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NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Non-League Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:23 EST 2007

Home Advantage = 3.3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Florida (20-0)103.64-02-05-0
2. Connecticut (16-1)94.85-12-00-0
3. Duke (15-2)94.42-22-04-0
4. Memphis (17-3)94.02-34-05-0
5. Villanova (13-2)93.42-22-03-0
6. Washington (13-1)93.31-11-02-0
7. Illinois (15-1)93.22-11-04-0
8. Texas (15-3)92.55-31-01-0
9. UCLA (15-3)92.32-34-01-0
10. Georgetown (11-3)91.42-21-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. George Mason (11-4)90.82-13-00-2
12. Pittsburgh (12-1)90.31-01-11-0
13. Gonzaga (13-4)89.80-44-05-0
14. LSU (11-6)89.73-31-21-1
15. Boston College (14-2)89.60-11-12-0
16. Hofstra (10-1)89.50-01-10-0
17. Ohio St (12-1)89.01-11-03-0
18. Michigan (14-2)88.70-22-05-0
19. South Carolina (13-4)88.70-14-22-1
20. Northern Iowa (9-2)88.72-10-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Missouri St (10-2)88.20-10-13-0
22. Bradley (9-3)87.82-10-02-1
23. Arizona (8-5)87.61-31-12-1
24. Louisville (15-2)87.41-21-02-0
25. North Carolina St (12-3)87.40-24-00-1
26. Texas AM (11-2)87.00-11-01-1
27. Wichita St (10-4)86.91-30-13-0
28. West Virginia (10-5)86.91-41-02-0
29. Michigan St (11-3)86.82-11-11-0
30. Indiana (9-4)86.61-20-13-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Kentucky (11-5)86.61-41-12-0
32. Geo Washington (11-2)86.60-11-11-0
33. North Carolina (10-3)86.22-20-01-1
34. Xavier (9-3)86.20-11-10-1
35. Tennessee (10-3)86.11-10-23-0
36. Cincinnati (12-4)86.01-20-04-1
37. Bucknell (9-5)85.71-32-11-0
38. Air Force (10-2)85.50-20-02-0
39. Washington St (7-2)85.30-00-12-1
40. Notre Dame (10-3)85.20-01-32-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Florida St (11-2)85.10-20-01-0
42. Nevada (10-3)85.11-10-03-1
43. Syracuse (12-3)85.00-10-13-1
44. Arkansas (11-3)84.92-10-01-2
45. Montana (10-3)84.50-11-01-1
46. Houston (10-4)84.52-10-01-2
47. Clemson (11-3)84.41-00-12-0
48. Iona (7-3)84.30-20-01-1
49. Iowa (11-4)84.31-11-10-2
50. Ohio (6-2)84.30-10-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Old Dominion (10-4)84.30-00-23-1
52. St Josephs (7-6)84.11-20-12-2
53. Iowa St (9-3)84.01-11-01-1
54. Wake Forest (12-3)83.81-11-02-2
55. Colorado St (9-2)83.80-00-01-2
56. DePaul (7-4)83.80-01-13-2
57. Wisc Milwaukee (7-5)83.70-31-11-0
58. Colorado (10-2)83.60-01-01-1
59. Uab (9-4)83.50-11-01-3
60. Wisconsin (10-4)83.40-22-03-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. Buffalo (9-2)83.20-10-01-1
62. Oklahoma St (10-5)83.21-10-11-3
63. Winthrop (5-5)83.20-31-10-0
64. Minnesota (10-3)83.10-00-13-1
65. Oklahoma (9-3)83.00-21-00-1
66. Kansas (8-5)83.01-21-30-0
67. Rutgers (10-4)82.90-10-12-1
68. Seton Hall (9-4)82.80-11-11-0
69. Creighton (8-3)82.81-00-02-2
70. Georgia (10-3)82.80-01-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Valparaiso (7-3)82.60-20-11-0
72. Temple (7-6)82.61-31-03-2
73. Utah St (9-3)82.30-10-02-0
74. Vanderbilt (9-3)82.31-00-21-1
75. Providence (7-4)82.20-20-11-0
76. Loyola Chi (7-2)82.20-01-10-0
77. Maryland (9-4)82.21-00-21-1
78. Auburn (8-3)82.00-10-12-0
79. Akron (7-5)82.00-00-41-1
80. Western KY (8-5)82.00-20-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Alabama (8-6)82.00-21-32-1
82. USC (8-2)81.91-00-01-0
