Miami at Dallas: Recap

Thursday Mar 7, 2024 7:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Dallas by 4.5, Total Points: 231

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Dallas MIA 36.5%
DAL 63.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DAL -4.5 MIA 48.7%
DAL 51.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 230.0 Over 48.3%
Under 51.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.3%
DAL -2.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 112.2 112.8 108
DAL 117.0 117.2 114

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 109.9 117.2
Avg Score Margin +1.8 +2.2
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.8 15.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 46.8 47.1
Assists/Game 25.7 25.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.6 50.8
Effective FG % 53.9% 56.0%
Off Rebound % 21.8% 22.2%
FTA/FGA 0.255 0.253
Turnover % 11.7% 11.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 108.1 115.0
Opp Effective FG % 54.2% 54.6%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 45.9 50.6
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.3 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.0 33.2
Blocks/Game 3.4 5.0
Steals/Game 7.5 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.2 18.3