NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

LIPSCOMB
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 14-12
Power Rating: 69.906
Ranking: 242

0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
12-8 v #201-330

Home Ratings (10-2): 72.242 (209) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 8-2 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 8-2 69.473 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-0 64.094 Last Ten Ratings: 5-1 70.781

Away Ratings (4-9): 68.438 (264)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-2 v #101-200
4-5 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 3-7 68.797
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-2 66.531
Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 71.875

Neutral Ratings (0-1): 59.531 (295) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 0-1 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 0-1 66.344 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 69.906 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 66.344

League Power Rankings (11-10): 69.998 (245)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
9-8 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 8-2 69.473
Away Ratings: 3-7 68.797
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 66.344
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 70.438

Non-League Power Ratings (3-2): 68.031 (260) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 2-0 64.094 Away Ratings: 1-2 66.531 Neutral Ratings: 0-0 69.906 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 69.906

Wins Power Rankings: 70.369 (223)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
11-7 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 10-2 73.557
Away Ratings: 4-9 68.729
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 52.369
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 71.678

Rankings: Points: 69.322 (271) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 13-9 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 10-2 70.533 Away Ratings: 4-9 68.291 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 65.385 League Power Rankings: 11-1069.367 Non-League Power Ratings: 3-2 68.729 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 70.689

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 71.250 (223)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
5-3 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 5-1 70.781
Away Ratings: 1-2 71.875
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 66.344
League Power Rankings: 6-4 70.438
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 69.906

Home Advantage: 8.2506 (56)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0157 (310)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.0647 (309)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1288 (306)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2011 (306)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.3279 (305)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.6407 (301)

Upward Stability: 1.7465 (183)

Downward Stability: 1.7282 (204)

RPI
RPI: 0.4705 (211)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-2 v #51-100
4-5 v #101-200
9-5 v #201-330

RPI Home (10-2): 0.4874 (161) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 4-0 v #101-200 6-2 v #201-330

RPI Away (4-9): 0.4696 (226)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
2-5 v #101-200
2-1 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (0-1): 0.0 (306) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330

RPI League (11-10): 0.4824 (194)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
6-7 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (3-2): 0.4199 (279) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4414 (304)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/21/2004	Away	L 66-83	vs. #35 Minnesota
11/23/2004	Home	W 83-64	vs. #330 Savannah St
12/4/2004	Away	W 77-68	vs. #244 Troy St
12/6/2004	Away	W 71-56	vs. #330 Savannah St
12/11/2004	Home	W 83-74	vs. #321 Nicholls St
12/20/2004	Away	L 54-83	vs. #71 Arkansas
1/3/2005	Away	L 55-72	vs. #190 Gardner-Webb
1/5/2005	Away	W 60-56	vs. #322 Campbell
1/8/2005	Home	W 59-57	vs. #213 Georgia St
1/10/2005	Home	L 73-82	vs. #224 Mercer
1/15/2005	Away	L 49-58	vs. #236 Jacksonville
1/17/2005	Away	L 66-71	vs. #266 Stetson
1/21/2005	Away	L 61-71	vs. #219 Belmont
1/23/2005	Home	W 68-66	vs. #250 Fla Atlantic
1/25/2005	Home	W 64-63	vs. #150 Central Florida
1/29/2005	Away	L 67-84	vs. #250 Fla Atlantic
1/31/2005	Away	L 58-67	vs. #150 Central Florida
2/3/2005	Home	W 73-63	vs. #236 Jacksonville
2/5/2005	Home	L 71-73	vs. #266 Stetson
2/11/2005	Away	W 69-64	vs. #224 Mercer
2/13/2005	Away	L 62-86	vs. #213 Georgia St
2/17/2005	Home	W 71-65	vs. #322 Campbell
2/19/2005	Home	W 80-61	vs. #190 Gardner-Webb
2/22/2005	Home	W 59-58	vs. #219 Belmont
2/24/2005	Home	W 87-79	vs. #244 Troy St
3/3/2005	Neut	L 64-68	vs. #236 Jacksonville

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)