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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Home Rankings

By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:22 EST 2007

Home Advantage = 3.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Connecticut (16-0)97.44-04-00-0
2. Iowa (17-0)97.12-05-01-0
3. Texas (16-1)94.92-13-02-0
4. Villanova (12-1)93.82-14-01-0
5. Memphis (19-1)92.51-11-08-0
6. Ohio St (16-1)92.02-02-13-0
7. Illinois (15-1)91.72-03-01-0
8. Arkansas (15-1)91.73-11-01-0
9. Duke (14-1)91.60-12-08-0
10. Akron (12-0)91.40-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Pittsburgh (16-1)90.61-05-02-1
12. West Virginia (12-2)90.42-24-01-0
13. Bradley (13-1)89.81-01-13-0
14. Wisconsin (14-2)89.72-14-03-0
15. Air Force (14-0)89.60-00-04-0
16. Georgetown (11-2)89.42-12-02-1
17. Marquette (13-2)89.33-01-12-1
18. Florida (16-2)89.32-21-01-0
19. Geo Washington (15-0)89.20-01-01-0
20. LSU (14-2)88.83-01-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Washington (17-2)88.51-12-04-1
22. Oklahoma (14-1)88.31-03-03-0
23. George Mason (12-1)88.10-01-01-1
24. Tennessee (13-2)88.02-20-02-0
25. Louisville (19-3)88.01-34-02-0
26. Uab (13-1)88.01-01-02-1
27. Michigan (16-3)87.81-23-15-0
28. Michigan St (12-2)87.71-23-01-0
29. Kansas (14-2)87.61-01-13-1
30. Indiana (10-3)87.62-32-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Gonzaga (16-0)87.60-01-03-0
32. Old Dominion (14-1)87.31-01-02-1
33. Missouri St (14-2)87.10-01-24-0
34. Alabama (14-4)87.04-10-23-0
35. Arizona (12-2)86.90-21-06-0
36. Bucknell (13-1)86.70-11-00-0
37. Nevada (16-1)86.70-00-03-1
38. NC Wilmington (12-1)86.71-00-01-0
39. Hofstra (14-1)86.71-01-01-1
40. Boston College (13-2)86.20-12-14-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Creighton (15-2)86.11-03-02-2
42. North Carolina (13-4)86.11-32-03-1
43. Wichita St (13-2)86.01-11-14-0
44. Texas AM (16-2)86.01-11-13-0
45. Florida St (14-3)85.81-21-05-1
46. Southern Ill (11-2)85.71-03-02-1
47. Butler (12-1)85.50-01-01-0
48. North Carolina St (15-3)85.10-22-05-1
49. BYU (13-1)85.10-00-03-0
50. Northwestern St (11-0)85.00-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Colorado (14-2)85.00-12-03-1
52. UCLA (14-3)85.01-20-15-0
53. Virginia (11-3)84.92-01-13-1
54. Cincinnati (15-5)84.91-31-16-0
55. Northern Iowa (11-3)84.81-11-12-1
56. Maryland (14-3)84.61-20-06-0
57. Stanford (11-3)84.41-21-04-0
58. California (12-3)84.32-10-06-0
59. Seton Hall (13-4)83.71-11-22-0
60. Montana (11-1)83.60-00-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Minnesota (13-5)83.51-12-23-0
62. Notre Dame (12-5)83.40-20-35-0
63. Syracuse (14-5)83.41-21-13-2
64. South Carolina (10-6)83.31-41-02-1
65. Kentucky (10-5)83.02-31-10-1
66. Clemson (12-4)83.01-11-15-1
67. Temple (11-5)82.91-22-13-1
68. Kent (12-2)82.90-00-02-0
69. Mississippi St (11-5)82.92-31-00-1
70. Texas El Paso (13-2)82.80-10-03-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. San Diego St (12-2)82.60-00-03-1
72. Wisc Milwaukee (12-2)82.40-10-02-0
73. Western KY (12-2)82.30-00-01-1
74. Massachusetts (10-2)82.20-01-02-1
75. Hawaii (14-3)82.10-02-03-2
76. Murray St (13-1)82.10-00-00-1
77. Miami Fla (11-5)82.10-32-23-0
78. Fresno St (12-2)82.00-01-01-2
79. Utah St (13-2)82.00-00-13-0
80. Northeastern (9-2)81.90-10-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Kansas St (13-4)81.80-21-12-0
