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Kent St at S Dakota St: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 5, 2023 9:15 pm - Brookings, SD
Odds: South Dakota State by 1.5, Total Points: 147

Matchup Menu: KENT @ SDST

More Games From Dec 5, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT SDST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting KENT SDST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 54.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.6 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 35.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 17.8
Free Throw % 73.1% 73.3%
Ball Control KENT SDST
Rebounds 33.3 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.2
Turnovers 9.9 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.5
Steals 6.5 5.0
Fouls 16.4 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT SDST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with KENT SDST
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 29.9%
Player Fouled 18.8% 23.5%
Turnover 14.3% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT SDST
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 23.4%