NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Neutral

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:26 EST 2007


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5948


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Florida (11-0)0.76126-03-02-0
7. LSU (4-3)0.67942-21-11-0
13. South Carolina (6-2)0.66581-12-11-0
33. Kentucky (6-4)0.63000-23-22-0
55. Arkansas (4-4)0.59430-21-11-1
63. Alabama (1-2)0.58310-11-10-0
74. Tennessee (2-3)0.57120-10-12-1
87. Vanderbilt (0-0)0.55830-00-00-0
106. Mississippi St (3-2)0.53870-00-10-1
119. Mississippi (2-1)0.52610-00-10-0
121. Auburn (0-0)0.52600-00-00-0
145. Georgia (3-3)0.50360-00-10-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Connecticut (6-2)0.69282-23-00-0
9. Syracuse (6-2)0.67063-11-10-0
10. Pittsburgh (4-2)0.67051-21-02-0
22. Georgetown (5-2)0.64871-22-01-0
24. Rutgers (2-2)0.64170-20-02-0
25. Villanova (6-2)0.64121-22-01-0
35. Cincinnati (2-1)0.62401-10-00-0
58. Marquette (3-2)0.59160-11-10-0
72. West Virginia (4-5)0.57221-31-11-0
103. Louisville (1-2)0.54080-10-11-0
112. Providence (0-0)0.53160-00-00-0
136. St Johns (0-0)0.50960-00-00-0
165. South Florida (2-3)0.48320-00-00-1
172. Notre Dame (0-2)0.47150-10-00-1
206. Seton Hall (0-2)0.45140-10-00-1
298. DePaul (1-0)0.00-00-01-0


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Duke (8-1)0.72063-11-02-0
19. Wake Forest (3-2)0.65310-20-02-0
20. Boston College (6-3)0.65091-30-04-0
41. North Carolina (2-2)0.61180-20-02-0
43. Clemson (2-1)0.60940-00-01-1
47. Maryland (2-3)0.60180-21-10-0
67. North Carolina St (2-2)0.57900-10-02-1
70. Virginia (2-1)0.57280-10-00-0
73. Miami Fla (3-3)0.57130-10-01-2
118. Florida St (2-1)0.52930-00-00-1
128. Virginia Tech (1-1)0.51900-00-01-1
320. Georgia Tech (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5974


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Indiana (4-2)0.66910-22-02-0
15. Iowa (4-2)0.66382-11-01-1
21. Michigan St (6-3)0.65043-31-00-0
23. Illinois (6-2)0.64711-20-03-0
37. Minnesota (1-1)0.62020-11-00-0
40. Ohio St (4-2)0.61700-21-02-0
53. Penn St (1-1)0.59580-10-00-0
82. Wisconsin (3-2)0.56730-00-21-0
89. Northwestern (2-2)0.55690-00-11-0
113. Michigan (1-2)0.53140-00-11-1
204. Purdue (0-2)0.45250-10-00-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. UCLA (10-2)0.71473-23-01-0
32. Washington (3-2)0.63051-10-01-0
38. Arizona (4-4)0.61780-42-01-0
57. Oregon (2-2)0.59171-10-00-1
85. Oregon St (4-2)0.56380-10-01-1
111. California (2-4)0.53290-10-10-2
152. USC (1-2)0.49590-00-00-1
182. Stanford (1-2)0.46450-00-10-0
190. Washington St (1-3)0.46050-00-10-1
295. Arizona St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Texas (7-3)0.67791-23-12-0
28. Texas AM (2-2)0.63841-20-01-0
61. Kansas (4-4)0.58801-10-32-0
62. Oklahoma St (3-3)0.58651-20-11-0
64. Nebraska (2-2)0.58241-00-10-1
77. Iowa St (3-2)0.56910-10-01-1
86. Colorado (2-1)0.56370-00-10-0
138. Texas Tech (1-4)0.50920-20-10-1
177. Missouri (0-2)0.46830-10-00-0
214. Oklahoma (0-3)0.44640-00-20-0
313. Kansas St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
325. Baylor (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Bradley (4-2)0.69022-12-10-0
51. Wichita St (4-4)0.59731-40-01-0
60. Southern Ill (4-2)0.59031-01-10-0
68. Northern Iowa (3-2)0.57711-10-10-0
131. Indiana St (1-1)0.51790-10-00-0
135. Evansville (1-1)0.50990-00-10-0
200. Drake (1-2)0.45280-10-00-0
289. Missouri St (0-1)0.00-00-10-0
291. Creighton (0-1)0.00-10-00-0
331. Illinois St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. Iona (5-2)0.56890-10-10-0
105. Canisius (1-1)0.53920-00-00-0
129. Siena (0-0)0.51850-00-00-0
139. Marist (1-1)0.50920-00-00-1
160. St Peters (3-3)0.48550-00-01-1
168. Niagara (2-2)0.48050-00-00-1
170. Rider (1-1)0.47580-00-00-0
187. Manhattan (1-1)0.46220-00-00-0
215. Fairfield (1-1)0.44520-00-00-0
305. Loyola MD (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. St Josephs (4-1)0.66170-11-01-0
31. Temple (2-1)0.63460-01-10-0
39. Geo Washington (2-2)0.61740-11-01-1
81. Xavier (2-2)0.56740-20-00-0
93. Fordham (3-2)0.55300-00-00-2
101. Massachusetts (1-2)0.54110-00-10-1
149. La Salle (1-1)0.49820-00-00-0
175. Charlotte (1-1)0.46860-00-00-0
203. Dayton (0-3)0.45260-00-30-0
248. Duquesne (0-0)0.39740-00-00-0
259. St Bonaventure (0-2)0.37520-00-10-0
275. Richmond (1-2)0.35170-00-00-0
296. St Louis (0-1)0.00-00-10-0
301. Rhode Island (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5329


