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BCS Breakdown: The National Championship Game

Contributing writer Matt Woods breaks down this year’s college football BCS Bowl games. In this post: the BCS National Championship Game, LSU versus Ohio State.

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Week 9 Predictions

RankTeamWin OddsProj MarginSpread
#1 Kansas (6-0)82.4%+13.4 
#38 Texas A&M (5-2)17.5%  
 
#2 Boston College (6-0)53.0%+0.8 
#10 Virginia Tech (5-1)46.9%  
 
#3 Ohio State (7-0)67.4%+5.7 
#28 Penn State (6-2)32.5%  
 
#5 West Virginia (6-1)77.4%+10.4 
#37 Rutgers (4-2)22.5%  
 
#25 California (5-2)28.4%  
#6 Arizona State (7-0)71.5%+7.5 
 
#7 South Florida (5-1)69.8%+6.8 
#19 Connecticut (5-1)30.1%  
 
#32 USC (6-1)16.1%  
#8 Oregon (6-1)83.8%+14.5 
 
#9 Florida (4-2)67.5%+5.8 
#17 Georgia (4-2)32.4%  
 
#105 Iowa State (1-6)1.1%  
#11 Missouri (5-1)98.8%+33.5 
 
#44 Mississippi State (3-4)17.2%  
#13 Kentucky (5-2)82.7%+13.6 
 
#86 Minnesota (1-6)7.7%  
#14 Michigan (6-1)92.2%+21.7 
 
#77 Mississippi (2-6)9.0%  
#15 Auburn (5-3)90.9%+20.4 
 
#16 South Carolina (5-2)52.0%+0.5 
#24 Tennessee (4-3)47.9%  
 
#18 Virginia (7-1)69.6%+6.6 
#79 North Carolina State (1-5)30.3%  
 
#83 Baylor (2-5)5.1%  
#20 Kansas State (3-3)94.8%+25.0 
 
#55 North Carolina (1-5)34.0%  
#23 Wake Forest (5-2)65.9%+5.1 
 
#26 Clemson (4-2)46.0%  
#29 Maryland (3-3)53.9%+1.0 
 
#62 Northwestern (4-3)17.6%  
#27 Purdue (5-2)82.3%+13.4 
 
#40 Colorado (4-4)29.9%  
#31 Texas Tech (5-2)70.0%+6.8 
 
#33 UCLA (5-2)76.5%+10.0 
#91 Washington State (2-5)23.4%  
 
#117 Florida Intl (0-7)1.1%  
#34 Arkansas (3-3)98.8%+33.6 
 
#80 Miami (OH) (4-4)12.5%  
#35 Vanderbilt (3-3)87.4%+17.3 
 
#68 Duke (1-6)19.0%  
#36 Florida State (4-3)80.9%+12.5 
 
#74 Ball State (4-3)19.7%  
#41 Illinois (4-3)80.2%+12.1 
 
#61 Nebraska (4-4)17.7%  
#42 Texas (6-2)82.2%+13.3 
 
#45 Troy St (5-2)82.5%+13.5 
#101 Arkansas State (3-4)17.4%  
 
#65 Stanford (3-4)26.9%  
#46 Oregon State (3-3)73.0%+8.2 
 
#47 BYU (4-2)77.2%+10.3 
#96 San Diego State (1-5)22.7%  
 
#48 Michigan State (5-3)67.2%+5.6 
#82 Iowa (3-5)32.7%  
 
#49 Air Force (5-2)46.7%  
#60 New Mexico (4-2)53.2%+0.8 
 
#50 Boise State (3-1)48.1%  
#59 Fresno State (4-2)51.8%+0.4 
 
#51 Central Michigan (4-3)77.2%+10.3 
#98 Kent (2-5)22.7%  
 
#63 Indiana (4-3)39.4%  
#52 Wisconsin (5-2)60.5%+3.1 
 
#90 New Mexico State (2-3)23.1%  
#53 Hawaii (5-0)76.8%+10.1 
 
#84 Arizona (1-6)27.2%  
#54 Washington (2-5)72.7%+8.1 
 
#56 Utah (5-3)64.2%+4.4 
#97 Colorado State (1-6)35.7%  
 
#69 Pittsburgh (2-4)26.5%  
#58 Louisville (3-4)73.4%+8.4 
 
#64 Central Florida (4-3)63.4%+4.1 
#89 Southern Miss (2-3)36.5%  
 
#102 UAB (1-5)18.2%  
#66 East Carolina (4-4)81.7%+13.0 
 
#100 UNLV (2-6)24.5%  
#67 Wyoming (4-3)75.4%+9.4 
 
#107 Louisiana-Monroe (2-5)19.2%  
#70 Fla Atlantic (4-3)80.7%+12.4 
 
#71 Houston (4-3)67.5%+5.7 
#81 UTEP (3-3)32.4%  
 
#110 Ohio (2-5)22.2%  
#75 Bowling Green (3-3)77.7%+10.6 
 
#115 SMU (1-6)13.7%  
#76 Tulsa (4-3)86.2%+16.2 
 
#78 Middle Tenn. St (3-4)83.1%+14.0 
#114 North Texas (1-6)16.8%  
 
#87 Akron (3-4)43.5%  
#92 Buffalo (3-5)56.4%+1.8 
 
#119 Idaho (0-7)17.5%  
#94 Nevada (2-3)82.4%+13.4 
 
#95 Louisiana Tech (1-5)63.9%+4.3 
#118 Utah State (0-7)36.0%  
 
#99 Western Michigan (2-5)60.5%+3.1 
#112 Eastern Michigan (1-6)39.4%  
 
#103 Memphis (2-4)45.6%  
#109 Tulane (1-5)54.3%+1.1 
 
#104 Rice (1-5)35.2%  
#111 Marshall (0-5)64.7%+4.6 
 
#116 Northern Illinois (1-6)44.3%  
#108 Toledo (2-5)55.6%+1.5 
 
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