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BCS Breakdown: The National Championship Game

Contributing writer Matt Woods breaks down this year’s college football BCS Bowl games. In this post: the BCS National Championship Game, LSU versus Ohio State.

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Conference Predictive / Points Rankings

By ranking
Last Updated Sun Jan 27 12:54:23 PST 2008

Home Court Advantage = 2.3

AVERAGE = 34.1


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
3. LSU (12-2)42.73-02-22-0
7. Florida (9-4)40.70-22-22-0
10. Georgia (10-2)39.61-02-12-1
15. Auburn (8-4)35.71-22-11-0
18. Tennessee (10-4)35.41-22-02-2
22. Kentucky (7-5)34.21-21-11-1
23. Arkansas (7-5)34.21-10-31-1
31. South Carolina (5-6)32.41-21-30-0
35. Alabama (6-6)31.70-22-10-1
42. Mississippi State (7-5)30.70-22-21-1
52. Vanderbilt (4-7)28.30-20-31-2
68. Mississippi (2-9)23.60-40-20-1


AVERAGE = 32.8


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
4. USC (11-2)42.30-03-13-0
11. Oregon (9-4)38.71-03-10-3
16. Arizona State (10-3)35.40-11-23-0
20. Oregon State (8-4)35.00-11-23-1
30. UCLA (6-7)32.50-12-12-3
32. Arizona (4-7)31.90-11-21-2
33. California (7-6)31.80-12-21-1
49. Washington (4-9)28.70-20-31-2
53. Washington State (5-7)28.20-10-31-3
71. Stanford (4-8)23.21-00-32-1


AVERAGE = 32.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
1. West Virginia (11-2)44.51-01-12-0
12. Cincinnati (9-3)37.80-12-02-0
13. South Florida (8-4)37.51-01-20-2
29. Connecticut (8-4)32.80-11-11-1
37. Rutgers (7-5)31.20-11-10-1
43. Louisville (5-6)30.10-11-21-2
58. Pittsburgh (4-7)27.41-01-10-3
92. Syracuse (2-10)16.00-10-30-2


AVERAGE = 30.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
2. Missouri (11-2)43.41-22-01-0
5. Oklahoma (11-3)42.02-11-01-1
6. Kansas (11-1)41.51-10-01-0
25. Texas (10-3)33.60-11-02-0
26. Texas Tech (8-4)33.31-10-10-1
40. Oklahoma State (6-6)31.00-30-11-0
46. Texas A&M (6-6)29.20-31-11-1
57. Kansas State (4-7)27.40-21-10-1
59. Colorado (6-7)27.31-20-11-2
61. Nebraska (5-7)25.60-30-11-1
80. Iowa State (3-8)19.70-30-10-1
103. Baylor (2-9)13.30-20-10-2


AVERAGE = 29.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
8. Virginia Tech (10-3)40.10-22-11-0
14. Clemson (8-4)36.20-10-23-0
19. Boston College (10-3)35.21-11-02-1
28. Wake Forest (9-4)32.80-00-22-0
38. Florida State (7-6)31.10-21-21-1
41. Maryland (5-7)30.80-11-21-2
45. Virginia (9-4)29.30-10-02-1
50. Georgia Tech (6-6)28.50-21-10-0
63. North Carolina (3-8)24.90-10-10-2
65. Miami (5-7)24.60-20-11-0
69. North Carolina State (4-7)23.40-00-20-2
88. Duke (1-11)17.40-10-10-3


AVERAGE = 29.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
9. Ohio State (10-2)40.10-12-12-0
17. Michigan (9-3)35.41-12-11-1
21. Penn State (9-4)34.20-10-21-1
24. Illinois (8-4)34.11-21-11-0
34. Wisconsin (8-4)31.80-11-31-0
39. Michigan State (7-6)31.00-11-20-1
51. Purdue (7-5)28.50-10-20-1
62. Indiana (6-6)25.50-00-20-3
70. Iowa (6-6)23.20-01-11-1
79. Northwestern (5-6)20.10-10-21-0
90. Minnesota (1-10)17.30-10-20-1


AVERAGE = 24.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
27. BYU (10-2)33.30-00-03-1
36. Utah (9-4)31.20-00-11-1
47. Air Force (8-4)28.90-00-01-2
55. TCU (8-5)28.20-00-10-2
67. New Mexico (8-4)24.50-00-01-2
81. Wyoming (5-7)19.50-00-00-2
82. Colorado State (2-9)19.50-00-00-3
86. San Diego State (3-8)17.80-00-20-2
97. UNLV (2-10)15.10-00-01-2


AVERAGE = 17.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
64. Navy (8-4)24.80-00-00-3
75. Notre Dame (3-9)22.10-10-31-1
102. West Kentucky (1-5)13.30-10-00-0
110. Army (2-9)10.80-00-10-2


AVERAGE = 16.7


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
48. Troy St (8-4)28.80-20-11-0
74. Fla Atlantic (8-5)22.40-10-20-1
83. Louisiana-Monroe (5-6)18.80-00-11-0
85. Middle Tenn. St (5-7)18.50-10-00-0
95. Arkansas State (5-7)15.30-00-20-0
99. Louisiana-Lafayette (3-8)13.60-00-10-1
117. Florida Intl (1-11)8.20-10-20-0
119. North Texas (2-10)8.10-10-10-0


AVERAGE = 16.5


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
54. Hawaii (10-1)28.20-10-00-0
56. Boise State (9-3)28.00-00-00-0
60. Fresno State (8-4)26.10-00-10-0
87. Nevada (5-7)17.50-00-00-0
101. San Jose State (4-7)13.40-00-10-0
104. Louisiana Tech (4-7)13.10-10-00-1
112. Utah State (2-10)10.70-10-00-1
116. New Mexico State (2-9)8.40-00-10-0
120. Idaho (0-11)2.90-10-00-0


AVERAGE = 15.6


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
66. Tulsa (10-4)24.50-10-01-0
73. East Carolina (8-5)22.70-20-00-0
77. Southern Miss (6-6)21.10-00-20-0
78. Houston (7-5)20.90-00-10-1
91. Marshall (3-8)16.60-10-10-0
98. Memphis (6-6)13.90-00-00-0
107. UTEP (3-8)12.50-00-00-1
108. Tulane (3-8)12.00-10-00-0
113. Rice (3-8)10.50-00-10-1
115. SMU (1-11)9.00-00-00-1
118. UAB (1-10)8.20-00-00-2


AVERAGE = 15.2


Team
 Rating 
vs. Top 10
vs. 11-25
vs. 26-40
72. Central Michigan (8-5)22.70-10-10-0
76. Ball State (7-6)21.80-00-10-1
84. Bowling Green (8-5)18.70-00-10-1
89. Western Michigan (4-7)17.30-20-00-0
93. Miami (OH) (6-7)15.70-00-10-0
94. Ohio (5-6)15.40-10-00-0
96. Buffalo (5-7)15.20-00-10-1
100. Eastern Michigan (3-8)13.40-00-10-0
105. Akron (4-8)13.00-10-00-1
106. Toledo (4-7)12.90-10-00-0
109. Kent (2-9)10.90-10-10-0
111. Temple (4-8)10.70-00-10-1
114. Northern Illinois (2-9)9.70-00-00-1
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