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. George Mason (7-2)0.66644-10-10-0
17. NC Wilmington (5-1)0.65830-01-12-0
50. Hofstra (2-1)0.59801-00-10-0
80. Northeastern (4-1)0.56750-00-11-0
92. Delaware (3-1)0.55360-00-10-0
97. VA Commonwealth (0-0)0.54950-00-00-0
115. James Madison (1-1)0.52950-00-00-1
120. Old Dominion (2-3)0.52600-00-21-1
155. Georgia St (1-2)0.48960-10-00-1
194. Drexel (0-4)0.45770-20-00-0
222. William & Mary (0-0)0.44090-00-00-0
269. Towson (0-2)0.35710-10-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. New Mexico St (2-0)0.63790-00-00-0
71. Utah St (2-1)0.57260-10-01-0
122. Nevada (0-2)0.52410-10-00-1
146. Boise St (1-1)0.50060-00-00-1
148. Louisiana Tech (3-2)0.49820-00-00-1
159. San Jose St (1-2)0.48640-00-00-1
244. Idaho (0-0)0.40420-00-00-0
307. Hawaii (0-1)0.00-00-00-1
311. Fresno St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. Gonzaga (5-2)0.66551-21-03-0
59. San Diego (3-0)0.59050-00-00-0
156. Santa Clara (1-1)0.48940-00-00-0
198. St Marys CA (1-2)0.45590-00-00-1
237. Loyola Marymnt (1-2)0.41350-00-00-0
255. San Francisco (0-3)0.38390-00-00-0
284. Portland (0-3)0.30130-00-00-0
328. Pepperdine (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5066


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
36. Wyoming (3-1)0.62090-00-01-1
78. Unlv (1-1)0.56900-00-00-1
94. Air Force (2-2)0.55240-10-01-0
95. San Diego St (4-2)0.55120-00-11-0
123. BYU (2-1)0.52300-00-00-0
166. Colorado St (2-2)0.48230-00-00-2
183. Utah (1-2)0.46450-00-01-0
189. New Mexico (0-2)0.46090-10-00-1
279. TCU (0-4)0.33520-00-00-1


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4640


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
34. Montana (3-1)0.62480-11-00-0
96. Sacramento St (1-1)0.55060-00-00-0
161. Portland St (1-1)0.48460-00-00-1
199. Northrn Arizona (2-2)0.45290-00-00-1
209. Eastern Wash (0-4)0.44910-00-20-1
223. Weber St (0-0)0.43910-00-00-0
271. Montana St (0-3)0.35560-00-00-0
272. Idaho St (0-2)0.35510-00-00-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Toledo (2-1)0.63680-00-01-1
69. Kent (4-2)0.57480-10-01-1
84. Buffalo (2-1)0.56430-00-00-1
104. Akron (3-2)0.54020-00-00-1
110. Ohio (1-2)0.53560-00-11-1
157. Marshall (2-2)0.48840-01-00-0
216. Ball St (0-0)0.44510-00-00-0
227. Western Mich (1-3)0.43060-00-00-1
239. Northern Ill (1-2)0.41290-00-00-0
247. Eastern Mich (0-0)0.39990-00-00-0
254. Central Mich (0-0)0.38390-00-00-0
265. Bowling Green (0-3)0.36570-00-00-1
292. Miami Ohio (0-1)0.00-00-00-1


