NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

Recent Articles:
Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Neutral Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:22 EST 2007

Home Court Advantage = 3.3

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Florida (11-0)103.57-01-03-0
6. South Carolina (6-2)93.32-12-10-0
12. LSU (4-3)91.22-21-11-0
38. Kentucky (6-4)87.91-31-12-0
57. Alabama (1-2)85.40-21-00-0
58. Arkansas (4-4)85.41-20-01-2
69. Vanderbilt (0-0)84.10-00-00-0
98. Tennessee (2-3)80.90-10-22-0
114. Auburn (0-0)79.40-00-00-0
118. Mississippi St (3-2)78.80-10-00-1
122. Mississippi (2-1)78.30-10-00-0
129. Georgia (3-3)77.80-10-00-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 84.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. DePaul (1-0)94.40-01-00-0
8. Syracuse (6-2)92.53-11-11-0
11. Georgetown (5-2)91.31-13-10-0
14. Pittsburgh (4-2)91.12-01-21-0
15. Connecticut (6-2)90.94-11-10-0
23. Villanova (6-2)90.22-21-01-0
28. Cincinnati (2-1)89.01-00-10-0
45. Rutgers (2-2)86.50-20-02-0
66. West Virginia (4-5)84.40-41-02-0
74. Marquette (3-2)83.91-10-10-0
87. Louisville (1-2)82.50-20-01-0
102. Providence (0-0)80.80-00-00-0
116. St Johns (0-0)79.30-00-00-0
155. South Florida (2-3)75.00-00-00-1
159. Notre Dame (0-2)74.70-10-10-0
261. Seton Hall (0-2)65.20-00-10-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 83.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
24. Iowa (4-2)90.12-11-01-1
26. Indiana (4-2)89.11-11-12-0
27. Michigan St (6-3)89.03-21-10-0
33. Illinois (6-2)88.30-11-14-0
52. Minnesota (1-1)86.20-11-00-0
53. Penn St (1-1)86.10-10-00-0
54. Ohio St (4-2)86.10-21-01-0
92. Michigan (1-2)82.10-10-01-1
103. Wisconsin (3-2)80.40-10-11-0
125. Northwestern (2-2)78.10-00-11-0
255. Purdue (0-2)65.90-00-10-1


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 83.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Duke (8-1)95.33-11-02-0
16. Wake Forest (3-2)90.80-22-01-0
18. Boston College (6-3)90.41-21-13-0
56. North Carolina (2-2)85.50-20-02-0
61. Maryland (2-3)85.01-10-21-0
68. Clemson (2-1)84.10-00-01-1
79. North Carolina St (2-2)83.70-12-00-1
80. Virginia (2-1)83.30-10-01-0
85. Miami Fla (3-3)82.80-11-10-1
97. Florida St (2-1)80.90-00-00-1
99. Virginia Tech (1-1)80.80-00-01-1
281. Georgia Tech (0-1)62.00-00-00-1


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 81.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. UCLA (10-2)95.23-24-00-0
34. Arizona (4-4)88.31-31-12-0
40. Washington (3-2)87.11-10-01-1
51. Oregon (2-2)86.21-10-11-0
94. Oregon St (4-2)81.80-10-00-1
95. California (2-4)81.50-20-12-1
148. Stanford (1-2)76.00-10-00-1
158. Washington St (1-3)74.70-10-00-2
164. USC (1-2)74.30-00-10-0
248. Arizona St (0-1)67.30-00-00-0


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 79.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
20. Texas (7-3)90.33-32-02-0
25. Texas AM (2-2)89.60-21-01-0
41. Oklahoma St (3-3)87.01-20-11-0
44. Kansas (4-4)86.51-22-20-0
72. Nebraska (2-2)83.90-11-10-0
91. Colorado (2-1)82.30-00-10-0
93. Iowa St (3-2)81.90-10-11-0
115. Texas Tech (1-4)79.30-20-11-1
192. Baylor (0-1)71.70-00-00-1
238. Oklahoma (0-3)68.10-10-00-1
249. Missouri (0-2)67.00-10-00-0
258. Kansas St (0-1)65.30-00-00-1


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 77.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. George Mason (7-2)92.12-12-00-1
17. NC Wilmington (5-1)90.60-00-12-0
42. Hofstra (2-1)86.81-00-10-0
63. Northeastern (4-1)84.70-00-11-0
107. VA Commonwealth (0-0)80.10-00-00-0
112. Delaware (3-1)79.70-00-10-0
119. Old Dominion (2-3)78.70-00-20-0
136. Georgia St (1-2)77.10-10-00-0
171. James Madison (1-1)73.50-00-00-0
221. William & Mary (0-0)69.40-00-00-0
252. Drexel (0-4)66.30-20-00-0
305. Towson (0-2)56.30-00-10-0


