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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Advantage

By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:26 EST 2007

Home Advantage = 3.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Richmond (13-17)16.4
2. Purdue (9-19)15.7
3. Akron (22-10)15.1
4. Iowa (25-9)14.9
5. Detroit (14-16)14.3
6. Fresno St (15-13)13.0
7. Air Force (22-7)12.9
8. Wisconsin (19-12)12.9
9. Illinois St (8-19)12.6
10. Southern (19-13)12.5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Liberty (4-23)12.4
12. Southern Utah (9-20)12.3
13. Baylor (4-13)12.0
14. Denver (16-15)11.4
15. Missouri (12-16)11.4
16. North Dakota St (12-12)11.3
17. Massachusetts (13-15)11.3
18. Louisville (21-13)10.9
19. New Mexico (17-13)10.7
20. Fla Atlantic (15-13)10.6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Butler (20-13)10.5
22. Northern Colorado (3-24)10.4
23. Drexel (15-16)10.3
24. Virginia (15-15)10.2
25. BYU (19-9)10.2
26. Davidson (17-11)9.9
27. Utah Valley St (14-13)9.6
28. Georgia Tech (11-17)9.5
29. Hawaii (17-11)9.4
30. Oklahoma (20-9)9.4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Savannah St (1-26)9.4
32. Nicholls St (8-18)9.2
33. Bradley (22-11)9.0
34. Arkansas (22-10)9.0
35. Mississippi St (15-15)8.8
36. Austin Peay (17-14)8.7
37. Umbc (10-19)8.6
38. Idaho (3-25)8.6
39. Texas (30-7)8.6
40. Robert Morris (13-14)8.5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Marquette (19-11)8.4
42. Pepperdine (7-20)8.4
43. Auburn (12-16)8.3
44. Wright St (12-15)8.2
45. Lipscomb (21-11)8.2
46. Toledo (19-11)8.2
47. Old Dominion (24-10)8.1
48. TCU (6-24)8.0
49. Eastern Wash (14-15)8.0
50. Tulsa (10-17)7.9

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Jackson St (14-17)7.9
52. Furman (12-13)7.9
53. Coast Carolina (16-10)7.9
54. Stanford (16-14)7.8
55. Texas El Paso (19-10)7.7
56. Colorado (20-10)7.7
57. North Florida (4-22)7.7
58. Kansas St (15-13)7.7
59. Uab (23-7)7.6
60. Western Mich (13-17)7.6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)7.6
62. Montana St (13-14)7.5
63. Creighton (20-10)7.5
64. Michigan (22-11)7.5
65. Iupui (17-10)7.4
66. Minnesota (16-15)7.3
67. Alabama (18-13)7.2
68. Connecticut (30-4)7.2
69. New Orleans (8-19)7.2
70. Mississippi (14-16)7.0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Tenn Martin (11-15)7.0
72. Temple (17-15)6.9
73. Longwood (8-20)6.8
74. Geo Southern (18-10)6.8
75. Oral Roberts (20-12)6.7
76. Buffalo (18-13)6.6
77. St Francis NY (10-17)6.6
78. Northwestern St (23-8)6.5
79. Utah (13-15)6.3
80. Ohio St (26-6)6.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Indiana (19-12)6.3
82. Prairie View (3-24)6.3
83. West Virginia (21-11)6.2
84. High Point (14-13)6.2
85. NC Greensboro (10-19)6.2
86. Texas Tech (15-17)6.1
87. Valparaiso (16-12)6.1
88. Chicago St (11-19)6.1
89. Montana (22-7)6.1
90. Dayton (13-17)5.9

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Illinois (26-7)5.8
92. St Louis (16-13)5.7
93. Maryland (18-13)5.7
94. Ohio (18-11)5.6
95. SO Mississippi (7-21)5.6
96. East Carolina (6-20)5.5
97. Missouri St (22-9)5.4
98. Arizona (20-13)5.4
99. VA Commonwealth (19-10)5.4
100. Central Conn (18-11)5.4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Michigan St (21-12)5.4
102. Nevada (26-6)5.3
103. Boise St (13-15)5.2
104. Northeastern (18-11)5.2
105. Murray St (23-7)5.2
106. Portland (11-17)5.1
107. Florida St (20-10)5.1
108. NC Wilmington (25-8)5.0
109. Western KY (22-8)5.0
110. Alabama A&M (11-12)5.0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Tulane (11-16)4.9