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Memphis (4-2)0.70352-21-00-0
52. Uab (3-1)0.59590-00-11-0
108. SMU (1-1)0.53630-00-10-0
130. Texas El Paso (1-1)0.51850-00-10-0
151. SO Mississippi (2-3)0.49660-00-00-2
157. Marshall (2-2)0.48840-01-00-0
171. Central Florida (1-3)0.47190-00-10-1
202. Tulane (3-2)0.45270-00-00-0
251. Rice (0-3)0.39260-00-10-0
290. Houston (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
316. Tulsa (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
330. East Carolina (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4607


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. Long Beach St (2-1)0.60080-00-00-1
99. Cal Poly (1-1)0.54900-00-00-1
114. Pacific (3-1)0.53040-10-00-0
164. UC Irvine (1-2)0.48360-10-00-0
211. CS Fullerton (2-2)0.44760-00-00-0
249. CS Northridge (1-2)0.39740-00-00-1
277. UC Santa Barbara (1-1)0.34570-00-00-0
280. UC Riverside (0-2)0.33130-00-00-0


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Wisc Milwaukee (1-1)0.65791-10-00-0
83. Butler (3-2)0.56470-00-20-0
132. Illinois Chi (2-2)0.51610-00-01-0
144. Wisc Green Bay (2-2)0.50410-00-00-2
162. Wright St (0-0)0.48400-00-00-0
207. Cleveland St (0-0)0.44980-00-00-0
245. Youngstown St (0-0)0.40180-00-00-0
246. Detroit (0-2)0.40150-00-00-0
303. Loyola Chi (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
27. Bucknell (2-1)0.64060-11-00-0
102. American (1-1)0.54100-10-00-0
125. Holy Cross (2-2)0.52020-00-00-1
142. Colgate (2-2)0.50530-10-00-0
169. Lehigh (2-2)0.47600-00-00-1
261. Army (0-0)0.37380-00-00-0
314. Lafayette (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
326. Navy (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
180. Harvard (0-0)0.46510-00-00-0
219. Yale (3-1)0.44280-00-01-0
234. Brown (0-2)0.42210-00-00-1
253. Dartmouth (0-3)0.38670-00-10-0
293. Pennsylvania (0-1)0.00-10-00-0
304. Cornell (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
309. Princeton (0-1)0.00-00-00-1
324. Columbia (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. South Alabama (3-1)0.64100-10-01-0
75. Denver (3-1)0.56930-00-00-1
76. Western KY (3-1)0.56920-00-00-1
100. Arkansas Lr (2-2)0.54170-10-00-1
124. Troy St (3-1)0.52040-00-00-0
127. Ul Lafayette (1-1)0.51910-00-00-1
213. Arkansas St (2-1)0.44660-00-00-0
229. New Orleans (1-3)0.42820-00-00-2
294. Middle Tenn St (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
312. North Texas (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
321. Florida Intl (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
66. Tex San Antonio (2-0)0.57940-00-00-0
91. Northwestern St (2-2)0.55551-00-10-1
147. Texas Arlington (2-2)0.49990-00-00-1
173. McNeese St (0-0)0.46990-00-00-0
201. Stephen Austin (0-0)0.45280-00-00-0
242. Lamar (1-3)0.40520-00-00-1
264. SW Texas St (0-0)0.36640-00-00-0
297. Sam Houston (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
308. SE Louisiana (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
318. Ul Monroe (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
332. Nicholls St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4789


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
46. Samford (2-1)0.60310-00-00-1
54. Murray St (2-2)0.59530-20-00-0
65. Austin Peay (2-0)0.58090-00-00-0
140. Tennessee Tech (1-1)0.50860-00-00-0
176. Eastern KY (1-2)0.46840-00-10-1
178. Tennessee St (0-0)0.46680-00-00-0
191. Tenn Martin (0-0)0.46050-00-00-0
231. Jacksonville St (0-2)0.42760-00-00-1
250. Eastern Ill (0-0)0.39520-00-00-0
252. SE Missouri St (0-0)0.38760-00-00-0
260. Morehead St (0-0)0.37400-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
49. Winthrop (1-1)0.59950-10-00-0
134. Birmingham Southern (2-0)0.51030-00-00-0
154. High Point (1-1)0.49190-00-00-0
185. Radford (3-1)0.46300-00-00-0
205. NC Asheville (0-0)0.45220-00-00-0
257. VMI (0-0)0.37980-00-00-0
274. Liberty (0-2)0.35180-00-00-0
306. Coast Carolina (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
310. Charleston Sou (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4211