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 77.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. Bradley (4-2)90.32-11-01-1
47. Southern Ill (4-2)86.40-12-00-0
50. Wichita St (4-4)86.31-20-21-0
62. Northern Iowa (3-2)84.91-10-00-1
105. Indiana St (1-1)80.40-00-10-0
127. Evansville (1-1)77.90-00-00-1
176. Creighton (0-1)73.10-00-10-0
185. Drake (1-2)72.00-10-00-0
251. Missouri St (0-1)66.40-00-10-0
286. Illinois St (0-1)61.40-00-00-0


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 76.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
70. Wyoming (3-1)84.10-00-01-1
90. San Diego St (4-2)82.30-00-11-0
111. Unlv (1-1)79.70-00-00-1
117. Air Force (2-2)78.80-10-01-0
130. BYU (2-1)77.70-00-01-0
146. Colorado St (2-2)76.00-00-00-2
168. Utah (1-2)73.90-00-01-1
193. New Mexico (0-2)71.70-10-00-1
271. TCU (0-4)63.80-00-10-0


HORIZON AVERAGE = 76.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Loyola Chi (1-0)90.20-00-00-0
36. Wisc Milwaukee (1-1)88.20-11-00-0
96. Butler (3-2)80.90-00-20-0
134. Wisc Green Bay (2-2)77.30-00-00-2
160. Wright St (0-0)74.60-00-00-0
170. Illinois Chi (2-2)73.80-00-01-0
206. Cleveland St (0-0)70.60-00-00-0
234. Youngstown St (0-0)68.30-00-00-0
269. Detroit (0-2)63.90-00-00-0


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 74.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Houston (1-0)94.00-00-00-0
7. Memphis (4-2)93.11-21-01-0
60. Uab (3-1)85.10-10-01-0
109. Texas El Paso (1-1)79.80-00-00-1
151. SMU (1-1)75.50-00-00-1
178. Tulane (3-2)72.90-00-00-0
184. SO Mississippi (2-3)72.20-00-00-2
191. Marshall (2-2)71.71-00-00-0
205. Central Florida (1-3)70.80-00-00-2
278. Rice (0-3)62.70-10-00-0
299. Tulsa (0-1)57.50-00-00-0
311. East Carolina (0-1)54.50-00-00-0


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
37. New Mexico St (2-0)88.10-00-00-0
84. Utah St (2-1)82.90-10-01-0
141. Louisiana Tech (3-2)76.70-00-00-1
143. Boise St (1-1)76.50-00-00-1
157. San Jose St (1-2)74.90-00-00-1
212. Hawaii (0-1)70.10-00-00-0
224. Nevada (0-2)69.30-10-00-1
260. Idaho (0-0)65.20-00-00-0
285. Fresno St (0-1)61.40-00-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
55. Iona (5-2)85.60-20-00-0
135. Siena (0-0)77.20-00-00-0
142. Canisius (1-1)76.70-00-00-0
145. St Peters (3-3)76.10-00-00-1
149. Marist (1-1)75.70-00-00-1
175. Niagara (2-2)73.30-00-00-1
190. Fairfield (1-1)71.90-00-00-0
223. Manhattan (1-1)69.40-00-00-0
227. Rider (1-1)69.10-00-00-0
279. Loyola MD (0-1)62.20-00-00-0


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 73.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Coll Of Charltn (1-0)88.80-00-00-0
76. Davidson (2-1)83.80-10-00-0
174. Appalachian St (2-2)73.30-00-00-0
180. Chattanooga (2-2)72.50-00-00-0
182. NC Greensboro (3-2)72.30-00-00-0
187. Elon (1-1)71.90-00-00-0
188. Wofford (1-1)71.90-00-00-0
200. Furman (0-0)70.90-00-00-0
236. The Citadel (1-1)68.20-00-00-0
242. Geo Southern (1-2)67.90-00-00-0
257. Westrn Carolina (1-3)65.50-00-10-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
13. Gonzaga (5-2)91.20-23-02-0
32. San Diego (3-0)88.30-00-00-0
147. Santa Clara (1-1)76.00-00-00-0
162. St Marys CA (1-2)74.50-00-00-1
169. Loyola Marymnt (1-2)73.90-00-00-0
266. San Francisco (0-3)64.50-00-00-0
292. Pepperdine (0-1)59.90-00-00-0
297. Portland (0-3)58.10-00-00-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 73.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
10. St Josephs (4-1)92.01-10-01-0
39. Temple (2-1)87.70-01-10-0
59. Xavier (2-2)85.10-10-10-0
73. Geo Washington (2-2)83.90-11-01-1
100. Fordham (3-2)80.80-00-00-1
132. La Salle (1-1)77.70-00-00-0
133. Massachusetts (1-2)77.60-00-00-2
167. Charlotte (1-1)73.90-00-00-0
237. Dayton (0-3)68.20-00-30-0
275. Duquesne (0-0)63.00-00-00-0
276. Richmond (1-2)62.80-00-00-0
284. St Louis (0-1)61.40-00-10-0
301. St Bonaventure (0-2)57.30-10-00-0
314. Rhode Island (0-1)54.30-00-00-1


