NCAA Basketball Rankings, RPI, Predictions

Gambling vs. Investing: An Analysis (2 of 2)

Contributing author Ron James runs Monte Carlo simulations to examine the risks involved in sports betting. Think you’re guaranteed to make millions if you can pick winners at a 60% rate? Think again.

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  Printable NCAA Bracket
2008 Printable NCAA Tournament Bracket

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Games against non-D1 teams not considered in power rankings or predictions.

Conference Power Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Mon Feb 26 21:48:23 EST 2007

Home Court Advantage = 3.3

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 85.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
2. Florida (33-6)94.19-33-310-0
6. LSU (26-9)91.67-53-36-1
13. Tennessee (22-8)89.34-52-28-1
23. Arkansas (22-10)87.93-53-24-2
24. Kentucky (22-13)87.23-85-34-2
26. South Carolina (22-15)86.94-85-15-5
43. Alabama (18-13)85.05-51-35-4
53. Vanderbilt (17-13)84.13-71-33-2
80. Georgia (15-15)81.30-93-13-3
91. Mississippi St (15-15)80.62-61-32-3
109. Auburn (12-16)79.40-80-44-3
117. Mississippi (14-16)78.31-82-11-3


BIG EAST AVERAGE = 85.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
1. Connecticut (30-4)94.49-27-23-0
4. Villanova (28-5)93.43-59-07-0
11. Pittsburgh (25-8)89.73-37-37-1
15. Georgetown (23-10)88.83-64-27-1
20. West Virginia (21-11)88.45-75-23-1
27. Syracuse (23-12)86.84-73-34-2
31. Marquette (19-11)86.03-41-46-3
42. Cincinnati (20-13)85.52-63-48-2
48. Louisville (21-13)84.70-83-36-1
51. Notre Dame (16-14)84.20-62-76-1
55. Seton Hall (18-12)83.72-43-13-5
60. Rutgers (18-14)83.10-52-26-5
73. DePaul (12-15)81.70-33-65-5
87. Providence (12-15)80.80-80-35-3
112. St Johns (12-15)79.31-61-32-4
197. South Florida (7-22)72.61-40-50-8


ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 84.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
3. Duke (32-4)94.16-34-111-0
14. North Carolina (23-8)89.32-54-08-3
16. Boston College (27-8)88.82-32-29-2
32. North Carolina St (22-10)86.02-63-07-3
45. Florida St (20-10)84.91-40-28-3
57. Maryland (18-13)83.32-70-25-3
58. Miami Fla (18-16)83.31-61-66-4
64. Clemson (18-13)82.60-32-36-5
74. Wake Forest (17-17)81.71-74-22-6
78. Virginia (15-15)81.52-40-44-5
103. Virginia Tech (14-16)80.00-61-23-7
115. Georgia Tech (11-17)78.51-31-33-9


BIG TEN AVERAGE = 84.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
9. Illinois (26-7)89.94-35-38-1
10. Ohio St (26-6)89.82-35-39-0
21. Iowa (25-9)88.34-27-34-4
29. Michigan St (21-12)86.45-74-32-1
33. Indiana (19-12)86.03-74-25-2
39. Michigan (22-11)85.61-52-412-1
49. Wisconsin (19-12)84.52-44-48-2
69. Minnesota (16-15)82.01-54-52-3
97. Penn St (15-15)80.31-61-63-3
100. Northwestern (13-15)80.11-41-54-5
145. Purdue (9-19)76.40-52-62-6


PACIFIC TEN AVERAGE = 82.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
7. UCLA (32-7)91.43-58-16-1
22. Washington (26-7)88.34-12-27-2
41. Arizona (20-13)85.52-72-27-3
50. California (20-11)84.42-41-210-2
72. Stanford (16-14)81.81-41-54-2
95. USC (16-13)80.42-31-43-2
99. Oregon (14-18)80.21-61-42-4
123. Washington St (11-17)78.02-30-42-7
128. Oregon St (13-18)77.40-52-22-6
140. Arizona St (11-17)76.50-51-31-6


