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Alabama vs. N Carolina: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Mar 28, 2024 9:39 pm - Los Angeles, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: North Carolina by 4.5, Total Points: 175

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
N Carolina -4.5 Official TR Pick N Carolina 51% odds to cover
N Carolina -4.5 Decision Tree N Carolina 52% odds to cover
Alabama +4.5 Power Rating Model Alabama 58% odds to cover
Alabama +4.5 Similar Games Alabama 53% odds to cover
Alabama +4.5 Predictive Ratings Alabama 65% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALA adv UNC
Season 21-16-0 21-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 10-9-0 13-10-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 4-1-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 11-5-0 8-7-0
Away 10-11-0 13-9-0

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Morehead St -22.0 W by 32 +10.0
11/10 Home Indiana St -17.0 W by 22 +5.0
11/14 Home S Alabama -20.5 W by 56 +35.5
11/17 Home Mercer -30.5 W by 31 +0.5
11/24 Neutral Ohio St -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
11/25 Neutral Oregon -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
11/28 Home Clemson -8.0 L by 8 -16.0
12/04 Home Arkansas St -25.5 W by 24 -1.5
12/09 Neutral Purdue +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
12/16 Away Creighton +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
12/20 Neutral Arizona +7.0 L by 13 -6.0
12/23 Home E Kentucky -23.5 W by 44 +20.5
12/30 Neutral Liberty -9.5 W by 45 +35.5
01/06 Away Vanderbilt -13.0 W by 3 -10.0
01/09 Home S Carolina -12.0 W by 27 +15.0
01/13 Away Miss State +1.0 W by 8 +9.0
01/16 Home Missouri -14.5 W by 18 +3.5
01/20 Away Tennessee +5.5 L by 20 -14.5
01/24 Home Auburn -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
01/27 Home LSU -12.5 W by 21 +8.5
01/31 Away Georgia -6.0 W by 9 +3.0
02/03 Home Miss State -8.5 W by 32 +23.5
02/07 Away Auburn +5.5 L by 18 -12.5
02/10 Away LSU -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
02/17 Home Texas A&M -8.0 W by 25 +17.0
02/21 Home Florida -10.0 W by 5 -5.0
02/24 Away Kentucky +2.5 L by 22 -19.5
02/28 Away Mississippi -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
03/02 Home Tennessee -4.5 L by 7 -11.5
03/05 Away Florida +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
03/09 Home Arkansas -15.5 W by 4 -11.5
03/15 Neutral Florida -4.5 L by 14 -18.5
03/22 Neutral Col Charlestn -8.0 W by 13 +5.0
03/24 Neutral Grd Canyon -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
03/28 Neutral N Carolina +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/30 Neutral Clemson -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
04/06 Neutral Connecticut +10.0 L by 14 -4.0

N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Radford -18.5 W by 16 -2.5
11/12 Home Lehigh -24.0 W by 22 -2.0
11/17 Home UC Riverside -23.5 W by 25 +1.5
11/22 Neutral N Iowa -11.5 W by 22 +10.5
11/23 Neutral Villanova -2.5 L by 2 -4.5
11/24 Neutral Arkansas -3.5 W by 15 +11.5
11/29 Home Tennessee -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/02 Home Florida St -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
12/05 Neutral Connecticut +5.5 L by 11 -5.5
12/16 Neutral Kentucky -1.0 L by 4 -5.0
12/20 Neutral Oklahoma -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
12/29 Home Charl South -30.5 W by 45 +14.5
01/02 Away Pittsburgh -4.0 W by 13 +9.0
01/06 Away Clemson +3.0 W by 10 +13.0
01/10 Away NC State -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
01/13 Home Syracuse -12.0 W by 36 +24.0
01/17 Home Louisville -21.0 W by 16 -5.0
01/20 Away Boston Col -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
01/22 Home Wake Forest -8.0 W by 21 +13.0
01/27 Away Florida St -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
01/30 Away GA Tech -8.5 L by 1 -9.5
02/03 Home Duke -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
02/06 Home Clemson -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/10 Away Miami -4.0 W by 3 -1.0
02/13 Away Syracuse -8.0 L by 7 -15.0
02/17 Home VA Tech -11.0 W by 15 +4.0
02/24 Away Virginia -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
02/26 Home Miami -14.0 W by 4 -10.0
03/02 Home NC State -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
03/05 Home Notre Dame -16.0 W by 33 +17.0
03/09 Away Duke +4.5 W by 5 +9.5
03/14 Neutral Florida St -11.0 W by 25 +14.0
03/15 Neutral Pittsburgh -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/16 Neutral NC State -10.0 L by 8 -18.0
03/21 Neutral Wagner -25.5 W by 28 +2.5
03/23 Neutral Michigan St -4.0 W by 16 +12.0
03/28 Neutral Alabama -4.5 L by 2 -6.5