NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
Wall St. Journal Competition Results
Strategies on filling out that NCAA Tournament Bracket — SmartStats and BracketBrains
NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (1 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Away Rankings

By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:22 EST 2007

Home Advantage = 3.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Connecticut (8-2)95.71-13-12-0
2. Villanova (10-2)95.50-24-05-0
3. North Carolina (8-2)95.12-02-04-2
4. Tennessee (7-3)95.14-20-11-0
5. Duke (10-2)94.72-12-15-0
6. LSU (8-4)93.53-30-12-0
7. Kansas (6-2)92.30-12-03-0
8. UCLA (8-2)92.31-12-03-1
9. Geo Washington (10-1)91.90-01-13-0
10. Memphis (10-1)91.70-02-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Kentucky (6-4)91.32-30-00-1
12. Ohio St (6-3)90.90-13-20-0
13. West Virginia (5-4)90.43-10-20-1
14. Florida (6-4)90.41-30-13-0
15. Illinois (5-4)90.11-22-21-0
16. Gonzaga (8-2)90.00-20-00-0
17. Boston College (8-3)89.31-01-03-3
18. Texas (7-3)88.91-00-33-0
19. Washington (6-3)88.82-00-12-2
20. Wichita St (8-3)88.51-01-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Pittsburgh (5-5)88.21-31-12-0
22. North Carolina St (5-5)88.11-32-02-2
23. Vanderbilt (6-6)87.73-30-20-1
24. Iona (11-2)87.20-00-01-1
25. Nevada (10-3)87.11-00-04-0
26. Northern Iowa (7-5)86.92-01-10-3
27. California (6-4)86.71-20-03-1
28. Arkansas (3-5)86.61-20-10-0
29. Georgetown (7-6)86.60-41-13-0
30. South Carolina (6-7)86.41-32-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Syracuse (3-5)86.30-42-00-1
32. Missouri St (8-6)86.30-11-31-2
33. Notre Dame (4-7)86.20-31-32-1
34. George Mason (8-5)86.20-01-10-3
35. Seton Hall (5-6)86.21-22-01-2
36. Oklahoma (6-5)86.10-32-01-1
37. Bucknell (11-3)85.70-11-11-0
38. Cincinnati (3-7)85.30-42-11-2
39. Hofstra (10-5)85.20-01-21-0
40. Florida St (4-6)85.10-30-23-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Miami Fla (4-8)84.81-21-32-3
42. Marquette (3-7)84.40-31-22-1
43. Charlotte (9-6)84.40-01-21-2
44. Michigan (5-6)84.00-31-21-0
45. Old Dominion (8-6)83.90-10-02-2
46. Rutgers (5-7)83.70-10-41-1
47. Texas AM (4-5)83.70-10-22-2
48. Penn St (3-7)83.61-30-40-0
49. Georgia (3-7)83.51-40-12-0
50. Kent (8-5)83.40-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Uab (7-5)83.20-20-00-3
52. Southern Ill (7-6)83.10-10-32-0
53. Iowa (4-7)82.90-11-30-2
54. St Josephs (8-8)82.80-00-22-3
55. Xavier (5-5)82.80-01-01-2
56. Creighton (5-7)82.71-11-20-2
57. Virginia Tech (3-8)82.60-31-11-4
58. San Diego St (6-5)82.60-00-11-3
59. Marist (10-5)82.60-00-01-2
60. NC Wilmington (8-6)82.60-10-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Michigan St (3-7)82.61-20-30-1
62. Indiana (5-7)82.50-21-21-1
63. Alabama (3-7)82.41-30-10-1
64. Arizona (4-7)82.41-20-11-3
65. Wisc Milwaukee (8-6)81.90-10-11-1
66. Clemson (4-8)81.80-20-22-3
67. Pacific (9-4)81.80-00-01-2
68. Nebraska (3-7)81.80-21-12-3
69. Providence (3-8)81.70-30-42-0
70. Manhattan (8-7)81.60-00-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Louisiana Tech (7-9)81.60-10-42-1
72. Utah St (7-6)81.50-01-11-0
73. La Salle (7-6)81.50-10-21-2
74. St Marys CA (5-5)81.40-10-10-1
75. USC (4-6)81.30-30-11-2
76. Miami Ohio (7-8)81.30-00-40-3
77. Northwestern St (10-6)81.30-01-20-1
78. DePaul (4-8)81.20-10-41-2
79. Bradley (5-8)81.20-11-11-3
