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Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Wins Power Rankings

By division
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:23 EST 2007

Home Advantage = 4.1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
1. Connecticut (30-4)98.710-36-13-0
2. Duke (32-4)98.07-33-111-0
3. Villanova (28-5)97.66-56-07-0
4. Florida (33-6)97.48-34-310-0
5. Memphis (33-4)95.74-35-16-0
6. LSU (26-9)95.06-54-36-1
7. UCLA (32-7)94.73-58-14-1
8. Gonzaga (29-4)94.10-42-06-0
9. Texas (30-7)93.66-44-24-1
10. Geo Washington (27-3)92.90-11-17-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
11. Ohio St (26-6)92.72-35-39-0
12. Illinois (26-7)92.43-36-37-1
13. Tennessee (22-8)92.23-33-48-1
14. Pittsburgh (25-8)92.24-46-27-1
15. George Mason (27-8)91.72-14-36-4
16. North Carolina (23-8)91.61-55-08-3
17. Boston College (27-8)91.62-32-29-2
18. Georgetown (23-10)91.34-73-15-1
19. Iowa (25-9)91.03-28-34-4
20. West Virginia (21-11)90.85-75-23-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
21. Washington (26-7)90.54-12-25-1
22. Kansas (24-8)90.21-24-39-1
23. Bucknell (26-5)90.12-30-12-0
24. Arkansas (22-10)90.03-53-24-2
25. Syracuse (23-12)89.94-83-24-2
26. Wichita St (25-9)89.61-35-55-1
27. Kentucky (22-13)89.53-85-34-2
28. South Carolina (22-15)88.93-66-35-5
29. Michigan St (21-12)88.84-75-32-1
30. Hofstra (26-7)88.72-01-26-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
31. Indiana (19-12)88.32-75-25-2
32. Bradley (22-11)88.22-15-54-2
33. Marquette (19-11)88.13-41-46-3
34. North Carolina St (22-10)88.02-63-07-3
35. Missouri St (22-9)87.90-13-74-1
36. NC Wilmington (25-8)87.81-22-26-2
37. Texas AM (22-9)87.72-40-27-2
38. Nevada (26-6)87.71-10-07-2
39. Cincinnati (20-13)87.53-82-28-2
40. Michigan (22-11)87.51-52-411-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
41. Northern Iowa (21-10)87.33-15-50-3
42. Alabama (18-13)87.34-42-45-4
43. Arizona (20-13)87.02-72-26-2
44. Uab (23-7)87.01-20-15-3
45. Southern Ill (22-10)86.80-16-44-1
46. Oklahoma (20-9)86.61-43-03-4
47. Florida St (20-10)86.31-40-28-3
48. Wisconsin (19-12)86.32-44-48-2
49. Louisville (21-13)86.20-83-36-1
50. California (20-11)85.92-41-27-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
51. Vanderbilt (17-13)85.81-73-32-2
52. Creighton (20-10)85.81-05-63-2
53. Old Dominion (24-10)85.71-12-56-2
54. Seton Hall (18-12)85.53-32-24-5
55. Kent (24-9)85.00-20-14-2
56. Notre Dame (16-14)85.00-72-66-1
57. Maryland (18-13)84.92-70-25-4
58. Northwestern St (23-8)84.71-10-22-2
59. Miami Fla (18-16)84.61-61-66-4
60. Rutgers (18-14)84.40-62-16-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
61. St Josephs (19-14)84.41-60-14-4
62. Iona (23-8)84.20-10-11-3
63. Wisc Milwaukee (21-9)84.00-21-23-1
64. Colorado (20-10)83.90-32-23-3
65. Air Force (22-7)83.80-20-03-2
66. Clemson (18-13)83.50-32-36-5
67. San Diego St (22-9)83.40-00-22-3
68. Utah St (22-9)83.30-11-25-0
69. Akron (22-10)83.30-00-34-4
70. Minnesota (16-15)83.21-54-52-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
71. Georgia (15-15)83.00-73-33-3
72. Xavier (21-11)83.00-31-05-3
73. DePaul (12-15)83.01-42-55-5
74. Stanford (16-14)82.81-41-52-2
75. Western KY (22-8)82.70-01-32-3
76. Wake Forest (17-17)82.71-74-22-6
77. Virginia (15-15)82.52-40-44-5
78. Montana (22-7)82.50-11-01-1
79. South Alabama (23-7)82.30-20-02-1
80. Houston (20-10)82.21-21-21-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
81. Murray St (23-7)82.20-20-20-0
82. Temple (17-15)82.11-42-04-5
83. Nebraska (19-14)82.00-43-44-3
