NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

CHARLOTTE
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 21-8
Power Rating: 84.403
Ranking: 41

1-3 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
8-1 v #51-100
4-3 v #101-200
7-0 v #201-330

Home Ratings (12-2): 85.521 (38) 1-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 5-0 v #51-100 2-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 8-0 83.943 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-2 81.294 Last Ten Ratings: 4-0 84.935

Away Ratings (7-5): 84.540 (45)
0-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
2-2 v #101-200
1-0 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 4-5 81.669
Non-League Power Ratings: 3-0 92.028
Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 79.466

Neutral Ratings (2-1): 78.935 (116) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 0-0 84.403 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 77.716 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 74.778

League Power Rankings (12-5): 84.517 (43)
1-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
5-1 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 8-0 83.943
Away Ratings: 4-5 81.669
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 84.403
Last Ten Ratings: 6-3 81.513

Non-League Power Ratings (9-3): 84.200 (44) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 5-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 4-2 81.294 Away Ratings: 3-0 92.028 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 77.716 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 74.778

Wins Power Rankings: 86.185 (40)
1-3 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
8-1 v #51-100
5-3 v #101-200
6-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 12-2 87.372
Away Ratings: 7-5 86.505
Neutral Ratings: 2-1 79.685
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 83.103

Rankings: Points: 82.175 (43) 1-4 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 8-1 v #51-100 4-3 v #101-200 7-0 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 12-2 83.073 Away Ratings: 7-5 82.187 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 78.128 League Power Rankings: 12-5 81.859 Non-League Power Ratings: 9-3 82.780 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 80.437

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 81.919 (75)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
3-2 v #51-100
1-0 v #101-200
2-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 4-0 84.935
Away Ratings: 2-3 79.466
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 74.778
League Power Rankings: 6-3 81.513
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 74.778

Home Advantage: 5.9113 (113)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0759 (81)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2048 (85)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3359 (85)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4552 (91)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6141 (93)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8618 (80)

Upward Stability: 1.5877 (259)

Downward Stability: 1.8598 (136)

RPI
RPI: 0.5684 (42)
1-3 v #1-25
2-0 v #26-50
6-1 v #51-100
4-3 v #101-200
8-1 v #201-330

RPI Home (12-2): 0.5553 (61) 1-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 3-0 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 4-0 v #201-330

RPI Away (7-5): 0.5906 (41)
0-2 v #1-25
1-0 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
1-2 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (2-1): 0.5326 (110) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-330

RPI League (12-5): 0.5797 (42)
0-1 v #1-25
1-1 v #26-50
3-1 v #51-100
5-1 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (9-3): 0.5560 (71) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-1 v #51-100 5-1 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5124 (125)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/19/2004	Home	W 93-64	vs. #227 Long Beach St
11/22/2004	Home	L 71-73	vs. #132 Rutgers
11/27/2004	Away	W 85-71	vs. #178 Valparaiso
12/1/2004	Home	W 84-68	vs. #73 Ul Lafayette
12/4/2004	Home	L 101-102	vs. #21 Alabama
12/8/2004	Away	W 87-68	vs. #77 Davidson
12/11/2004	Home	W 80-65	vs. #213 Georgia St
12/19/2004	Home	W 64-52	vs. #270 NC Asheville
12/22/2004	Away	W 74-73	vs. #62 Indiana
12/28/2004	Neut	W 80-74	vs. #214 Yale
12/29/2004	Neut	W 66-52	vs. #269 Central Conn
1/8/2005	Home	W 72-60	vs. #176 East Carolina
1/12/2005	Away	W 91-85	vs. #49 Uab
1/15/2005	Home	W 65-59	vs. #171 St Louis
1/19/2005	Away	L 58-80	vs. #22 Cincinnati
1/22/2005	Away	W 76-66	vs. #97 Marquette
1/26/2005	Home	W 94-87	vs. #79 TCU
1/29/2005	Away	L 51-54	vs. #176 East Carolina
2/5/2005	Home	W 91-90	vs. #22 Cincinnati
2/9/2005	Home	W 91-71	vs. #94 Houston
2/12/2005	Away	W 83-78	vs. #171 St Louis
2/16/2005	Home	W 66-62	vs. #60 DePaul
2/19/2005	Away	W 86-67	vs. #217 Tulane
2/23/2005	Home	W 80-77	vs. #66 Memphis
2/26/2005	Home	W 81-58	vs. #215 SO Mississippi
3/3/2005	Away	L 82-94	vs. #4 Louisville
3/5/2005	Away	L 73-85	vs. #135 South Florida
3/10/2005	Away	L 69-83	vs. #66 Memphis
3/18/2005	Neut	L 63-75	vs. #27 North Carolina St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)