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BCS Breakdown: The National Championship Game

Contributing writer Matt Woods breaks down this year’s college football BCS Bowl games. In this post: the BCS National Championship Game, LSU versus Ohio State.

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Week 8 Predictions

RankTeamWin OddsProj MarginSpread
#1 Kansas (5-0)91.7%+21.2 
#29 Colorado (4-3)8.2%  
 
#2 South Florida (5-0)85.9%+16.1 
#51 Rutgers (3-2)14.0%  
 
#9 Auburn (5-2)25.7%  
#3 LSU (6-1)74.2%+8.8 
 
#53 Michigan State (5-2)6.9%  
#4 Ohio State (6-0)93.0%+22.5 
 
#65 Vanderbilt (2-3)10.0%  
#5 South Carolina (5-1)89.9%+19.4 
 
#20 Mississippi State (3-3)11.9%  
#6 West Virginia (5-1)88.0%+17.8 
 
#13 Florida (3-2)42.4%  
#7 Kentucky (5-1)57.5%+2.1 
 
#10 Kansas State (3-2)74.7%+9.1 
#34 Oklahoma State (3-3)25.2%  
 
#14 Oklahoma (6-1)97.5%+29.8 
#104 Iowa State (1-5)2.4%  
 
#15 Oregon (5-1)81.3%+12.8 
#54 Washington (2-4)18.6%  
 
#16 Tennessee (4-2)61.2%+3.4 
#31 Alabama (4-2)38.7%  
 
#22 Texas Tech (5-1)32.4%  
#17 Missouri (4-1)67.5%+5.7 
 
#18 California (5-1)69.1%+6.5 
#44 UCLA (4-2)30.8%  
 
#21 Michigan (5-1)49.3%  
#38 Illinois (4-2)50.6%+0.1 
 
#28 Virginia (6-1)33.3%  
#23 Maryland (3-2)66.6%+5.4 
 
#82 Iowa (3-4)18.0%  
#24 Purdue (4-2)81.9%+13.1 
 
#94 Army (2-4)9.2%  
#25 Georgia Tech (3-3)90.7%+20.2 
 
#26 Cincinnati (5-1)84.9%+15.3 
#97 Pittsburgh (1-4)15.0%  
 
#56 Miami (4-3)30.6%  
#27 Florida State (4-2)69.3%+6.5 
 
#74 Louisville (3-3)26.0%  
#30 Connecticut (4-1)73.9%+8.7 
 
#32 Penn State (5-2)68.6%+6.2 
#59 Indiana (4-2)31.3%  
 
#33 Wake Forest (4-2)57.3%+2.1 
#64 Navy (4-2)42.6%  
 
#35 Arkansas (2-3)73.4%+8.4 
#78 Mississippi (2-5)26.5%  
 
#36 Central Michigan (4-2)45.2%  
#43 Clemson (3-2)54.7%+1.2 
 
#39 USC (5-1)69.8%+6.8 
#71 Notre Dame (1-6)30.1%  
 
#40 Texas (5-2)76.6%+10.0 
#76 Baylor (2-4)23.3%  
 
#114 North Texas (1-5)5.0%  
#45 Troy St (4-2)94.9%+25.2 
 
#46 Texas A&M (4-2)52.8%+0.7 
#57 Nebraska (4-3)47.1%  
 
#112 North Carolina State (0-5)14.0%  
#47 East Carolina (4-3)85.9%+16.0 
 
#48 Boise State (2-1)71.8%+7.6 
#87 Louisiana Tech (1-4)28.1%  
 
#118 Northern Illinois (1-5)8.8%  
#50 Wisconsin (4-2)91.1%+20.6 
 
#52 New Mexico (3-2)77.7%+10.6 
#99 San Diego State (1-4)22.2%  
 
#61 Wyoming (4-2)30.3%  
#55 Air Force (4-2)69.6%+6.6 
 
#100 San Jose State (2-4)15.4%  
#58 Fresno State (3-2)84.5%+15.0 
 
#60 Tulsa (4-2)49.7%  
#83 Central Florida (3-3)50.2%+0.0 
 
#66 Utah (4-3)39.2%  
#62 TCU (4-3)60.7%+3.2 
 
#63 Fla Atlantic (3-3)80.6%+12.3 
#116 Louisiana-Lafayette (1-5)19.3%  
 
#67 Miami (OH) (4-3)72.3%+7.9 
#102 Temple (2-5)27.6%  
 
#68 Northwestern (3-3)71.9%+7.7 
#109 Eastern Michigan (1-5)28.0%  
 
#69 Ball State (3-3)67.9%+5.9 
#98 Western Michigan (2-4)32.0%  
 
#72 Houston (3-3)67.4%+5.7 
#95 UAB (1-4)32.5%  
 
#73 Stanford (2-4)32.1%  
#79 Arizona (1-5)67.8%+5.9 
 
#75 Southern Miss (2-3)64.3%+4.4 
#115 Marshall (0-5)35.6%  
 
#80 Bowling Green (2-3)40.1%  
#89 Kent (2-4)59.8%+2.9 
 
#119 Idaho (0-6)9.4%  
#81 New Mexico State (1-3)90.5%+20.0 
 
#113 Memphis (1-4)32.2%  
#84 Rice (1-4)67.7%+5.8 
 
#101 Arkansas State (3-3)25.4%  
#85 Middle Tenn. St (2-4)74.5%+9.0 
 
#106 Colorado State (0-6)33.2%  
#88 UNLV (2-5)66.7%+5.4 
 
#91 Buffalo (3-4)42.7%  
#96 Syracuse (1-6)57.2%+2.0 
 
#93 Nevada (1-3)60.1%+3.0 
#117 Utah State (0-6)39.8%  
 
#103 Ohio (2-4)60.1%+3.0 
#108 Toledo (1-5)39.8%  
 
#110 Florida Intl (0-6)32.8%  
#105 Louisiana-Monroe (1-5)67.1%+5.6 
 
#111 Tulane (0-5)42.3%  
#107 SMU (1-5)57.6%+2.2 
 
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