84. Mississippi St (15-15)82.02-51-42-3
85. Winthrop (21-8)81.90-21-20-0
86. Oklahoma St (17-16)81.92-51-41-5
87. Miami Ohio (18-11)81.70-00-41-5
88. Northwestern (13-15)81.71-41-54-5
89. Louisiana Tech (19-13)81.60-11-40-5
90. Northeastern (18-11)81.60-21-42-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
91. Pacific (22-8)81.60-11-11-0
92. BYU (19-9)81.60-00-02-5
93. Charlotte (19-13)81.50-20-23-5
94. Penn St (15-15)81.51-61-63-3
95. Providence (12-15)81.50-70-45-3
96. USC (16-13)81.42-31-42-1
97. Manhattan (20-11)81.20-20-03-2
98. VA Commonwealth (19-10)81.20-21-42-2
99. Iowa St (15-14)81.11-41-24-4
100. Butler (20-13)80.90-11-42-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
101. Texas El Paso (19-10)80.90-31-22-1
102. Ohio (18-11)80.80-00-22-6
103. La Salle (18-10)80.70-20-12-3
104. Marist (19-10)80.60-00-02-5
105. Auburn (12-16)80.50-70-54-3
106. St Louis (16-13)80.40-41-04-3
107. St Johns (12-15)80.11-71-22-4
108. Oregon (14-18)79.91-61-42-4
109. Hawaii (17-11)79.80-02-12-4
110. Unlv (17-13)79.70-00-12-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
111. Texas Tech (15-17)79.70-60-43-4
112. Virginia Tech (14-16)79.70-61-23-7
113. Kansas St (15-13)79.71-21-13-4
114. Mississippi (14-16)79.31-62-31-3
115. New Mexico St (15-14)79.30-10-34-1
116. St Marys CA (16-12)79.10-21-11-4
117. Fordham (16-16)78.80-10-02-9
118. Georgia Tech (11-17)78.61-31-33-9
119. Toledo (19-11)78.60-00-12-4
120. Northern Ill (16-11)78.50-00-11-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
121. Loyola Chi (17-11)78.50-01-11-4
122. Pennsylvania (19-9)78.20-30-00-3
123. New Mexico (17-13)78.00-10-01-5
124. Massachusetts (13-15)78.00-30-23-3
125. Holy Cross (20-12)77.90-50-11-2
126. Buffalo (18-13)77.90-10-02-7
127. Oregon St (13-18)77.90-52-21-5
128. Sam Houston (18-9)77.80-00-11-3
129. Fresno St (15-13)77.70-01-12-6
130. Missouri (12-16)77.61-41-13-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
131. Indiana St (12-16)77.60-04-81-2
132. Siena (15-13)77.40-10-11-3
133. Washington St (11-17)77.42-30-42-4
134. San Diego (17-12)77.30-30-01-0
135. Davidson (17-11)77.30-40-01-1
136. Illinois Chi (16-14)77.20-10-03-4
137. St Peters (17-15)77.20-20-02-5
138. Rhode Island (14-14)77.10-20-03-5
139. Oral Roberts (20-12)77.10-10-31-4
140. Samford (18-11)77.10-10-11-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
141. Coast Carolina (16-10)77.10-00-22-2
142. Drexel (15-16)77.00-30-42-4
143. Purdue (9-19)76.80-52-62-6
144. Northrn Arizona (18-11)76.70-00-11-4
145. Dayton (13-17)76.40-11-22-9
146. Baylor (4-13)76.30-30-41-5
147. Arizona St (11-17)76.30-51-31-4
148. Loyola Marymnt (12-18)75.90-40-01-5
149. Long Beach St (17-12)75.80-00-11-3
150. Middle Tenn St (15-12)75.80-10-12-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
151. Detroit (14-16)75.80-00-31-4
152. Geo Southern (18-10)75.70-00-10-1
153. Colorado St (14-15)75.70-00-01-8
154. Tennessee Tech (17-12)75.60-00-32-1
155. Delaware St (21-14)75.40-10-51-3
156. Utah (13-15)75.40-00-14-5
157. Loyola MD (15-13)75.30-00-00-6
158. Birmingham Southern (17-9)75.20-00-10-3
159. Drake (10-19)75.10-21-90-4
160. Ul Lafayette (13-16)75.00-20-21-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
161. UC Irvine (16-11)75.00-10-02-2
162. Eastern Wash (14-15)74.90-20-20-5
163. Evansville (10-19)74.80-01-100-3
164. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)74.70-00-10-3
165. Santa Clara (11-16)74.71-30-01-2
166. Wright St (12-15)74.60-00-03-4
167. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)74.60-10-21-5