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 73.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
31. South Alabama (3-1)88.50-10-01-0
43. Middle Tenn St (1-0)86.70-00-00-0
110. Western KY (3-1)79.80-00-00-1
121. Denver (3-1)78.40-00-00-1
123. Troy St (3-1)78.10-00-00-0
139. Arkansas Lr (2-2)76.90-00-10-1
150. Ul Lafayette (1-1)75.50-00-00-1
201. Arkansas St (2-1)70.90-00-00-0
216. New Orleans (1-3)69.80-00-00-2
322. North Texas (0-1)51.20-00-00-0
331. Florida Intl (0-1)48.10-00-00-0


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 72.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Kent (4-2)84.20-10-00-1
77. Toledo (2-1)83.80-00-01-1
101. Ohio (1-2)80.80-10-00-1
113. Akron (3-2)79.50-00-10-0
128. Buffalo (2-1)77.90-00-00-1
191. Marshall (2-2)71.71-00-00-0
197. Ball St (0-0)71.40-00-00-0
199. Western Mich (1-3)71.10-00-00-1
202. Northern Ill (1-2)70.90-00-00-0
244. Eastern Mich (0-0)67.70-00-00-0
272. Central Mich (0-0)63.70-00-00-0
289. Miami Ohio (0-1)60.50-00-00-0
298. Bowling Green (0-3)57.60-00-10-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 71.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
35. Bucknell (2-1)88.31-10-00-0
126. Holy Cross (2-2)78.00-00-10-0
131. American (1-1)77.70-10-00-0
137. Navy (1-0)77.10-00-00-0
183. Lehigh (2-2)72.30-00-00-1
186. Colgate (2-2)72.00-10-00-0
300. Army (0-0)57.30-00-00-0
320. Lafayette (0-1)51.90-00-00-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 71.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. Austin Peay (2-0)84.60-00-00-0
82. Murray St (2-2)83.20-20-00-0
124. Samford (2-1)78.10-00-00-1
173. Eastern KY (1-2)73.40-00-10-0
181. Tennessee St (0-0)72.30-00-00-0
195. Tenn Martin (0-0)71.50-00-00-0
214. Tennessee Tech (1-1)69.80-00-00-0
256. Jacksonville St (0-2)65.80-00-00-1
263. Eastern Ill (0-0)64.70-00-00-0
273. SE Missouri St (0-0)63.50-00-00-0
288. Morehead St (0-0)60.90-00-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 71.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
75. Winthrop (1-1)83.90-10-00-0
83. Coast Carolina (1-0)83.10-00-00-0
140. Birmingham Southern (2-0)76.90-00-00-0
172. Radford (3-1)73.50-00-00-0
207. High Point (1-1)70.50-00-00-0
232. NC Asheville (0-0)68.70-00-00-0
268. Charleston Sou (0-1)64.00-00-00-0
280. VMI (0-0)62.20-00-00-0
291. Liberty (0-2)60.10-00-00-0


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 70.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. Montana (3-1)86.30-11-00-0
153. Portland St (1-1)75.30-00-00-1
163. Sacramento St (1-1)74.50-00-00-0
179. Northrn Arizona (2-2)72.80-00-00-1
219. Weber St (0-0)69.70-00-00-0
222. Eastern Wash (0-4)69.40-00-10-3
293. Montana St (0-3)59.80-00-00-0
294. Idaho St (0-2)59.40-00-00-0


