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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

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By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:27 EST 2007


Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Memphis (19-1)0.65842-15-03-0
2. Iowa (17-0)0.65693-03-02-0
3. Duke (14-1)0.65680-11-09-0
4. Villanova (12-1)0.64804-01-12-0
5. Connecticut (16-0)0.63735-01-02-0
6. Oklahoma (14-1)0.63511-02-02-0
7. Ohio St (16-1)0.63452-12-02-0
8. Wisconsin (14-2)0.63403-14-02-0
9. Bradley (13-1)0.62171-13-01-0
10. Pittsburgh (16-1)0.62071-04-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Gonzaga (16-0)0.61530-01-02-0
12. Air Force (14-0)0.61360-00-03-0
13. Arizona (12-2)0.61350-20-04-0
14. Akron (12-0)0.61260-00-03-0
15. Old Dominion (14-1)0.60961-01-14-0
16. Tennessee (13-2)0.60871-01-23-0
17. Northwestern St (11-0)0.60830-00-00-0
18. Texas (16-1)0.60642-12-02-0
19. George Mason (12-1)0.60430-01-13-0
20. Missouri St (14-2)0.60251-13-11-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Creighton (15-2)0.60113-01-12-1
22. NC Wilmington (12-1)0.60011-01-02-0
23. Michigan (16-3)0.59772-21-17-0
24. Marquette (13-2)0.59693-00-12-1
25. Hofstra (14-1)0.59591-01-02-1
26. Southern Ill (11-2)0.59543-02-01-1
27. LSU (14-2)0.59371-03-21-0
28. Nevada (16-1)0.59220-00-06-1
29. Alabama (14-4)0.59213-11-04-2
30. Arkansas (15-1)0.59092-12-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Geo Washington (15-0)0.59080-01-01-0
32. Butler (12-1)0.58871-01-01-0
33. Montana (11-1)0.58830-00-11-0
34. Uab (13-1)0.58761-01-03-1
35. Louisville (19-3)0.58711-32-04-0
36. Indiana (10-3)0.58673-31-00-0
37. Wichita St (13-2)0.58602-12-12-0
38. Michigan St (12-2)0.58531-23-00-0
39. Washington (17-2)0.58512-00-13-0
40. West Virginia (12-2)0.58362-22-02-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Illinois (15-1)0.58293-02-01-0
42. BYU (13-1)0.58170-00-03-0
43. Utah St (13-2)0.57850-00-13-1
44. Northern Iowa (11-3)0.57782-22-10-0
45. Texas AM (16-2)0.57771-10-13-0
46. UCLA (14-3)0.57640-11-13-1
47. Georgetown (11-2)0.57513-01-11-1
48. Bucknell (13-1)0.57350-11-00-0
49. Maryland (14-3)0.57321-20-04-1
50. North Carolina (13-4)0.57150-31-05-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Wisc Milwaukee (12-2)0.57090-10-02-0
52. Detroit (12-1)0.56980-00-11-0
53. Houston (12-2)0.56950-01-02-1
54. Kent (12-2)0.56900-00-04-0
55. Florida (16-2)0.56891-11-13-0
56. Syracuse (14-5)0.56680-21-26-1
57. Murray St (13-1)0.56670-00-10-0
58. Cincinnati (15-5)0.56500-31-18-0
59. Boston College (13-2)0.56370-10-04-1
60. California (12-3)0.56301-11-04-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Southern (10-0)0.56270-00-01-0
62. Colorado (14-2)0.56271-01-11-1
63. Kansas St (13-4)0.56110-11-12-1
64. Kansas (14-2)0.56011-01-12-0
65. Texas El Paso (13-2)0.55980-12-02-0
66. New Mexico (15-2)0.55950-00-04-2
67. San Diego St (12-2)0.55860-00-03-0
68. Davidson (11-1)0.55820-01-00-0
69. Seton Hall (13-4)0.55750-12-13-1
70. Stanford (11-3)0.55731-10-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Fresno St (12-2)0.55640-01-02-2
72. Hawaii (14-3)0.55601-01-04-2
73. Minnesota (13-5)0.55422-12-22-0
74. Western KY (12-2)0.55320-00-01-2
75. VA Commonwealth (13-3)0.55100-11-21-0
76. Winthrop (13-1)0.55050-00-00-0
77. Florida St (14-3)0.55031-10-14-1
78. Louisiana Tech (9-2)0.55000-00-11-1
79. Virginia (11-3)0.54992-00-03-2
80. North Carolina St (15-3)0.54970-21-05-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Massachusetts (10-2)0.54860-01-02-1