83. Virginia Tech (10-3)81.80-10-01-1
84. Miami Fla (10-6)81.80-11-31-2
85. VA Commonwealth (7-2)81.70-00-01-1
86. Indiana St (7-1)81.70-01-01-0
87. Northwestern St (5-7)81.61-11-20-2
88. Mississippi St (10-3)81.51-00-01-2
89. Kansas St (9-2)81.40-00-00-1
90. Marquette (9-4)81.41-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Butler (8-7)80.80-11-40-1
92. La Salle (8-3)80.40-10-00-2
93. California (6-4)80.30-10-12-1
94. Marist (6-3)80.10-00-00-2
95. Illinois Chi (7-5)80.10-00-12-1
96. San Diego (9-3)80.10-00-01-0
97. Northwestern (7-4)79.90-00-12-2
98. Southern Ill (7-4)79.80-10-02-1
99. Loyola MD (7-2)79.80-00-00-2
100. Drexel (7-5)79.60-20-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Hawaii (7-4)79.60-01-02-3
102. New Mexico (9-4)79.40-10-02-1
103. Murray St (3-4)79.40-20-10-1
104. Pacific (8-6)79.30-11-11-2
105. Nebraska (10-4)79.30-01-11-3
106. South Alabama (8-4)79.30-20-01-0
107. NC Wilmington (7-5)79.30-00-21-1
108. St Marys CA (7-5)79.20-11-11-3
109. Davidson (4-6)79.20-31-10-1
110. Louisiana Tech (7-7)79.00-10-32-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Sam Houston (5-3)78.90-10-00-1
112. Siena (5-4)78.80-00-10-2
113. Manhattan (6-6)78.80-10-11-2
114. Georgia Tech (7-4)78.70-00-11-1
115. BYU (7-4)78.60-00-01-3
116. Texas El Paso (7-6)78.50-10-21-1
117. Virginia (7-5)78.50-10-10-2
118. Pennsylvania (7-7)78.40-30-10-2
119. Toledo (6-2)78.40-10-00-0
120. Massachusetts (5-6)78.30-20-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Mississippi (10-3)78.30-10-00-0
122. Middle Tenn St (7-5)78.20-10-11-1
123. Dayton (7-6)78.10-01-20-3
124. Missouri (7-4)78.00-20-01-0
125. Northern Ill (4-4)77.90-10-02-1
126. Fresno St (7-5)77.90-00-01-3
127. Tenn Martin (2-3)77.90-10-10-0
128. Austin Peay (6-4)77.80-00-00-3
129. St Louis (6-6)77.80-20-11-1
130. Charlotte (8-7)77.80-00-21-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Unlv (6-6)77.70-00-22-1
132. UC Santa Barbara (7-5)77.70-10-00-1
133. Miami Ohio (4-6)77.70-00-40-2
134. Tennessee Tech (3-4)77.60-00-31-0
135. CS Fullerton (9-3)77.60-00-00-1
136. Sacramento St (7-5)77.50-10-10-0
137. Gardner-Webb (3-4)77.30-20-01-0
138. Kent (6-6)77.20-10-11-2
139. Texas Tech (8-6)77.20-10-11-3
140. Ul Lafayette (5-7)77.10-20-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Oregon St (7-4)77.00-00-01-1
142. Boise St (7-4)77.00-00-01-1
143. Stanford (5-6)76.80-10-11-2
144. Samford (2-4)76.70-10-10-1
145. Delaware St (3-11)76.60-10-51-2
146. Arizona St (6-3)76.60-10-00-1
147. St Johns (7-4)76.60-10-00-2
148. Santa Clara (5-6)76.50-10-02-2
149. Purdue (6-5)76.50-10-11-1
150. Baylor (0-0)76.40-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Holy Cross (7-8)76.40-20-20-0
152. Utah (6-4)76.30-10-01-2
153. North Texas (5-4)76.20-00-20-1
154. Penn St (8-4)76.20-10-20-1
155. Geo Southern (7-5)76.00-10-00-3
156. Oral Roberts (4-9)76.00-20-21-4
157. San Diego St (6-6)75.90-00-20-2
158. Drake (5-5)75.80-20-00-2
159. Portland St (5-6)75.60-10-11-2
160. Fordham (5-8)75.60-00-12-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. High Point (5-4)75.30-10-00-0
162. Rider (4-5)75.20-10-00-1
163. Detroit (5-7)75.20-20-20-0
164. New Mexico St (4-7)75.10-10-01-3
165. Texas A&M-CC (6-7)75.10-10-00-3
166. Northeastern (4-4)75.00-00-10-1
167. Rhode Island (6-5)74.90-10-01-1
168. Oregon (5-6)74.60-20-01-1
