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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

RPI Away

By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:26 EST 2007


Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Tennessee (7-3)0.70022-22-12-0
2. Villanova (10-2)0.69121-22-06-0
3. North Carolina (8-2)0.67871-01-05-1
4. LSU (8-4)0.67620-33-12-0
5. Kansas (6-2)0.66860-11-03-0
6. Duke (10-2)0.66672-11-04-1
7. Illinois (5-4)0.66192-21-21-0
8. Connecticut (8-2)0.65831-12-12-0
9. West Virginia (5-4)0.65313-20-10-1
10. UCLA (8-2)0.64820-12-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Ohio St (6-3)0.64401-12-20-0
12. Kentucky (6-4)0.63791-21-11-1
13. Gonzaga (8-2)0.63120-20-00-0
14. Florida (6-4)0.63090-11-33-0
15. Texas (7-3)0.63061-10-11-1
16. North Carolina St (5-5)0.62941-31-02-1
17. Nevada (10-3)0.62170-01-05-0
18. Wichita St (8-3)0.61922-00-30-0
19. Boston College (8-3)0.61781-00-03-2
20. Syracuse (3-5)0.61770-41-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Washington (6-3)0.61581-01-00-2
22. Oklahoma (6-5)0.61500-21-11-1
23. Iona (11-2)0.61470-00-01-2
24. Vanderbilt (6-6)0.61291-22-21-1
25. Missouri St (8-6)0.60870-22-30-1
26. Memphis (10-1)0.60740-02-10-0
27. Northern Iowa (7-5)0.60743-10-20-1
28. Pittsburgh (5-5)0.60310-21-22-0
29. Cincinnati (3-7)0.60281-31-11-3
30. George Mason (8-5)0.60131-00-23-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Seton Hall (5-6)0.60092-20-01-2
32. Geo Washington (10-1)0.60020-01-03-1
33. South Carolina (6-7)0.59981-11-22-3
34. Hofstra (10-5)0.59760-01-12-3
35. Miami Fla (4-8)0.59631-21-21-4
36. Georgia (3-7)0.59600-31-22-0
37. California (6-4)0.59531-10-10-1
38. Georgetown (7-6)0.59420-30-23-0
39. St Josephs (8-8)0.59390-10-22-3
40. Bucknell (11-3)0.59191-10-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Penn St (3-7)0.59041-40-30-0
42. Western KY (7-5)0.58990-11-21-0
43. Houston (7-8)0.58551-30-10-3
44. Uab (7-5)0.58540-20-00-3
45. Charlotte (9-6)0.58540-01-21-2
46. San Diego St (6-5)0.58520-00-01-3
47. Michigan (5-6)0.58480-40-12-0
48. Notre Dame (4-7)0.58290-21-31-2
49. Southern Ill (7-6)0.58220-31-11-0
50. Florida St (4-6)0.58170-30-03-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Arkansas (3-5)0.57971-10-21-0
52. Michigan St (3-7)0.57901-20-30-1
53. Kent (8-5)0.57890-10-12-1
54. Marquette (3-7)0.57860-20-23-2
55. Wisc Milwaukee (8-6)0.57850-10-11-1
56. Nebraska (3-7)0.57810-10-42-1
57. Xavier (5-5)0.57750-01-12-1
58. La Salle (7-6)0.57620-10-21-2
59. Louisiana Tech (7-9)0.57620-11-30-3
60. Texas AM (4-5)0.57600-20-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Manhattan (8-7)0.57500-10-02-2
62. Arizona (4-7)0.57471-20-11-1
63. St Peters (7-7)0.57250-20-01-2
64. Marist (10-5)0.57170-00-01-3
65. Creighton (5-7)0.57121-31-10-1
66. Iowa (4-7)0.56930-21-20-2
67. Utah St (7-6)0.56860-01-11-1
68. Old Dominion (8-6)0.56780-11-21-1
69. NC Wilmington (8-6)0.56750-10-21-2
70. Rutgers (5-7)0.56520-20-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Pacific (9-4)0.56510-00-01-1
72. Winthrop (7-6)0.56270-11-20-0
73. Northwestern St (10-6)0.56230-10-11-1
74. USC (4-6)0.56030-20-10-2
75. Miami Ohio (7-8)0.55950-10-31-3
76. Colorado (4-7)0.55890-10-22-1
77. Pennsylvania (7-4)0.55730-10-00-0
78. Indiana (5-7)0.55720-31-11-1
79. Virginia Tech (3-8)0.55690-30-02-5
80. Stanford (4-9)0.55630-40-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Alabama (3-7)0.55530-21-20-2
82. Air Force (6-5)0.55450-10-01-2
83. Middle Tenn St (6-8)0.55430-10-00-4
