NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

BUFFALO
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 23-10
Power Rating: 82.408
Ranking: 64

0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
5-8 v #51-100
10-1 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-330

Home Ratings (13-2): 82.760 (64) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 3-2 v #51-100 8-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 8-2 80.189 Non-League Power Ratings: 5-0 78.486 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 83.127

Away Ratings (8-7): 81.549 (74)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-5 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 4-5 81.955
Non-League Power Ratings: 4-2 79.471
Last Ten Ratings: 2-2 81.353

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 84.596 (63) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 2-1 85.299 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 82.408 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 85.299

League Power Rankings (14-8): 82.197 (71)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
5-7 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 8-2 80.189
Away Ratings: 4-5 81.955
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.299
Last Ten Ratings: 5-2 83.799

Non-League Power Ratings (9-2): 83.142 (60) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 5-0 78.486 Away Ratings: 4-2 79.471 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 82.408 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 81.471

Wins Power Rankings: 83.791 (60)
0-1 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
5-8 v #51-100
11-1 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 13-2 84.432
Away Ratings: 8-7 83.045
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 84.994
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 85.369

Rankings: Points: 80.611 (69) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 7-7 v #51-100 9-1 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 13-2 80.373 Away Ratings: 8-7 79.799 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 84.424 League Power Rankings: 14-8 81.162 Non-League Power Ratings: 9-2 79.010 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 82.158

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 83.963 (52)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 3-0 83.127
Away Ratings: 2-2 81.353
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 85.299
League Power Rankings: 5-2 83.799
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 81.471

Home Advantage: 4.5128 (140)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0487 (156)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1605 (134)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2867 (125)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4132 (120)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5929 (112)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8686 (69)

Upward Stability: 2.0262 (46)

Downward Stability: 2.4620 (6)

RPI
RPI: 0.5775 (35)
0-1 v #1-25
1-5 v #26-50
8-4 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
9-0 v #201-330

RPI Home (13-2): 0.5867 (35) 2-0 v #1-25 2-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-330

RPI Away (8-7): 0.5615 (64)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (2-1): 0.6144 (49) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-330

RPI League (14-8): 0.5667 (55)
0-0 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
7-3 v #51-100
0-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (9-2): 0.5968 (34) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 6-0 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5286 (87)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/20/2004	Away	L 68-90	vs. #15 Connecticut
11/23/2004	Home	W 87-84	vs. #194 Fair Dickinson
11/27/2004	Home	W 92-64	vs. #157 Indiana St
12/1/2004	Home	W 74-62	vs. #246 Colgate
12/4/2004	Home	L 53-70	vs. #88 Western Mich
12/7/2004	Away	W 70-63	vs. #268 Elon
12/11/2004	Home	W 95-92	vs. #131 Niagara
12/18/2004	Away	W 69-65	vs. #264 Canisius
12/21/2004	Away	W 72-70	vs. #226 Penn St
1/2/2005	Away	L 88-95	vs. #115 Bowling Green
1/6/2005	Away	W 83-67	vs. #209 Central Mich
1/9/2005	Home	W 56-54	vs. #103 Toledo
1/12/2005	Away	L 59-75	vs. #81 Akron
1/15/2005	Home	W 67-56	vs. #70 Miami Ohio
1/19/2005	Away	L 80-85	vs. #85 Kent
1/25/2005	Home	W 86-80	vs. #149 Northern Ill
1/27/2005	Home	W 78-65	vs. #212 Marshall
1/29/2005	Away	W 80-68	vs. #207 Eastern Mich
2/2/2005	Home	L 90-92	vs. #74 Ohio
2/5/2005	Away	L 74-77	vs. #70 Miami Ohio
2/8/2005	Away	W 85-79	vs. #88 Western Mich
2/12/2005	Home	W 67-58	vs. #118 Ball St
2/15/2005	Home	W 77-66	vs. #85 Kent
2/19/2005	Away	W 52-49	vs. #153 Fresno St
2/23/2005	Away	W 68-55	vs. #212 Marshall
3/2/2005	Away	L 77-90	vs. #74 Ohio
3/5/2005	Home	W 72-56	vs. #81 Akron
3/7/2005	Home	W 73-66	vs. #149 Northern Ill
3/10/2005	Neut	W 85-72	vs. #103 Toledo
3/11/2005	Neut	W 75-68	vs. #88 Western Mich
3/12/2005	Neut	L 79-80	vs. #74 Ohio
3/16/2005	Home	W 81-76	vs. #119 Drexel
3/19/2005	Away	L 50-55	vs. #51 St Josephs

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)