NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

NEW MEXICO ST
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 4-24
Power Rating: 65.571
Ranking: 293

0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-5 v #51-100
2-12 v #101-200
1-5 v #201-330

Home Ratings (1-11): 60.071 (316) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 0-4 v #101-200 1-3 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 0-7 63.087 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-4 62.978 Last Ten Ratings: 1-3 65.150

Away Ratings (1-11): 68.759 (258)
0-0 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-6 v #101-200
0-2 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 1-7 73.142
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-4 67.759
Last Ten Ratings: 0-5 71.634

Neutral Ratings (2-2): 76.306 (142) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 0-1 63.071 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-1 79.571 Last Ten Ratings: 0-1 63.071

League Power Rankings (1-15): 63.712 (305)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-3 v #51-100
1-10 v #101-200
0-2 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 0-7 63.087
Away Ratings: 1-7 73.142
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 63.071
Last Ten Ratings: 0-9 65.860

Non-League Power Ratings (3-9): 68.118 (259) 0-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-2 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 1-3 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 1-4 62.978 Away Ratings: 0-4 67.759 Neutral Ratings: 2-1 79.571 Last Ten Ratings: 1-0 80.071

Wins Power Rankings: 63.044 (297)
0-0 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-6 v #51-100
2-11 v #101-200
1-5 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 1-11 55.966
Away Ratings: 1-11 66.997
Neutral Ratings: 2-2 77.200
Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 60.044

Rankings: Points: 68.571 (287) 0-0 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 1-7 v #51-100 2-9 v #101-200 1-6 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 1-11 64.821 Away Ratings: 1-11 71.040 Neutral Ratings: 2-2 74.900 League Power Rankings: 1-15 68.044 Non-League Power Ratings: 3-9 69.415 Last Ten Ratings: 1-9 68.048

Last Ten Ratings (1-9): 63.814 (299)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
0-6 v #101-200
1-2 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 1-3 65.150
Away Ratings: 0-5 71.634
Neutral Ratings: 0-1 63.071
League Power Rankings: 0-9 65.860
Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 80.071

Home Advantage: -6.764 (329)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0393 (197)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1389 (170)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.2532 (152)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.3762 (141)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.5568 (126)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8316 (118)

Upward Stability: 1.4826 (282)

Downward Stability: 1.0518 (314)

RPI
RPI: 0.4201 (292)
0-0 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
1-7 v #51-100
2-6 v #101-200
1-7 v #201-330

RPI Home (1-11): 0.3768 (308) 0-0 v #1-25 0-3 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 0-4 v #201-330

RPI Away (1-11): 0.4321 (276)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-9 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (2-2): 0.5489 (96) 0-0 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-330

RPI League (1-15): 0.3934 (305)
0-0 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
1-5 v #101-200
0-4 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (3-9): 0.4568 (212) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-3 v #51-100 3-4 v #101-200 0-2 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5125 (124)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/19/2004	Neut	W 65-61	vs. #88 Western Mich
11/20/2004	Neut	W 64-61	vs. #107 Northwestern
11/21/2004	Neut	L 58-62	vs. #150 Central Florida
11/24/2004	Home	L 67-88	vs. #273 Texas Arlington
12/1/2004	Away	L 80-99	vs. #33 New Mexico
12/4/2004	Home	L 66-84	vs. #33 New Mexico
12/15/2004	Home	L 64-75	vs. #58 Texas El Paso
12/18/2004	Away	L 61-79	vs. #58 Texas El Paso
12/21/2004	Away	L 62-75	vs. #160 UC Irvine
1/3/2005	Away	L 74-81	vs. #216 Tex San Antonio
1/8/2005	Home	L 69-79	vs. #200 North Texas
1/10/2005	Home	L 63-83	vs. #220 Tulsa
1/13/2005	Away	L 71-74	vs. #188 New Orleans
1/15/2005	Away	L 64-73	vs. #231 South Alabama
1/20/2005	Home	L 79-89	vs. #73 Ul Lafayette
1/24/2005	Away	W 71-66	vs. #183 Florida Intl
1/27/2005	Home	L 50-65	vs. #133 Middle Tenn St
1/29/2005	Home	L 75-77	vs. #95 Western KY
2/3/2005	Away	L 73-75	vs. #102 Denver
2/5/2005	Away	L 67-79	vs. #200 North Texas
2/10/2005	Home	L 66-71	vs. #188 New Orleans
2/12/2005	Home	L 55-63	vs. #231 South Alabama
2/17/2005	Away	L 49-91	vs. #73 Ul Lafayette
2/19/2005	Home	L 58-81	vs. #102 Denver
2/24/2005	Away	L 69-75	vs. #112 Arkansas Lr
2/26/2005	Away	L 76-90	vs. #151 Arkansas St
3/1/2005	Home	W 78-61	vs. #283 TX Pan American
3/4/2005	Neut	L 63-77	vs. #133 Middle Tenn St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)