Charlotte at New Orleans: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 17, 2024 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: New Orleans by 12, Total Points: 229.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA NO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CHA NO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 85.9
Field Goal % 45.6% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 46.6 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 37.9 33.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 37.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 20.8
Free Throw % 78.9% 77.9%
Ball Control CHA NO
Rebounds 42.5 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.4 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.4
Turnovers 13.3 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.1
Steals 5.7 7.3
Fouls 15.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA NO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CHA NO
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 15.9% 15.6%
Turnover 13.4% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHA NO
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 25.3%