169. North Dakota St (9-9)74.60-01-00-2
170. Coll Of Charltn (6-4)74.40-01-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Harvard (8-5)74.40-10-00-0
172. Long Beach St (6-6)74.40-00-10-1
173. Monmouth NJ (7-9)74.30-20-01-1
174. UC Irvine (6-6)74.30-10-01-1
175. Wagner (8-4)74.30-10-00-0
176. St Peters (5-5)74.10-20-00-1
177. Wyoming (6-6)74.10-00-11-3
178. Pepperdine (4-8)74.10-20-21-0
179. Texas Arlington (3-6)74.00-10-10-1
180. Arkansas Lr (7-5)74.00-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Idaho St (7-4)73.90-10-00-0
182. Portland (6-7)73.80-00-01-3
183. Richmond (7-6)73.70-00-12-2
184. Wright St (4-6)73.60-00-00-1
185. SE Louisiana (3-4)73.40-00-00-0
186. Belmont (2-6)73.40-20-10-1
187. Illinois St (4-4)73.40-00-10-0
188. Fair Dickinson (7-8)73.30-00-10-2
189. Central Conn (8-6)73.20-00-00-0
190. Ball St (2-5)73.00-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. Albany NY (5-8)73.00-30-00-1
192. Marshall (7-6)72.81-00-10-1
193. Denver (8-6)72.80-00-00-1
194. Boston U (3-8)72.80-10-20-1
195. St Bonaventure (6-5)72.70-10-00-0
196. Chattanooga (5-6)72.70-00-01-1
197. NC Asheville (2-7)72.50-10-20-3
198. San Francisco (4-9)72.40-00-21-2
199. Iupui (3-6)72.40-00-00-3
200. CS Northridge (6-6)72.10-00-01-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. William & Mary (5-4)72.10-00-00-1
202. Oakland (3-7)72.00-00-10-1
203. Birmingham Southern (5-4)72.00-00-10-1
204. Radford (5-5)71.90-20-00-1
205. Niagara (3-6)71.90-00-10-1
206. Vermont (4-7)71.90-10-10-2
207. Jacksonville St (2-4)71.80-00-00-1
208. Yale (8-7)71.80-10-01-2
209. Georgia St (3-6)71.80-10-10-1
210. Lafayette (4-7)71.80-00-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. SMU (7-5)71.70-00-20-0
212. Florida A&M (3-8)71.60-20-20-1
213. Loyola Marymnt (3-11)71.60-10-01-6
214. Eastern Wash (4-9)71.50-10-20-3
215. South Florida (6-7)71.40-00-10-2
216. McNeese St (2-6)71.40-10-00-2
217. East Tenn St (3-4)71.20-10-10-0
218. Tulane (4-7)71.20-10-10-2
219. Eastern Mich (4-5)71.20-01-10-0
220. Troy St (4-5)71.10-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Furman (4-5)71.10-00-00-2
222. Wisc Green Bay (5-7)71.00-10-20-1
223. Lamar (4-5)71.00-10-00-2
224. Stephen Austin (4-4)71.00-00-00-1
225. San Jose St (4-10)71.00-00-10-2
226. Southern (1-10)71.00-30-21-2
227. Appalachian St (4-7)70.90-10-10-1
228. Fairfield (2-7)70.90-20-10-1
229. Montana St (6-6)70.90-00-00-0
230. NC Greensboro (5-8)70.90-20-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. Umbc (4-7)70.50-10-00-2
232. Tennessee St (1-5)70.10-10-00-2
233. Chicago St (1-10)70.10-10-30-0
234. Evansville (4-5)70.10-00-00-1
235. Western Mich (2-8)70.00-00-10-2
236. Tex San Antonio (3-6)70.00-10-00-1
237. Lipscomb (4-5)70.00-20-00-1
238. Weber St (4-7)69.80-00-00-2
239. Charleston Sou (2-5)69.80-00-10-1
240. SO Carolina St (2-8)69.80-10-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. Jackson St (3-8)69.70-10-20-0
242. Rice (4-7)69.60-20-10-2
243. Eastern KY (2-6)69.30-10-10-2
244. Tulsa (4-8)69.20-00-10-1
245. Elon (1-9)69.00-01-10-3
246. Bethune Cookman (4-7)69.00-10-20-2
247. Columbia (6-6)69.00-00-10-0
248. East Carolina (4-7)69.00-01-00-3
249. Lehigh (5-8)69.00-20-00-1
250. St Francis NY (5-8)69.00-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. Delaware (4-6)69.00-00-10-0
252. Westrn Carolina (3-9)68.70-10-10-2
