NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI League

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:27 EST 2007


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5762


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. LSU (15-3)0.67051-25-13-0
9. Tennessee (12-5)0.63482-13-44-0
12. Florida (13-6)0.63122-24-44-0
28. Arkansas (11-7)0.60582-32-23-0
30. Alabama (10-7)0.60153-12-31-1
33. Kentucky (11-8)0.59901-44-22-2
52. South Carolina (9-11)0.57753-42-31-3
68. Vanderbilt (8-10)0.56580-63-31-1
103. Georgia (5-12)0.53230-53-41-1
148. Mississippi St (5-12)0.50170-42-51-1
154. Auburn (4-13)0.49760-40-61-2
156. Mississippi (4-13)0.49730-43-40-2


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5761


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Iowa (14-5)0.66285-24-12-1
11. Ohio St (14-5)0.63122-34-21-0
20. Illinois (11-6)0.61903-33-22-0
29. Indiana (10-8)0.60163-53-10-1
32. Michigan St (10-9)0.59983-53-30-1
43. Wisconsin (9-8)0.58793-41-22-0
76. Michigan (8-9)0.56002-51-22-1
89. Penn St (7-11)0.54811-61-40-1
116. Northwestern (6-11)0.52591-51-32-0
121. Minnesota (6-12)0.52422-52-40-0
192. Purdue (3-14)0.47680-62-31-1


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5743


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Connecticut (14-3)0.68135-22-14-0
3. Villanova (15-3)0.67134-22-17-0
8. West Virginia (11-6)0.63704-42-12-1
13. Pittsburgh (13-7)0.63082-34-25-1
23. Syracuse (11-9)0.61723-63-13-2
25. Marquette (10-7)0.61243-30-25-2
31. Georgetown (12-7)0.60052-32-34-0
57. Cincinnati (8-9)0.57631-62-13-2
82. Seton Hall (9-8)0.55732-22-11-4
94. Rutgers (8-10)0.54060-51-14-2
96. Louisville (6-11)0.54040-72-22-1
109. Notre Dame (6-11)0.52850-60-33-2
114. St Johns (5-11)0.52691-50-23-3
138. Providence (5-11)0.50970-40-33-4
143. DePaul (5-11)0.50421-30-32-3
233. South Florida (1-15)0.45381-40-20-7


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5716


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Duke (17-2)0.67503-10-011-1
10. North Carolina (13-5)0.63451-30-010-2
17. Boston College (13-6)0.62232-20-08-3
40. North Carolina St (10-7)0.58991-40-07-2
49. Miami Fla (8-10)0.57951-50-05-5
55. Florida St (9-8)0.57671-30-06-4
58. Maryland (9-9)0.57601-50-04-4
80. Virginia (8-10)0.55802-30-03-6
115. Clemson (7-10)0.52650-30-04-6
124. Wake Forest (5-14)0.52080-60-04-6
139. Virginia Tech (4-13)0.50870-50-03-8
169. Georgia Tech (4-13)0.49141-30-03-9


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5536


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. Kansas (16-3)0.65262-11-06-0
7. Texas (15-4)0.63991-13-23-1
36. Oklahoma (11-6)0.59501-12-13-1
39. Texas AM (11-7)0.58991-40-14-1
72. Colorado (10-8)0.56281-10-42-1
85. Nebraska (9-10)0.55072-10-43-2
111. Texas Tech (7-11)0.52760-50-32-2
112. Oklahoma St (7-11)0.52721-31-31-2
137. Iowa St (6-11)0.51040-20-32-2
141. Kansas St (6-11)0.50600-22-12-3
163. Missouri (5-12)0.49411-11-21-4
173. Baylor (4-13)0.48640-40-31-4


