NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

CREIGHTON
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 23-11
Power Rating: 83.687
Ranking: 48

0-1 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
9-3 v #51-100
9-5 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-330

Home Ratings (11-5): 78.210 (123) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-2 v #51-100 5-2 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 6-3 78.421 Non-League Power Ratings: 5-2 76.078 Last Ten Ratings: 3-0 84.250

Away Ratings (7-5): 85.043 (40)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
4-1 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 5-4 85.179
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 81.875
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 90.187

Neutral Ratings (5-1): 91.046 (21) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 3-0 95.687 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 87.546 Last Ten Ratings: 3-1 90.593

League Power Rankings (14-7): 84.439 (46)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
6-2 v #51-100
8-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 6-3 78.421
Away Ratings: 5-4 85.179
Neutral Ratings: 3-0 95.687
Last Ten Ratings: 7-1 90.468

Non-League Power Ratings (9-4): 82.000 (73) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-1 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 5-2 76.078 Away Ratings: 2-1 81.875 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 87.546 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 86.750

Wins Power Rankings: 84.972 (49)
0-1 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
8-3 v #51-100
10-5 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 11-5 78.144
Away Ratings: 7-5 86.968
Neutral Ratings: 5-1 92.785
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 91.957

Rankings: Points: 82.082 (47) 0-0 v #1-25 4-3 v #26-50 6-3 v #51-100 10-5 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 11-5 78.144 Away Ratings: 7-5 82.671 Neutral Ratings: 5-1 88.894 League Power Rankings: 14-7 82.722 Non-League Power Ratings: 9-4 80.664 Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 87.707

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 89.968 (20)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
6-0 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 3-0 84.250
Away Ratings: 2-1 90.187
Neutral Ratings: 3-1 90.593
League Power Rankings: 7-1 90.468
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 86.750

Home Advantage: -5.023 (324)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0608 (115)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1895 (102)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3300 (92)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4666 (82)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6298 (81)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8594 (86)

Upward Stability: 2.0699 (28)

Downward Stability: 2.4765 (4)

RPI
RPI: 0.5614 (56)
0-2 v #1-25
5-1 v #26-50
3-3 v #51-100
10-3 v #101-200
5-2 v #201-330

RPI Home (11-5): 0.4948 (147) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 3-2 v #51-100 4-1 v #101-200 4-1 v #201-330

RPI Away (7-5): 0.5955 (34)
0-0 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-0 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
1-2 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (5-1): 0.6493 (23) 1-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330

RPI League (14-7): 0.5806 (41)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
6-2 v #51-100
4-1 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (9-4): 0.5307 (115) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 3-1 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5284 (88)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/15/2004	Home	W 74-40	vs. #324 Alcorn St
11/16/2004	Home	W 68-62	vs. #211 Iona
11/20/2004	Home	W 83-58	vs. #323 Ark Pine Bluff
11/23/2004	Neut	W 78-54	vs. #86 Missouri
11/24/2004	Neut	W 65-63	vs. #36 Ohio St
11/30/2004	Away	W 73-72	vs. #96 Xavier
12/4/2004	Home	W 79-60	vs. #262 High Point
12/7/2004	Home	L 58-67	vs. #85 Kent
12/11/2004	Away	W 50-48	vs. #89 Nebraska
12/18/2004	Home	L 64-68	vs. #113 Wyoming
12/22/2004	Away	L 61-63	vs. #174 Evansville
12/28/2004	Home	W 71-62	vs. #134 Bradley
12/31/2004	Away	L 70-82	vs. #110 San Diego
1/5/2005	Away	W 61-58	vs. #126 Drake
1/9/2005	Home	L 63-69	vs. #29 Southern Ill
1/12/2005	Away	L 72-74	vs. #157 Indiana St
1/15/2005	Away	W 67-66	vs. #56 Northern Iowa
1/19/2005	Home	W 82-67	vs. #126 Drake
1/22/2005	Home	L 77-82	vs. #109 Illinois St
1/26/2005	Away	W 74-65	vs. #134 Bradley
1/29/2005	Away	L 73-80	vs. #69 SW Missouri St
2/1/2005	Home	W 73-69	vs. #55 Wichita St
2/5/2005	Home	L 71-79	vs. #69 SW Missouri St
2/9/2005	Home	W 83-82	vs. #56 Northern Iowa
2/12/2005	Away	L 67-71	vs. #29 Southern Ill
2/16/2005	Away	W 82-68	vs. #55 Wichita St
2/19/2005	Home	W 100-68	vs. #140 Chattanooga
2/22/2005	Home	W 69-64	vs. #174 Evansville
2/26/2005	Home	W 74-55	vs. #157 Indiana St
2/28/2005	Away	W 64-59	vs. #109 Illinois St
3/5/2005	Neut	W 69-52	vs. #109 Illinois St
3/6/2005	Neut	W 70-60	vs. #55 Wichita St
3/7/2005	Neut	W 75-57	vs. #69 SW Missouri St
3/17/2005	Neut	L 61-63	vs. #25 West Virginia

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)