NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

SAN DIEGO
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 14-13
Power Rating: 78.858
Ranking: 110

0-4 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
9-5 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-330

Home Ratings (9-3): 80.351 (90) 0-1 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 3-1 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 5-2 80.233 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-1 77.811 Last Ten Ratings: 4-1 79.913

Away Ratings (4-8): 77.800 (120)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 2-5 79.093
Non-League Power Ratings: 2-3 76.311
Last Ten Ratings: 1-2 81.046

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 78.015 (124) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-1 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 1-1 80.640 Non-League Power Ratings: 0-1 66.733 Last Ten Ratings: 1-1 80.640

League Power Rankings (8-8): 80.085 (91)
0-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
8-3 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 5-2 80.233
Away Ratings: 2-5 79.093
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 80.640
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 80.444

Non-League Power Ratings (6-5): 76.054 (156) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 4-2 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 4-1 77.811 Away Ratings: 2-3 76.311 Neutral Ratings: 0-1 66.733 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 78.858

Wins Power Rankings: 79.628 (110)
0-4 v #1-25
1-2 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
9-5 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 9-3 80.878
Away Ratings: 4-8 78.659
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 79.315
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 82.745

Rankings: Points: 77.874 (115) 0-4 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 9-5 v #101-200 4-2 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 9-3 79.561 Away Ratings: 4-8 76.854 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 76.140 League Power Rankings: 8-8 78.585 Non-League Power Ratings: 6-5 76.296 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 79.429

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 81.327 (82)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
6-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 4-1 79.913
Away Ratings: 1-2 81.046
Neutral Ratings: 1-1 80.640
League Power Rankings: 6-4 80.444
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 78.858

Home Advantage: 6.3175 (100)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0700 (92)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1968 (93)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.3186 (102)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.4418 (103)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6012 (106)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.8495 (101)

Upward Stability: 1.7868 (161)

Downward Stability: 1.7741 (176)

RPI
RPI: 0.5180 (122)
0-4 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
2-1 v #51-100
8-3 v #101-200
4-3 v #201-330

RPI Home (9-3): 0.5146 (116) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 2-0 v #51-100 5-0 v #101-200 2-1 v #201-330

RPI Away (4-8): 0.5261 (127)
0-2 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
3-3 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.5080 (136) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330

RPI League (8-8): 0.5562 (66)
0-5 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
3-2 v #101-200
4-0 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (6-5): 0.4621 (204) 0-1 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 3-2 v #101-200 3-1 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5167 (114)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/16/2004	Away	L 69-80	vs. #9 Arizona
11/27/2004	Home	L 70-71	vs. #277 San Jose St
12/1/2004	Away	L 63-83	vs. #163 San Diego St
12/4/2004	Away	L 83-92	vs. #273 Texas Arlington
12/7/2004	Away	W 74-60	vs. #277 San Jose St
12/11/2004	Neut	L 75-87	vs. #114 USC
12/13/2004	Home	W 75-56	vs. #279 Eastern Wash
12/18/2004	Home	W 65-56	vs. #275 Northrn Arizona
12/22/2004	Home	W 71-63	vs. #208 UC Santa Barbara
12/28/2004	Away	W 95-88	vs. #113 Wyoming
12/31/2004	Home	W 82-70	vs. #48 Creighton
1/7/2005	Away	L 67-83	vs. #122 Pepperdine
1/9/2005	Away	W 68-65	vs. #165 Loyola Marymnt
1/15/2005	Away	L 82-87	vs. #108 San Francisco
1/20/2005	Home	W 92-58	vs. #137 Portland
1/22/2005	Home	L 56-68	vs. #14 Gonzaga
1/27/2005	Away	L 69-79	vs. #50 St Marys CA
1/29/2005	Away	L 73-85	vs. #127 Santa Clara
2/3/2005	Home	W 77-70	vs. #165 Loyola Marymnt
2/5/2005	Home	W 92-88	vs. #122 Pepperdine
2/9/2005	Home	W 69-61	vs. #108 San Francisco
2/17/2005	Away	L 73-90	vs. #14 Gonzaga
2/19/2005	Away	W 89-73	vs. #137 Portland
2/24/2005	Home	W 87-73	vs. #127 Santa Clara
2/26/2005	Home	L 83-86	vs. #50 St Marys CA
3/5/2005	Neut	W 86-80	vs. #122 Pepperdine
3/6/2005	Neut	L 74-90	vs. #14 Gonzaga

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)