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Troy at Oregon St: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 10, 2023 7:00 pm - Corvallis, OR
Odds: Oregon St. by 7.5, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: TROY @ ORST

More Games From Nov 10, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TROY ORST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TROY ORST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 50.5
Field Goal % 40.8% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 24.3
Free Throw % 73.4% 73.5%
Ball Control TROY ORST
Rebounds 32.9 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 8.2
Turnovers 12.0 14.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.1
Steals 8.9 6.9
Fouls 19.6 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TROY ORST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TROY ORST
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 20.7%
Player Fouled 23.3% 27.4%
Turnover 16.8% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken TROY ORST
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 27.7%