NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference RPI Non-League

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:27 EST 2007


SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5811


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Florida (20-0)0.65355-01-04-0
9. Tennessee (10-3)0.63391-20-03-1
20. South Carolina (13-4)0.60970-12-14-2
24. LSU (11-6)0.60602-32-31-0
32. Auburn (8-3)0.59670-10-12-0
35. Kentucky (11-5)0.59320-32-23-0
75. Vanderbilt (9-3)0.55791-00-10-1
78. Mississippi St (10-3)0.55551-00-01-2
88. Alabama (8-6)0.54980-31-03-3
89. Arkansas (11-3)0.54971-11-10-1
97. Georgia (10-3)0.54540-00-12-1
123. Mississippi (10-3)0.52190-10-00-0


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 0.5734


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
4. Villanova (13-2)0.65622-23-02-0
14. Connecticut (16-1)0.62233-14-00-0
25. Pittsburgh (12-1)0.60370-12-01-0
28. Louisville (15-2)0.59901-00-23-0
36. Georgetown (11-3)0.59262-21-01-1
37. Syracuse (12-3)0.59080-10-24-0
39. DePaul (7-4)0.58830-12-12-1
41. Cincinnati (12-4)0.58701-10-16-1
47. Seton Hall (9-4)0.58000-20-03-0
56. Rutgers (10-4)0.57340-10-12-1
62. Providence (7-4)0.56810-30-02-0
72. Notre Dame (10-3)0.56080-02-21-1
80. Marquette (9-4)0.55470-01-20-1
81. West Virginia (10-5)0.55412-31-11-0
165. St Johns (7-4)0.49120-10-10-0
230. South Florida (6-7)0.45300-00-20-1


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 0.5733


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Ohio St (12-1)0.63431-11-03-0
17. Illinois (15-1)0.61463-10-03-0
22. Michigan (14-2)0.60870-10-18-0
27. Michigan St (11-3)0.60002-21-00-0
40. Wisconsin (10-4)0.58740-13-12-1
44. Minnesota (10-3)0.58470-01-12-1
55. Indiana (9-4)0.57390-31-03-0
67. Iowa (11-4)0.56440-11-11-2
102. Northwestern (7-4)0.53740-00-12-2
139. Purdue (6-5)0.51020-10-01-2
166. Penn St (8-4)0.49060-10-10-2


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5621


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Duke (15-2)0.68142-23-04-0
31. North Carolina (10-3)0.59710-22-02-0
42. Boston College (14-2)0.58620-20-03-0
46. Clemson (11-3)0.58070-01-02-2
61. Wake Forest (12-3)0.56891-11-01-2
65. North Carolina St (12-3)0.56590-22-02-1
77. Maryland (9-4)0.55580-11-11-2
104. Florida St (11-2)0.53640-10-11-0
108. Miami Fla (10-6)0.53440-11-21-3
124. Virginia (7-5)0.51990-10-10-2
130. Virginia Tech (10-3)0.51650-10-01-1
151. Georgia Tech (7-4)0.50180-10-01-2


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.5555


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. Missouri St (10-2)0.64100-02-11-1
13. Northern Iowa (9-2)0.62772-11-00-1
16. Bradley (9-3)0.61781-11-02-1
43. Wichita St (10-4)0.58581-40-03-0
52. Creighton (8-3)0.57631-00-02-2
82. Southern Ill (7-4)0.55350-00-12-1
84. Indiana St (7-1)0.55000-01-01-0
162. Drake (5-5)0.49320-20-00-2
195. Illinois St (4-4)0.47080-00-10-1
266. Evansville (4-5)0.43870-00-00-1


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 0.5475


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
15. Texas (15-3)0.61983-32-02-0
21. Oklahoma (9-3)0.60900-11-20-0
45. Kansas St (9-2)0.58320-00-00-0
51. Texas AM (11-2)0.57741-10-01-1
64. Iowa St (9-3)0.56661-11-01-1
85. Oklahoma St (10-5)0.55001-20-11-2
87. Colorado (10-2)0.54980-01-01-1
116. Missouri (7-4)0.52770-10-11-1
132. Nebraska (10-4)0.51600-01-31-1
148. Kansas (8-5)0.50340-11-41-0
173. Baylor (0-0)0.48640-00-00-0
183. Texas Tech (8-6)0.48050-10-12-3


