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NFL Premium
2002-2004 Predicted Odds and Results

2005 Predicted Odds and Results

Listed below are NFL Premium predicted odds and actual game results from the 2002, 2003, and 2004 seasons. Please note that because of the large amount of games, we only list games where the models predicted that one team had a 60% chance or better to cover the Vegas point spread. These 60%-or-greater predicted odds to cover scenarios typically occurred in about 2 games per week. For these 117 games, NFL Premium was 75-42 (64.1%) predicting winners against the spread across the 2002-2004 seasons.

GREEN indicates games where we predicted that one team had a 60% chance or better to cover the spread, and that team did cover.

RED indicates games where we predicted that one team had a 60% chance or better to cover the spread, and that team did not cover.

GRAY indicates games that were a push.

	Vegas Spread	Odds to Cover Spread	Vegas Over-Under	Projected Score	Actual Score
09/15/2002
ARIZONA	+4	62.5%	40	18.3	24
at SEATTLE	-4	37.5%	40	21.6	13

09/15/2002
BUFFALO	+3.5	68.1%	49.5	21.4	45
at MINNESOTA	-3.5	31.9%	49.5	25.4	39

09/15/2002
CINCINNATI	+3.5	66.2%	39	17.3	7
at CLEVELAND	-3.5	33.8%	39	22.3	20

09/15/2002
HOUSTON	+13.5	61.9%	34	13.9	3
at SANDIEGO	-13.5	38.1%	34	24.7	24

09/15/2002
NYGIANTS	+12	60.2%	46	17.8	26
at STLOUIS	-12	39.8%	46	27.2	21

09/22/2002
CINCINNATI	+7.5	64.6%	43	17.6	3
at ATLANTA	-7.5	35.4%	43	25.4	30

09/29/2002
CAROLINA	+6.5	63.7%	41.5	18.4	14
at GREENBAY	-6.5	36.3%	41.5	22.7	17

09/29/2002
DALLAS	+11.5	61.3%	44	17.2	13
at STLOUIS	-11.5	38.7%	44	26.7	10

10/06/2002
BALTIMORE	+6.5	60.5%	36.5	16.8	26
at CLEVELAND	-6.5	39.5%	36.5	21.8	21

10/13/2002
BALTIMORE	+7	61.7%	43.5	18.9	20
at INDIANAPOLIS	-7	38.3%	43.5	23.7	22

10/13/2002
DETROIT	+4	64.3%	49	21.6	24
at MINNESOTA	-4	35.7%	49	25.4	31

10/20/2002
HOUSTON	+8.5	71.2%	37	15.0	17
at CLEVELAND	-8.5	28.8%	37	22.5	34

10/27/2002
ARIZONA	+9	60.3%	40	15.0	28
at SANFRANCISCO	-9	39.7%	40	24.3	38

10/27/2002
CHICAGO	+2.5	63.4%	46	22.7	7
at MINNESOTA	-2.5	36.6%	46	23.3	25

10/27/2002
HOUSTON	+11	73.0%	38	14.5	21
at JACKSONVILLE	-11	27.0%	38	23.9	19

11/03/2002
CINCINNATI	+2.5	68.9%	36.5	19.1	38
at HOUSTON	-2.5	31.1%	36.5	19.2	3

11/03/2002
DALLAS	+3	61.4%	37	18.1	7
at DETROIT	-3	38.6%	37	20.8	9

11/03/2002
NYJETS	+8.5	65.1%	41	15.6	44
at SANDIEGO	-8.5	34.9%	41	25.5	13

11/03/2002
WASHINGTON	+2	61.9%	41.5	21.8	14
at SEATTLE	-2	38.1%	41.5	21.7	3

11/10/2002
NYGIANTS	-1.5	61.5%	45	22.9	27
at MINNESOTA	+1.5	38.5%	45	21.9	20

11/18/2002
CHICAGO	+10	66.0%	43	17.3	16