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5439


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. UCLA (17-4)0.62160-23-04-1
37. California (14-7)0.59482-31-11-1
48. Washington (13-6)0.58052-01-12-2
50. Arizona (12-8)0.57891-40-04-1
60. Stanford (11-8)0.57391-30-31-1
99. Oregon (9-12)0.53441-41-10-5
126. USC (8-11)0.52041-31-11-4
164. Oregon St (6-14)0.49390-51-11-3
180. Arizona St (5-14)0.48300-40-21-3
224. Washington St (4-15)0.45822-20-20-4


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5436


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Wichita St (15-5)0.61214-12-40-0
27. Southern Ill (15-6)0.61024-34-10-0
41. Bradley (13-8)0.58902-35-30-0
46. Creighton (12-7)0.58383-42-20-0
54. Missouri St (12-7)0.57721-33-40-0
63. Northern Iowa (12-8)0.57304-31-40-0
168. Evansville (6-14)0.49150-61-60-0
185. Drake (5-14)0.47981-50-60-0
208. Indiana St (5-15)0.46771-62-40-0
237. Illinois St (4-15)0.45210-61-50-0


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5256


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. San Diego St (16-3)0.62060-00-05-2
45. BYU (12-5)0.58440-00-03-3
53. Air Force (12-5)0.57740-00-04-2
70. Unlv (11-7)0.56400-00-01-6
133. New Mexico (8-9)0.51220-00-02-7
151. Wyoming (7-12)0.49940-00-02-8
160. Utah (7-11)0.49550-00-03-6
232. Colorado St (5-13)0.45450-00-00-9
278. TCU (2-15)0.42240-00-00-8


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5174


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
14. NC Wilmington (18-3)0.62671-12-14-1
34. George Mason (16-4)0.59850-01-35-1
35. Hofstra (16-6)0.59682-01-24-3
51. Old Dominion (14-6)0.57781-12-22-2
78. Northeastern (14-7)0.55900-21-32-1
107. VA Commonwealth (12-8)0.53010-21-31-2
178. Drexel (8-11)0.48370-10-42-3
198. Towson (8-11)0.47490-11-21-4
211. Delaware (5-15)0.46550-20-50-4
240. Georgia St (4-16)0.45130-20-40-6
272. William & Mary (3-16)0.42900-20-30-6
283. James Madison (2-17)0.41630-20-20-7


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5121


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Geo Washington (16-1)0.62560-02-04-1
74. Charlotte (11-6)0.56120-01-21-2
75. St Josephs (12-8)0.56030-00-23-4
92. St Louis (10-7)0.54100-00-34-0
98. Temple (10-9)0.53600-02-31-1
101. Xavier (12-8)0.53350-02-22-1
108. Fordham (11-8)0.52920-00-21-3
125. La Salle (10-7)0.52060-00-22-2
136. Massachusetts (8-9)0.51100-01-12-3
147. Rhode Island (8-9)0.50280-00-21-3
191. Dayton (6-11)0.47700-01-21-4
205. Richmond (6-11)0.46920-00-31-3
298. Duquesne (1-15)0.40460-00-20-3
302. St Bonaventure (2-14)0.39770-00-20-3


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5114


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
42. Nevada (16-3)0.58830-00-07-1
71. New Mexico St (11-7)0.56320-00-33-1
77. Louisiana Tech (12-6)0.55920-00-21-4
79. Utah St (13-6)0.55890-01-23-2
105. Hawaii (10-7)0.53160-01-12-5
142. Fresno St (8-8)0.50510-01-12-4
212. Boise St (6-11)0.46490-00-21-6
279. San Jose St (2-15)0.42200-00-20-7
294. Idaho (1-16)0.40960-00-30-6


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.5001


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
16. Memphis (16-1)0.62460-04-11-0
24. Uab (14-3)0.61521-21-01-1
56. Texas El Paso (12-4)0.57670-12-20-0
88. Houston (10-6)0.54890-20-11-1
165. Central Florida (8-8)0.49340-11-31-0
186. Tulane (7-9)0.47900-20-20-1
190. Tulsa (6-9)0.47830-20-20-2
204. Rice (6-9)0.46930-11-20-1
247. SO Mississippi (4-12)0.44660-20-30-2
249. Marshall (5-10)0.44520-10-30-1
251. SMU (5-11)0.44480-10-30-2
316. East Carolina (2-13)0.37980-10-20-1


