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TN Tech at Tennessee: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 6, 2023 6:30 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 32.5, Total Points: 134.5

Matchup Menu: TNTC @ TENN

More Games From Nov 6, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TNTC TENN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TNTC TENN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 61.9
Field Goal % 33.9% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 36.6% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 37.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 18.7
Free Throw % 69.5% 75.4%
Ball Control TNTC TENN
Rebounds 27.6 43.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 11.5
Turnovers 13.8 7.7
Blocked Shots 1.3 5.6
Steals 3.9 8.6
Fouls 14.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC TENN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TNTC TENN
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.6%
Turnover 19.7% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC TENN
Shot Blocked 9.2% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 14.6% 34.2%