NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

Read the full article -- No comments »

Printable NCAA Bracket

Recent Articles: Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2) Wall St. Journal Competition Results Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2) Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2) 2008 Conference Tournaments: Brackets & Odds March Madness Performance: 2 Myths Dispelled Spreading the Nerd Word

USC
Predictions for Future Games
Scores & Results
RPI Breakdown

Record: 12-17
Power Rating: 78.731
Ranking: 114

0-5 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
4-5 v #51-100
6-2 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-330

Home Ratings (7-7): 77.020 (138) 0-2 v #1-25 0-2 v #26-50 3-2 v #51-100 3-1 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 3-6 77.454 Non-League Power Ratings: 4-1 77.809 Last Ten Ratings: 2-3 79.200

Away Ratings (2-10): 78.137 (116)
0-3 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
1-1 v #101-200
0-1 v #201-330
League Power Rankings: 2-7 81.965
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-3 72.043
Last Ten Ratings: 1-4 81.528

Neutral Ratings (3-0): 91.918 (15) 0-0 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 2-0 v #101-200 0-0 v #201-330 League Power Rankings: 0-0 78.731 Non-League Power Ratings: 3-0 85.418 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 78.731

League Power Rankings (5-13): 78.172 (116)
0-4 v #1-25
0-4 v #26-50
3-5 v #51-100
2-0 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 3-6 77.454
Away Ratings: 2-7 81.965
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 78.731
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 80.184

Non-League Power Ratings (7-4): 79.903 (98) 0-1 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 4-2 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 4-1 77.809 Away Ratings: 0-3 72.043 Neutral Ratings: 3-0 85.418 Last Ten Ratings: 0-0 78.731

Wins Power Rankings: 79.395 (114)
0-5 v #1-25
1-4 v #26-50
4-5 v #51-100
6-2 v #101-200
1-1 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 7-7 77.016
Away Ratings: 2-10 78.871
Neutral Ratings: 3-0 101.02
Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 79.590

Rankings: Points: 77.918 (114) 0-5 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 4-9 v #51-100 6-2 v #101-200 1-1 v #201-330 Home Ratings: 7-7 76.996 Away Ratings: 2-10 77.485 Neutral Ratings: 3-0 84.325 League Power Rankings: 5-13 77.450 Non-League Power Ratings: 7-4 78.911 Last Ten Ratings: 3-7 78.184

Last Ten Ratings (3-7): 78.942 (107)
0-2 v #1-25
0-3 v #26-50
1-1 v #51-100
2-1 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330
Home Ratings: 2-3 79.200
Away Ratings: 1-4 81.528
Neutral Ratings: 0-0 78.731
League Power Rankings: 3-7 80.184
Non-League Power Ratings: 0-0 78.731

Home Advantage: -0.063 (268)

Difficulty of Schedule for a Top Five Team: 0.1112 (32)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #15 team: 0.2675 (45)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #45 team: 0.4140 (41)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #100 team: 0.5415 (36)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #150 team: 0.6987 (27)

Difficulty of Schedule for the #270 team: 0.9015 (20)

Upward Stability: 1.9417 (80)

Downward Stability: 1.8324 (146)

RPI
RPI: 0.5060 (141)
0-5 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
4-6 v #51-100
5-5 v #101-200
3-1 v #201-330

RPI Home (7-7): 0.4744 (178) 0-2 v #1-25 1-1 v #26-50 1-1 v #51-100 3-3 v #101-200 2-0 v #201-330

RPI Away (2-10): 0.5028 (174)
0-5 v #1-25
0-0 v #26-50
2-2 v #51-100
0-1 v #101-200
0-2 v #201-330

RPI Neutral (3-0): 0.6427 (27) 0-0 v #1-25 0-0 v #26-50 1-0 v #51-100 1-0 v #101-200 1-0 v #201-330

RPI League (5-13): 0.4899 (176)
0-4 v #1-25
0-2 v #26-50
1-3 v #51-100
4-4 v #101-200
0-0 v #201-330

RPI Non-League (7-4): 0.5419 (100) 0-2 v #1-25 1-0 v #26-50 0-0 v #51-100 3-2 v #101-200 3-0 v #201-330

RPI Strength of Schedule: 0.5455 (50)



GAMES

Date	Site	Score	Opponent
11/22/2004	Home	W 90-70	vs. #160 UC Irvine
11/28/2004	Away	L 65-97	vs. #2 North Carolina
11/30/2004	Away	L 62-71	vs. #203 La Salle
12/4/2004	Home	W 87-82	vs. #179 BYU
12/8/2004	Home	L 68-71	vs. #153 Fresno St
12/11/2004	Neut	W 87-75	vs. #110 San Diego
12/18/2004	Home	W 81-74	vs. #88 Western Mich
12/21/2004	Neut	W 68-64	vs. #157 Indiana St
12/22/2004	Neut	W 81-78	vs. #49 Uab
12/23/2004	Away	L 68-72	vs. #138 Hawaii
12/28/2004	Home	W 91-58	vs. #305 Southern
12/31/2004	Away	L 83-90	vs. #78 Oregon
1/2/2005	Away	L 64-74	vs. #93 Oregon St
1/6/2005	Home	L 59-84	vs. #8 Washington
1/8/2005	Home	L 52-69	vs. #75 Washington St
1/13/2005	Away	L 68-77	vs. #9 Arizona
1/15/2005	Away	W 98-94	vs. #68 Arizona St
1/20/2005	Home	W 83-66	vs. #121 California
1/22/2005	Home	L 70-78	vs. #43 Stanford
1/29/2005	Home	L 69-72	vs. #42 UCLA
2/3/2005	Away	L 69-99	vs. #8 Washington
2/5/2005	Away	L 53-61	vs. #75 Washington St
2/10/2005	Home	L 76-88	vs. #9 Arizona
2/12/2005	Home	W 82-71	vs. #68 Arizona St
2/17/2005	Away	L 62-71	vs. #43 Stanford
2/19/2005	Away	W 89-70	vs. #121 California
2/24/2005	Away	L 69-90	vs. #42 UCLA
3/3/2005	Home	L 87-94	vs. #78 Oregon
3/5/2005	Home	W 78-68	vs. #93 Oregon St

FUTURE GAMES

Date

Site

Win Probability

Margin

Opponent

Opp. Rating

(Opp. Specific Rating)