253. Towson (4-5)68.70-00-10-0
254. Cleveland St (3-6)68.60-10-10-2
255. Northrn Arizona (5-8)68.50-10-00-2
256. Navy (5-6)68.50-10-00-2
257. SO Mississippi (3-9)68.40-10-10-2
258. Robert Morris (4-6)68.30-20-00-0
259. TCU (4-9)68.20-00-20-2
260. Wofford (1-8)68.10-20-20-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. Coast Carolina (2-5)68.00-00-20-1
262. Kennesaw St (1-5)68.00-00-10-0
263. Arkansas St (3-10)67.80-20-20-0
264. Quinnipiac (11-16)67.80-10-00-0
265. MD Eastrn Shore (3-7)67.70-10-10-1
266. Alabama A&M (0-4)67.60-10-00-2
267. American (4-9)67.60-20-00-1
268. Norfolk St (1-9)67.40-10-30-1
269. Nicholls St (3-7)67.40-10-10-1
270. James Madison (3-6)67.30-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. New Orleans (1-9)67.30-20-00-2
272. Sacred Heart (11-17)67.30-10-00-1
273. Cornell (4-9)67.10-10-10-1
274. Utah Valley St (6-10)67.00-00-00-1
275. Central Florida (4-7)66.90-20-00-1
276. Florida Intl (3-9)66.90-00-30-2
277. South Dakota St (3-16)66.80-20-10-5
278. IPFW (2-13)66.70-00-20-2
279. Bowling Green (2-7)66.60-00-21-0
280. Binghamton (3-8)66.60-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Ul Monroe (1-8)66.60-20-10-2
282. Central Mich (2-6)66.60-00-10-1
283. Hartford (3-7)66.50-00-00-1
284. Alabama St (2-9)66.50-10-11-2
285. Maine (3-6)66.50-10-00-1
286. Stony Brook (2-9)66.40-30-10-1
287. Colgate (5-8)66.40-20-10-0
288. Canisius (2-7)66.40-10-00-0
289. UC Davis (6-19)66.10-00-21-2
290. New Hampshire (3-8)66.00-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Liu Brooklyn (4-7)65.90-00-00-0
292. Mt St Marys (4-11)65.60-00-00-3
293. Idaho (2-9)65.60-10-10-1
294. Longwood (6-16)65.40-10-00-3
295. Princeton (2-10)65.10-00-00-4
296. Western Ill (2-7)65.10-20-10-0
297. Centenary (1-9)65.00-00-00-4
298. Ark Pine Bluff (1-5)64.90-00-00-2
299. Brown (4-9)64.70-00-00-0
300. Fla Atlantic (1-6)64.50-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Youngstown St (2-8)64.20-00-00-2
302. SE Missouri St (1-4)64.10-10-00-0
303. UC Riverside (2-10)64.00-00-00-3
304. VMI (2-6)63.60-00-10-2
305. Alcorn St (0-9)62.90-00-10-2
306. Mo Kansas City (2-8)62.70-00-20-0
307. Campbell (1-6)62.70-00-10-0
308. Southern Utah (1-11)62.70-00-00-2
309. Duquesne (2-9)62.50-30-00-1
310. Eastern Ill (1-6)62.40-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Coppin St (0-11)62.30-30-40-2
312. Howard (1-8)61.70-00-00-3
313. Northern Colorado (1-17)61.60-10-10-1
314. Liberty (1-9)61.40-10-00-1
315. The Citadel (4-6)61.30-00-10-1
316. Grambling (0-5)60.30-00-10-1
317. Hampton (2-8)60.30-10-00-0
318. Dartmouth (2-11)60.20-10-00-2
319. TX Pan American (2-15)59.90-30-10-3
320. Jacksonville (0-7)59.50-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Mercer (2-5)59.20-00-10-1
322. St Francis PA (1-11)59.00-00-10-0
323. Stetson (2-8)58.90-10-20-1
324. Prairie View (1-8)58.10-10-10-0
325. Army (2-8)57.80-10-00-1
326. North Florida (1-5)56.50-00-00-0
327. SW Texas St (1-7)55.40-20-00-0
328. Cal Poly (0-11)55.10-00-00-2
329. NO Carolina A&T (0-10)54.80-00-10-3
330. Miss Valley St (0-8)52.20-00-10-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. Texas Southern (0-10)51.10-30-30-1
332. Morgan St (0-11)48.90-20-10-3
333. Morehead St (0-6)48.70-10-00-1
334. Savannah St (0-24)44.20-20-10-3
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