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4962


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
22. Gonzaga (16-0)0.61860-00-00-0
90. Loyola Marymnt (9-7)0.54440-30-00-0
145. St Marys CA (9-7)0.50320-20-00-0
159. San Francisco (7-8)0.49550-20-00-0
177. San Diego (8-9)0.48450-30-00-0
222. Santa Clara (6-10)0.46110-20-00-0
242. Portland (5-10)0.45080-20-00-0
290. Pepperdine (3-12)0.41120-20-00-0


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4959


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
69. Manhattan (14-5)0.56460-00-02-0
81. Iona (16-5)0.55770-00-00-2
100. Marist (13-7)0.53350-00-02-3
130. St Peters (12-10)0.51750-00-02-4
150. Siena (10-9)0.50010-00-01-3
199. Niagara (8-12)0.47260-00-01-4
206. Canisius (7-13)0.46870-00-01-3
216. Fairfield (7-12)0.46410-00-00-4
217. Loyola MD (8-11)0.46360-00-00-4
282. Rider (4-15)0.41680-00-01-3


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4959


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
38. Northrn Arizona (13-3)0.59250-00-01-2
65. Montana (12-4)0.57010-00-00-0
91. Eastern Wash (10-6)0.54170-00-00-3
183. Montana St (7-8)0.47990-00-00-2
215. Sacramento St (6-10)0.46420-00-00-2
243. Portland St (5-10)0.44980-00-01-1
259. Weber St (4-10)0.43640-00-01-1
271. Idaho St (4-10)0.43220-00-01-1


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4949


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
64. Wisc Milwaukee (14-4)0.57190-00-02-1
84. Butler (12-6)0.55630-01-20-0
155. Wisc Green Bay (9-9)0.49750-01-10-3
171. Loyola Chi (10-9)0.48790-00-31-1
172. Wright St (8-9)0.48680-01-11-1
174. Detroit (9-9)0.48600-00-21-1
181. Illinois Chi (9-9)0.48260-01-10-2
246. Cleveland St (5-12)0.44850-00-20-2
258. Youngstown St (4-13)0.43680-00-21-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4891


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
21. Kent (18-3)0.61860-00-06-1
62. Akron (15-5)0.57310-00-03-3
73. Miami Ohio (14-5)0.56230-00-03-4
128. Ohio (12-9)0.51830-00-02-6
129. Northern Ill (12-7)0.51830-00-01-5
144. Toledo (13-9)0.50420-00-02-5
153. Western Mich (11-9)0.49890-00-02-5
213. Buffalo (9-11)0.46450-00-02-7
238. Bowling Green (5-14)0.45160-00-01-7
249. Marshall (5-10)0.44520-10-30-1
261. Ball St (6-13)0.43550-00-00-5
308. Eastern Mich (3-16)0.38780-00-00-5
317. Central Mich (1-18)0.37940-00-00-6


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4861


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Western KY (14-3)0.57370-00-01-1
66. South Alabama (15-3)0.56850-00-01-1
166. Denver (8-9)0.49330-00-01-3
167. Ul Lafayette (8-9)0.49220-00-01-3
175. Middle Tenn St (8-7)0.48550-00-01-2
179. Arkansas St (7-8)0.48320-00-00-3
210. New Orleans (7-10)0.46670-00-00-4
229. Arkansas Lr (6-10)0.45520-00-00-4
236. Troy St (7-10)0.45210-00-01-2
245. North Texas (6-10)0.44930-00-00-3
275. Florida Intl (4-11)0.42750-00-00-3