168. Albany NY (21-11)74.50-30-00-2
169. Iupui (17-10)74.50-00-00-3
170. Boise St (13-15)74.50-00-21-6

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
171. Wyoming (13-18)74.40-00-23-7
172. Western Mich (13-17)74.30-00-11-6
173. San Francisco (11-17)74.20-20-20-2
174. Richmond (13-17)74.10-20-13-7
175. Austin Peay (17-14)73.90-00-00-5
176. Fair Dickinson (19-12)73.80-00-10-3
177. Monmouth NJ (19-15)73.70-11-10-1
178. Denver (16-15)73.70-00-01-4
179. Jacksonville St (15-13)73.50-00-00-5
180. Lehigh (17-12)73.40-40-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
181. Chattanooga (15-13)73.40-00-01-2
182. High Point (14-13)73.30-00-10-3
183. SE Louisiana (13-11)73.20-00-01-2
184. Elon (12-14)73.20-00-11-3
185. Niagara (11-18)73.10-10-01-5
186. Sacramento St (13-15)72.80-10-10-2
187. Illinois St (8-19)72.80-00-111-2
188. Portland (11-17)72.70-20-00-2
189. Coll Of Charltn (15-11)72.70-01-10-1
190. Belmont (20-11)72.20-20-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
191. UC Santa Barbara (14-14)72.10-10-00-3
192. Valparaiso (16-12)72.10-20-11-0
193. Tennessee St (12-15)71.90-10-00-3
194. Towson (12-16)71.90-21-21-4
195. Central Conn (18-11)71.90-00-00-1
196. Fairfield (9-19)71.90-20-00-6
197. CS Fullerton (15-13)71.80-00-00-2
198. Lamar (14-13)71.70-10-00-4
199. North Texas (11-14)71.60-00-20-4
200. North Dakota St (12-12)71.60-01-00-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
201. Portland St (10-16)71.50-20-01-3
202. Southern (19-13)71.50-30-21-2
203. Radford (14-13)71.40-20-00-2
204. Eastern KY (13-16)71.20-10-10-5
205. Tenn Martin (11-15)71.10-10-10-3
206. McNeese St (11-14)71.10-10-00-3
207. Stephen Austin (14-12)71.10-00-00-1
208. Tulane (11-16)71.00-30-20-3
209. Montana St (13-14)71.00-00-00-2
210. Arkansas Lr (13-15)71.00-10-20-5

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
211. Texas Arlington (10-16)70.90-10-00-4
212. South Florida (7-22)70.91-50-40-8
213. Troy St (11-15)70.70-00-01-4
214. Central Florida (12-15)70.60-20-21-3
215. Lipscomb (21-11)70.40-10-10-0
216. Pepperdine (7-20)70.40-40-10-1
217. Appalachian St (12-16)70.40-10-11-1
218. Charleston Sou (10-15)70.40-00-00-4
219. Idaho St (11-14)70.30-10-01-1
220. Princeton (12-14)70.30-00-00-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
221. Arkansas St (10-18)70.30-00-30-5
222. Canisius (9-20)70.30-10-01-3
223. Chicago St (11-19)70.20-10-30-1
224. Marshall (12-16)70.21-20-20-1
225. Furman (12-13)70.20-00-00-1
226. Ball St (8-18)70.20-00-10-5
227. Delaware (9-21)70.00-20-60-4
228. Rice (10-16)69.90-30-21-2
229. Binghamton (16-13)69.90-00-20-1
230. Rider (8-20)69.80-20-01-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
231. New Orleans (8-19)69.60-20-00-7
232. Cleveland St (8-18)69.60-10-10-6
233. Tulsa (10-17)69.30-20-20-2
234. Mo Kansas City (13-14)69.30-00-20-1
235. Gardner-Webb (17-12)69.20-20-01-0
236. Georgia St (7-22)69.10-20-60-8
237. Yale (15-14)69.00-20-01-2
238. Westrn Carolina (10-17)69.00-00-20-2
239. Bowling Green (7-21)68.80-00-21-5
240. SO Carolina St (14-16)68.50-00-20-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
241. American (12-17)68.40-50-00-1
242. SMU (12-16)68.40-10-30-2
243. Robert Morris (13-14)68.40-20-00-0
244. Weber St (8-17)68.40-00-01-3
245. Boston U (12-16)68.40-30-10-0
246. Utah Valley St (14-13)68.40-00-00-1
247. NC Asheville (8-18)68.40-10-20-4
248. Cornell (12-15)68.10-30-00-1
249. Vermont (13-17)68.10-10-10-2
250. Mt St Marys (13-17)67.90-00-00-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