82. Winthrop (13-1)81.60-00-00-0
83. Houston (12-2)81.51-00-02-0
84. Wake Forest (12-6)81.41-33-12-2
85. Davidson (11-1)81.40-01-00-0
86. Detroit (12-1)81.30-00-01-1
87. DePaul (7-7)81.30-22-23-3
88. Miami Ohio (11-2)81.10-00-01-2
89. Auburn (11-5)81.10-40-12-0
90. USC (11-5)81.13-10-13-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. New Mexico (15-2)81.10-00-04-2
92. Oklahoma St (11-5)81.11-11-12-2
93. Georgia (9-5)81.01-42-01-1
94. VA Commonwealth (13-3)81.00-10-12-1
95. Drexel (11-3)81.00-00-21-1
96. Rutgers (11-5)81.00-22-02-2
97. Vanderbilt (11-7)80.91-50-11-0
98. Ohio (12-2)80.90-00-01-1
99. Xavier (14-4)80.80-02-21-0
100. Georgia Tech (10-5)80.71-11-13-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Louisiana Tech (9-2)80.70-00-10-1
102. Toledo (13-2)80.60-00-01-0
103. Texas Tech (12-4)80.60-11-23-1
104. Northwestern (8-5)80.41-21-11-0
105. St Louis (11-4)80.40-10-23-0
106. Unlv (12-4)80.30-00-13-2
107. St Josephs (7-5)80.20-10-12-3
108. Providence (9-7)80.20-40-22-1
109. Iowa St (9-6)80.21-22-12-1
110. Purdue (9-5)80.00-22-12-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Mississippi (11-6)79.72-30-10-1
112. Southern (10-0)79.70-00-01-0
113. Missouri (11-5)79.71-11-12-2
114. Oral Roberts (12-2)79.60-10-00-1
115. Coast Carolina (10-1)79.60-00-01-0
116. South Alabama (11-2)79.30-00-01-1
117. Denver (10-2)79.20-00-01-1
118. Buffalo (11-3)79.20-00-02-1
119. Nebraska (14-5)79.10-12-02-4
120. Northern Ill (9-3)79.10-00-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. La Salle (10-3)79.00-00-01-2
122. Baylor (4-4)79.00-10-33-0
123. Pacific (10-3)78.90-01-10-0
124. St Johns (10-7)78.81-21-11-3
125. Washington St (8-5)78.81-10-12-2
126. Pennsylvania (12-4)78.80-10-10-2
127. Manhattan (11-3)78.50-10-01-0
128. Loyola Chi (11-3)78.50-01-01-1
129. North Dakota St (8-1)78.50-00-00-0
130. Oregon (9-7)78.41-30-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Richmond (11-5)78.40-00-13-3
132. Geo Southern (10-1)78.20-00-00-0
133. St Marys CA (10-5)78.10-01-21-1
134. New Mexico St (9-4)78.00-00-12-2
135. Virginia Tech (10-7)77.90-31-21-1
136. Eastern Wash (9-2)77.90-00-00-1
137. Fordham (8-4)77.70-00-11-2
138. Penn St (11-7)77.50-21-30-2
139. Austin Peay (11-2)77.40-00-00-1
140. Dayton (11-5)77.30-01-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Utah (9-5)77.30-10-02-3
142. Wright St (9-3)77.30-00-02-0
143. Iupui (9-1)77.20-00-00-0
144. Holy Cross (11-3)77.20-10-00-1
145. Siena (10-4)77.10-00-00-1
146. Illinois St (8-6)76.80-10-31-1
147. Oregon St (7-6)76.81-20-13-2
148. Charlotte (9-6)76.70-00-21-1
149. San Diego (8-4)76.70-00-11-0
150. Marist (8-4)76.50-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Rhode Island (10-6)76.50-10-12-1
152. Wisc Green Bay (10-4)76.50-00-11-1
153. Texas A&M-CC (9-1)76.40-00-00-1
154. Boise St (9-5)75.90-00-11-2
155. Western Mich (9-4)75.80-00-10-1
156. Northrn Arizona (10-3)75.80-00-01-1
157. Loyola Marymnt (7-5)75.70-00-10-3
158. Ul Lafayette (8-3)75.60-00-00-2
159. Tennessee Tech (10-3)75.60-00-02-0
160. Lipscomb (11-1)75.30-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. San Francisco (8-6)75.20-00-21-1
162. Drake (6-8)75.20-11-20-4
163. Iona (7-4)75.10-00-00-0
164. High Point (7-2)75.10-00-00-1
165. Arizona St (8-9)75.00-30-11-4
166. Sam Houston (10-2)74.90-00-01-0
