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E Illinois at W Illinois: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 29, 2024 8:30 pm - Macomb, IL
Odds: Western Illinois by 6, Total Points: 133.5

Matchup Menu: EIU @ WIU

More Games From Feb 29, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU WIU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting EIU WIU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 53.7
Field Goal % 36.7% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 48.2 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 35.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 20.9
Free Throw % 73.7% 62.4%
Ball Control EIU WIU
Rebounds 31.4 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.3
Turnovers 7.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.7
Steals 7.8 3.8
Fouls 16.0 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU WIU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with EIU WIU
2 Point Attempt 59.8% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 20.5%
Player Fouled 16.5% 23.5%
Turnover 10.6% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU WIU
Shot Blocked 10.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 36.8%