251. CS Northridge (10-17)67.90-00-01-3
252. Cal Poly (8-19)67.80-00-00-5
253. Tex San Antonio (9-17)67.80-10-00-4
254. William & Mary (8-20)67.60-20-30-6
255. SO Mississippi (7-21)67.60-30-30-3
256. St Bonaventure (8-19)67.50-20-00-4
257. Wagner (12-14)67.30-10-00-0
258. Harvard (13-14)67.30-10-00-0
259. NC Greensboro (10-19)67.20-10-20-1
260. Ul Monroe (7-18)66.80-20-10-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
261. San Jose St (6-25)66.80-00-30-6
262. Wofford (7-18)66.60-10-10-3
263. Florida Intl (7-20)66.60-10-20-5
264. Fla Atlantic (15-13)66.50-00-00-1
265. Hartford (12-15)66.50-00-00-1
266. New Hampshire (12-17)66.30-10-10-2
267. Youngstown St (6-21)66.30-00-01-5
268. Oakland (9-18)66.20-00-10-2
269. Bethune Cookman (15-15)66.10-20-00-1
270. TCU (6-24)66.10-10-00-8

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
271. Liu Brooklyn (11-16)66.10-00-00-1
272. IPFW (8-18)66.00-00-10-5
273. Hampton (16-16)66.00-10-00-1
274. Coppin St (12-18)65.90-30-30-3
275. Southern Utah (9-20)65.90-00-00-1
276. Quinnipiac (11-16)65.80-10-00-0
277. Florida A&M (13-17)65.80-20-20-2
278. Eastern Mich (7-21)65.70-01-10-4
279. St Francis NY (10-17)65.60-10-10-1
280. East Tenn St (15-13)65.60-10-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
281. Lafayette (9-17)65.60-20-00-2
282. South Dakota St (8-20)65.50-10-20-7
283. Norfolk St (13-18)65.40-20-20-1
284. Sacred Heart (11-17)65.30-10-00-1
285. Maine (10-16)64.90-10-00-1
286. Brown (10-17)64.90-00-00-1
287. Jackson St (14-17)64.70-10-10-1
288. Nicholls St (8-18)64.60-10-10-3
289. UC Davis (7-20)64.30-00-21-2
290. Columbia (10-16)64.20-00-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
291. Umbc (10-19)64.10-10-00-2
292. Stetson (14-18)64.00-10-20-1
293. James Madison (5-23)63.90-30-20-7
294. Alabama A&M (11-12)63.70-10-00-2
295. East Carolina (6-20)63.50-11-10-4
296. Grambling (12-13)63.20-00-10-1
297. Alabama St (12-18)63.20-10-11-2
298. Eastern Ill (6-21)62.80-00-01-2
299. Colgate (9-19)62.80-50-00-0
300. UC Riverside (5-22)62.70-00-01-3

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
301. Kennesaw St (11-15)62.20-10-00-0
302. Ark Pine Bluff (11-16)62.10-00-00-2
303. Idaho (3-25)62.00-20-30-4
304. Longwood (8-20)61.90-10-00-4
305. Navy (8-18)61.60-30-00-1
306. SE Missouri St (5-20)61.10-10-00-3
307. Liberty (4-23)60.70-00-11-4
308. Campbell (10-18)60.70-00-10-0
309. Central Mich (3-24)60.60-00-20-4
310. Dartmouth (6-21)60.40-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
311. Miss Valley St (9-18)60.00-00-10-2
312. The Citadel (6-21)59.90-00-10-0
313. Western Ill (5-21)59.80-20-10-0
314. Duquesne (3-24)59.70-40-00-5
315. Alcorn St (8-20)59.70-00-20-1
316. VMI (4-20)59.40-00-10-4
317. Howard (7-22)59.30-00-00-3
318. NO Carolina A&T (6-23)58.50-00-10-3
319. MD Eastrn Shore (7-22)58.20-20-00-1
320. Centenary (3-23)57.80-00-10-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
321. Morehead St (3-23)57.70-10-00-2
322. Mercer (9-19)57.50-00-00-2
323. Stony Brook (4-24)57.40-40-10-0
324. Northern Colorado (3-24)57.40-10-10-3
325. Texas Southern (6-22)56.60-30-30-0
326. St Francis PA (3-24)56.40-10-00-1
327. Morgan St (4-26)54.60-30-00-2
328. SW Texas St (2-22)54.20-20-00-2
329. TX Pan American (3-24)53.60-30-10-2
330. Army (3-22)53.50-40-00-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 25
v. 26-50
v. 51-100
331. North Florida (4-22)50.70-00-00-0
332. Prairie View (3-24)50.20-10-10-0
333. Savannah St (1-26)45.30-20-10-3
334. Jacksonville (1-26)44.40-10-10-0
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