84. Texas El Paso (5-7)0.55410-20-21-0
85. Arizona St (3-7)0.55360-30-11-1
86. Samford (8-7)0.55320-20-00-3
87. Ohio (5-7)0.55310-00-10-3
88. Albany NY (8-7)0.55270-20-00-2
89. Illinois Chi (6-7)0.55130-11-00-2
90. UC Irvine (8-4)0.55090-00-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Holy Cross (7-7)0.55080-10-31-0
92. Delaware St (10-10)0.55050-20-21-3
93. BYU (4-7)0.55000-00-10-4
94. Lamar (7-6)0.54950-10-00-3
95. St Marys CA (5-5)0.54870-10-10-1
96. Northern Ill (6-6)0.54830-10-00-4
97. St Louis (5-8)0.54810-10-22-0
98. VA Commonwealth (6-7)0.54730-11-20-2
99. Akron (7-8)0.54710-00-21-5
100. Murray St (8-4)0.54700-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Providence (3-8)0.54650-30-32-1
102. Bradley (5-8)0.54640-21-21-1
103. Northwestern (3-8)0.54560-20-32-2
104. Maryland (2-7)0.54510-20-01-5
105. Clemson (4-8)0.54470-20-00-6
106. Sam Houston (7-7)0.54430-00-21-2
107. St Johns (2-8)0.54400-40-11-1
108. Drexel (4-9)0.54400-10-20-4
109. South Alabama (9-4)0.54330-10-00-0
110. Monmouth NJ (9-8)0.54230-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Loyola Marymnt (4-11)0.54230-30-01-3
112. Montana (8-5)0.54160-00-00-0
113. DePaul (4-8)0.54140-10-21-3
114. Northrn Arizona (6-6)0.54120-00-10-2
115. Gardner-Webb (11-7)0.54090-20-01-0
116. Northeastern (5-8)0.53960-10-20-2
117. Binghamton (7-7)0.53860-10-10-1
118. Fair Dickinson (8-8)0.53750-00-00-4
119. Rhode Island (4-7)0.53710-00-20-1
120. Lehigh (6-7)0.53660-20-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. New Mexico St (4-10)0.53510-10-22-2
122. Colorado St (5-7)0.53470-00-00-4
123. Towson (5-8)0.53280-10-20-2
124. Cleveland St (4-8)0.53250-20-10-2
125. Sacramento St (7-9)0.53100-10-10-1
126. Siena (5-9)0.53080-10-11-2
127. Iowa St (3-6)0.53040-10-10-1
128. Indiana St (4-8)0.53010-31-21-0
129. Coll Of Charltn (5-6)0.52960-01-00-3
130. Wisconsin (2-8)0.52940-40-11-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Unlv (4-8)0.52840-00-00-5
132. Temple (4-9)0.52650-10-11-2
133. Oklahoma St (3-8)0.52540-20-20-2
134. Long Beach St (7-7)0.52490-00-01-3
135. Butler (5-10)0.52470-10-30-2
136. Virginia (2-11)0.52300-30-10-6
137. Washington St (2-9)0.52231-20-11-2
138. Belmont (7-8)0.52180-20-00-0
139. Loyola Chi (5-8)0.52170-00-30-1
140. Wagner (6-8)0.52050-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Drake (3-9)0.51940-40-30-0
142. Jacksonville St (6-6)0.51940-00-00-2
143. Harvard (6-8)0.51920-10-00-1
144. Oregon (3-9)0.51900-20-10-3
145. Tennessee Tech (6-8)0.51870-20-10-1
146. Buffalo (5-9)0.51730-10-00-5
147. Eastern Wash (5-9)0.51660-20-00-2
148. Minnesota (2-9)0.51490-30-30-1
149. Louisville (1-8)0.51470-30-30-1
150. Cornell (5-10)0.51420-20-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Geo Southern (7-7)0.51400-10-00-2
152. Loyola MD (7-8)0.51390-00-00-3
153. Coast Carolina (5-9)0.51340-00-21-2
154. Hawaii (3-7)0.51340-00-20-4
155. Coppin St (5-12)0.51290-50-10-2
156. Central Florida (3-7)0.51290-21-10-0
157. Fordham (5-10)0.51250-00-12-4
158. Eastern KY (5-8)0.51220-10-00-2
159. Ul Lafayette (4-12)0.51190-20-22-2
160. Dayton (2-9)0.51190-01-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Davidson (4-9)0.50920-30-00-1
162. Wake Forest (2-9)0.50920-20-00-6
163. San Diego (6-8)0.50780-20-00-0
164. Bowling Green (4-10)0.50750-10-01-3
165. Texas Tech (2-9)0.50750-20-21-3
166. Idaho St (5-7)0.50750-00-10-1
167. Brown (6-7)0.50550-00-00-1
168. Birmingham Southern (6-7)0.50530-00-10-2
169. Portland St (5-10)0.50490-10-10-2