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4746


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
67. Pacific (14-2)0.56840-00-00-0
120. Long Beach St (11-6)0.52440-00-00-3
132. UC Irvine (10-5)0.51450-00-01-1
152. Cal Poly (8-8)0.49910-00-00-3
262. UC Santa Barbara (7-9)0.43530-00-00-2
269. CS Fullerton (6-10)0.43240-00-00-2
287. CS Northridge (4-11)0.41170-00-00-2
293. UC Riverside (3-12)0.41080-00-01-1


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4679


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
47. Bucknell (17-0)0.58240-00-00-0
87. Holy Cross (13-4)0.54970-00-30-0
95. Lehigh (12-4)0.54040-00-20-0
182. American (8-8)0.48080-00-30-0
284. Lafayette (5-10)0.41570-00-20-0
297. Colgate (4-11)0.40660-00-20-0
309. Navy (3-12)0.38690-00-20-0
314. Army (1-14)0.38060-00-30-0


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4668


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. Murray St (20-3)0.57550-00-00-0
123. Samford (16-7)0.52350-00-01-2
146. Tennessee Tech (14-8)0.50310-00-01-1
170. Jacksonville St (13-9)0.49090-00-00-3
189. Tennessee St (11-10)0.47840-00-00-2
196. Eastern KY (11-10)0.47560-00-00-2
203. Austin Peay (11-10)0.47070-00-00-2
244. Tenn Martin (9-12)0.44930-00-00-3
300. Eastern Ill (5-15)0.40080-00-01-1
311. Morehead St (3-17)0.38360-00-00-2
312. SE Missouri St (4-16)0.38280-00-00-2


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4656


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Winthrop (16-3)0.55010-00-00-0
93. Coast Carolina (14-5)0.54090-00-02-1
134. Birmingham Southern (12-5)0.51220-00-00-2
197. High Point (9-9)0.47550-00-00-3
209. Radford (9-8)0.46710-00-00-2
219. Charleston Sou (8-10)0.46250-00-00-2
263. NC Asheville (6-11)0.43520-00-00-2
310. Liberty (3-14)0.38460-00-01-2
322. VMI (2-14)0.36250-00-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4641


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
110. Elon (11-5)0.52850-00-00-2
119. Davidson (13-5)0.52530-00-00-0
140. Geo Southern (11-5)0.50790-00-01-1
161. Chattanooga (10-7)0.49450-00-01-1
187. Coll Of Charltn (9-7)0.47880-00-00-2
220. Furman (8-8)0.46230-00-01-1
231. Appalachian St (8-9)0.45450-00-00-1
241. Westrn Carolina (7-8)0.45080-00-01-0
266. Wofford (6-10)0.43410-00-01-1
303. NC Greensboro (5-11)0.39420-00-00-1
319. The Citadel (2-15)0.37380-00-00-3


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4632


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
113. Fair Dickinson (12-4)0.52690-00-00-0
117. Monmouth NJ (12-6)0.52550-00-00-0
158. Central Conn (10-5)0.49640-00-00-0
162. Mt St Marys (9-6)0.49410-00-00-0
200. Robert Morris (9-8)0.47190-00-00-0
248. Liu Brooklyn (7-9)0.44620-00-00-0
285. St Francis NY (5-9)0.41530-00-00-0
291. Wagner (4-10)0.41100-00-00-0
313. St Francis PA (2-13)0.38150-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4617


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
44. Northwestern St (18-1)0.58740-00-00-0
131. Sam Houston (13-6)0.51730-00-01-2
188. SE Louisiana (10-7)0.47860-00-00-2
195. McNeese St (9-8)0.47610-00-00-1
201. Lamar (10-8)0.47130-00-00-2
218. Stephen Austin (10-8)0.46290-00-00-1
226. Texas Arlington (7-10)0.45800-00-00-2
252. Tex San Antonio (6-11)0.44400-00-00-3
267. Ul Monroe (6-10)0.43270-00-00-2
305. Nicholls St (5-11)0.39060-00-00-1
323. SW Texas St (1-15)0.35970-00-00-2