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 70.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
89. Pacific (3-1)82.40-10-00-0
120. Long Beach St (2-1)78.50-00-00-1
144. Cal Poly (1-1)76.30-00-00-1
194. CS Fullerton (2-2)71.50-00-00-0
209. UC Irvine (1-2)70.40-10-00-0
239. UC Santa Barbara (1-1)68.10-00-00-0
262. CS Northridge (1-2)64.90-00-00-0
321. UC Riverside (0-2)51.90-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 70.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. Tex San Antonio (2-0)90.40-00-00-0
71. Northwestern St (2-2)84.01-10-00-1
78. Sam Houston (1-0)83.70-00-00-0
154. Texas Arlington (2-2)75.20-00-00-1
189. Stephen Austin (0-0)71.90-00-00-0
196. McNeese St (0-0)71.40-00-00-0
264. Lamar (1-3)64.70-00-00-1
277. Nicholls St (0-1)62.80-00-00-0
295. SW Texas St (0-0)58.50-00-00-0
309. Ul Monroe (0-1)54.90-00-00-0
312. SE Louisiana (0-1)54.50-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 69.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
30. Binghamton (1-0)88.70-00-00-0
86. Albany NY (3-1)82.70-10-00-0
106. Vermont (1-0)80.40-00-00-0
203. Maine (2-1)70.80-00-00-0
235. Boston U (1-2)68.30-00-00-1
241. Umbc (1-2)68.00-00-00-1
243. New Hampshire (1-2)67.90-00-00-0
303. Hartford (0-1)57.10-00-00-0
333. Stony Brook (0-1)45.50-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 69.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
65. Valparaiso (2-0)84.50-00-00-0
81. Oral Roberts (2-2)83.20-10-11-0
161. Chicago St (2-2)74.60-00-00-0
204. Iupui (2-2)70.80-00-00-1
210. Oakland (1-2)70.30-00-00-0
267. Western Ill (1-1)64.20-00-00-0
287. Centenary (0-0)60.90-00-00-0
296. Southern Utah (0-3)58.40-00-00-0
306. Mo Kansas City (0-1)56.20-00-00-0


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 67.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
88. Cornell (1-0)82.50-00-00-0
138. Pennsylvania (0-1)77.00-10-00-0
208. Yale (3-1)70.50-00-01-0
228. Harvard (0-0)68.90-00-00-0
259. Brown (0-2)65.20-00-00-0
283. Columbia (0-1)61.80-00-00-0
302. Princeton (0-1)57.20-00-00-1
307. Dartmouth (0-3)56.00-00-00-1


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 67.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
46. North Dakota St (2-0)86.40-00-00-0
49. Texas A&M-CC (2-0)86.30-00-00-0
165. UC Davis (1-1)74.00-00-00-0
211. Longwood (1-3)70.20-10-00-1
213. South Dakota St (1-1)70.00-00-00-0
229. TX Pan American (1-1)68.80-00-00-1
245. IPFW (0-0)67.40-00-00-0
308. Northern Colorado (0-3)55.80-00-00-0
327. Utah Valley St (0-2)49.60-00-00-0
334. Savannah St (0-2)43.40-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 66.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Monmouth NJ (2-3)80.40-20-01-0
177. Central Conn (0-0)73.00-00-00-0
218. Robert Morris (0-0)69.70-00-00-0
230. Wagner (0-0)68.70-00-00-0
233. Fair Dickinson (1-1)68.60-00-00-0
246. St Francis NY (0-0)67.30-00-00-0
253. Mt St Marys (1-2)66.30-00-00-1
318. Liu Brooklyn (0-2)52.20-00-00-0
328. St Francis PA (0-2)49.50-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
156. Hampton (4-1)74.90-00-00-0
215. SO Carolina St (3-3)69.80-00-00-0
220. Delaware St (2-3)69.50-00-10-0
225. Bethune Cookman (2-1)69.30-00-00-0
250. MD Eastrn Shore (1-1)66.50-00-00-0
254. Norfolk St (2-4)66.10-00-10-0
270. Howard (2-4)63.80-00-00-1
290. Florida A&M (0-2)60.10-00-00-0
304. Coppin St (0-4)56.60-00-00-1
323. Morgan St (0-3)51.10-00-00-0
332. NO Carolina A&T (0-1)47.10-00-00-0


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 60.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
108. Belmont (3-1)80.00-10-00-0
166. Lipscomb (4-1)74.00-00-00-0
217. Kennesaw St (1-2)69.80-00-00-0
240. East Tenn St (0-0)68.00-00-00-0
265. Stetson (1-3)64.60-00-00-0
310. Campbell (0-1)54.70-00-00-0
316. Jacksonville (0-0)52.40-00-00-0
317. Fla Atlantic (0-3)52.30-00-00-0
319. Mercer (0-3)52.00-00-00-0
324. North Florida (0-1)50.20-00-00-0
326. Gardner-Webb (0-1)49.70-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 59.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
152. Southern (3-2)75.30-10-00-0
198. Ark Pine Bluff (2-1)71.30-00-00-0
226. Jackson St (1-2)69.10-00-00-0
274. Alabama St (1-2)63.30-00-00-1
282. Grambling (1-1)62.00-00-00-0
313. Prairie View (0-2)54.50-00-00-0
315. Miss Valley St (0-5)53.30-00-00-1
325. Texas Southern (0-2)50.10-00-00-0
329. Alabama A&M (0-1)49.40-00-00-0
330. Alcorn St (0-1)49.30-00-00-0
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