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5455


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. UCLA (15-3)0.66693-23-12-0
10. Washington (13-1)0.63382-10-02-0
12. Arizona (8-5)0.62840-42-12-0
57. Washington St (7-2)0.57180-10-01-1
117. USC (8-2)0.52711-00-01-0
146. California (6-4)0.50520-00-13-2
156. Arizona St (6-3)0.49590-10-00-1
160. Stanford (5-6)0.49400-20-01-1
175. Oregon St (7-4)0.48550-00-02-1
249. Oregon (5-6)0.44640-20-01-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5198


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
18. Nevada (10-3)0.61360-11-04-1
30. Utah St (9-3)0.59840-10-02-0
95. Louisiana Tech (7-7)0.54710-11-20-1
109. Hawaii (7-4)0.53171-00-12-2
114. Fresno St (7-5)0.52860-00-11-2
133. Boise St (7-4)0.51470-00-01-1
155. New Mexico St (4-7)0.49610-10-01-2
236. San Jose St (4-10)0.45070-00-00-2
305. Idaho (2-9)0.39710-20-00-0


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 0.5182


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
6. George Mason (11-4)0.64515-10-11-1
34. VA Commonwealth (7-2)0.59630-01-10-0
38. Hofstra (10-1)0.59010-01-00-1
58. Old Dominion (10-4)0.57160-00-34-0
69. Drexel (7-5)0.56350-20-10-1
98. NC Wilmington (7-5)0.54230-00-21-1
153. Northeastern (4-4)0.49940-00-00-1
199. William & Mary (5-4)0.46950-00-00-0
224. Georgia St (3-6)0.45470-00-20-2
258. Delaware (4-6)0.44130-00-00-1
265. Towson (4-5)0.43880-10-00-0
296. James Madison (3-6)0.40550-10-00-0


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 0.5135


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
23. St Josephs (7-6)0.60800-31-22-1
49. Xavier (9-3)0.57850-21-11-0
66. Temple (7-6)0.56560-32-03-2
83. Geo Washington (11-2)0.55170-11-01-1
91. La Salle (8-3)0.54930-10-10-1
125. Massachusetts (5-6)0.51950-20-10-2
128. St Louis (6-6)0.51800-31-10-0
149. Charlotte (8-7)0.50320-00-22-1
154. Rhode Island (6-5)0.49710-10-11-1
161. Fordham (5-8)0.49370-00-02-5
181. Dayton (7-6)0.48230-01-30-3
202. St Bonaventure (6-5)0.46870-00-10-0
207. Richmond (7-6)0.46660-00-02-4
309. Duquesne (2-9)0.38690-20-10-1


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5107


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
50. Iona (7-3)0.57750-10-11-1
70. Siena (5-4)0.56200-10-10-1
101. Loyola MD (7-2)0.54030-00-00-1
103. Manhattan (6-6)0.53660-20-01-2
112. Marist (6-3)0.53030-00-00-3
113. Rider (4-5)0.52960-10-10-1
127. St Peters (5-5)0.51840-20-00-1
211. Niagara (3-6)0.46340-00-10-1
231. Fairfield (2-7)0.45220-20-10-0
306. Canisius (2-7)0.39630-00-10-0


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.5102


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
11. Gonzaga (13-4)0.62891-42-05-0
106. San Diego (9-3)0.53550-00-01-0
107. St Marys CA (7-5)0.53540-01-21-3
137. Santa Clara (5-6)0.51100-11-01-1
164. Pepperdine (4-8)0.49250-10-21-1
214. Portland (6-7)0.46080-00-00-2
217. Loyola Marymnt (3-11)0.45940-10-01-5
220. San Francisco (4-9)0.45830-10-11-2