BIG TWELVE AVERAGE = 82.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
8. Texas (30-7)90.96-44-24-1
18. Kansas (24-8)88.72-23-39-1
36. Texas AM (22-9)85.81-41-27-2
47. Oklahoma (20-9)84.71-43-03-4
67. Colorado (20-10)82.50-32-23-3
75. Oklahoma St (17-16)81.62-51-41-5
85. Nebraska (19-14)80.80-43-44-3
88. Iowa St (15-14)80.71-41-24-4
104. Kansas St (15-13)79.81-21-13-4
113. Texas Tech (15-17)79.20-50-54-4
135. Missouri (12-16)77.01-41-13-6
143. Baylor (4-13)76.40-30-41-5


MISSOURI VALLEY AVERAGE = 81.4


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
25. Wichita St (25-9)87.01-35-55-1
30. Bradley (22-11)86.23-34-34-2
34. Missouri St (22-9)85.90-33-54-1
38. Northern Iowa (21-10)85.64-14-50-3
46. Southern Ill (22-10)84.71-25-34-1
52. Creighton (20-10)84.12-14-53-2
139. Indiana St (12-16)76.50-34-51-2
154. Drake (10-19)75.70-41-70-4
171. Evansville (10-19)74.50-21-80-3
183. Illinois St (8-19)73.40-20-91-2


ATLANTIC TEN AVERAGE = 77.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
17. Geo Washington (27-3)88.80-11-17-1
59. St Josephs (19-14)83.21-50-24-4
68. Xavier (21-11)82.10-31-05-3
82. Temple (17-15)81.21-42-04-5
92. Charlotte (19-13)80.60-20-23-5
102. La Salle (18-10)80.00-20-12-3
110. St Louis (16-13)79.40-41-04-3
119. Fordham (16-16)78.20-10-02-8
122. Massachusetts (13-15)78.10-30-23-3
136. Rhode Island (14-14)76.80-20-02-5
142. Dayton (13-17)76.50-11-22-9
178. Richmond (13-17)73.70-20-13-6
256. St Bonaventure (8-19)69.00-20-00-4
310. Duquesne (3-24)63.00-40-00-5


MOUNTAINWEST AVERAGE = 77.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
63. Air Force (22-7)82.70-20-03-2
66. San Diego St (22-9)82.50-00-22-3
90. BYU (19-9)80.60-00-02-5
106. Unlv (17-13)79.50-00-12-8
124. New Mexico (17-13)77.80-10-03-5
149. Colorado St (14-15)76.10-00-01-8
151. Utah (13-15)75.80-00-14-5
162. Wyoming (13-18)75.00-00-23-7
263. TCU (6-24)68.30-00-10-8


COLONIAL AVERAGE = 77.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
19. George Mason (27-8)88.74-12-33-4
35. Hofstra (26-7)85.92-01-25-3
37. NC Wilmington (25-8)85.71-22-24-2
54. Old Dominion (24-10)83.91-12-54-1
93. Northeastern (18-11)80.60-21-41-2
101. VA Commonwealth (19-10)80.10-21-42-2
129. Drexel (15-16)77.40-30-42-3
209. Towson (12-16)71.80-11-30-3
224. Delaware (9-21)71.00-20-60-3
235. Georgia St (7-22)70.40-30-50-6
249. William & Mary (8-20)69.40-20-30-3
295. James Madison (5-23)65.50-30-20-5


WEST COAST CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
12. Gonzaga (29-4)89.70-42-06-0
114. St Marys CA (16-12)78.80-21-11-4
127. San Diego (17-12)77.60-30-01-0
147. Loyola Marymnt (12-18)76.30-40-01-5
165. Santa Clara (11-16)74.90-31-01-3
168. San Francisco (11-17)74.70-30-10-2
186. Portland (11-17)73.20-20-01-2
214. Pepperdine (7-20)71.40-40-10-1


WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 77.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
40. Nevada (26-6)85.61-10-07-2
71. Utah St (22-9)81.90-11-25-0
89. Louisiana Tech (19-13)80.60-11-40-5
111. Hawaii (17-11)79.30-02-12-4
116. New Mexico St (15-14)78.50-10-34-3
130. Fresno St (15-13)77.40-01-12-6
160. Boise St (13-15)75.10-00-21-6
248. San Jose St (6-25)69.40-00-30-6
297. Idaho (3-25)65.20-20-30-4