112. Southern Ill (22-10)4.9
113. Chattanooga (15-13)4.9
114. Liu Brooklyn (11-16)4.9
115. San Francisco (11-17)4.8
116. North Texas (11-14)4.8
117. St Bonaventure (8-19)4.8
118. Troy St (11-15)4.8
119. Unlv (17-13)4.7
120. Washington St (11-17)4.7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. USC (16-13)4.7
122. Tennessee Tech (17-12)4.6
123. Northern Ill (16-11)4.6
124. Pittsburgh (25-8)4.6
125. Loyola Chi (17-11)4.6
126. Pennsylvania (19-9)4.6
127. Hofstra (26-7)4.6
128. Howard (7-22)4.5
129. Arkansas St (10-18)4.5
130. Niagara (11-18)4.5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Miami Ohio (18-11)4.5
132. Georgetown (23-10)4.5
133. South Dakota St (8-20)4.5
134. NO Carolina A&T (6-23)4.4
135. Winthrop (21-8)4.3
136. Ul Lafayette (13-16)4.3
137. Seton Hall (18-12)4.1
138. Marshall (12-16)4.1
139. Youngstown St (6-21)4.1
140. Belmont (20-11)4.1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Texas Southern (6-22)4.1
142. Dartmouth (6-21)4.0
143. Appalachian St (12-16)4.0
144. Alabama St (12-18)4.0
145. Clemson (18-13)4.0
146. SMU (12-16)4.0
147. Bucknell (26-5)3.9
148. Westrn Carolina (10-17)3.8
149. Texas AM (22-9)3.8
150. Northwestern (13-15)3.8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Villanova (28-5)3.7
152. Washington (26-7)3.7
153. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)3.6
154. Utah St (22-9)3.6
155. Memphis (33-4)3.6
156. Louisiana Tech (19-13)3.6
157. Rhode Island (14-14)3.5
158. Coppin St (12-18)3.5
159. San Diego St (22-9)3.5
160. Wake Forest (17-17)3.4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Bethune Cookman (15-15)3.4
162. Princeton (12-14)3.4
163. Sacred Heart (11-17)3.4
164. Santa Clara (11-16)3.4
165. Stony Brook (4-24)3.3
166. Yale (15-14)3.3
167. Alcorn St (8-20)3.2
168. Ul Monroe (7-18)3.1
169. Weber St (8-17)3.0
170. Wisc Milwaukee (21-9)3.0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Siena (15-13)3.0
172. Houston (20-10)3.0
173. Vermont (13-17)3.0
174. Georgia (15-15)2.9
175. Central Mich (3-24)2.9
176. Jacksonville (1-26)2.9
177. California (20-11)2.9
178. New Hampshire (12-17)2.9
179. IPFW (8-18)2.8
180. Northrn Arizona (18-11)2.8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. George Mason (27-8)2.8
182. Geo Washington (27-3)2.8
183. Mo Kansas City (13-14)2.8
184. Rider (8-20)2.8
185. Central Florida (12-15)2.7
186. Evansville (10-19)2.7
187. Florida Intl (7-20)2.7
188. UC Santa Barbara (14-14)2.7
189. Elon (12-14)2.7
190. American (12-17)2.6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Rice (10-16)2.6
192. Kent (24-9)2.6
193. Fordham (16-16)2.6
194. Texas Arlington (10-16)2.5
195. Miss Valley St (9-18)2.5
196. Quinnipiac (11-16)2.5
197. Delaware St (21-14)2.5
198. Drake (10-19)2.5
199. Holy Cross (20-12)2.4
200. Oregon St (13-18)2.4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Idaho St (11-14)2.4
202. New Mexico St (15-14)2.4
203. DePaul (12-15)2.3
204. Lehigh (17-12)2.3
205. Notre Dame (16-14)2.3
206. Iowa St (15-14)2.2
207. Loyola Marymnt (12-18)2.2
208. Cincinnati (20-13)2.1
209. Birmingham Southern (17-9)2.0
210. Colgate (9-19)2.0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Oklahoma St (17-16)2.0
212. Delaware (9-21)2.0
213. Loyola MD (15-13)1.9
214. St Johns (12-15)1.9
215. Tennessee St (12-15)1.9
216. Lafayette (9-17)1.9
217. Northern Iowa (21-10)1.8
218. Georgia St (7-22)1.8
219. Providence (12-15)1.8
220. James Madison (5-23)1.8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. William & Mary (8-20)1.7
222. Wichita St (25-9)1.7
223. Manhattan (20-11)1.7