82. Temple (11-5)0.54760-23-13-1
83. South Alabama (11-2)0.54650-01-00-1
84. Clemson (12-4)0.54330-11-05-1
85. South Carolina (10-6)0.54211-31-12-2
86. Auburn (11-5)0.54080-10-43-0
87. Miami Ohio (11-2)0.54040-00-02-2
88. Manhattan (11-3)0.54010-10-01-0
89. Unlv (12-4)0.53860-01-11-2
90. Kentucky (10-5)0.53800-32-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Mississippi St (11-5)0.53641-22-11-1
92. Northeastern (9-2)0.53140-11-01-0
93. Missouri (11-5)0.53030-11-12-2
94. Eastern Wash (9-2)0.52820-00-00-1
95. Xavier (14-4)0.52780-02-21-0
96. St Louis (11-4)0.52750-21-12-0
97. Coast Carolina (10-1)0.52610-00-01-0
98. Iowa St (9-6)0.52561-11-22-1
99. Denver (10-2)0.52550-00-01-1
100. DePaul (7-7)0.52521-32-22-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Ohio (12-2)0.52510-00-01-2
102. Wake Forest (12-6)0.52501-31-03-2
103. Oklahoma St (11-5)0.52461-11-11-2
104. Providence (9-7)0.52280-40-03-3
105. Notre Dame (12-5)0.52270-31-23-0
106. Miami Fla (11-5)0.52130-30-04-2
107. Rutgers (11-5)0.52100-21-03-1
108. St Josephs (7-5)0.52010-10-22-2
109. Lipscomb (11-1)0.51970-00-00-0
110. Geo Southern (10-1)0.51960-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Drexel (11-3)0.51960-00-32-0
112. Vanderbilt (11-7)0.51920-41-20-1
113. Oral Roberts (12-2)0.51800-10-00-1
114. Delaware St (9-1)0.51650-00-00-0
115. Georgia Tech (10-5)0.51551-10-04-3
116. Pennsylvania (12-4)0.51480-10-10-2
117. New Mexico St (9-4)0.51430-00-12-1
118. Austin Peay (11-2)0.51380-00-00-1
119. Richmond (11-5)0.51280-00-13-3
120. Pacific (10-3)0.51120-01-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Northern Ill (9-3)0.51110-00-02-2
122. Iupui (9-1)0.51100-00-00-0
123. Texas Tech (12-4)0.50940-20-13-1
124. Holy Cross (11-3)0.50930-10-10-0
125. Baylor (4-4)0.50930-20-11-1
126. Fla Atlantic (10-2)0.50870-00-00-0
127. Purdue (9-5)0.50860-22-12-0
128. Northwestern (8-5)0.50831-31-01-0
129. Northrn Arizona (10-3)0.50790-00-01-1
130. North Dakota St (8-1)0.50750-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. St Marys CA (10-5)0.50640-11-11-1
132. Siena (10-4)0.50610-00-00-2
133. Tennessee Tech (10-3)0.50540-01-01-0
134. Wisc Green Bay (10-4)0.50410-11-00-1
135. USC (11-5)0.50302-11-02-1
136. Buffalo (11-3)0.50290-00-03-2
137. Georgia (9-5)0.50280-22-21-1
138. Robert Morris (9-2)0.50260-00-00-0
139. Toledo (13-2)0.50210-00-01-1
140. Mississippi (11-6)0.50150-32-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Belmont (10-2)0.50100-00-00-0
142. Wright St (9-3)0.49980-01-02-0
143. Nebraska (14-5)0.49971-01-22-1
144. Sam Houston (10-2)0.49850-00-01-0
145. Fordham (8-4)0.49700-00-11-2
146. Chattanooga (9-3)0.49660-01-01-0
147. Ul Lafayette (8-3)0.49600-00-00-2
148. Central Conn (11-4)0.49580-00-00-1
149. Utah (9-5)0.49390-00-12-3
150. Furman (8-3)0.49140-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Loyola Chi (11-3)0.49131-00-11-0
152. Illinois St (8-6)0.49070-31-20-0
153. La Salle (10-3)0.48940-00-11-1
154. St Johns (10-7)0.48901-20-22-2
155. San Francisco (8-6)0.48870-20-01-1
156. Fair Dickinson (10-3)0.48820-00-00-0
157. Boise St (9-5)0.48620-00-12-2
158. High Point (7-2)0.48610-00-00-1
159. Charlotte (9-6)0.48420-00-22-1
160. San Diego (8-4)0.48420-10-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Western Mich (9-4)0.48390-00-12-1
162. Birmingham Southern (9-2)0.48370-00-00-1
163. Tulsa (7-5)0.48320-20-00-1
164. Santa Clara (7-5)0.48290-11-01-1
165. Rhode Island (10-6)0.48250-10-12-2