170. Fairfield (4-10)0.50460-20-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Arkansas Lr (3-7)0.50440-10-10-2
172. East Tenn St (6-8)0.50380-10-00-1
173. Iupui (6-7)0.50300-00-00-2
174. SE Louisiana (5-7)0.50290-00-00-1
175. Boston U (5-9)0.50220-10-10-0
176. Southern (6-11)0.50160-30-10-2
177. Princeton (5-8)0.50080-00-00-4
178. Oral Roberts (6-8)0.50080-10-00-3
179. Utah (3-8)0.50050-00-01-4
180. Lipscomb (6-9)0.50040-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Mississippi St (1-8)0.49990-20-31-1
182. Elon (4-9)0.49980-00-01-3
183. Rice (3-7)0.49970-00-20-2
184. Radford (5-8)0.49920-10-10-1
185. CS Fullerton (7-6)0.49900-00-00-1
186. San Francisco (3-8)0.49850-10-10-1
187. High Point (6-10)0.49840-00-10-2
188. Charleston Sou (6-9)0.49680-00-00-2
189. Mt St Marys (5-9)0.49660-00-00-1
190. SO Carolina St (6-10)0.49540-00-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Auburn (1-11)0.49490-40-30-2
192. Florida A&M (6-11)0.49450-20-20-2
193. Portland (4-9)0.49350-10-00-2
194. Kennesaw St (5-8)0.49340-00-10-0
195. Norfolk St (5-10)0.49240-10-30-0
196. Stephen Austin (6-8)0.49240-00-00-0
197. Ball St (4-10)0.49210-00-00-3
198. UC Santa Barbara (5-9)0.49010-10-00-2
199. Fresno St (3-10)0.48950-00-21-4
200. Canisius (4-10)0.48950-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Evansville (2-11)0.48900-30-30-1
202. Stetson (6-10)0.48840-10-00-3
203. Central Conn (7-7)0.48760-00-00-0
204. North Texas (3-9)0.48750-00-20-2
205. McNeese St (5-11)0.48640-10-10-2
206. Valparaiso (5-10)0.48610-20-11-0
207. Kansas St (2-8)0.48530-11-00-2
208. Oregon St (2-10)0.48300-20-11-1
209. Yale (4-10)0.48200-00-20-1
210. Toledo (4-8)0.48200-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Texas A&M-CC (5-7)0.48190-10-10-1
212. San Jose St (3-12)0.48160-00-10-5
213. Mississippi (1-9)0.47970-21-20-1
214. NC Asheville (4-13)0.47940-10-10-4
215. Massachusetts (2-11)0.47910-20-10-3
216. American (4-12)0.47840-10-20-2
217. Niagara (3-10)0.47770-00-01-2
218. Santa Clara (3-10)0.47720-20-00-0
219. Lafayette (4-10)0.47710-00-20-2
220. Chattanooga (4-8)0.47660-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. New Mexico (2-9)0.47640-00-00-5
222. Tennessee St (5-11)0.47590-10-00-2
223. Boise St (3-9)0.47480-00-10-4
224. Hartford (6-8)0.47450-00-00-1
225. Austin Peay (4-12)0.47390-00-00-4
226. Texas Arlington (3-11)0.47360-10-00-2
227. Western Mich (3-10)0.47310-00-00-4
228. Tulsa (3-11)0.47050-10-20-2
229. Wright St (3-12)0.47040-00-10-3
230. Montana St (3-7)0.46930-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Mercer (5-9)0.46900-00-00-2
232. Mo Kansas City (5-9)0.46870-00-10-0
233. CS Northridge (4-9)0.46830-00-00-1
234. Wyoming (2-9)0.46660-00-00-4
235. Tulane (2-11)0.46660-20-20-3
236. Oakland (4-9)0.46640-00-20-0
237. Ul Monroe (2-12)0.46560-10-10-3
238. Missouri (1-9)0.46561-00-20-3
239. Campbell (5-9)0.46510-00-00-1
240. Georgia Tech (1-11)0.46500-30-00-7

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. New Hampshire (4-11)0.46480-10-00-1
242. Georgia St (3-11)0.46430-00-30-3
243. Grambling (6-8)0.46370-00-10-1
244. Rider (2-12)0.46280-10-00-3
245. Florida Intl (2-12)0.46220-10-20-3
246. Marshall (3-8)0.46220-00-20-0
247. Quinnipiac (3-10)0.46200-10-00-0
248. Vermont (4-12)0.46170-10-00-1
249. Alabama A&M (4-9)0.46160-10-00-2
250. Miss Valley St (4-9)0.46000-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Army (3-11)0.45960-10-20-1
252. Hampton (5-8)0.45910-10-00-0
253. Fla Atlantic (5-8)0.45890-00-00-0