METRO ATLANTIC ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
61. Iona (23-8)82.80-20-01-1
105. Marist (19-10)79.70-00-01-4
108. Manhattan (20-11)79.50-10-13-2
132. Siena (15-13)77.20-00-21-1
141. St Peters (17-15)76.50-20-01-3
163. Loyola MD (15-13)75.00-00-00-4
179. Niagara (11-18)73.60-00-10-4
202. Fairfield (9-19)72.20-20-00-4
218. Canisius (9-20)71.30-10-00-2
228. Rider (8-20)70.80-10-10-3


HORIZON AVERAGE = 75.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
62. Wisc Milwaukee (21-9)82.70-21-23-1
96. Butler (20-13)80.40-11-42-3
126. Loyola Chi (17-11)77.70-01-11-4
138. Illinois Chi (16-14)76.60-00-13-4
157. Detroit (14-16)75.40-00-31-4
169. Wright St (12-15)74.60-00-03-4
170. Wisc Green Bay (14-16)74.50-10-21-5
232. Cleveland St (8-18)70.60-10-10-6
265. Youngstown St (6-21)68.30-00-01-5


CONFERENCE USA AVERAGE = 75.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
5. Memphis (33-4)92.53-36-17-0
44. Uab (23-7)85.01-30-05-4
76. Houston (20-10)81.51-21-22-2
98. Texas El Paso (19-10)80.30-21-32-1
203. Central Florida (12-15)72.00-30-12-3
208. Tulane (11-16)71.90-30-20-4
223. Marshall (12-16)71.11-20-20-2
225. Rice (10-16)71.00-30-21-4
230. Tulsa (10-17)70.70-20-20-4
234. SMU (12-16)70.40-10-30-4
254. SO Mississippi (7-21)69.10-30-30-5
292. East Carolina (6-20)66.00-11-10-5


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 75.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
56. Kent (24-9)83.40-10-24-2
70. Akron (22-10)82.00-00-34-4
94. Miami Ohio (18-11)80.50-10-31-5
107. Ohio (18-11)79.50-10-12-6
120. Northern Ill (16-11)78.20-00-11-5
121. Toledo (19-11)78.10-00-12-4
131. Buffalo (18-13)77.40-10-02-7
177. Western Mich (13-17)73.70-00-11-6
217. Ball St (8-18)71.40-00-10-5
223. Marshall (12-16)71.11-20-20-2
241. Bowling Green (7-21)69.70-00-21-5
273. Eastern Mich (7-21)67.70-01-10-4
307. Central Mich (3-24)63.70-00-20-4


BIG SKY AVERAGE = 74.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
77. Montana (22-7)81.50-11-01-1
148. Northrn Arizona (18-11)76.30-00-11-4
159. Eastern Wash (14-15)75.30-20-20-5
180. Sacramento St (13-15)73.60-10-10-2
195. Portland St (10-16)72.70-20-02-3
206. Montana St (13-14)71.90-00-00-2
216. Idaho St (11-14)71.40-10-01-1
243. Weber St (8-17)69.70-00-01-3


SUN BELT AVERAGE = 73.9


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
79. South Alabama (23-7)81.30-20-02-1
81. Western KY (22-8)81.20-01-32-3
153. Middle Tenn St (15-12)75.70-10-12-3
161. Ul Lafayette (13-16)75.00-20-22-5
175. Denver (16-15)73.90-00-01-4
201. North Texas (11-14)72.20-00-20-4
205. Troy St (11-15)71.90-00-01-4
212. Arkansas Lr (13-15)71.70-10-20-5
220. Arkansas St (10-18)71.10-00-30-5
233. New Orleans (8-19)70.50-20-00-7
266. Florida Intl (7-20)68.10-10-20-5