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4601


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Pennsylvania (12-2)0.55730-00-00-0
106. Princeton (10-4)0.53080-00-01-1
184. Cornell (8-6)0.47980-00-00-2
234. Yale (7-7)0.45350-00-00-2
254. Brown (6-8)0.44290-00-00-2
286. Harvard (5-9)0.41400-00-00-2
296. Dartmouth (4-10)0.40840-00-00-2
304. Columbia (4-10)0.39380-00-01-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4480


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
104. Belmont (18-5)0.53170-00-00-0
127. Lipscomb (17-6)0.51930-00-00-0
157. Fla Atlantic (14-7)0.49650-00-00-0
176. Gardner-Webb (14-8)0.48520-00-00-0
207. Stetson (12-10)0.46790-00-00-0
221. East Tenn St (12-9)0.46160-00-00-0
250. Kennesaw St (10-10)0.44490-00-00-0
265. Campbell (9-12)0.43430-00-00-0
295. Mercer (7-14)0.40910-00-00-0
325. North Florida (3-17)0.34700-00-00-0
330. Jacksonville (1-19)0.33030-00-00-0


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4461


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
97. Albany NY (16-3)0.53660-00-00-0
149. Binghamton (13-5)0.50160-00-00-0
227. Boston U (9-8)0.45700-00-00-0
228. New Hampshire (9-9)0.45690-00-00-0
230. Hartford (9-8)0.45460-00-00-0
235. Vermont (9-10)0.45290-00-00-0
273. Maine (7-10)0.42850-00-00-0
306. Umbc (6-12)0.38880-00-00-0
328. Stony Brook (2-15)0.33790-00-00-0


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4390


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
102. Oral Roberts (16-3)0.53280-00-00-0
135. Iupui (14-4)0.51160-00-00-0
194. Mo Kansas City (11-6)0.47620-00-00-0
214. Chicago St (10-9)0.46430-00-00-0
256. Southern Utah (8-9)0.43730-00-00-0
274. Valparaiso (9-9)0.42850-00-00-0
301. Oakland (6-11)0.40040-00-00-0
324. Western Ill (3-14)0.35660-00-00-0
326. Centenary (2-14)0.34310-00-00-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4172


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
122. Delaware St (18-3)0.52390-00-00-0
223. SO Carolina St (12-8)0.45840-00-00-0
225. Coppin St (12-7)0.45810-00-00-0
239. Hampton (14-8)0.45150-00-00-0
268. Bethune Cookman (11-8)0.43250-00-00-0
270. Norfolk St (12-9)0.43240-00-00-0
281. Florida A&M (10-9)0.41750-00-00-0
318. NO Carolina A&T (6-13)0.37450-00-00-0
321. Howard (6-14)0.36370-00-00-0
327. Morgan St (4-15)0.34090-00-00-0
329. MD Eastrn Shore (4-15)0.33560-00-00-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4167


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Southern (18-3)0.52550-00-00-0
257. Grambling (12-8)0.43700-00-00-0
260. Alabama A&M (11-8)0.43560-00-00-0
264. Jackson St (11-9)0.43430-00-00-0
276. Alabama St (10-9)0.42390-00-00-0
280. Ark Pine Bluff (10-11)0.41840-00-00-0
288. Miss Valley St (9-10)0.41150-00-00-0
299. Alcorn St (8-11)0.40220-00-00-0
320. Texas Southern (6-12)0.37130-00-00-0
333. Prairie View (2-16)0.30760-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.3883


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
193. Utah Valley St (8-3)0.47680-00-00-0
202. Texas A&M-CC (10-1)0.47080-00-00-0
277. IPFW (6-5)0.42340-00-00-0
289. South Dakota St (5-4)0.41140-00-00-0
292. North Dakota St (3-3)0.41090-00-00-0
307. UC Davis (1-1)0.38850-00-00-0
315. Savannah St (1-2)0.37990-00-00-0
331. Northern Colorado (2-7)0.32130-00-00-0
332. Longwood (2-4)0.31290-00-00-0
334. TX Pan American (1-9)0.28730-00-00-0
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