80. Houston (7-8)81.11-30-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Western KY (7-5)81.00-20-12-0
82. Iowa St (3-6)80.90-10-10-3
83. Arizona St (3-7)80.90-41-01-3
84. UC Irvine (8-4)80.80-00-01-2
85. Maryland (2-7)80.80-20-32-2
86. Stanford (4-9)80.80-40-22-2
87. Northwestern (3-8)80.60-20-32-2
88. South Alabama (9-4)80.50-10-00-0
89. Air Force (6-5)80.40-10-01-2
90. St Johns (2-8)80.20-40-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Winthrop (7-6)80.20-21-10-0
92. Colorado (4-7)80.10-21-11-2
93. St Peters (7-7)80.10-20-01-1
94. Wisconsin (2-8)80.00-30-21-1
95. Oregon (3-9)80.00-30-12-2
96. Oklahoma St (3-8)79.90-10-21-4
97. Louisville (1-8)79.80-40-21-1
98. Akron (7-8)79.70-00-31-2
99. Illinois Chi (6-7)79.60-00-12-2
100. Northern Ill (6-6)79.50-10-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Murray St (8-4)79.30-00-10-0
102. St Louis (5-8)79.30-10-12-1
103. Montana (8-5)79.20-00-00-0
104. VA Commonwealth (6-7)79.00-10-11-2
105. Unlv (4-8)78.70-00-10-4
106. Kansas St (2-8)78.71-00-10-4
107. Washington St (2-9)78.51-20-21-3
108. BYU (4-7)78.30-00-00-6
109. Rhode Island (4-7)78.30-00-10-2
110. Minnesota (2-9)78.30-30-30-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Northeastern (5-8)78.20-10-20-3
112. Texas El Paso (5-7)78.20-10-20-2
113. Long Beach St (7-7)78.20-00-10-2
114. Holy Cross (7-7)78.10-10-10-2
115. Ohio (5-7)78.00-00-10-2
116. Colorado St (5-7)78.00-00-00-5
117. Samford (8-7)77.80-10-10-2
118. Indiana St (4-8)77.70-10-32-1
119. Fordham (5-10)77.70-00-22-2
120. New Mexico St (4-10)77.70-10-22-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Pennsylvania (7-4)77.60-10-00-0
122. Loyola Marymnt (4-11)77.50-10-21-3
123. Butler (5-10)77.40-10-20-3
124. Northrn Arizona (6-6)77.40-10-00-2
125. Siena (5-9)77.40-00-11-2
126. Temple (4-9)77.40-10-11-2
127. Lamar (7-6)77.20-10-00-3
128. Cleveland St (4-8)77.20-10-10-3
129. Drake (3-9)77.10-20-30-2
130. Texas Tech (2-9)77.10-20-30-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Sam Houston (7-7)77.10-10-00-3
132. Wake Forest (2-9)77.00-20-20-5
133. Virginia (2-11)76.80-30-41-4
134. Middle Tenn St (6-8)76.80-10-10-3
135. Mississippi St (1-8)76.70-40-11-1
136. Loyola MD (7-8)76.60-00-00-3
137. Delaware St (10-10)76.60-10-41-2
138. Hawaii (3-7)76.60-00-10-4
139. San Diego (6-8)76.50-00-20-0
140. Dayton (2-9)76.50-01-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Coll Of Charltn (5-6)76.50-01-10-0
142. Drexel (4-9)76.40-10-10-3
143. Jacksonville St (6-6)76.30-00-00-2
144. San Francisco (3-8)76.20-00-20-1
145. Geo Southern (7-7)76.20-10-00-3
146. Loyola Chi (5-8)76.20-00-10-3
147. Albany NY (8-7)76.10-20-00-1
148. Auburn (1-11)76.10-50-20-2
149. Fair Dickinson (8-8)76.00-00-10-2
150. SE Louisiana (5-7)75.90-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Oregon St (2-10)75.60-31-01-3
152. Georgia Tech (1-11)75.60-20-40-4
153. Towson (5-8)75.50-10-10-1
154. Sacramento St (7-9)75.50-10-10-1
155. CS Fullerton (7-6)75.50-00-00-2
156. Buffalo (5-9)75.40-10-00-3
157. Mississippi (1-9)75.40-41-00-0
158. Portland (4-9)75.20-00-10-3
159. Birmingham Southern (6-7)75.20-00-10-2
160. Monmouth NJ (9-8)75.10-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Tennessee Tech (6-8)74.90-00-30-1
162. Binghamton (7-7)74.70-00-10-2
163. Canisius (4-10)74.60-10-00-1
164. Santa Clara (3-10)74.60-10-10-1
165. Ul Lafayette (4-12)74.60-20-12-3
166. Texas A&M-CC (5-7)74.50-10-00-2