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 0.5027


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
48. Colorado St (9-2)0.57960-00-01-1
68. Air Force (10-2)0.56440-20-01-0
111. New Mexico (9-4)0.53080-10-02-1
131. BYU (7-4)0.51610-00-10-1
168. Utah (6-4)0.49030-00-11-1
169. Unlv (6-6)0.48960-01-10-2
197. San Diego St (6-6)0.46990-00-10-1
209. Wyoming (6-6)0.46610-00-31-0
285. TCU (4-9)0.41750-10-00-2


HORIZON AVERAGE = 0.4972


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
33. Wisc Milwaukee (7-5)0.59651-30-11-0
71. Loyola Chi (7-2)0.56151-00-10-0
74. Illinois Chi (7-5)0.55970-10-02-1
90. Butler (8-7)0.54951-10-31-2
170. Detroit (5-7)0.48920-10-10-3
185. Wright St (4-6)0.47960-00-01-2
233. Wisc Green Bay (5-7)0.45120-20-10-1
242. Cleveland St (3-6)0.44820-20-00-2
329. Youngstown St (2-8)0.33890-00-00-2


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 0.4946


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Memphis (17-3)0.67614-34-02-0
19. Houston (10-4)0.61111-11-01-3
96. Uab (9-4)0.54650-00-13-3
126. Texas El Paso (7-6)0.51930-20-13-0
193. Marshall (7-6)0.47190-01-10-0
228. Tulsa (4-8)0.45340-10-00-1
238. SO Mississippi (3-9)0.45020-10-10-2
239. Rice (4-7)0.44890-10-20-1
248. Central Florida (4-7)0.44650-10-10-1
251. East Carolina (4-7)0.44580-01-00-3
262. Tulane (4-7)0.43960-10-10-2
278. SMU (7-5)0.42600-10-00-1


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4898


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
29. Buffalo (9-2)0.59860-10-01-1
53. Ohio (6-2)0.57630-00-20-0
99. Akron (7-5)0.54170-00-21-3
134. Toledo (6-2)0.51360-00-10-0
140. Northern Ill (4-4)0.50870-10-01-1
145. Miami Ohio (4-6)0.50540-10-30-2
163. Kent (6-6)0.49290-20-11-1
193. Marshall (7-6)0.47190-01-10-0
198. Ball St (2-5)0.46970-00-10-1
267. Eastern Mich (4-5)0.43620-00-11-0
276. Bowling Green (2-7)0.42890-10-00-1
283. Western Mich (2-8)0.42190-00-10-1
298. Central Mich (2-6)0.40210-00-20-0


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 0.4895


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
59. Middle Tenn St (7-5)0.57160-10-01-2
63. Western KY (8-5)0.56720-11-21-2
94. South Alabama (8-4)0.54800-21-00-0
119. Ul Lafayette (5-7)0.52520-20-21-2
147. North Texas (5-4)0.50430-00-30-0
178. Arkansas Lr (7-5)0.48400-20-10-1
191. Denver (8-6)0.47650-00-00-1
243. Troy St (4-5)0.44820-00-00-1
273. Arkansas St (3-10)0.43030-20-00-2
275. Florida Intl (3-9)0.42940-10-20-2
302. New Orleans (1-9)0.39990-10-10-2


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 0.4849


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
54. Montana (10-3)0.57390-11-11-0
92. Sacramento St (7-5)0.54890-10-10-0
136. Idaho St (7-4)0.51150-00-10-0
157. Portland St (5-6)0.49560-10-10-2
205. Eastern Wash (4-9)0.46820-20-20-1
260. Weber St (4-7)0.44080-00-00-2
282. Northrn Arizona (5-8)0.42250-00-10-2
286. Montana St (6-6)0.41750-00-00-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 0.4696