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Monmouth NJ (2-3)0.55750-11-10-0
153. Central Conn (0-0)0.49380-00-00-0
181. Robert Morris (0-0)0.46470-00-00-0
193. Wagner (0-0)0.45850-00-00-0
226. St Francis NY (0-0)0.43610-00-00-0
230. Mt St Marys (1-2)0.42810-00-00-1
256. Fair Dickinson (1-1)0.38070-00-00-0
281. St Francis PA (0-2)0.32910-00-00-0
287. Liu Brooklyn (0-2)0.24160-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
90. Albany NY (3-1)0.55600-10-00-0
197. Maine (2-1)0.45660-00-00-0
210. New Hampshire (1-2)0.44810-00-00-0
212. Boston U (1-2)0.44730-00-10-0
238. Umbc (1-2)0.41310-00-00-1
300. Binghamton (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
315. Hartford (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
322. Vermont (1-0)0.00-00-00-0
327. Stony Brook (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Belmont (3-1)0.60550-10-00-0
126. Lipscomb (4-1)0.51990-00-00-0
192. East Tenn St (0-0)0.45990-00-00-0
224. Kennesaw St (1-2)0.43700-00-00-0
258. Stetson (1-3)0.37660-00-00-0
268. Fla Atlantic (0-3)0.35870-00-00-0
276. Jacksonville (0-0)0.34930-00-00-0
285. Mercer (0-3)0.29830-00-00-0
299. Gardner-Webb (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
319. Campbell (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
334. North Florida (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
45. Davidson (2-1)0.60360-10-00-0
133. Chattanooga (2-2)0.51370-00-00-1
141. Wofford (1-1)0.50720-00-00-0
163. Elon (1-1)0.48370-00-00-1
179. Appalachian St (2-2)0.46550-00-00-0
186. Furman (0-0)0.46230-00-00-0
218. NC Greensboro (3-2)0.44360-00-00-0
232. The Citadel (1-1)0.42540-00-00-0
240. Westrn Carolina (1-3)0.40650-00-10-0
263. Geo Southern (1-2)0.36840-00-00-0
302. Coll Of Charltn (1-0)0.00-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
107. Hampton (4-1)0.53760-00-00-0
184. SO Carolina St (3-3)0.46360-00-00-0
188. Delaware St (2-3)0.46130-10-00-0
195. MD Eastrn Shore (1-1)0.45750-00-00-0
196. Bethune Cookman (2-1)0.45680-00-00-0
233. Norfolk St (2-4)0.42290-00-10-0
241. Howard (2-4)0.40560-00-00-1
266. Florida A&M (0-2)0.36120-00-00-0
270. Coppin St (0-4)0.35600-00-00-1
278. Morgan St (0-3)0.33580-00-00-0
333. NO Carolina A&T (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Oral Roberts (2-2)0.59360-10-10-0
98. Valparaiso (2-0)0.54950-00-00-0
143. Chicago St (2-2)0.50490-00-00-1
150. Oakland (1-2)0.49780-00-00-0
174. Iupui (2-2)0.46970-00-00-1
228. Western Ill (1-1)0.42970-00-00-0
262. Centenary (0-0)0.36960-00-00-0
273. Southern Utah (0-3)0.35410-00-00-0
317. Mo Kansas City (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
109. Ark Pine Bluff (2-1)0.53560-00-00-0
116. Southern (3-2)0.52950-10-00-0
208. Jackson St (1-2)0.44960-00-00-0
220. Alabama St (1-2)0.44160-00-00-1
243. Grambling (1-1)0.40500-00-00-0
267. Miss Valley St (0-5)0.36030-00-00-1
283. Prairie View (0-2)0.30950-00-00-0
286. Texas Southern (0-2)0.26160-00-00-0
323. Alabama A&M (0-1)0.00-00-00-0
329. Alcorn St (0-1)0.00-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4439


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. North Dakota St (2-0)0.60970-00-00-0
117. UC Davis (1-1)0.52940-00-00-0
137. Texas A&M-CC (2-0)0.50940-00-00-0
158. TX Pan American (1-1)0.48690-00-00-1
167. Longwood (1-3)0.48140-10-00-1
225. South Dakota St (1-1)0.43650-00-00-1
235. Savannah St (0-2)0.41950-00-00-1
236. IPFW (0-0)0.41810-00-00-0
282. Northern Colorado (0-3)0.31890-00-00-0
288. Utah Valley St (0-2)0.22970-00-00-0
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