NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)
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NCAA Basketball Coaches Gone Wild (1 of 2)
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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

League Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:22 EST 2007

Home Advantage = 3.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Connecticut (14-3)94.24-16-22-0
2. Duke (17-2)93.83-13-111-0
3. Villanova (15-3)93.32-37-04-0
4. LSU (15-3)93.35-21-12-0
5. Kansas (16-3)92.21-14-06-1
6. Florida (13-6)90.86-50-12-0
7. North Carolina (13-5)90.81-34-08-2
8. Tennessee (12-5)90.65-40-12-0
9. UCLA (17-4)90.63-22-17-1
10. Iowa (14-5)90.03-16-22-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Ohio St (14-5)90.01-25-31-0
12. Geo Washington (16-1)90.00-02-04-1
13. Texas (15-4)89.71-14-36-0
14. Pittsburgh (13-7)89.63-36-24-1
15. Memphis (16-1)89.60-00-05-1
16. Gonzaga (16-0)89.50-00-00-0
17. West Virginia (11-6)89.34-34-21-1
18. NC Wilmington (18-3)89.21-10-02-2
19. Arkansas (11-7)89.13-41-11-0
20. Illinois (11-6)88.61-25-32-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Boston College (13-6)88.52-23-18-3
22. Bucknell (17-0)88.50-00-00-0
23. Marquette (10-7)88.03-42-24-1
24. Georgetown (12-7)87.61-45-23-0
25. Kentucky (11-8)87.54-51-10-2
26. Syracuse (11-9)87.54-64-11-2
27. Wichita St (15-5)87.02-02-32-2
28. Southern Ill (15-6)86.81-15-32-0
29. Alabama (10-7)86.75-40-01-0
30. George Mason (16-4)86.60-01-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Washington (13-6)86.53-11-15-4
32. Uab (14-3)86.31-20-02-1
33. Michigan St (10-9)86.33-53-30-1
34. Kent (18-3)86.10-00-01-1
35. San Diego St (16-3)85.80-00-05-2
36. Nevada (16-3)85.80-00-04-1
37. South Carolina (9-11)85.84-71-01-1
38. California (14-7)85.83-40-09-1
39. Indiana (10-8)85.72-44-20-1
40. Bradley (13-8)85.51-13-23-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Oklahoma (11-6)85.41-24-04-1
42. North Carolina St (10-7)85.41-42-07-3
43. Texas AM (11-7)85.41-31-35-1
44. Cincinnati (8-9)85.11-53-33-1
45. Wisconsin (9-8)85.12-32-32-0
46. Missouri St (12-7)84.90-02-52-2
47. Florida St (9-8)84.81-31-27-3
48. Vanderbilt (8-10)84.83-80-10-0
49. Hofstra (16-6)84.72-01-22-1
50. Creighton (12-7)84.71-14-30-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Northern Iowa (12-8)84.52-12-21-4
52. Arizona (12-8)84.51-41-17-2
53. Miami Fla (8-10)84.11-53-34-2
54. Seton Hall (9-8)84.02-22-22-3
55. Stanford (11-8)83.81-61-15-1
56. Maryland (9-9)83.81-50-38-1
57. Notre Dame (6-11)83.70-60-45-1
58. Northwestern St (18-1)83.60-00-00-0
59. Michigan (8-9)83.61-42-32-1
60. Old Dominion (14-6)83.61-11-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Rutgers (8-10)83.10-42-33-2
62. Louisville (6-11)83.10-73-22-1
63. St Josephs (12-8)82.70-00-23-4
64. Northeastern (14-7)82.70-20-22-2
65. Virginia (8-10)82.62-31-45-3
66. Charlotte (11-6)82.60-01-21-2
67. South Alabama (15-3)82.40-00-01-1
68. Iona (16-5)82.20-00-00-0
69. Pacific (14-2)82.10-00-00-0
70. Colorado (10-8)82.10-32-23-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Wisc Milwaukee (14-4)82.10-00-02-1
72. Akron (15-5)82.00-00-01-1
73. Oregon (9-12)81.92-50-34-3
74. Air Force (12-5)81.80-00-04-2
75. Clemson (7-10)81.70-31-26-5
76. Utah St (13-6)81.70-01-23-0
77. Penn St (7-11)81.71-51-50-1
78. Miami Ohio (14-5)81.60-00-01-3
79. Minnesota (6-12)81.51-53-40-0