254. William & Mary (3-12)0.45810-10-10-4
255. Weber St (3-10)0.45730-00-00-2
256. Cal Poly (3-11)0.45610-00-00-3
257. Sacred Heart (3-12)0.45560-10-00-1
258. Liu Brooklyn (4-10)0.45500-00-00-0
259. Appalachian St (4-10)0.45390-10-00-2
260. South Florida (1-9)0.45330-20-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Arkansas St (2-12)0.45240-10-00-4
262. Westrn Carolina (3-10)0.45210-00-01-2
263. Columbia (4-9)0.45170-00-00-2
264. Baylor (0-8)0.45070-20-20-2
265. Tenn Martin (3-12)0.45060-10-00-3
266. Tex San Antonio (2-10)0.45060-10-00-3
267. Alabama St (4-12)0.44970-10-10-1
268. Chicago St (3-15)0.44860-20-10-1
269. Bethune Cookman (5-11)0.44480-20-00-1
270. South Dakota St (2-14)0.44170-10-20-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Purdue (0-12)0.44100-40-20-2
272. Navy (3-10)0.44100-00-10-1
273. Robert Morris (4-12)0.44040-20-00-0
274. St Bonaventure (2-10)0.44010-00-10-1
275. Maine (3-11)0.43980-10-00-1
276. Utah Valley St (4-9)0.43960-00-00-1
277. Furman (4-10)0.43950-00-00-2
278. IPFW (4-13)0.43930-10-00-2
279. Detroit (2-13)0.43920-10-20-4
280. Ark Pine Bluff (5-10)0.43860-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Texas Southern (2-15)0.43750-40-10-2
282. SMU (3-9)0.43700-10-10-2
283. Wisc Green Bay (2-10)0.43640-10-20-1
284. Eastern Ill (3-12)0.43490-00-00-2
285. Wofford (2-12)0.43300-00-20-4
286. Delaware (2-12)0.43190-10-20-2
287. UC Davis (2-11)0.43180-00-10-2
288. Jackson St (4-13)0.43080-10-10-1
289. New Orleans (1-13)0.42910-10-10-3
290. Denver (3-12)0.42910-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Richmond (1-10)0.42480-00-20-4
292. Stony Brook (1-16)0.42280-30-20-0
293. St Francis NY (2-12)0.42270-10-00-1
294. Pepperdine (1-13)0.42220-10-21-0
295. Colgate (2-11)0.41890-20-10-0
296. Eastern Mich (3-12)0.41860-00-10-2
297. UC Riverside (2-11)0.41770-00-01-0
298. Alcorn St (3-15)0.41690-00-10-1
299. East Carolina (1-11)0.41550-00-10-4
300. Morehead St (2-13)0.41430-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Dartmouth (2-12)0.41370-10-00-2
302. Duquesne (1-11)0.41230-00-10-4
303. SE Missouri St (2-12)0.41210-10-00-1
304. James Madison (1-11)0.41170-10-10-3
305. MD Eastrn Shore (3-14)0.41080-10-10-1
306. Troy St (2-10)0.41070-00-00-2
307. Illinois St (0-12)0.40930-30-40-1
308. VMI (2-11)0.40800-00-00-3
309. SO Mississippi (0-10)0.40520-10-30-0
310. St Francis PA (1-13)0.40360-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Idaho (0-15)0.40310-20-20-3
312. Nicholls St (2-13)0.40310-10-10-1
313. North Dakota St (2-11)0.40260-01-00-1
314. Youngstown St (2-14)0.40240-00-10-2
315. The Citadel (3-10)0.40080-00-00-2
316. Morgan St (2-14)0.40040-20-00-2
317. TCU (0-11)0.39780-10-00-4
318. SW Texas St (1-13)0.39260-10-10-1
319. Western Ill (1-13)0.38830-00-20-0
320. Central Mich (1-14)0.38670-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Southern Utah (2-14)0.38430-00-00-2
322. NO Carolina A&T (2-16)0.38410-00-10-1
323. Umbc (1-13)0.38160-00-10-1
324. NC Greensboro (1-13)0.38140-00-10-3
325. TX Pan American (1-15)0.37950-30-10-0
326. Centenary (1-13)0.37390-00-10-0
327. Longwood (1-13)0.36620-00-00-2
328. Northern Colorado (0-14)0.36390-00-10-2
329. Liberty (0-14)0.35980-00-10-3
330. Howard (1-13)0.34910-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Jacksonville (0-15)0.34480-10-00-0
332. Savannah St (0-19)0.33450-20-10-2
333. Prairie View (0-15)0.33180-10-00-1
334. North Florida (0-14)0.32350-00-00-0
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