167. Lehigh (6-7)74.50-20-00-1
168. Coast Carolina (5-9)74.40-00-21-2
169. Fairfield (4-10)74.40-20-00-1
170. Utah (3-8)74.40-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Portland St (5-10)74.40-10-11-2
172. Eastern Wash (5-9)74.30-10-10-2
173. Evansville (2-11)74.20-10-30-3
174. Ball St (4-10)74.20-00-00-1
175. Oral Roberts (6-8)74.20-00-10-3
176. Gardner-Webb (11-7)74.20-20-01-0
177. UC Santa Barbara (5-9)74.10-10-00-2
178. New Mexico (2-9)74.10-00-00-5
179. Iupui (6-7)73.80-00-00-2
180. Bowling Green (4-10)73.80-00-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Toledo (4-8)73.80-10-00-2
182. Idaho St (5-7)73.80-10-00-1
183. Stephen Austin (6-8)73.70-00-00-1
184. Boise St (3-9)73.60-00-10-3
185. Elon (4-9)73.60-01-00-2
186. Rice (3-7)73.60-00-10-4
187. Massachusetts (2-11)73.50-20-20-1
188. Charleston Sou (6-9)73.30-00-00-2
189. Arkansas Lr (3-7)73.20-10-00-3
190. Fresno St (3-10)73.20-00-11-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Niagara (3-10)73.10-00-10-1
192. North Texas (3-9)73.10-00-20-2
193. Eastern KY (5-8)73.00-10-00-2
194. South Florida (1-9)73.00-10-40-3
195. Tennessee St (5-11)72.90-10-00-3
196. Harvard (6-8)72.80-10-00-1
197. Central Florida (3-7)72.80-30-01-0
198. Wagner (6-8)72.70-10-00-0
199. Davidson (4-9)72.70-20-10-1
200. Cornell (5-10)72.60-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. San Jose St (3-12)72.60-00-20-4
202. Wyoming (2-9)72.60-00-00-5
203. Missouri (1-9)72.50-21-00-4
204. McNeese St (5-11)72.50-10-00-3
205. Chattanooga (4-8)72.50-00-00-1
206. High Point (6-10)72.40-10-00-2
207. Wright St (3-12)72.40-00-00-3
208. Radford (5-8)72.30-20-00-2
209. Central Conn (7-7)72.10-00-00-0
210. Boston U (5-9)72.10-10-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Mt St Marys (5-9)72.00-00-00-2
212. Montana St (3-7)71.90-00-00-1
213. Western Mich (3-10)71.70-00-00-4
214. Hartford (6-8)71.60-00-00-1
215. CS Northridge (4-9)71.50-00-01-1
216. Rider (2-12)71.40-10-00-1
217. Texas Arlington (3-11)71.30-10-10-1
218. Princeton (5-8)71.30-00-00-3
219. Westrn Carolina (3-10)71.30-00-00-2
220. Detroit (2-13)71.20-20-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Belmont (7-8)71.20-10-10-1
222. Brown (6-7)70.90-00-00-1
223. Mo Kansas City (5-9)70.90-00-10-0
224. Oakland (4-9)70.80-00-10-1
225. NC Asheville (4-13)70.60-10-20-4
226. SO Carolina St (6-10)70.50-10-10-2
227. Wisc Green Bay (2-10)70.50-10-10-2
228. Tulane (2-11)70.50-20-10-4
229. Arkansas St (2-12)70.50-10-20-2
230. Austin Peay (4-12)70.40-00-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Marshall (3-8)70.40-00-00-3
232. Valparaiso (5-10)70.20-20-11-0
233. Baylor (0-8)70.20-20-30-2
234. William & Mary (3-12)70.10-10-10-2
235. East Tenn St (6-8)70.10-10-10-0
236. Cal Poly (3-11)70.10-00-00-3
237. Florida Intl (2-12)70.00-00-30-3
238. Yale (4-10)69.90-10-00-3
239. Weber St (3-10)69.90-00-00-2
240. Florida A&M (6-11)69.80-20-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Coppin St (5-12)69.80-30-40-1
242. Appalachian St (4-10)69.80-10-10-1
243. St Bonaventure (2-10)69.80-00-10-1
244. Tenn Martin (3-12)69.70-10-10-2
245. Eastern Mich (3-12)69.60-00-10-1
246. Georgia St (3-11)69.50-00-20-2
247. Tulsa (3-11)69.50-10-00-4
248. Lipscomb (6-9)69.30-20-00-1
249. Vermont (4-12)69.20-10-00-2
250. Delaware (2-12)69.20-10-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Hampton (5-8)69.20-10-00-0
