NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

DUQUESNE
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 8-22
Power Rating: 68.939
Ranking: 253

0-2 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
0-6 v #51-100
2-7 v #101-200
6-3 v #201-330

Home Ratings (4-9): 64.885 (291) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 4-2 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 2-6 65.377 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-3 67.439 Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 68.049

Away Ratings (3-11): 74.869 (161)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 3-5 77.619
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-6 67.283
Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 76.892

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 64.752 (262) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 0-1 61.564 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 70.064 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 61.564

League Power Rankings (5-12): 70.314 (240)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
2-5 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 2-6 65.377
Away Ratings: 3-5 77.619
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 61.564
Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 71.150

Non-League Power Ratings (3-10): 65.853 (284) 0-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 0-2 v #101-200 3-2 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 2-3 67.439 Away Ratings: 0-6 67.283 Neutral Ratings: 1-1 70.064 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 68.939

Wins Power Rankings: 67.820 (255)
0-2 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
2-10 v #101-200
6-3 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 4-9 62.461
Away Ratings: 3-11 75.769
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 62.195
Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 68.672

Rankings: Points: 70.293 (258) 0-2 v #1-25 0-5 v #26-50 0-5 v #51-100 2-7 v #101-200 6-3 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 4-9 67.801 Away Ratings: 3-11 73.863 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 67.949 League Power Rankings: 5-12 71.019 Non-League Power Ratings: 3-10 68.793 Last Ten Ratings: 2-8 71.144

Last Ten Ratings (2-8): 69.721 (243)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-2 v #101-200
1-3 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 1-3 68.049
Away Ratings: 1-4 76.892
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 61.564
League Power Rankings: 2-8 71.150
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 68.939

Home Advantage: -4.389 (320)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0579 (125)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1733 (115)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2889 (122)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4003 (124)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5534 (128)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7947 (160)

Upward Stability: 1.6019 (251)

Downward Stability: 1.2606 (294)

RPI
RPI: 0.4355 (276)
0-1 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
0-4 v #51-100
1-9 v #101-200
7-4 v #201-330

RPI Home (4-9): 0.3688 (315) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 0-3 v #101-200 4-3 v #201-330

RPI Away (3-11): 0.5195 (144)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
3-7 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.3854 (250) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-330

RPI League (5-12): 0.4401 (269)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-4 v #101-200
4-5 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (3-10): 0.4265 (264) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 0-4 v #101-200 3-2 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4927 (173)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/12/2004	Neut	L 65-74	vs. #127 Santa Clara
11/13/2004	Neut	W 82-69	vs. #320 NO Carolina A&T
11/14/2004	Away	L 74-82	vs. #33 New Mexico
11/20/2004	Home	L 71-85	vs. #276 Lafayette
11/24/2004	Home	L 69-72	vs. #25 West Virginia
11/27/2004	Away	L 58-79	vs. #164 George Mason
12/1/2004	Home	L 65-77	vs. #81 Akron
12/4/2004	Away	L 57-87	vs. #30 Pittsburgh
12/11/2004	Home	W 76-69	vs. #278 Umbc
12/18/2004	Away	L 60-73	vs. #74 Ohio
12/22/2004	Away	L 70-88	vs. #17 Boston College
12/29/2004	Away	L 63-74	vs. #258 Robert Morris
12/31/2004	Home	W 78-54	vs. #310 Youngstown St
1/5/2005	Away	W 94-93	vs. #120 Dayton
1/8/2005	Home	L 57-81	vs. #47 Geo Washington
1/12/2005	Away	L 52-73	vs. #96 Xavier
1/15/2005	Home	L 60-71	vs. #120 Dayton
1/19/2005	Home	L 69-76	vs. #271 Rhode Island
1/23/2005	Home	W 83-70	vs. #317 St Bonaventure
1/29/2005	Away	W 72-67	vs. #203 La Salle
2/1/2005	Away	L 71-72	vs. #141 Richmond
2/5/2005	Away	L 60-83	vs. #51 St Josephs
2/13/2005	Home	L 72-83	vs. #96 Xavier
2/16/2005	Home	L 62-68	vs. #99 Temple
2/19/2005	Away	L 57-80	vs. #47 Geo Washington
2/23/2005	Home	W 77-72	vs. #203 La Salle
2/27/2005	Home	L 62-76	vs. #141 Richmond
3/2/2005	Away	W 61-57	vs. #185 Fordham
3/5/2005	Away	L 64-69	vs. #142 Massachusetts
3/9/2005	Neut	L 53-65	vs. #185 Fordham

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)