NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds
March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled
Spreading the Nerd Word

Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

HOLY CROSS
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 25-7
Power Rating: 82.475
Ranking: 63

0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
18-0 v #201-330

Home Ratings (13-3): 78.780 (112)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
10-0 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 9-1 79.225
Non-League Power Ratings: 4-2 77.960
Last Ten Ratings: 6-1 78.257

Away Ratings (12-4): 85.140 (39)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
8-0 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 6-1 79.663
Non-League Power Ratings: 6-3 84.991
Last Ten Ratings: 2-1 86.054

Neutral Ratings (0-0): 82.475 (83)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 0-0 82.475
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 82.475
Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 82.475

League Power Rankings (15-2): 81.741 (77)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
12-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 9-1 79.225
Away Ratings: 6-1 79.663
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 82.475
Last Ten Ratings: 7-1 79.350

Non-League Power Ratings (10-5): 83.116 (61)
0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
3-1 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 4-2 77.960
Away Ratings: 6-3 84.991
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 82.475
Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 85.991

Wins Power Rankings: 84.140 (56)
0-1 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
2-3 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
18-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 13-3 78.522
Away Ratings: 12-4 88.112
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 84.140
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 84.499

Rankings: Points: 80.626 (67)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
7-3 v #101-200
17-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 13-3 79.325
Away Ratings: 12-4 81.575
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 80.626
League Power Rankings: 15-2 79.641
Non-League Power Ratings: 10-5 81.602
Last Ten Ratings: 8-2 81.251

Last Ten Ratings (8-2): 82.905 (65)
0-0 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 6-1 78.257
Away Ratings: 2-1 86.054
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 82.475
League Power Rankings: 7-1 79.350
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-1 85.991

Home Advantage: -2.549 (299)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0375 (205)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1175 (216)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2057 (217)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2926 (222)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4268 (233)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7072 (263)

Upward Stability: 1.3192 (310)

Downward Stability: 1.6607 (229)

RPI
RPI: 0.5658 (48)
0-2 v #1-25
2-3 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
17-0 v #201-330

RPI Home (13-3): 0.5207 (104)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
9-0 v #201-330

RPI Away (12-4): 0.5967 (33)
0-1 v #1-25
1-3 v #26-50
1-0 v #51-100
4-0 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (0-0): 0.5658 (86)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
0-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330

RPI League (15-2): 0.5562 (67)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
5-0 v #101-200
9-0 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (10-5): 0.5807 (46)
0-1 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
7-0 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4916 (178)

GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/20/2004	Away	W 58-48	vs. #111 Boston U
11/23/2004	Away	W 60-52	vs. #205 Harvard
11/28/2004	Home	W 79-52	vs. #263 Marist
12/1/2004	Home	L 53-56	vs. #156 Princeton
12/4/2004	Away	L 56-72	vs. #35 Minnesota
12/6/2004	Away	W 53-39	vs. #185 Fordham
12/9/2004	Away	L 60-63	vs. #17 Boston College
12/21/2004	Away	W 84-71	vs. #239 Brown
12/27/2004	Home	W 82-76	vs. #106 Northeastern
12/30/2004	Home	L 59-64	vs. #40 Vermont
1/2/2005	Away	W 51-50	vs. #271 Rhode Island
1/5/2005	Home	W 73-52	vs. #260 Dartmouth
1/8/2005	Away	L 43-59	vs. #84 Bucknell
1/12/2005	Away	W 66-29	vs. #327 Army
1/15/2005	Home	W 74-64	vs. #246 Colgate
1/18/2005	Home	W 78-53	vs. #211 Iona
1/21/2005	Home	W 79-56	vs. #290 Navy
1/24/2005	Home	W 80-56	vs. #173 American
1/28/2005	Away	W 74-57	vs. #276 Lafayette
1/30/2005	Away	W 58-56	vs. #232 Lehigh
2/4/2005	Away	W 68-66	vs. #290 Navy
2/6/2005	Away	W 76-67	vs. #173 American
2/11/2005	Home	W 81-60	vs. #276 Lafayette
2/13/2005	Home	W 73-53	vs. #232 Lehigh
2/19/2005	Away	W 59-46	vs. #246 Colgate
2/23/2005	Home	W 69-54	vs. #84 Bucknell
2/26/2005	Home	W 66-49	vs. #327 Army
3/4/2005	Home	W 76-42	vs. #327 Army
3/6/2005	Home	W 57-53	vs. #232 Lehigh
3/11/2005	Home	L 57-61	vs. #84 Bucknell
3/15/2005	Away	W 78-73	vs. #61 Notre Dame
3/21/2005	Away	L 60-68	vs. #51 St Josephs

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)