252. Utah Valley St (4-9)69.20-00-00-1
253. Denver (3-12)69.10-00-00-2
254. Southern (6-11)69.10-20-20-2
255. Wofford (2-12)69.10-20-20-1
256. SMU (3-9)69.00-10-10-2
257. Tex San Antonio (2-10)69.00-10-00-2
258. Pepperdine (1-13)69.00-10-21-0
259. Norfolk St (5-10)68.90-10-20-1
260. American (4-12)68.90-10-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Ul Monroe (2-12)68.80-20-10-2
262. Lafayette (4-10)68.70-00-20-2
263. Grambling (6-8)68.70-00-10-1
264. Furman (4-10)68.70-00-00-2
265. UC Riverside (2-11)68.60-00-01-2
266. Liu Brooklyn (4-10)68.60-00-00-0
267. Stetson (6-10)68.50-10-20-1
268. Troy St (2-10)68.50-00-00-2
269. Chicago St (3-15)68.20-10-30-0
270. New Hampshire (4-11)68.20-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Quinnipiac (3-10)68.10-10-00-0
272. New Orleans (1-13)68.00-20-00-3
273. North Dakota St (2-11)68.00-01-00-2
274. Illinois St (0-12)68.00-10-40-2
275. Youngstown St (2-14)67.90-00-00-3
276. Purdue (0-12)67.90-30-40-1
277. Fla Atlantic (5-8)67.70-00-00-0
278. IPFW (4-13)67.60-00-10-2
279. Robert Morris (4-12)67.50-20-00-0
280. Campbell (5-9)67.50-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Eastern Ill (3-12)67.40-00-00-2
282. Sacred Heart (3-12)67.30-10-00-1
283. Columbia (4-9)67.30-00-10-1
284. Kennesaw St (5-8)66.90-00-10-0
285. Alabama A&M (4-9)66.90-10-00-2
286. Maine (3-11)66.80-10-00-1
287. Bethune Cookman (5-11)66.50-10-20-2
288. Mercer (5-9)66.30-00-10-1
289. UC Davis (2-11)66.10-00-20-1
290. Duquesne (1-11)66.10-10-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Ark Pine Bluff (5-10)66.10-00-00-2
292. Army (3-11)66.00-10-00-3
293. Richmond (1-10)65.90-00-30-2
294. Navy (3-10)65.80-00-00-2
295. TCU (0-11)65.80-00-10-5
296. East Carolina (1-11)65.50-00-00-5
297. St Francis NY (2-12)65.40-10-00-0
298. Miss Valley St (4-9)65.40-00-10-2
299. South Dakota St (2-14)65.30-20-10-3
300. Alabama St (4-12)65.30-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Morehead St (2-13)64.80-10-00-2
302. James Madison (1-11)64.70-10-00-2
303. SO Mississippi (0-10)64.60-20-00-2
304. Southern Utah (2-14)64.60-00-00-2
305. SE Missouri St (2-12)64.50-10-00-1
306. NC Greensboro (1-13)64.50-10-10-1
307. Jackson St (4-13)64.20-10-20-0
308. Dartmouth (2-12)64.20-10-00-2
309. Central Mich (1-14)63.90-00-10-0
310. Western Ill (1-13)63.90-20-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. VMI (2-11)63.60-00-10-2
312. Colgate (2-11)63.60-10-10-1
313. Alcorn St (3-15)63.00-00-10-2
314. MD Eastrn Shore (3-14)62.80-10-10-1
315. Umbc (1-13)62.80-10-00-1
316. The Citadel (3-10)62.60-00-10-0
317. Nicholls St (2-13)62.50-10-10-1
318. St Francis PA (1-13)62.50-00-10-0
319. Stony Brook (1-16)62.10-30-10-1
320. Centenary (1-13)62.10-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. NO Carolina A&T (2-16)61.80-00-10-3
322. Idaho (0-15)61.30-10-30-3
323. Morgan St (2-14)61.20-20-00-3
324. Howard (1-13)60.90-00-00-2
325. Texas Southern (2-15)60.60-30-30-1
326. SW Texas St (1-13)60.10-20-00-1
327. TX Pan American (1-15)59.70-30-10-1
328. Longwood (1-13)59.00-00-00-2
329. Northern Colorado (0-14)57.10-10-10-1
330. Liberty (0-14)56.10-10-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. North Florida (0-14)54.10-00-00-0
332. Jacksonville (0-15)52.70-10-00-1
333. Prairie View (0-15)52.00-10-10-0
334. Savannah St (0-19)45.80-20-10-2
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