167. Santa Clara (7-5)74.80-00-12-1
168. Valparaiso (9-2)74.70-00-00-0
169. Indiana St (7-7)74.70-13-10-2
170. Colorado St (7-6)74.60-00-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Illinois Chi (8-5)74.50-00-00-2
172. Delaware St (9-1)74.40-00-00-0
173. Loyola MD (8-4)74.30-00-00-1
174. Niagara (6-6)74.30-00-00-2
175. Central Conn (11-4)74.20-00-00-0
176. Birmingham Southern (9-2)74.20-00-00-1
177. Samford (8-3)74.10-00-01-0
178. Evansville (7-7)74.10-10-31-1
179. Chattanooga (9-3)74.10-00-01-0
180. Belmont (10-2)73.80-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Portland (7-5)73.70-00-11-0
182. Middle Tenn St (8-4)73.70-00-02-0
183. Wyoming (8-8)73.60-00-12-5
184. Pepperdine (6-6)73.40-10-20-0
185. Tenn Martin (8-3)73.40-00-00-1
186. Montana St (10-4)73.30-00-00-1
187. Tulsa (7-5)73.30-10-10-1
188. Furman (8-3)73.20-00-00-0
189. Lehigh (9-3)72.90-00-00-1
190. North Texas (8-4)72.90-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. St Peters (7-5)72.90-00-00-1
192. Utah Valley St (10-2)72.80-00-00-0
193. Tulane (6-3)72.80-10-00-1
194. Elon (7-4)72.70-00-10-1
195. UC Santa Barbara (8-4)72.70-00-00-1
196. Robert Morris (9-2)72.70-00-00-0
197. Fair Dickinson (10-3)72.60-00-00-0
198. Southern Utah (7-3)72.60-00-00-0
199. Troy St (6-4)72.40-00-01-1
200. SE Louisiana (8-3)72.30-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. New Orleans (6-3)72.30-00-00-1
202. Albany NY (10-3)72.30-00-00-0
203. Chicago St (6-2)72.10-00-00-0
204. Fla Atlantic (10-2)72.10-00-00-0
205. Arkansas St (6-5)71.70-10-00-1
206. Long Beach St (8-4)71.70-00-00-1
207. Central Florida (8-5)71.60-00-01-2
208. Jacksonville St (9-5)71.50-00-00-1
209. Tennessee St (7-4)71.50-00-00-1
210. Marshall (7-6)71.50-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. UC Irvine (7-5)71.40-00-01-0
212. Texas Arlington (5-3)71.40-00-00-1
213. Appalachian St (6-4)71.30-00-00-0
214. Idaho St (6-5)70.80-00-01-0
215. South Florida (4-10)70.81-30-10-4
216. Sacramento St (5-5)70.80-00-00-1
217. Radford (6-4)70.60-00-00-1
218. Rider (5-7)70.60-00-00-2
219. SMU (8-6)70.60-00-10-2
220. CS Fullerton (6-5)70.50-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Westrn Carolina (6-4)70.50-10-00-0
222. Princeton (7-5)70.40-00-01-1
223. Coll Of Charltn (9-5)70.40-00-00-0
224. Rice (7-6)70.40-20-01-1
225. Portland St (4-5)70.30-00-01-0
226. Delaware (4-8)70.20-10-10-2
227. Fairfield (4-8)70.10-00-10-2
228. Monmouth NJ (8-4)70.00-00-00-0
229. Yale (8-3)70.00-00-00-1
230. TCU (6-9)70.00-00-00-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. McNeese St (6-3)69.90-00-00-0
232. Towson (7-6)69.60-00-01-1
233. Weber St (5-7)69.60-00-01-1
234. Vermont (8-5)69.50-00-10-0
235. Jackson St (9-2)69.50-00-00-0
236. St Bonaventure (6-7)69.50-00-10-2
237. SO Mississippi (5-8)69.50-10-10-3
238. Mo Kansas City (8-4)69.40-00-10-0
239. NC Greensboro (6-4)69.40-10-00-0
240. Eastern KY (7-6)69.30-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Georgia St (3-9)69.30-20-10-3
242. Stephen Austin (8-4)69.30-00-00-1
243. American (7-4)69.20-00-00-1
244. Arkansas Lr (8-6)69.20-00-00-2
245. Umbc (8-4)69.00-00-00-0
246. Ball St (4-8)68.70-00-10-2
247. St Francis NY (8-5)68.70-00-00-1
248. Youngstown St (4-7)68.70-00-01-2
249. William & Mary (5-8)68.60-10-10-2
250. Boston U (6-5)68.50-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Nicholls St (6-4)68.50-00-00-1
