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Cotton Bowl Playoff Semifinal: Michigan St vs. Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Dec 31, 2015 8:00 pm - Arlington, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Alabama by 10, Total Points: 44.5

Matchup Menu: MSU @ ALA

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 44.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 44.5	Similar Games	65% odds to go over
Over 44.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSU	ALA
Season	5-7-0	10-3-1
vs Conference	4-5-0	6-2-1
Streak	Un 3	Ov 1
Last 5	1-4-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	8-1-1
Home	3-4-0	5-1-1
Away	2-3-0	5-2-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/01	Home	Central Mich	44.5	31-7	Under	-6.5
09/09	Home	Richmond	44.0	45-14	Over	+15.0
09/16	Home	Washington	57.0	7-41	Under	-9.0
09/23	Home	Maryland	51.5	9-31	Under	-11.5
09/30	Away	Iowa	36.5	16-26	Over	+5.5
10/14	Away	Rutgers	38.5	24-27	Over	+12.5
10/21	Home	Michigan	46.5	0-49	Over	+2.5
10/28	Away	Minnesota	41.0	12-27	Under	-2.0
11/04	Home	Nebraska	35.0	20-17	Over	+2.0
11/11	Away	Ohio St	48.5	3-38	Under	-7.5
11/18	Away	Indiana	46.5	24-21	Under	-1.5
11/24	Home	Penn St	43.0	0-42	Under	-1.0

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Home	Middle Tenn	51.5	56-7	Over	+11.5
09/09	Home	Texas	53.5	24-34	Over	+4.5
09/16	Away	S Florida	61.0	17-3	Under	-41.0
09/23	Home	Mississippi	56.0	24-10	Under	-22.0
09/30	Away	Miss State	45.5	40-17	Over	+11.5
10/07	Away	Texas A&M	45.5	26-20	Over	+0.5
10/14	Home	Arkansas	45.0	24-21	Push	0.0
10/21	Home	Tennessee	47.0	34-20	Over	+7.0
11/04	Home	LSU	61.0	42-28	Over	+9.0
11/11	Away	Kentucky	47.0	49-21	Over	+23.0
11/18	Home	Chattanooga	55.0	66-10	Over	+21.0
11/25	Away	Auburn	47.5	27-24	Over	+3.5
12/02	Neutral	Georgia	53.5	27-24	Under	-2.5
01/01	Neutral	Michigan	46.0	20-27	Over	+1.0