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Rob Morris at Cleveland St: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jan 28, 2024 1:00 pm - Cleveland, OH
Odds: Cleveland St. by 8, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: RMU @ CLEVST

More Games From Jan 28, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring RMU CLEVST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RMU CLEVST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 61.7
Field Goal % 41.3% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 32.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 21.7
Free Throw % 69.8% 65.8%
Ball Control RMU CLEVST
Rebounds 39.5 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 12.1
Turnovers 12.6 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 3.5 7.1
Fouls 14.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RMU CLEVST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RMU CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 52.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 21.3%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.0%
Turnover 17.8% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken RMU CLEVST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 31.6%