252. Lamar (6-4)68.20-00-00-0
253. Liu Brooklyn (7-4)68.10-00-00-0
254. Florida Intl (5-7)67.90-00-00-2
255. Ul Monroe (5-5)67.70-00-00-2
256. New Hampshire (7-4)67.70-00-00-0
257. CS Northridge (5-6)67.70-00-00-1
258. Wofford (4-5)67.60-00-00-0
259. Charleston Sou (4-5)67.50-00-10-1
260. Coppin St (7-2)67.50-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Canisius (4-9)67.50-00-00-1
262. Quinnipiac (7-5)67.40-00-00-0
263. Sacred Heart (8-5)67.30-00-00-0
264. Tex San Antonio (5-7)67.30-00-00-2
265. Alabama A&M (7-2)67.30-00-00-0
266. IPFW (4-5)67.20-00-10-0
267. Mt St Marys (7-6)67.10-00-00-0
268. Bethune Cookman (8-3)67.00-00-00-0
269. South Dakota St (5-5)67.00-00-00-2
270. Cal Poly (4-7)67.00-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Binghamton (8-6)67.00-00-00-0
272. Bowling Green (3-8)67.00-00-00-2
273. East Carolina (5-8)66.80-11-00-1
274. NC Asheville (4-5)66.60-00-00-1
275. Idaho (3-10)66.60-00-10-2
276. SO Carolina St (5-3)66.30-00-00-0
277. Lafayette (5-6)66.20-00-00-1
278. East Tenn St (9-5)66.10-00-00-0
279. Cleveland St (4-10)66.00-00-00-3
280. Hartford (6-6)65.90-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Eastern Mich (4-9)65.90-01-00-2
282. Liberty (4-7)65.60-00-01-0
283. Alabama St (7-4)65.60-00-01-0
284. Cornell (6-5)65.50-00-00-1
285. San Jose St (2-11)65.40-00-10-2
286. Maine (5-4)65.30-00-00-0
287. Florida A&M (7-4)65.30-00-00-0
288. Harvard (7-6)65.20-00-00-1
289. UC Davis (4-8)65.10-00-01-1
290. Longwood (6-4)65.00-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Norfolk St (6-4)64.90-00-00-0
292. Columbia (6-6)64.70-00-01-0
293. James Madison (3-11)64.50-20-10-2
294. Stetson (7-5)64.30-00-00-0
295. Oakland (4-7)64.30-00-00-0
296. Colgate (5-6)64.30-00-00-1
297. Wagner (6-6)64.00-00-00-0
298. Northern Colorado (3-7)63.90-00-00-0
299. Central Mich (2-10)63.50-00-00-3
300. Dartmouth (4-6)63.50-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Gardner-Webb (6-4)63.20-00-00-0
302. Howard (4-5)63.00-00-00-0
303. Hampton (7-7)63.00-00-00-0
304. UC Riverside (3-9)63.00-00-00-2
305. SE Missouri St (3-8)62.50-00-00-1
306. Brown (4-8)62.40-00-00-1
307. Alcorn St (5-4)62.20-00-00-0
308. NO Carolina A&T (4-6)62.10-00-00-0
309. Eastern Ill (3-9)62.10-00-01-0
310. Navy (4-8)61.90-10-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Western Ill (3-7)61.70-00-10-0
312. Duquesne (2-13)61.60-20-20-0
313. Miss Valley St (5-4)61.20-00-00-0
314. Stony Brook (3-7)61.20-00-00-0
315. VMI (2-9)60.90-00-00-2
316. Grambling (5-4)60.80-00-00-0
317. Campbell (5-8)60.60-00-00-0
318. Kennesaw St (5-5)60.30-00-00-0
319. Texas Southern (4-5)60.30-00-00-0
320. Ark Pine Bluff (4-5)60.30-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Centenary (2-10)60.00-00-00-3
322. The Citadel (2-10)59.50-00-00-1
323. St Francis PA (2-9)58.70-00-00-0
324. North Florida (4-7)58.20-00-00-0
325. MD Eastrn Shore (3-7)58.00-00-00-0
326. Mercer (4-7)57.60-00-00-0
327. SW Texas St (1-9)57.30-00-00-1
328. Morehead St (1-10)57.20-00-00-1
329. TX Pan American (1-8)55.50-00-00-1
330. Prairie View (3-7)55.20-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Morgan St (2-9)55.00-00-10-0
332. Jacksonville (1-11)52.30-00-10-0
333. Savannah St (1-5)51.70-00-00-0
334. Army (0-11)47.50-00-00-1
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