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BCS Bowl Breakdown: Fiesta Bowl

Contributing writer Matt Woods breaks down this year’s college football BCS Bowl games. In this post: the Fiesta Bowl.

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Recent Articles:
BCS Breakdown: The National Championship Game
BCS Bowl Breakdown: Orange Bowl
BCS Bowl Breakdown: Fiesta Bowl
BCS Bowl Breakdown: Rose Bowl

Predictive / Points Rankings

By division
Last Updated Tue Jan 09 01:15:11 EST 2007

Home Advantage = 2.1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
1. Louisville (12-1)44.31-00-13-0
2. USC (11-2)44.12-02-14-1
3. Ohio State (12-1)43.61-11-01-0
4. Florida (12-1)43.02-04-12-0
5. LSU (11-2)43.00-13-13-0
6. Michigan (11-2)42.10-22-01-0
7. BYU (11-2)40.00-01-11-1
8. California (9-3)40.00-11-14-1
9. Boise State (12-0)39.80-03-00-0
10. West Virginia (10-2)39.10-11-01-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
11. Wisconsin (11-1)38.60-11-01-0
12. Arkansas (9-4)38.40-33-11-0
13. Rutgers (10-2)37.61-10-01-0
14. Tennessee (9-4)37.51-22-12-1
15. Auburn (11-2)37.42-01-22-0
16. Oklahoma (11-3)36.60-10-14-1
17. Virginia Tech (9-3)35.70-00-22-1
18. South Carolina (7-5)35.30-10-42-0
19. Notre Dame (10-3)35.20-30-03-0
20. Texas (9-3)35.10-11-02-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
21. Hawaii (10-3)35.10-10-11-1
22. Georgia (8-4)34.60-13-11-1
23. Boston College (9-3)33.91-01-01-1
24. Oregon State (9-4)33.61-21-04-1
25. TCU (10-2)33.40-10-00-0
26. Penn State (8-4)33.30-21-20-0
27. Nebraska (8-5)33.10-10-32-1
28. Clemson (8-5)32.90-00-32-1
29. Wake Forest (10-3)32.50-11-11-1
30. UCLA (7-6)32.21-11-12-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
31. Georgia Tech (8-5)31.80-11-20-2
32. Kentucky (7-5)31.40-31-21-0
33. Missouri (7-5)31.40-00-20-2
34. South Florida (8-4)30.91-10-10-0
35. Arizona (5-6)30.82-20-11-2
36. Oregon (6-6)30.80-31-12-1
37. Arizona State (6-6)30.70-20-21-2
38. Texas A&M (8-4)30.60-11-12-1
39. Alabama (6-7)30.10-21-30-1
40. Oklahoma State (6-6)30.10-00-22-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
41. Washington State (6-6)29.90-21-12-2
42. Cincinnati (7-5)29.70-31-11-0
43. Florida State (7-6)29.50-10-11-2
44. Minnesota (5-7)29.00-30-10-1
45. Navy (8-4)28.90-00-30-0
46. Utah (7-5)28.40-21-00-1
47. Pittsburgh (5-6)28.30-20-10-1
48. Houston (9-4)28.30-00-11-0
49. Texas Tech (7-5)28.20-00-32-1
50. Nevada (8-5)27.20-10-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
51. Washington (5-7)27.20-20-22-2
52. Iowa (5-7)27.10-20-20-0
53. Maryland (8-4)27.00-10-11-2
54. Vanderbilt (3-8)26.90-21-30-2
55. Central Michigan (10-4)26.90-10-10-1
56. Miami (6-6)26.70-11-10-1
57. Southern Miss (8-5)26.20-10-10-0
58. Tulsa (7-5)25.40-10-00-0
59. Purdue (7-6)25.10-00-30-1
60. Kansas State (6-6)24.50-11-11-2

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
61. Kansas (5-6)24.50-00-01-4
62. Mississippi (3-8)24.30-10-30-4
63. San Jose State (8-4)24.00-10-10-0
64. Wyoming (6-6)23.90-20-10-0
65. East Carolina (7-6)23.80-10-00-1
66. Mississippi State (2-9)23.40-20-41-1
67. Michigan State (4-8)23.10-20-10-1
68. Virginia (5-7)22.60-00-10-1
69. Syracuse (4-8)22.50-20-10-2
70. Western Michigan (8-5)22.40-00-00-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
71. Air Force (4-8)22.30-10-30-0
72. Indiana (5-6)22.10-20-10-0
73. Northern Illinois (6-6)21.90-10-10-0
74. Northwestern (4-7)21.80-20-10-1
75. Middle Tenn. St (6-6)21.80-10-20-0
76. Connecticut (3-8)21.70-20-10-2
77. New Mexico (6-6)21.50-10-10-1
78. Colorado (2-9)21.30-00-20-3
79. North Carolina State (2-9)20.90-01-00-3
80. Ohio (8-5)19.90-00-10-1

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
81. Ball State (5-6)19.90-10-00-0
82. Troy St (7-5)19.70-00-00-2
83. Rice (7-6)19.60-00-10-1
84. Louisiana-Monroe (3-8)19.20-00-10-2
85. SMU (5-6)19.10-00-00-0
86. Baylor (3-8)19.10-00-30-2
87. Marshall (4-7)18.70-10-10-0
88. Stanford (1-11)18.50-20-20-4
89. Illinois (1-10)18.40-10-20-1
90. North Carolina (2-9)18.20-00-30-4

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
91. Colorado State (3-8)18.00-10-10-0
92. Fresno State (4-8)17.80-20-10-1
93. San Diego State (3-8)16.60-10-20-0
94. UTEP (5-7)16.50-00-00-0
95. UAB (3-9)16.50-00-20-0
96. Akron (5-7)15.80-00-00-1
97. Central Florida (3-8)15.70-10-00-1
98. Toledo (4-7)15.20-00-00-0
99. Iowa State (3-8)15.00-00-21-1
100. Kent (6-6)14.60-00-10-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
101. Memphis (1-10)14.60-00-10-0
102. New Mexico State (2-8)14.50-10-10-0
103. Louisiana-Lafayette (5-6)14.40-10-00-1
104. Tulane (4-8)14.10-10-10-0
105. Arkansas State (6-6)14.00-00-10-1
106. Fla Atlantic (4-7)13.90-00-10-2
107. Miami (OH) (2-10)13.20-00-00-0
108. Duke (0-11)12.50-00-20-3
109. Army (2-9)12.10-00-20-1
110. UNLV (1-10)12.00-10-20-0

Team
 Rating 
v. Top 10
v. 11-25
v. 26-40
111. Idaho (3-8)11.50-10-20-0
112. Eastern Michigan (1-11)9.90-00-00-0
113. Bowling Green (4-8)9.80-10-10-0
114. North Texas (3-9)9.40-00-10-0
115. Buffalo (2-10)7.30-00-30-0
116. Florida Intl (0-12)6.10-00-00-2
117. Temple (1-11)5.80-10-00-2
118. Louisiana Tech (2-10)4.90-10-10-3
119. Utah State (1-11)2.10-20-20-0
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