80. Texas El Paso (12-4)81.50-10-02-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. BYU (12-5)81.50-00-03-3
82. Murray St (20-3)81.40-00-00-0
83. Louisiana Tech (12-6)81.40-00-20-3
84. Nebraska (9-10)81.40-43-13-4
85. Oklahoma St (7-11)81.01-31-33-3
86. Xavier (12-8)80.80-02-22-1
87. Western KY (14-3)80.70-00-01-1
88. Wake Forest (5-14)80.60-64-31-5
89. Georgia (5-12)80.62-91-01-1
90. Northrn Arizona (13-3)80.50-00-01-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Temple (10-9)80.40-02-31-1
92. DePaul (5-11)80.40-32-51-3
93. Unlv (11-7)80.40-00-01-6
94. St Johns (5-11)80.31-51-22-4
95. New Mexico St (11-7)80.20-00-33-1
96. Northwestern (6-11)80.21-41-42-0
97. Butler (12-6)80.20-00-01-2
98. Texas Tech (7-11)80.10-41-53-1
99. Mississippi St (5-12)80.11-81-10-1
100. Providence (5-11)80.10-50-53-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. USC (8-11)80.02-40-33-3
102. St Louis (10-7)80.00-00-34-0
103. Manhattan (14-5)79.90-00-02-0
104. La Salle (10-7)79.90-00-22-2
105. Winthrop (16-3)79.80-00-00-0
106. VA Commonwealth (12-8)79.60-20-22-2
107. Marist (13-7)79.60-00-01-2
108. Fordham (11-8)79.60-00-21-3
109. Montana (12-4)79.50-00-00-0
110. Virginia Tech (4-13)79.30-52-32-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Iowa St (6-11)79.30-31-32-3
112. Kansas St (6-11)79.31-21-22-4
113. Hawaii (10-7)79.20-01-11-3
114. Holy Cross (13-4)79.20-00-00-3
115. Loyola Marymnt (9-7)79.10-00-30-0
116. St Marys CA (9-7)78.70-00-20-0
117. Houston (10-6)78.60-20-01-2
118. Georgia Tech (4-13)78.51-31-42-6
119. Ohio (12-9)78.30-00-01-4
120. Mississippi (4-13)78.32-71-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Northern Ill (12-7)78.30-00-00-3
122. Auburn (4-13)78.20-80-20-2
123. Coast Carolina (14-5)78.20-00-02-1
124. Toledo (13-9)78.10-00-02-3
125. Pennsylvania (12-2)78.10-00-00-0
126. Oral Roberts (16-3)78.00-00-00-0
127. Massachusetts (8-9)78.00-01-12-3
128. Rhode Island (8-9)77.70-00-21-3
129. Oregon St (6-14)77.61-61-13-5
130. Lehigh (12-4)77.40-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Eastern Wash (10-6)77.10-00-00-3
132. Fresno St (8-8)77.10-01-11-3
133. St Peters (12-10)77.10-00-01-2
134. New Mexico (8-9)77.00-00-02-7
135. Texas A&M-CC (10-1)76.90-00-00-0
136. Siena (10-9)76.70-00-01-1
137. Long Beach St (11-6)76.70-00-00-3
138. Missouri (5-12)76.71-22-11-6
139. Samford (16-7)76.60-00-01-2
140. Arizona St (5-14)76.50-61-12-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Baylor (4-13)76.40-30-63-3
142. Albany NY (16-3)76.40-00-00-0
143. Davidson (13-5)76.30-00-00-0
144. UC Irvine (10-5)76.30-00-01-1
145. Purdue (3-14)76.30-42-51-1
146. San Diego (8-9)76.30-00-30-0
147. Evansville (6-14)76.30-20-61-4
148. Loyola Chi (10-9)76.20-00-01-4
149. Wisc Green Bay (9-9)76.10-00-01-4
150. San Francisco (7-8)76.10-00-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Drexel (8-11)76.10-10-21-3
152. Washington St (4-15)76.02-40-21-6
153. Birmingham Southern (12-5)75.80-00-00-2
154. Dayton (6-11)75.80-01-21-4
155. Sam Houston (13-6)75.70-00-01-2
156. Utah (7-11)75.60-00-03-6
157. Drake (5-14)75.60-21-50-4
158. Detroit (9-9)75.50-00-01-3
159. Wyoming (7-12)75.40-00-02-8
160. Geo Southern (11-5)75.30-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. Western Mich (11-9)75.20-00-00-4
162. Wright St (8-9)75.00-00-02-2
163. Indiana St (5-15)75.00-22-51-3
164. Iupui (14-4)75.00-00-00-0
165. Fair Dickinson (12-4)74.90-00-00-0