224. St Marys CA (16-12)1.6
225. North Carolina St (22-10)1.6
226. Kansas (24-8)1.5
227. Wofford (7-18)1.4
228. San Diego (17-12)1.4
229. La Salle (18-10)1.4
230. SE Louisiana (13-11)1.4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Radford (14-13)1.3
232. Miami Fla (18-16)1.3
233. SE Missouri St (5-20)1.3
234. Wyoming (13-18)1.3
235. UC Davis (7-20)1.3
236. Centenary (3-23)1.2
237. St Francis PA (3-24)1.2
238. Columbia (10-16)1.1
239. Maine (10-16)1.1
240. Western Ill (5-21)1.1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Tennessee (22-8)1.0
242. Fair Dickinson (19-12)0.8
243. Sam Houston (18-9)0.7
244. CS Northridge (10-17)0.7
245. Xavier (21-11)0.7
246. McNeese St (11-14)0.7
247. VMI (4-20)0.6
248. SW Texas St (2-22)0.5
249. South Florida (7-22)0.5
250. Colorado St (14-15)0.5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Gonzaga (29-4)0.4
252. Boston U (12-16)0.4
253. South Alabama (23-7)0.2
254. Oregon (14-18)0.2
255. Pacific (22-8)0.2
256. Norfolk St (13-18)0.1
257. Duke (32-4)0.0
258. Nebraska (19-14)0.0
259. Jacksonville St (15-13)0.0
260. Towson (12-16)0.0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Stetson (14-18)-0.0
262. UC Riverside (5-22)-0.0
263. Indiana St (12-16)-0.0
264. Rutgers (18-14)-0.0
265. Florida A&M (13-17)-0.1
266. Boston College (27-8)-0.2
267. Middle Tenn St (15-12)-0.3
268. Samford (18-11)-0.3
269. Eastern Mich (7-21)-0.3
270. Illinois Chi (16-14)-0.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Eastern KY (13-16)-0.3
272. Cal Poly (8-19)-0.5
273. The Citadel (6-21)-0.5
274. LSU (26-9)-0.5
275. NC Asheville (8-18)-0.5
276. Fairfield (9-19)-0.5
277. Bowling Green (7-21)-0.6
278. Mt St Marys (13-17)-0.6
279. East Tenn St (15-13)-0.6
280. SO Carolina St (14-16)-0.6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. CS Fullerton (15-13)-0.6
282. Portland St (10-16)-0.8
283. Stephen Austin (14-12)-1.0
284. Virginia Tech (14-16)-1.0
285. Duquesne (3-24)-1.1
286. Morgan St (4-26)-1.2
287. Arizona St (11-17)-1.2
288. Sacramento St (13-15)-1.2
289. Navy (8-18)-1.3
290. Hartford (12-15)-1.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Tex San Antonio (9-17)-1.3
292. St Josephs (19-14)-1.4
293. Arkansas Lr (13-15)-1.7
294. TX Pan American (3-24)-1.7
295. Charleston Sou (10-15)-1.8
296. Albany NY (21-11)-1.8
297. Marist (19-10)-1.8
298. MD Eastrn Shore (7-22)-1.8
299. Eastern Ill (6-21)-1.9
300. Ball St (8-18)-2.1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. South Carolina (22-15)-2.3
302. St Peters (17-15)-2.6
303. Syracuse (23-12)-2.6
304. Campbell (10-18)-2.6
305. Lamar (14-13)-2.6
306. Mercer (9-19)-2.8
307. Monmouth NJ (19-15)-2.8
308. North Carolina (23-8)-2.9
309. Oakland (9-18)-3.0
310. Charlotte (19-13)-3.1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Penn St (15-15)-3.1
312. Long Beach St (17-12)-3.2
313. Kentucky (22-13)-3.2
314. Ark Pine Bluff (11-16)-3.3
315. Vanderbilt (17-13)-3.4
316. Grambling (12-13)-3.6
317. Kennesaw St (11-15)-3.7
318. Coll Of Charltn (15-11)-3.7
319. UC Irvine (16-11)-3.9
320. Canisius (9-20)-4.0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Morehead St (3-23)-4.2
322. Harvard (13-14)-4.2
323. San Jose St (6-25)-4.2
324. Brown (10-17)-4.3
325. Hampton (16-16)-4.4
326. Cornell (12-15)-4.4
327. Florida (33-6)-4.5
328. Binghamton (16-13)-5.2
329. Wagner (12-14)-5.3
330. UCLA (32-7)-5.5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Gardner-Webb (17-12)-6.3
332. Cleveland St (8-18)-7.7
333. Iona (23-8)-8.1
334. Army (3-22)-15.0
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