BIG WEST AVERAGE = 72.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
86. Pacific (22-8)80.80-11-11-2
150. Long Beach St (17-12)75.90-00-10-3
155. UC Irvine (16-11)75.60-10-02-2
192. UC Santa Barbara (14-14)72.90-10-00-3
193. CS Fullerton (15-13)72.90-00-00-2
251. Cal Poly (8-19)69.30-00-00-5
255. CS Northridge (10-17)69.10-00-01-3
302. UC Riverside (5-22)64.60-00-01-3


BIG SOUTH AVERAGE = 71.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
83. Winthrop (21-8)81.00-21-20-0
146. Coast Carolina (16-10)76.30-00-22-2
164. Birmingham Southern (17-9)74.90-00-10-3
187. High Point (14-13)73.20-10-00-3
211. Radford (14-13)71.80-20-00-2
231. Charleston Sou (10-15)70.70-00-00-4
260. NC Asheville (8-18)68.70-10-20-4
312. Liberty (4-23)62.60-10-01-4
316. VMI (4-20)62.20-00-10-4


OHIO VALLEY AVERAGE = 71.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
84. Murray St (23-7)80.90-20-20-0
137. Samford (18-11)76.60-10-11-3
166. Tennessee Tech (17-12)74.80-00-32-1
176. Austin Peay (17-14)73.90-00-00-5
185. Jacksonville St (15-13)73.30-00-00-5
199. Tennessee St (12-15)72.30-10-00-3
213. Tenn Martin (11-15)71.50-10-10-3
221. Eastern KY (13-16)71.10-10-10-5
300. Eastern Ill (6-21)64.70-00-01-2
308. SE Missouri St (5-20)63.50-10-00-3
322. Morehead St (3-23)60.90-10-00-2


SOUTHERN AVERAGE = 71.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
134. Davidson (17-11)77.20-30-11-1
156. Geo Southern (18-10)75.50-00-10-1
184. Coll Of Charltn (15-11)73.30-01-10-0
189. Chattanooga (15-13)73.10-00-01-2
190. Elon (12-14)73.10-00-11-2
222. Appalachian St (12-16)71.10-10-10-1
226. Furman (12-13)70.90-00-00-1
237. Westrn Carolina (10-17)70.10-00-20-2
259. Wofford (7-18)68.70-10-10-3
261. NC Greensboro (10-19)68.40-10-20-1
317. The Citadel (6-21)61.70-00-10-0


SOUTHLAND AVERAGE = 71.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
65. Northwestern St (23-8)82.51-20-12-2
144. Sam Houston (18-9)76.40-00-11-3
182. SE Louisiana (13-11)73.50-00-01-2
200. Lamar (14-13)72.20-10-00-4
204. Stephen Austin (14-12)71.90-00-00-1
207. Texas Arlington (10-16)71.90-10-00-4
215. McNeese St (11-14)71.40-10-00-3
250. Tex San Antonio (9-17)69.40-10-00-4
268. Ul Monroe (7-18)67.90-20-10-4
293. Nicholls St (8-18)65.80-10-10-3
327. SW Texas St (2-22)58.50-20-00-2


PATRIOT AVERAGE = 70.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
28. Bucknell (26-5)86.51-31-12-0
125. Holy Cross (20-12)77.80-20-41-2
181. Lehigh (17-12)73.60-20-20-2
246. American (12-17)69.50-20-30-1
282. Lafayette (9-17)66.90-00-20-2
298. Colgate (9-19)65.10-20-30-0
304. Navy (8-18)64.10-10-20-1
329. Army (3-22)57.30-10-30-1


MID-CONTINENT AVERAGE = 69.3


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
133. Oral Roberts (20-12)77.20-10-31-4
173. Iupui (17-10)74.20-00-00-3
194. Valparaiso (16-12)72.80-20-11-0
227. Chicago St (11-19)70.80-10-30-1
244. Mo Kansas City (13-14)69.70-10-10-1
270. Oakland (9-18)67.80-00-10-2
272. Southern Utah (9-20)67.80-00-00-1
311. Western Ill (5-21)62.70-20-10-0
321. Centenary (3-23)60.90-00-10-2


