-8
288. Umbc (10-18)0.42850-40-20-2
289. TX Pan American (8-16)0.42710-10-00-2
290. East Tenn St (7-19)0.42460-10-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Idaho (7-21)0.42190-31-11-1
292. New Mexico St (4-24)0.42010-00-41-7
293. The Citadel (8-16)0.41960-00-20-2
294. Northrn Arizona (9-17)0.41860-00-10-2
295. Quinnipiac (9-17)0.41860-10-10-1
296. Siena (6-24)0.41720-20-10-3
297. UC Riverside (8-19)0.41630-20-20-3
298. Hartford (8-20)0.41460-20-20-2
299. Northern Colorado (4-21)0.41400-40-20-4
300. San Jose St (6-23)0.41350-10-41-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Texas Southern (10-15)0.41330-00-00-0
302. Navy (8-18)0.41280-01-40-0
303. Towson (5-24)0.40950-00-20-10
304. James Madison (6-22)0.40430-00-41-7
305. Rhode Island (6-22)0.40310-01-20-3
306. Tenn Martin (4-21)0.40240-10-00-2
307. Westrn Carolina (5-22)0.39420-20-10-3
308. NO Carolina A&T (6-24)0.39400-20-00-2
309. IPFW (6-22)0.39310-01-10-3
310. Cal Poly (4-22)0.39130-30-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Idaho St (7-18)0.38940-00-00-1
312. Jacksonville St (4-22)0.38710-00-11-1
313. Mt St Marys (7-20)0.38530-00-00-2
314. Ark Pine Bluff (5-21)0.38510-00-00-3
315. Loyola MD (6-22)0.38380-00-11-1
316. Ul Monroe (5-19)0.38340-00-00-1
317. VMI (7-18)0.38100-00-10-2
318. Howard (5-23)0.37790-00-10-2
319. St Bonaventure (2-26)0.37750-10-30-3
320. Campbell (2-25)0.37650-10-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Prairie View (5-23)0.37300-00-10-1
322. Alcorn St (6-22)0.36900-00-00-1
323. Youngstown St (3-23)0.36760-00-20-3
324. Sacred Heart (4-23)0.36740-20-00-0
325. Nicholls St (3-21)0.36730-10-10-0
326. Centenary (2-24)0.36510-00-10-5
327. Army (1-24)0.35360-00-50-0
328. Savannah St (0-28)0.35010-00-00-2
329. MD Eastrn Shore (2-26)0.34980-00-00-1
330. Longwood (1-29)0.34310-30-20-2
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