166. Buffalo (9-11)74.90-00-01-4
167. Illinois Chi (9-9)74.80-00-01-3
168. Denver (8-9)74.60-00-01-3
169. Elon (11-5)74.60-00-00-0
170. Niagara (8-12)74.30-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Ul Lafayette (8-9)74.20-00-01-3
172. Middle Tenn St (8-7)74.20-00-01-2
173. Tennessee Tech (14-8)74.20-00-01-1
174. Santa Clara (6-10)74.10-00-20-0
175. Central Florida (8-8)74.10-10-02-3
176. Boise St (6-11)74.00-00-20-5
177. South Florida (1-15)73.81-40-40-6
178. Richmond (6-11)73.70-00-31-3
179. Monmouth NJ (12-6)73.70-00-00-0
180. Jacksonville St (13-9)73.70-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Cal Poly (8-8)73.60-00-00-3
182. Princeton (10-4)73.60-00-01-1
183. Delaware St (18-3)73.50-00-00-0
184. SE Louisiana (10-7)73.50-00-00-2
185. Loyola MD (8-11)73.50-00-00-2
186. Illinois St (4-15)73.40-20-61-3
187. Chattanooga (10-7)73.30-00-00-0
188. Canisius (7-13)73.20-00-00-2
189. Towson (8-11)73.10-10-11-2
190. Belmont (18-5)73.10-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Binghamton (13-5)73.10-00-00-0
192. Coll Of Charltn (9-7)73.00-00-00-0
193. Utah Valley St (8-3)72.90-00-00-0
194. Central Conn (10-5)72.80-00-00-0
195. Southern (18-3)72.80-00-00-0
196. Tennessee St (11-10)72.80-00-00-2
197. Portland (5-10)72.70-00-20-0
198. Fairfield (7-12)72.60-00-00-2
199. Arkansas St (7-8)72.60-00-00-3
200. Lamar (10-8)72.60-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Montana St (7-8)72.60-00-00-2
202. Colorado St (5-13)72.50-00-00-9
203. Austin Peay (11-10)72.40-00-00-2
204. High Point (9-9)72.30-00-00-3
205. Lipscomb (17-6)72.20-00-00-0
206. Stephen Austin (10-8)72.20-00-00-1
207. Tulane (7-9)72.20-20-00-3
208. Troy St (7-10)72.20-00-01-2
209. Delaware (5-15)72.10-20-30-3
210. Tulsa (6-9)71.90-20-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Mo Kansas City (11-6)71.80-00-00-0
212. Radford (9-8)71.70-00-00-2
213. Mt St Marys (9-6)71.60-00-00-0
214. Sacramento St (6-10)71.60-00-00-2
215. Rice (6-9)71.50-10-01-3
216. Portland St (5-10)71.50-00-01-1
217. Eastern KY (11-10)71.50-00-00-2
218. New Orleans (7-10)71.40-00-00-4
219. McNeese St (9-8)71.40-00-00-1
220. Cleveland St (5-12)71.20-00-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Appalachian St (8-9)71.10-00-00-0
222. Texas Arlington (7-10)71.10-00-00-2
223. Arkansas Lr (6-10)71.00-00-00-4
224. Bowling Green (5-14)71.00-00-01-3
225. Charleston Sou (8-10)70.90-00-00-2
226. Chicago St (10-9)70.90-00-00-0
227. Ball St (6-13)70.90-00-00-2
228. North Texas (6-10)70.90-00-00-3
229. Furman (8-8)70.80-00-00-0
230. American (8-8)70.70-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Westrn Carolina (7-8)70.70-00-00-0
232. Cornell (8-6)70.50-00-00-2
233. Tenn Martin (9-12)70.40-00-00-3
234. UC Santa Barbara (7-9)70.30-00-00-2
235. Robert Morris (9-8)70.30-00-00-0
236. CS Fullerton (6-10)70.20-00-00-2
237. Youngstown St (4-13)70.10-00-01-3
238. Valparaiso (9-9)70.00-00-00-0
239. SMU (5-11)69.90-10-00-5
240. Marshall (5-10)69.90-10-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Pepperdine (3-12)69.80-00-20-0
242. Georgia St (4-16)69.80-20-20-4
243. Hampton (14-8)69.60-00-00-0
244. Southern Utah (8-9)69.60-00-00-0
245. Idaho St (4-10)69.60-00-01-1
246. Weber St (4-10)69.60-00-01-1
247. SO Mississippi (4-12)69.50-20-00-5
248. Boston U (9-8)69.50-00-00-0
249. Rider (4-15)69.30-00-00-2
250. Hartford (9-8)69.20-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Fla Atlantic (14-7)69.20-00-00-0
