NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

SAM HOUSTON
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 14-12
Power Rating: 73.755
Ranking: 182

0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
4-4 v #101-200
10-4 v #201-330

Home Ratings (8-2): 73.763 (179) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 7-2 72.692 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-0 74.755 Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 70.380

Away Ratings (5-8): 74.407 (166)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
1-3 v #101-200
4-2 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 5-4 76.708
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-4 64.755
Last Ten Ratings: 3-2 77.895

Neutral Ratings (1-2): 71.067 (196) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 0-0 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 0-0 73.755 Non-League Power Ratings: 1-2 72.692 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 73.755

League Power Rankings (12-6): 74.845 (163)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
9-2 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 7-2 72.692
Away Ratings: 5-4 76.708
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 73.755
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 74.337

Non-League Power Ratings (2-6): 70.606 (221) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-2 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 1-0 74.755 Away Ratings: 0-4 64.755 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 72.692 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 73.755

Wins Power Rankings: 72.757 (190)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
4-4 v #101-200
10-4 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 8-2 72.640
Away Ratings: 5-8 73.679
Neutral Ratings: 1-2 69.647
Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 72.577

Rankings: Points: 74.999 (168) 0-2 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 4-5 v #101-200 10-3 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 8-2 74.983 Away Ratings: 5-8 75.378 Neutral Ratings: 1-2 73.186 League Power Rankings: 12-6 76.155 Non-League Power Ratings: 2-6 71.515 Last Ten Ratings: 6-4 75.468

Last Ten Ratings (6-4): 73.841 (179)
0-0 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-0 v #51-100
3-4 v #101-200
3-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 3-2 70.380
Away Ratings: 3-2 77.895
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 73.755
League Power Rankings: 6-4 74.337
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 73.755

Home Advantage: 3.7914 (159)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.0364 (213)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.1076 (235)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.1816 (246)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.2679 (249)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.4016 (257)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.7047 (268)

Upward Stability: 1.5542 (273)

Downward Stability: 1.7676 (178)

RPI
RPI: 0.5023 (150)
0-2 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
0-2 v #51-100
4-5 v #101-200
10-3 v #201-330

RPI Home (8-2): 0.4933 (150) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-1 v #51-100 3-0 v #101-200 5-1 v #201-330

RPI Away (5-8): 0.5280 (124)
0-1 v #1-25
0-1 v #26-50
0-1 v #51-100
2-3 v #101-200
3-2 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (1-2): 0.4397 (214) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 1-2 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330

RPI League (12-6): 0.5155 (127)
0-0 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
3-0 v #101-200
8-2 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (2-6): 0.4618 (205) 0-1 v #1-25 0-1 v #26-50 0-2 v #51-100 2-2 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.4792 (217)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/15/2004	Neut	L 69-72	vs. #94 Houston
11/16/2004	Neut	W 92-79	vs. #239 Brown
11/19/2004	Away	L 71-84	vs. #97 Marquette
11/20/2004	Neut	L 44-57	vs. #202 Binghamton
11/27/2004	Away	L 57-73	vs. #10 Oklahoma St
12/4/2004	Away	L 72-83	vs. #283 TX Pan American
12/20/2004	Home	W 77-74	vs. #151 Arkansas St
12/29/2004	Away	L 51-83	vs. #16 Florida
1/8/2005	Away	W 73-66	vs. #321 Nicholls St
1/11/2005	Away	L 54-56	vs. #136 SE Louisiana
1/15/2005	Home	W 63-57	vs. #286 Stephen Austin
1/20/2005	Home	W 77-54	vs. #273 Texas Arlington
1/22/2005	Away	L 54-66	vs. #267 SW Texas St
1/27/2005	Home	W 74-56	vs. #308 Ul Monroe
1/29/2005	Home	W 77-65	vs. #162 Northwestern St
2/3/2005	Away	W 72-56	vs. #216 Tex San Antonio
2/10/2005	Home	W 86-84	vs. #180 Lamar
2/14/2005	Away	W 78-64	vs. #286 Stephen Austin
2/17/2005	Home	W 85-69	vs. #321 Nicholls St
2/19/2005	Home	L 70-73	vs. #247 McNeese St
2/24/2005	Away	W 72-57	vs. #308 Ul Monroe
2/26/2005	Away	W 88-70	vs. #180 Lamar
3/2/2005	Away	L 63-82	vs. #162 Northwestern St
3/5/2005	Home	L 55-58	vs. #136 SE Louisiana
3/8/2005	Home	W 88-70	vs. #247 McNeese St
3/10/2005	Away	L 62-71	vs. #136 SE Louisiana

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)