NORTHEASTERN CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 69.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
172. Fair Dickinson (19-12)74.20-00-10-2
174. Monmouth NJ (19-15)74.00-11-10-1
191. Central Conn (18-11)73.00-00-00-1
242. Robert Morris (13-14)69.70-20-00-0
253. Mt St Marys (13-17)69.20-00-00-3
258. Wagner (12-14)68.70-10-00-0
276. Liu Brooklyn (11-16)67.40-00-00-1
278. St Francis NY (10-17)67.30-10-10-0
326. St Francis PA (3-24)59.70-10-00-1


IVY LEAGUE AVERAGE = 69.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
118. Pennsylvania (19-9)78.20-30-00-3
229. Princeton (12-14)70.70-00-00-4
238. Yale (15-14)70.00-10-11-2
247. Cornell (12-15)69.50-10-20-1
257. Harvard (13-14)68.90-10-00-0
288. Brown (10-17)66.40-00-00-1
294. Columbia (10-16)65.80-00-00-1
309. Dartmouth (6-21)63.30-10-10-1


AMERICA EAST AVERAGE = 68.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
158. Albany NY (21-11)75.30-30-00-1
219. Binghamton (16-13)71.20-00-20-1
236. Boston U (12-16)70.30-20-20-0
239. Vermont (13-17)69.90-10-10-2
262. Hartford (12-15)68.40-00-00-1
269. New Hampshire (12-17)67.90-10-10-2
285. Umbc (10-19)66.60-10-00-2
286. Maine (10-16)66.50-10-00-1
320. Stony Brook (4-24)61.00-40-10-0


MID-EASTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 65.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
167. Delaware St (21-14)74.70-20-41-3
252. SO Carolina St (14-16)69.20-00-20-2
274. Hampton (16-16)67.60-10-00-0
277. Coppin St (12-18)67.40-30-30-3
280. Florida A&M (13-17)67.10-20-20-2
281. Bethune Cookman (15-15)67.10-10-10-1
283. Norfolk St (13-18)66.80-20-20-1
313. Howard (7-22)62.40-00-00-4
318. NO Carolina A&T (6-23)61.40-00-10-3
324. MD Eastrn Shore (7-22)60.80-20-00-1
330. Morgan St (4-26)57.30-30-00-2


INDEPENDENTS AVERAGE = 65.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
152. Texas A&M-CC (16-8)75.80-00-10-3
196. North Dakota St (12-12)72.70-01-00-1
245. Utah Valley St (14-13)69.60-00-00-1
275. IPFW (8-18)67.40-00-10-5
287. South Dakota St (8-20)66.50-20-10-6
289. UC Davis (7-20)66.20-00-21-2
305. Longwood (8-20)63.80-10-00-3
319. Northern Colorado (3-24)61.30-10-10-3
328. TX Pan American (3-24)58.30-40-00-2
334. Savannah St (1-26)49.40-20-10-4


ATLANTICSUN AVERAGE = 65.0


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
188. Belmont (20-11)73.10-20-10-0
210. Lipscomb (21-11)71.80-20-00-1
240. Gardner-Webb (17-12)69.70-20-01-0
264. Fla Atlantic (15-13)68.30-00-00-1
267. East Tenn St (15-13)68.00-10-00-1
290. Stetson (14-18)66.10-10-20-1
303. Kennesaw St (11-15)64.30-10-00-0
306. Campbell (10-18)63.70-00-10-0
323. Mercer (9-19)60.80-00-00-2
331. North Florida (4-22)56.50-00-00-0
333. Jacksonville (1-26)52.40-10-10-0


SOUTHWESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE AVERAGE = 63.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 25
vs. 26-50
vs. 51-100
198. Southern (19-13)72.30-30-21-2
284. Jackson St (14-17)66.70-10-10-1
291. Alabama A&M (11-12)66.10-10-00-3
296. Alabama St (12-18)65.20-10-11-2
299. Grambling (12-13)64.80-00-10-1
301. Ark Pine Bluff (11-16)64.70-00-00-2
314. Alcorn St (8-20)62.30-00-20-1
315. Miss Valley St (9-18)62.20-00-10-3
325. Texas Southern (6-22)59.80-40-20-1
332. Prairie View (3-24)54.20-10-10-0
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