252. Vermont (9-10)69.20-00-00-0
253. Tex San Antonio (6-11)69.10-00-00-3
254. SO Carolina St (12-8)69.10-00-00-0
255. Yale (7-7)68.90-00-00-2
256. Wofford (6-10)68.80-00-00-0
257. North Dakota St (3-3)68.70-00-00-0
258. New Hampshire (9-9)68.70-00-00-0
259. Florida Intl (4-11)68.60-00-00-3
260. TCU (2-15)68.50-00-00-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Liu Brooklyn (7-9)68.30-00-00-0
262. Ul Monroe (6-10)68.20-00-00-2
263. Gardner-Webb (14-8)68.20-00-00-0
264. Coppin St (12-7)68.00-00-00-0
265. IPFW (6-5)68.00-00-00-0
266. San Jose St (2-15)67.90-00-20-5
267. UC Davis (1-1)67.90-00-00-0
268. William & Mary (3-16)67.80-20-20-3
269. Quinnipiac (0-0)67.80-00-00-0
270. NC Asheville (6-11)67.50-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. East Tenn St (12-9)67.40-00-00-0
272. Brown (6-8)67.40-00-00-2
273. Stetson (12-10)67.30-00-00-0
274. Sacred Heart (0-0)67.30-00-00-0
275. NC Greensboro (5-11)67.20-00-00-0
276. CS Northridge (4-11)67.00-00-00-2
277. Bethune Cookman (11-8)66.70-00-00-0
278. Norfolk St (12-9)66.70-00-00-0
279. Maine (7-10)66.50-00-00-0
280. Oakland (6-11)66.40-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. St Bonaventure (2-14)66.20-00-20-3
282. South Dakota St (5-4)66.10-00-00-0
283. Florida A&M (10-9)66.10-00-00-0
284. St Francis NY (5-9)66.10-00-00-0
285. Eastern Mich (3-16)66.10-00-00-3
286. Alabama A&M (11-8)66.10-00-00-0
287. Jackson St (11-9)65.70-00-00-0
288. Harvard (5-9)65.60-00-00-2
289. Eastern Ill (5-15)65.30-00-01-1
290. Nicholls St (5-11)65.30-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Umbc (6-12)65.10-00-00-0
292. UC Riverside (3-12)65.10-00-01-1
293. Dartmouth (4-10)65.10-00-00-2
294. Grambling (12-8)65.00-00-00-0
295. Alabama St (10-9)64.90-00-00-0
296. Idaho (1-16)64.80-00-30-4
297. Wagner (4-10)64.70-00-00-0
298. Ark Pine Bluff (10-11)64.70-00-00-0
299. James Madison (2-17)64.30-20-10-3
300. East Carolina (2-13)64.20-10-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Colgate (4-11)64.10-00-00-2
302. Lafayette (5-10)64.00-00-00-2
303. Campbell (9-12)63.90-00-00-0
304. Columbia (4-10)63.80-00-01-1
305. Kennesaw St (10-10)63.70-00-00-0
306. Duquesne (1-15)63.50-00-20-3
307. SE Missouri St (4-16)63.30-00-00-2
308. Liberty (3-14)63.00-00-01-2
309. Miss Valley St (9-10)62.80-00-00-0
310. Morehead St (3-17)62.60-00-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Howard (6-14)62.60-00-00-0
312. Central Mich (1-18)62.50-00-00-2
313. Alcorn St (8-11)62.30-00-00-0
314. NO Carolina A&T (6-13)62.20-00-00-0
315. Western Ill (3-14)62.10-00-00-0
316. The Citadel (2-15)61.90-00-00-0
317. VMI (2-14)61.60-00-00-2
318. Navy (3-12)61.30-00-00-2
319. Savannah St (1-2)61.30-00-00-0
320. Mercer (7-14)61.20-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Northern Colorado (2-7)61.00-00-00-0
322. Texas Southern (6-12)60.50-00-00-0
323. St Francis PA (2-13)60.10-00-00-0
324. SW Texas St (1-15)59.70-00-00-2
325. Centenary (2-14)59.40-00-00-0
326. Stony Brook (2-15)58.90-00-00-0
327. MD Eastrn Shore (4-15)58.60-00-00-0
328. Longwood (2-4)58.10-00-00-0
329. Morgan St (4-15)58.00-00-00-0
330. TX Pan American (1-9)56.90-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Army (1-14)56.90-00-00-3
332. North Florida (3-17)56.50-00-00-0
333. Prairie View (2-16)53.70-00-00-0
334. Jacksonville (1-19)51.90-00-00-0
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