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Sam Houston (5-3)0.55000-00-21-0
93. Northwestern St (5-7)0.54891-10-21-2
159. Texas Arlington (3-6)0.49450-10-00-2
188. Lamar (4-5)0.47690-10-00-2
190. SE Louisiana (3-4)0.47660-00-00-0
223. Ul Monroe (1-8)0.45560-10-10-3
226. Nicholls St (3-7)0.45450-10-10-1
237. McNeese St (2-6)0.45060-10-10-1
250. Tex San Antonio (3-6)0.44630-10-00-2
272. Stephen Austin (4-4)0.43090-00-00-0
312. SW Texas St (1-7)0.38050-10-10-0


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 0.4685


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
26. Bucknell (9-5)0.60271-32-11-0
138. Holy Cross (7-8)0.51060-20-11-1
189. Lafayette (4-7)0.47660-00-10-2
221. Lehigh (5-8)0.45800-20-00-1
234. American (4-9)0.45110-20-00-2
246. Colgate (5-8)0.44720-30-00-0
261. Navy (5-6)0.44030-10-00-2
324. Army (2-8)0.36150-10-00-1


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 0.4666


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
76. Austin Peay (6-4)0.55650-00-00-3
79. Samford (2-4)0.55500-20-00-2
110. Tennessee Tech (3-4)0.53140-21-10-0
121. Murray St (3-4)0.52380-20-20-0
141. Tenn Martin (2-3)0.50870-10-00-1
208. Eastern KY (2-6)0.46620-10-10-3
259. Jacksonville St (2-4)0.44090-00-00-1
274. Tennessee St (1-5)0.42940-10-00-1
293. SE Missouri St (1-4)0.40690-10-00-0
313. Eastern Ill (1-6)0.38010-00-00-1
331. Morehead St (0-6)0.33330-10-00-0


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 0.4663


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
73. Winthrop (5-5)0.56030-21-20-0
120. High Point (5-4)0.52440-00-10-0
172. Radford (5-5)0.48690-10-10-0
180. NC Asheville (2-7)0.48350-10-10-3
201. Birmingham Southern (5-4)0.46920-00-10-1
225. Charleston Sou (2-5)0.45460-00-00-2
270. Coast Carolina (2-5)0.43300-00-20-1
295. VMI (2-6)0.40550-00-00-3
314. Liberty (1-9)0.37930-00-10-1


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 0.4564


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
100. Davidson (4-6)0.54170-41-00-1
182. Geo Southern (7-5)0.48160-10-00-1
186. Chattanooga (5-6)0.47800-01-00-1
192. Coll Of Charltn (6-4)0.47600-01-00-2
196. NC Greensboro (5-8)0.47050-10-10-2
213. Furman (4-5)0.46140-00-00-1
218. Appalachian St (4-7)0.45910-10-01-2
255. Elon (1-9)0.44310-00-11-3
271. Westrn Carolina (3-9)0.43110-00-20-2
304. Wofford (1-8)0.39890-00-20-3
315. The Citadel (4-6)0.37860-00-00-2


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 0.4555


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
144. Albany NY (5-8)0.50770-30-00-2
176. Vermont (4-7)0.48540-10-10-1
179. Stony Brook (2-9)0.48380-30-20-0
184. Boston U (3-8)0.48030-10-30-0
240. Umbc (4-7)0.44870-00-10-2
264. Binghamton (3-8)0.43890-10-10-1
277. New Hampshire (3-8)0.42880-10-00-1
280. Maine (3-6)0.42500-10-00-1
301. Hartford (3-7)0.40090-00-00-1


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4540


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
129. Wagner (8-4)0.51710-10-00-0
152. Monmouth NJ (7-9)0.50100-11-10-1
167. Central Conn (8-6)0.49060-00-00-1
177. Fair Dickinson (7-8)0.48530-00-00-4
219. St Francis NY (5-8)0.45850-10-10-1
235. Robert Morris (4-6)0.45080-20-00-0
288. Liu Brooklyn (4-7)0.41280-00-00-0
290. Mt St Marys (4-11)0.41010-00-00-2
325. St Francis PA (1-11)0.35970-00-10-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 0.4540