166. Jackson St (9-2)0.47980-00-00-0
167. Loyola Marymnt (7-5)0.47910-10-00-2
168. Penn St (11-7)0.47760-21-20-3
169. Loyola MD (8-4)0.47670-00-00-2
170. Iona (7-4)0.47640-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Albany NY (10-3)0.47570-00-00-0
172. Middle Tenn St (8-4)0.47570-00-02-0
173. SE Louisiana (8-3)0.47560-00-00-1
174. Lehigh (9-3)0.47560-00-10-0
175. Washington St (8-5)0.47491-10-00-2
176. Samford (8-3)0.47460-00-01-0
177. Marist (8-4)0.47420-00-01-2
178. Colorado St (7-6)0.47400-00-01-4
179. Oregon (9-7)0.47350-31-01-2
180. Pepperdine (6-6)0.47320-20-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Tenn Martin (8-3)0.47260-00-00-1
182. Illinois Chi (8-5)0.47250-00-11-1
183. Elon (7-4)0.47180-00-10-1
184. Virginia Tech (10-7)0.46980-30-01-3
185. St Peters (7-5)0.46790-00-00-2
186. Drake (6-8)0.46781-20-30-2
187. NC Greensboro (6-4)0.46680-10-00-0
188. Montana St (10-4)0.46650-00-00-1
189. New Orleans (6-3)0.46650-00-00-1
190. Indiana St (7-7)0.46551-22-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Wyoming (8-8)0.46540-00-32-3
192. Dayton (11-5)0.46490-01-01-4
193. Troy St (6-4)0.46300-00-01-1
194. North Texas (8-4)0.46270-00-10-1
195. Arkansas St (6-5)0.46270-10-00-1
196. Valparaiso (9-2)0.46240-00-00-0
197. Yale (8-3)0.46150-00-00-1
198. Chicago St (6-2)0.46020-00-00-0
199. Utah Valley St (10-2)0.45970-00-00-0
200. Niagara (6-6)0.45900-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Vermont (8-5)0.45880-00-10-0
202. Appalachian St (6-4)0.45730-00-01-1
203. Arizona St (8-9)0.45640-20-10-3
204. Jacksonville St (9-5)0.45580-00-00-1
205. Tennessee St (7-4)0.45460-00-00-1
206. Tulane (6-3)0.45410-10-10-0
207. Evansville (7-7)0.45380-31-20-0
208. Rice (7-6)0.45350-21-10-0
209. Delaware (4-8)0.45300-10-20-3
210. Portland (7-5)0.45150-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. UC Santa Barbara (8-4)0.45130-00-00-1
212. Central Florida (8-5)0.45110-00-21-0
213. Texas A&M-CC (9-1)0.45080-00-10-0
214. TCU (6-9)0.44840-00-00-5
215. South Florida (4-10)0.44841-20-30-3
216. Monmouth NJ (8-4)0.44830-00-00-0
217. Oregon St (7-6)0.44830-21-01-2
218. Texas Arlington (5-3)0.44740-00-00-1
219. St Francis NY (8-5)0.44670-00-10-0
220. SO Mississippi (5-8)0.44650-20-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Georgia St (3-9)0.44590-10-30-4
222. Southern Utah (7-3)0.44530-00-00-0
223. Marshall (7-6)0.44430-10-20-1
224. Liu Brooklyn (7-4)0.44330-00-00-0
225. Princeton (7-5)0.44330-00-01-1
226. Westrn Carolina (6-4)0.44310-00-10-0
227. Radford (6-4)0.44290-00-00-1
228. American (7-4)0.44200-00-10-0
229. Alabama A&M (7-2)0.44160-00-00-0
230. Idaho St (6-5)0.44150-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. McNeese St (6-3)0.44140-00-00-0
232. Long Beach St (8-4)0.44040-00-00-1
233. Sacramento St (5-5)0.43770-00-00-1
234. Rider (5-7)0.43700-00-11-1
235. Eastern KY (7-6)0.43590-00-00-2
236. Coppin St (7-2)0.43470-00-00-0
237. Umbc (8-4)0.43450-00-00-0
238. Boston U (6-5)0.42980-00-10-0
239. William & Mary (5-8)0.42850-10-20-2
240. Nicholls St (6-4)0.42780-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Mt St Marys (7-6)0.42760-00-00-0
242. Weber St (5-7)0.42650-00-01-1
243. New Hampshire (7-4)0.42530-00-00-0
244. Sacred Heart (8-5)0.42410-00-00-0
245. Quinnipiac (7-5)0.42330-00-00-0
246. UC Irvine (7-5)0.42330-00-01-0
247. Fairfield (4-8)0.42320-00-10-2
248. SMU (8-6)0.42290-10-10-1
249. Coll Of Charltn (9-5)0.42280-00-00-1
250. Mo Kansas City (8-4)0.41940-10-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Portland St (4-5)0.41730-00-01-0