at STLOUIS	-10	34.0%	43	27.2	21

12/01/2002
BALTIMORE	-2	62.0%	38	20.0	27
at CINCINNATI	+2	38.0%	38	19.4	23

12/01/2002
DENVER	-3	62.8%	40	20.3	27
at SANDIEGO	+3	37.2%	40	19.2	30

12/08/2002
SANFRANCISCO	-4	36.7%	39.5	22.4	31
at DALLAS	+4	63.3%	39.5	17.2	27

12/15/2002
SEATTLE	+9	35.7%	46	16.9	30
at ATLANTA	-9	64.3%	46	28.7	24

12/15/2002
SANDIEGO	+3	39.6%	42.5	20.2	13
at BUFFALO	-3	60.4%	42.5	24.2	20

12/15/2002
OAKLAND	+1.5	36.2%	43.5	21.5	17
at MIAMI	-1.5	63.8%	43.5	24.7	23

12/21/2002
SANFRANCISCO	-3.5	39.5%	41	21.6	17
at ARIZONA	+3.5	60.5%	41	21.6	14

12/22/2002
NEWORLEANS	-7	39.4%	48.5	26.8	13
at CINCINNATI	+7	60.6%	48.5	19.7	20

12/28/2002
PHILADELPHIA	-1	36.6%	37.5	17.6	7
at NYGIANTS	+1	63.4%	37.5	21.2	10

12/29/2002
GREENBAY	-1	36.5%	40	18.5	17
at NYJETS	+1	63.5%	40	22.1	42

12/29/2002
MIAMI	-2	35.9%	38	18.2	24
at NEWENGLAND	+2	64.1%	38	21.1	27

12/30/2002
SANFRANCISCO	+3	37.1%	39	17.8	20
at STLOUIS	-3	62.9%	39	21.6	31

01/04/2003
INDIANAPOLIS	+6	39.8%	42.5	19.9	0
at NYJETS	-6	60.2%	42.5	24.9	41

01/11/2003
ATLANTA	+7.5	38.0%	38.5	14.8	6
at PHILADELPHIA	-7.5	62.0%	38.5	24.7	20

01/12/2003
SANFRANCISCO	+6	35.7%	38.5	16.3	6
at TAMPABAY	-6	64.3%	38.5	23.1	31

01/19/2003
TAMPABAY	+4.5	38.1%	33.5	16.2	27
at PHILADELPHIA	-4.5	61.9%	33.5	22.4	10

09/14/2003
CLEVELAND	+2.5	65.1%	39	19.4	13
at BALTIMORE	-2.5	34.9%	39	19.5	33

09/14/2003
CINCINNATI	+11.5	66.8%	45	17.7	20
at OAKLAND	-11.5	33.2%	45	27.0	23

09/14/2003
HOUSTON	+8	62.4%	40.5	16.1	10
at NEWORLEANS	-8	37.6%	40.5	23.7	31

09/21/2003
CLEVELAND	+7	61.6%	44	19.3	13
at SANFRANCISCO	-7	38.4%	44	24.7	12

09/28/2003
CINCINNATI	+4.5	62.6%	40.5	17.8	21
at CLEVELAND	-4.5	37.4%	40.5	21.8	14

09/28/2003
JACKSONVILLE	-2.5	62.6%	37.5	20.7	20
at HOUSTON	+2.5	37.4%	37.5	18.2	24

09/28/2003
SANDIEGO	+7	63.4%	41.5	18.5	31
at OAKLAND	-7	36.6%	41.5	21.9	34

10/05/2003
CLEVELAND	+7	61.8%	42	18.3	33
at PITTSBURGH	-7	38.2%	42	23.0	13

10/05/2003
DETROIT	+7.5	63.3%	42.5	17.4	17
at SANFRANCISCO	-7.5	36.7%	42.5	26.4	24

10/19/2003
NYJETS	-3.5	65.3%	38	22.9	19
at HOUSTON	+3.5	34.7%	38	16.5	14

10/26/2003
DETROIT	+3	63.0%	37	18.4	16
at CHICAGO	-3	37.0%	37	20.2	24

11/02/2003
PITTSBURGH	+5	60.9%	44.5	20.2	16
at SEATTLE	-5	39.1%	44.5	24.9	23

11/09/2003
ATLANTA	+11.5	61.8%	41	16.1	27
at NYGIANTS	-11.5	38.2%	41	26.4	7

11/09/2003
NYJETS	-3	65.2%	38.5	20.0	27
at OAKLAND	+3	34.8%	38.5	18.9	24

11/16/2003
ATLANTA	+9	61.0%	44	17.2	20
at NEWORLEANS	-9	39.0%	44	27.9	23

11/16/2003
DETROIT	+10.5	63.2%	39.5	14.2	14
at SEATTLE	-10.5	36.8%	39.5	25.2	35

11/23/2003
TENNESSEE	-6.5	39.5%	44	26.5	38
at ATLANTA	+6.5	60.5%	44	19.1	31

11/23/2003
