NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

FLORIDA A&M
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 14-15
Power Rating: 66.682
Ranking: 285

0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
14-8 v #201-330

Home Ratings (7-3): 64.846 (292) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 7-3 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 6-3 63.189 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 67.682 Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 66.658

Away Ratings (6-11): 68.549 (263)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
6-4 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 4-5 67.822
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-6 64.557
Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 65.994

Neutral Ratings (1-1): 64.807 (261) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 1-1 66.682 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 66.682 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 66.682

League Power Rankings (11-9): 66.412 (285)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-1 v #101-200
11-8 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 6-3 63.189
Away Ratings: 4-5 67.822
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 66.682
Last Ten Ratings: 6-3 67.010

Non-League Power Ratings (3-6): 68.775 (250) 0-4 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 1-0 67.682 Away Ratings: 2-6 64.557 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 66.682 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 56.557

Wins Power Rankings: 65.892 (278)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
14-8 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 7-3 63.392
Away Ratings: 6-11 68.760
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 61.392
Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 68.236

Rankings: Points: 67.176 (301) 0-4 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 14-9 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 7-3 66.035 Away Ratings: 6-11 67.887 Neutral Ratings: 1-1 68.832 League Power Rankings: 11-9 67.273 Non-League Power Ratings: 3-6 66.473 Last Ten Ratings: 7-3 68.191

Last Ten Ratings (7-3): 68.463 (255)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-3 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 2-1 66.658
Away Ratings: 4-1 65.994
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 66.682
League Power Rankings: 6-3 67.010
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 56.557

Home Advantage: 0.5005 (257)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0595 (120)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1234 (201)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1741 (253)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2257 (291)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.3164 (309)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.5591 (321)

Upward Stability: 1.5698 (268)

Downward Stability: 1.5401 (257)

RPI
RPI: 0.4834 (188)
0-4 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
2-7 v #101-200
12-3 v #201-330

RPI Home (7-3): 0.4226 (264) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 6-2 v #201-330

RPI Away (6-11): 0.5248 (131)
0-2 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
0-4 v #101-200
6-1 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (1-1): 0.4349 (220) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-330

RPI League (11-9): 0.4674 (215)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
4-7 v #101-200
7-1 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (3-6): 0.5169 (128) 0-3 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4661 (253)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/19/2004	Away	L 72-104	vs. #6 Michigan St
11/21/2004	Away	L 60-91	vs. #1 Illinois
11/26/2004	Away	L 45-70	vs. #183 Florida Intl
11/30/2004	Away	L 51-88	vs. #16 Florida
12/4/2004	Away	W 79-68	vs. #280 Norfolk St
12/6/2004	Away	L 49-55	vs. #223 Hampton
12/13/2004	Away	W 85-81	vs. #305 Southern
12/20/2004	Away	L 80-104	vs. #34 Mississippi St
12/30/2004	Away	L 45-104	vs. #20 Oklahoma
1/6/2005	Home	L 64-77	vs. #304 Bethune Cookman
1/8/2005	Home	W 93-68	vs. #329 MD Eastrn Shore
1/15/2005	Away	L 55-59	vs. #237 Coppin St
1/17/2005	Away	L 59-74	vs. #288 Morgan St
1/22/2005	Home	W 93-86	vs. #320 NO Carolina A&T
1/24/2005	Home	W 67-60	vs. #225 SO Carolina St
1/29/2005	Away	L 50-72	vs. #195 Delaware St
1/31/2005	Home	W 77-74	vs. #326 Howard
2/2/2005	Home	W 92-68	vs. #330 Savannah St
2/5/2005	Home	L 54-61	vs. #280 Norfolk St
2/7/2005	Home	L 67-81	vs. #223 Hampton
2/12/2005	Away	W 70-57	vs. #329 MD Eastrn Shore
2/14/2005	Away	W 49-44	vs. #330 Savannah St
2/19/2005	Home	W 62-58	vs. #237 Coppin St
2/21/2005	Home	W 82-71	vs. #288 Morgan St
2/26/2005	Away	W 89-85	vs. #320 NO Carolina A&T
2/28/2005	Away	L 64-79	vs. #225 SO Carolina St
3/3/2005	Away	W 67-65	vs. #304 Bethune Cookman
3/7/2005	Neut	W 80-56	vs. #326 Howard
3/9/2005	Neut	L 72-81	vs. #223 Hampton

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)