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BCS Breakdown: The National Championship Game

Contributing writer Matt Woods breaks down this year’s college football BCS Bowl games. In this post: the BCS National Championship Game, LSU versus Ohio State.

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Week 10 Predictions

RankTeamWin OddsProj MarginSpread
#28 Florida State (5-3)20.5%  
#1 Boston College (7-0)79.4%+11.6 
 
#65 Nebraska (4-5)5.8%  
#2 Kansas (7-0)94.1%+24.0 
 
#48 Wisconsin (6-2)10.7%  
#3 Ohio State (8-0)89.2%+18.8 
 
#4 Arizona State (8-0)35.2%  
#7 Oregon (7-1)64.7%+4.6 
 
#5 LSU (7-1)67.7%+5.8 
#20 Alabama (5-2)32.2%  
 
#40 Texas A&M (5-3)17.1%  
#8 Oklahoma (7-1)82.8%+13.7 
 
#9 Virginia Tech (5-2)54.3%+1.1 
#22 Georgia Tech (4-3)45.6%  
 
#10 Missouri (6-1)65.3%+4.8 
#29 Colorado (5-4)34.6%  
 
#11 Michigan (7-1)70.9%+7.2 
#62 Michigan State (5-4)29.0%  
 
#42 Troy St (6-2)25.5%  
#12 Georgia (5-2)74.4%+8.9 
 
#43 Cincinnati (5-2)24.5%  
#13 South Florida (5-2)75.4%+9.4 
 
#34 Vanderbilt (4-3)22.3%  
#14 Florida (4-3)77.6%+10.5 
 
#49 Rutgers (4-3)26.7%  
#16 Connecticut (6-1)73.2%+8.3 
 
#17 Clemson (5-2)79.2%+11.5 
#74 Duke (1-7)20.7%  
 
#113 Louisiana-Lafayette (1-6)2.4%  
#18 Tennessee (5-3)97.5%+29.9 
 
#19 South Carolina (5-3)40.3%  
#38 Arkansas (4-3)59.6%+2.8 
 
#21 Kansas State (4-3)93.5%+23.2 
#104 Iowa State (1-7)6.4%  
 
#23 Wake Forest (6-2)51.7%+0.4 
#30 Virginia (7-2)48.2%  
 
#25 Purdue (6-2)39.4%  
#31 Penn State (6-3)60.5%+3.1 
 
#63 Washington State (3-5)19.9%  
#26 California (5-3)80.0%+12.0 
 
#37 Oregon State (4-3)28.0%  
#32 USC (6-2)71.9%+7.7 
 
#35 Texas (7-2)34.1%  
#33 Oklahoma State (4-3)65.8%+5.0 
 
#57 North Carolina State (2-5)25.6%  
#36 Miami (5-3)74.3%+8.9 
 
#39 Illinois (5-3)80.0%+12.0 
#95 Minnesota (1-7)19.9%  
 
#41 Maryland (3-4)54.9%+1.3 
#59 North Carolina (1-6)45.0%  
 
#44 UCLA (5-3)51.8%+0.5 
#68 Arizona (2-6)48.1%  
 
#110 San Jose State (2-5)7.0%  
#45 Boise State (4-1)92.9%+22.4 
 
#46 Texas Tech (5-3)81.5%+12.9 
#83 Baylor (2-6)18.4%  
 
#94 Colorado State (1-7)17.4%  
#47 BYU (4-2)82.5%+13.5 
 
#53 New Mexico (5-2)47.9%  
#69 TCU (4-4)52.0%+0.5 
 
#91 Army (2-5)16.0%  
#55 Air Force (5-3)83.9%+14.6 
 
#106 Marshall (1-6)16.3%  
#56 Central Florida (4-3)83.6%+14.3 
 
#58 East Carolina (5-4)72.8%+8.1 
#100 Memphis (3-4)27.1%  
 
#115 SMU (1-7)9.2%  
#60 Houston (5-3)90.7%+20.2 
 
#61 Navy (4-3)51.1%+0.3 
#79 Notre Dame (1-7)48.8%  
 
#67 Washington (2-6)54.1%+1.1 
#64 Stanford (3-5)45.8%  
 
#66 Wyoming (5-3)56.7%+1.9 
#88 San Diego State (1-5)43.2%  
 
#77 Iowa (4-5)46.6%  
#70 Northwestern (4-4)53.3%+0.9 
 
#75 Ball State (4-4)37.5%  
#71 Indiana (4-4)62.4%+3.8 
 
#118 Utah State (0-8)11.1%  
#72 Fresno State (4-3)88.8%+18.5 
 
#73 Tulsa (5-3)69.0%+6.4 
#112 Tulane (1-6)30.9%  
 
#86 Syracuse (2-6)21.2%  
#76 Pittsburgh (2-5)78.7%+11.2 
 
#80 Middle Tenn. St (4-4)68.9%+6.4 
#93 Louisiana-Monroe (3-5)31.0%  
 
#81 Southern Miss (3-3)71.3%+7.4 
#107 UAB (1-6)28.6%  
 
#82 UTEP (3-4)69.1%+6.4 
#111 Rice (1-6)30.8%  
 
#87 Buffalo (4-5)36.7%  
#84 Miami (OH) (4-5)63.2%+4.0 
 
#99 Nevada (3-3)36.0%  
#89 New Mexico State (2-4)63.9%+4.3 
 
#96 Akron (3-5)36.4%  
#90 Bowling Green (3-4)63.5%+4.1 
 
#92 Louisiana Tech (2-5)77.2%+10.3 
#119 Idaho (0-8)22.7%  
 
#114 Florida Intl (0-8)22.3%  
#97 Arkansas State (3-5)77.6%+10.6 
 
#98 Temple (3-5)33.7%  
#102 Ohio (3-5)66.2%+5.2 
 
#108 Eastern Michigan (2-6)46.2%  
#105 Toledo (3-5)53.7%+1.0 
 
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