CHICAGO	+10.5	60.1%	38.5	14.1	19
at DENVER	-10.5	39.9%	38.5	25.6	10

11/23/2003
JACKSONVILLE	+4	60.6%	43	19.4	10
at NYJETS	-4	39.4%	43	24.2	13

11/30/2003
BUFFALO	+3	60.1%	36	18.0	24
at NYGIANTS	-3	39.9%	36	20.9	7

11/30/2003
CLEVELAND	+6.5	66.1%	42	19.2	7
at SEATTLE	-6.5	33.9%	42	23.7	34

11/30/2003
DENVER	-3	61.9%	42	21.3	22
at OAKLAND	+3	38.1%	42	20.8	8

12/01/2003
TENNESSEE	-3	38.1%	42	21.7	17
at NYJETS	+3	61.9%	42	22.2	24

12/07/2003
ARIZONA	+10.5	64.8%	40.5	15.7	14
at SANFRANCISCO	-10.5	35.2%	40.5	26.0	50

12/20/2003
ATLANTA	+8.5	38.6%	38	13.6	30
at TAMPABAY	-8.5	61.4%	38	25.1	28

12/21/2003
BALTIMORE	-3	38.0%	35.5	18.4	35
at CLEVELAND	+3	62.0%	35.5	20.0	0

12/28/2003
STLOUIS	-12	35.4%	45.5	26.8	20
at DETROIT	+12	64.6%	45.5	19.1	30

01/03/2004
TENNESSEE	-0	38.6%	38	17.9	20
at BALTIMORE	+0	61.4%	38	21.9	17

01/04/2004
SEATTLE	+7	34.4%	43.5	17.9	27
at GREENBAY	-7	65.6%	43.5	28.7	33

01/10/2004
TENNESSEE	+6	39.2%	34.5	16.3	14
at NEWENGLAND	-6	60.8%	34.5	22.5	17

01/11/2004
GREENBAY	+4	36.7%	43	20.5	17
at PHILADELPHIA	-4	63.3%	43	25.5	20

01/18/2004
CAROLINA	+4	38.2%	36.5	16.3	14
at PHILADELPHIA	-4	61.8%	36.5	22.7	3

01/18/2004
INDIANAPOLIS	+3.5	37.0%	42	19.0	14
at NEWENGLAND	-3.5	63.0%	42	25.3	24

09/19/2004
BUFFALO	+3	73.9%	37.5	18.9	10
at OAKLAND	-3	26.1%	37.5	20.2	13

09/19/2004
MIAMI	+5.5	63.9%	40.5	17.6	13
at CINCINNATI	-5.5	36.1%	40.5	22.3	16

09/26/2004
CHICAGO	+12	61.0%	45	17.0	22
at MINNESOTA	-12	39.0%	45	26.7	27

09/26/2004
HOUSTON	+7.5	69.9%	48	20.4	24
at KANSASCITY	-7.5	30.1%	48	26.1	21

09/26/2004
TAMPABAY	+3	62.2%	35.5	18.1	20
at OAKLAND	-3	37.8%	35.5	20.6	30

10/10/2004
TAMPABAY	+3	71.2%	38.5	19.2	20
at NEWORLEANS	-3	28.8%	38.5	20.4	17

10/17/2004
MIAMI	+4.5	70.5%	30	16.7	13
at BUFFALO	-4.5	29.5%	30	20.8	20

10/17/2004
WASHINGTON	+1.5	62.2%	33.5	19.5	13
at CHICAGO	-1.5	37.8%	33.5	18.8	10

10/18/2004
TAMPABAY	+6.5	68.0%	42.5	19.0	21
at STLOUIS	-6.5	32.0%	42.5	23.3	28

10/24/2004
BUFFALO	+4.5	60.6%	31.5	16.4	6
at BALTIMORE	-4.5	39.4%	31.5	21.3	20

10/24/2004
CHICAGO	+7	62.8%	31.5	16.9	7
at TAMPABAY	-7	37.2%	31.5	21.6	19

10/24/2004
JACKSONVILLE	+9	63.4%	47	19.9	27
at INDIANAPOLIS	-9	36.6%	47	25.8	24

10/24/2004
NEWORLEANS	+3	62.7%	45.5	21.4	31
at OAKLAND	-3	37.3%	45.5	24.6	26

10/31/2004
BALTIMORE	+7.5	60.0%	37	16.4	10
at PHILADELPHIA	-7.5	40.0%	37	21.7	15

10/31/2004
CAROLINA	+8	65.3%	39	15.8	17
at SEATTLE	-8	34.7%	39	23.9	23

11/07/2004
CHICAGO	+9	64.9%	34.5	16.4	28
at NYGIANTS	-9	35.1%	34.5	21.9	21

11/07/2004
WASHINGTON	+3.5	63.3%	37	17.7	17
at DETROIT	-3.5	36.7%	37	21.0	10

11/14/2004
NYGIANTS	+1	64.5%	39	20.1	14
at ARIZONA	-1	35.5%	39	19.1	17