252. Lafayette (5-6)0.41720-00-10-0
253. Ul Monroe (5-5)0.41700-00-00-2
254. Tex San Antonio (5-7)0.41550-00-00-2
255. Alabama St (7-4)0.41480-00-01-0
256. East Tenn St (9-5)0.41480-00-00-0
257. Gardner-Webb (6-4)0.41420-00-00-0
258. Towson (7-6)0.41370-01-01-2
259. Charleston Sou (4-5)0.41330-00-00-2
260. St Bonaventure (6-7)0.41150-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Arkansas Lr (8-6)0.40940-00-00-2
262. NC Asheville (4-5)0.40920-00-00-1
263. Bethune Cookman (8-3)0.40880-00-00-0
264. Florida Intl (5-7)0.40840-00-00-2
265. CS Fullerton (6-5)0.40830-00-00-1
266. Harvard (7-6)0.40800-00-00-1
267. Cornell (6-5)0.40760-00-00-1
268. Hartford (6-6)0.40740-00-00-0
269. East Carolina (5-8)0.40710-11-10-0
270. South Dakota St (5-5)0.40660-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Binghamton (8-6)0.40660-00-00-0
272. Stephen Austin (8-4)0.40480-00-00-1
273. Youngstown St (4-7)0.40460-00-11-1
274. Bowling Green (3-8)0.40390-00-00-4
275. Ball St (4-8)0.40340-00-10-3
276. Liberty (4-7)0.40140-00-01-0
277. James Madison (3-11)0.40120-20-10-3
278. SO Carolina St (5-3)0.40000-00-00-0
279. Lamar (6-4)0.39970-00-00-0
280. Canisius (4-9)0.39930-00-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Colgate (5-6)0.39890-00-10-0
282. Maine (5-4)0.39530-00-00-0
283. Columbia (6-6)0.39530-00-01-0
284. Kennesaw St (5-5)0.39490-00-00-0
285. Idaho (3-10)0.39490-00-10-3
286. Stetson (7-5)0.39480-00-00-0
287. Duquesne (2-13)0.39330-20-20-0
288. Norfolk St (6-4)0.39300-00-00-0
289. Cleveland St (4-10)0.39250-00-10-2
290. CS Northridge (5-6)0.39190-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Florida A&M (7-4)0.39160-00-00-0
292. San Jose St (2-11)0.39090-00-10-3
293. Wofford (4-5)0.39060-00-01-0
294. Eastern Mich (4-9)0.39000-00-01-3
295. Wagner (6-6)0.38880-00-00-0
296. Central Mich (2-10)0.38640-00-10-3
297. IPFW (4-5)0.38640-00-00-1
298. Navy (4-8)0.38390-10-10-1
299. Alcorn St (5-4)0.38310-00-00-0
300. UC Riverside (3-9)0.38290-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Cal Poly (4-7)0.38240-00-00-1
302. Miss Valley St (5-4)0.38050-00-00-0
303. UC Davis (4-8)0.37640-00-01-1
304. Grambling (5-4)0.37490-00-00-0
305. Dartmouth (4-6)0.37360-00-00-1
306. Campbell (5-8)0.37260-00-00-0
307. Centenary (2-10)0.37120-00-10-1
308. Northern Colorado (3-7)0.36910-00-00-0
309. NO Carolina A&T (4-6)0.36740-00-00-0
310. Howard (4-5)0.36670-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. SE Missouri St (3-8)0.36670-00-00-1
312. Longwood (6-4)0.36510-00-00-0
313. Oakland (4-7)0.36470-00-00-1
314. Brown (4-8)0.36450-00-00-1
315. VMI (2-9)0.36220-00-00-2
316. Eastern Ill (3-9)0.36130-00-01-0
317. The Citadel (2-10)0.36080-00-00-3
318. Hampton (7-7)0.35860-00-00-1
319. Texas Southern (4-5)0.35790-00-00-0
320. North Florida (4-7)0.35630-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Stony Brook (3-7)0.35590-00-00-0
322. Western Ill (3-7)0.35510-00-10-0
323. Ark Pine Bluff (4-5)0.35170-00-00-0
324. Mercer (4-7)0.35160-00-00-0
325. Jacksonville (1-11)0.35100-00-00-1
326. St Francis PA (2-9)0.34660-00-00-0
327. SW Texas St (1-9)0.34070-00-00-1
328. Morehead St (1-10)0.33970-00-00-1
329. Morgan St (2-9)0.33480-00-10-0
330. MD Eastrn Shore (3-7)0.31950-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Prairie View (3-7)0.31490-00-00-0
332. TX Pan American (1-8)0.30180-00-00-1
333. Army (0-11)0.29720-00-10-0
334. Savannah St (1-5)0.27530-00-00-0
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