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Harvard (8-5)0.52700-10-00-0
122. Pennsylvania (7-7)0.52330-30-10-2
174. Yale (8-7)0.48550-00-21-0
245. Columbia (6-6)0.44740-00-00-1
263. Cornell (4-9)0.43910-20-10-0
281. Brown (4-9)0.42450-00-00-1
292. Princeton (2-10)0.40740-00-00-5
316. Dartmouth (2-11)0.37770-10-10-1


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 0.4470


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
135. Pacific (8-6)0.51220-11-11-2
142. UC Santa Barbara (7-5)0.50850-10-00-1
158. CS Fullerton (9-3)0.49530-00-00-0
212. Long Beach St (6-6)0.46190-00-01-2
215. UC Irvine (6-6)0.46060-10-01-1
241. CS Northridge (6-6)0.44870-00-00-1
323. UC Riverside (2-10)0.36250-00-00-1
333. Cal Poly (0-11)0.32610-00-00-2


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 0.4461


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
60. Valparaiso (7-3)0.57120-20-11-0
143. Oral Roberts (4-9)0.50830-30-10-4
194. Iupui (3-6)0.47150-00-00-3
210. Oakland (3-7)0.46340-00-20-1
229. Chicago St (1-10)0.45340-20-10-2
279. Western Ill (2-7)0.42500-00-30-0
289. Centenary (1-9)0.41050-00-20-1
321. Mo Kansas City (2-8)0.36430-10-10-0
328. Southern Utah (1-11)0.34720-00-00-2


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4338


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
115. Delaware St (3-11)0.52820-30-21-3
171. Florida A&M (3-8)0.48890-20-20-2
216. MD Eastrn Shore (3-7)0.46010-10-10-1
222. SO Carolina St (2-8)0.45780-00-20-2
227. Coppin St (0-11)0.45370-50-10-3
232. Norfolk St (1-9)0.45160-10-40-0
269. Bethune Cookman (4-7)0.43440-20-00-1
303. Morgan St (0-11)0.39960-20-10-2
311. Howard (1-8)0.38160-00-00-3
322. Hampton (2-8)0.36380-10-00-1
326. NO Carolina A&T (0-10)0.35170-00-10-1


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 0.4173


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
203. Jackson St (3-8)0.46840-10-10-1
204. Southern (1-10)0.46840-40-11-2
244. Alabama A&M (0-4)0.44770-10-00-2
247. Alabama St (2-9)0.44660-10-11-2
268. Texas Southern (0-10)0.43530-40-10-2
291. Ark Pine Bluff (1-5)0.40980-00-10-1
300. Miss Valley St (0-8)0.40170-00-10-3
310. Alcorn St (0-9)0.38480-00-10-1
317. Prairie View (1-8)0.37340-10-00-1
330. Grambling (0-5)0.33680-00-10-1


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 0.4162


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
105. Gardner-Webb (3-4)0.53610-20-01-0
150. Belmont (2-6)0.50300-30-00-0
200. Lipscomb (4-5)0.46930-10-10-1
252. Kennesaw St (1-5)0.44520-00-10-0
253. East Tenn St (3-4)0.44480-10-00-1
297. Jacksonville (0-7)0.40320-10-00-1
318. Fla Atlantic (1-6)0.37260-00-00-0
319. Mercer (2-5)0.37140-00-00-2
320. Stetson (2-8)0.36820-10-00-3
327. Campbell (1-6)0.35030-00-00-1
334. North Florida (1-5)0.31440-00-00-0


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 0.4140


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
187. North Dakota St (9-9)0.47780-01-00-2
206. Texas A&M-CC (6-7)0.46730-10-20-1
257. South Dakota St (3-16)0.44130-10-30-5
284. IPFW (2-13)0.42040-10-00-3
287. UC Davis (6-19)0.41390-00-11-3
294. Longwood (6-16)0.40610-10-00-3
299. TX Pan American (2-15)0.40190-30-10-2
307. Utah Valley St (6-10)0.39560-00-00-1
308. Northern Colorado (1-17)0.38910-00-10-2
332. Savannah St (0-24)0.32620-20-10-3
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