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BCS Breakdown: The National Championship Game

Contributing writer Matt Woods breaks down this year’s college football BCS Bowl games. In this post: the BCS National Championship Game, LSU versus Ohio State.

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Week 4 Predictions

RankTeamWin OddsProj MarginSpread
#105 Marshall (0-2)0.0%  
#1 Cincinnati (2-0)100.0%+79.6 
 
#101 Florida Intl (0-3)0.0%  
#2 Kansas (2-0)100.0%+80.8 
 
#3 Florida (2-0)99.8%+40.3 
#69 Mississippi (1-2)0.1%  
 
#64 Washington State (2-1)0.0%  
#4 USC (2-0)100.0%+46.0 
 
#17 Georgia (1-1)8.6%  
#5 Alabama (2-0)91.3%+20.8 
 
#6 Purdue (2-0)100.0%+43.6 
#56 Minnesota (1-2)0.0%  
 
#21 Kentucky (2-0)8.4%  
#7 Arkansas (1-1)91.5%+21.0 
 
#9 South Carolina (2-0)2.7%  
#8 LSU (3-0)97.2%+29.2 
 
#96 Rice (0-2)0.0%  
#10 Texas (3-0)100.0%+52.4 
 
#11 Oregon State (1-1)90.7%+20.2 
#42 Arizona State (3-0)9.2%  
 
#12 Air Force (2-0)87.2%+17.1 
#71 BYU (1-2)12.7%  
 
#13 Michigan State (3-0)97.6%+30.1 
#104 Notre Dame (0-3)2.3%  
 
#118 Northwestern (1-1)0.0%  
#14 Ohio State (2-0)100.0%+72.0 
 
#15 Oregon (3-0)100.0%+52.4 
#100 Stanford (1-1)0.0%  
 
#16 Troy St (1-2)96.0%+26.8 
#110 Louisiana-Lafayette (0-2)3.9%  
 
#72 SMU (1-2)4.0%  
#19 TCU (1-2)95.9%+26.7 
 
#20 Texas Tech (3-0)79.1%+11.4 
#36 Oklahoma State (1-2)20.8%  
 
#82 Ball State (2-1)9.2%  
#22 Nebraska (2-1)90.7%+20.2 
 
#23 Arkansas State (1-1)72.5%+8.0 
#55 Tennessee (1-2)27.4%  
 
#76 Army (0-2)5.8%  
#24 Boston College (3-0)94.1%+24.0 
 
#107 East Carolina (1-2)0.0%  
#25 West Virginia (3-0)100.0%+43.0 
 
#26 Clemson (2-0)24.3%  
#58 North Carolina State (0-2)75.6%+9.5 
 
#27 Utah (1-2)93.3%+22.9 
#83 UNLV (1-2)6.6%  
 
#70 Illinois (1-1)13.5%  
#28 Indiana (2-0)86.4%+16.4 
 
#94 Memphis (0-1)1.9%  
#29 Central Florida (1-1)98.0%+31.1 
 
#30 Oklahoma (3-0)90.6%+20.1 
#44 Tulsa (2-0)9.3%  
 
#103 Connecticut (2-0)1.7%  
#32 Pittsburgh (1-1)98.2%+31.6 
 
#113 Temple (0-3)1.4%  
#34 Bowling Green (1-1)98.5%+32.6 
 
#87 Arizona (0-2)7.4%  
#37 California (3-0)92.5%+22.0 
 
#98 Iowa (2-1)10.0%  
#39 Wisconsin (2-0)89.9%+19.4 
 
#112 Syracuse (0-3)0.0%  
#40 Louisville (1-1)100.0%+45.8 
 
#41 Texas A&M (2-0)75.0%+9.2 
#84 Miami (2-1)24.9%  
 
#90 Iowa State (1-1)0.6%  
#43 Toledo (0-3)99.3%+36.0 
 
#81 Colorado State (0-2)12.5%  
#45 Houston (1-1)87.4%+17.3 
 
#75 Maryland (1-1)15.0%  
#46 Wake Forest (1-2)84.9%+15.3 
 
#57 Kent (1-1)18.4%  
#47 Akron (1-2)81.5%+12.9 
 
#48 Fla Atlantic (2-1)69.6%+6.7 
#92 North Texas (0-2)30.3%  
 
#49 Washington (2-1)34.2%  
#53 UCLA (2-1)65.7%+5.0 
 
#54 New Mexico State (1-1)88.1%+17.9 
#97 Auburn (1-2)11.8%  
 
#59 Baylor (1-1)31.1%  
#93 Buffalo (1-2)68.8%+6.3 
 
#63 Miami (OH) (1-2)70.8%+7.2 
#77 Colorado (1-2)29.1%  
 
#65 Georgia Tech (1-1)94.6%+24.7 
#109 Virginia (2-1)5.3%  
 
#67 Penn State (3-0)58.3%+2.4 
#74 Michigan (1-1)41.6%  
 
#114 North Carolina (0-2)10.2%  
#68 South Florida (1-0)89.7%+19.3 
 
#88 Wyoming (2-1)27.3%  
#91 Ohio (1-1)72.6%+8.0 
 
#115 Northern Illinois (0-2)13.0%  
#89 Idaho (0-2)86.9%+16.8 
 
#116 Duke (1-2)0.5%  
#99 Navy (1-2)99.4%+36.7 
 
#117 San Jose State (0-3)2.8%  
#106 Utah State (0-3)97.1%+28.9 
 
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