11/14/2004
TAMPABAY	+3.5	64.4%	41	18.0	14
at ATLANTA	-3.5	35.6%	41	22.2	24

11/14/2004
CAROLINA	+1.5	67.2%	41.5	21.2	37
at SANFRANCISCO	-1.5	32.8%	41.5	20.5	27

11/14/2004
CHICAGO	+5.5	60.7%	34	16.7	19
at TENNESSEE	-5.5	39.3%	34	21.2	17

11/21/2004
DETROIT	+8	63.0%	48	18.7	19
at MINNESOTA	-8	37.0%	48	27.7	22

11/21/2004
MIAMI	+9.5	71.9%	37	14.3	17
at SEATTLE	-9.5	28.1%	37	24.6	24

11/21/2004
WASHINGTON	+10	60.8%	38.5	15.1	6
at PHILADELPHIA	-10	39.2%	38.5	24.2	28

11/25/2004
CHICAGO	+3.5	60.4%	36	18.0	7
at DALLAS	-3.5	39.6%	36	20.9	21

11/28/2004
NYJETS	-3	61.2%	36.5	19.8	13
at ARIZONA	+3	38.8%	36.5	18.7	3

11/28/2004
JACKSONVILLE	+6	61.8%	45.5	19.7	16
at MINNESOTA	-6	38.2%	45.5	24.3	27

11/28/2004
MIAMI	-1	63.8%	37.5	20.4	24
at SANFRANCISCO	+1	36.2%	37.5	18.9	17

12/05/2004
KANSASCITY	-1	63.4%	52	23.8	34
at OAKLAND	+1	36.6%	52	23.1	27

12/12/2004
SANFRANCISCO	+7	62.7%	36	14.9	31
at ARIZONA	-7	37.3%	36	23.1	28

12/12/2004
MIAMI	+11.5	64.6%	41	15.7	17
at DENVER	-11.5	35.4%	41	26.0	20

12/12/2004
DETROIT	+9	63.5%	41	15.9	13
at GREENBAY	-9	36.5%	41	25.5	16

12/18/2004
PITTSBURGH	-10	39.2%	36.5	23.0	33
at NYGIANTS	+10	60.8%	36.5	15.5	30

12/18/2004
WASHINGTON	-6.5	60.4%	36.5	23.2	26
at SANFRANCISCO	+6.5	39.6%	36.5	16.3	16

12/19/2004
SANDIEGO	-8	34.0%	35	23.0	21
at CLEVELAND	+8	66.0%	35	15.5	0

12/19/2004
DALLAS	+11.5	37.3%	45	19.2	7
at PHILADELPHIA	-11.5	62.7%	45	31.0	12

12/19/2004
SEATTLE	+6.5	38.4%	41.5	18.9	14
at NYJETS	-6.5	61.6%	41.5	24.7	37

12/25/2004
OAKLAND	+9.5	38.4%	60	19.9	30
at KANSASCITY	-9.5	61.6%	60	31.0	31

12/26/2004
NYGIANTS	+6.5	61.2%	46.5	20.8	22
at CINCINNATI	-6.5	38.8%	46.5	25.1	23

12/26/2004
NEWENGLAND	0	37.4%	41.5	20.2	23
at NYJETS	0	62.6%	41.5	23.8	7

01/02/2005
CINCINNATI	-4	37.2%	37.5	18.6	38
at PHILADELPHIA	+4	62.8%	37.5	20.8	10

01/02/2005
DALLAS	+1	39.5%	38.5	19.1	24
at NYGIANTS	-1	60.5%	38.5	20.5	28

01/02/2005
MINNESOTA	-4	37.5%	41	21.7	18
at WASHINGTON	+4	62.5%	41	22.1	21

01/02/2005
SANFRANCISCO	+13	35.1%	37	9.8	7
at NEWENGLAND	-13	64.9%	37	29.4	21

01/09/2005
DENVER	+10	37.3%	56	19.5	24
at INDIANAPOLIS	-10	62.7%	56	30.6	49

01/15/2005
STLOUIS	+6.5	40.0%	49.5	19.8	17
at ATLANTA	-6.5	60.0%	49.5	27.2	47

01/16/2005
INDIANAPOLIS	+1	34.8%	51	23.3	3
at NEWENGLAND	-1	65.2%	51	27.2	20

01/16/2005
MINNESOTA	+8	39.5%	47	17.5	14
at PHILADELPHIA	-8	60.5%	47	29.1	27

01/23/2005
ATLANTA	+6	37.6%	37	16.8	10
at PHILADELPHIA	-6	62.4%	37	22.4	27

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NFL Premium2002-2004 Predicted Odds and Results

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2002-2004 Predicted Odds and Results